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HomeMy WebLinkAboutResolution - 2013-R0076 - Adopt Strategic Water Supply Plan - 02/28/2013 (3)Resolution No 2013-R0076 February 28, 2013 Item No 6.10 RESOLUTION NO.2013-R0076 BE IT RESOLVED BY THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF LUBBOCK: THAT the City of Lubbock hereby approves and adopts, the Strategic Water Supply Plan of the City of Lubbock (the "Strategic Water Supply Plan"), and all related documents. Said Strategic Water Supply Plan is attached hereto and incorporated in this Resolution as if fully set forth herein and shall be included in the minutes of the Council. BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED BY THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF LUBBOCK: Passed by the City Council this 28 day of February 2013.. ATTEST: Rebe ca Garza, City Secret APPROVED AS TO CONTENT: ma-�V-Q-QA Wrslia Reed, P.E., Chief Operating Officer APPROVED AS TO FORM: 0m. i Es, Assi ttorney as/RES. Strat. Water Supply Plan 2.13.13 Strategic Water Supply Plan February 2013 m February 2013 Prepared by: vbt ity of hibbo& TEXAS City Council Glen C. Robertson, Mayor Karen Gibson, District 5 (Mayor Pro Tern) Victor Hernandez, District 1 Floyd Price, District 2 Todd Klein, District 3 Jim Gerlt, District 4 Latrelle Joy, District 6 Water Advisory Commission James Collins, Chairperson Suzanne Baker Zachary Brady James Conkwright Bruce Maunder Ken Rainwater George Sell Maggie Trejo Strategic Water Supply Plan February 2013 r.i... R......................... WOREY A. SPEAR, m V/8/2-0 t3 Aubrey A. Spear, P.E. ?t.o*-ti'ock David D. Dunn, P.E. ONE COMPANY Many Solutions Texas Registered Engineering Firm No. 754 HDR was.responsible for conceptual design and costing of water supply projects, review of water and wastewater demand projections, and present value analyses of water supply packages. '. • ,' ' .• Section Page ES Executive Summary................................................................................................ ES-1 1.0 Introduction................................................................................................................1-1 1.1 History............................................................................................................1-1 1.2 Purpose...........................................................................................................1-2 1.3 Description.....................................................................................................1-3 2.0 Water Demand Projections........................................................................................2-1 2.1 Population.....................................................................................................2-1 2.2 Per Capita Consumption................................................................................ 2-3 2.3 Annual Water Demand................................................................................... 2-4 2.4 Peak Day Water Demand............................................................................... 2-5 3.0 Decommissioned Water Supplies..............................................................................3-1 3.1 City of Lubbock Well Field........................................................................... 3-2 3.2 Shallowater Well Field...................................................................................3-3 4.0 Current Water Supplies..............................................................................................4-1 4.1 Canadian River Municipal Water Authority(CRMWA)...............................4-5 4.2 Bailey County (Sandhilis) Well Field.........................................................4-10 4.3 Lake Alan Henry......................................................................................... 4-11 4.4 Current Water System Capacity...................................................................4-13 4.5 Water Demand vs. Current Water Supply....................................................4-15 5.0 Water Conservation Strategies...................................................................................5-1 5.1 Overall Water Conservation Trends............................................................... 5-1 5.2 Indoor Water Conservation Trends................................................................5-3 5.3 Current Conservation Rate Structure............................................................. 5-5 5.4 Unaccounted for Water Loss.......................................................................... 5-7 5.5 Public Education Effort .................................................................................. 5-8 5.6 Existing Water Conservation Ordinances....................................................5-11 5.7 Potential Water Conservation Strategies......................................................5-11 Strategic Water Supply Plan city of February 2013 _i- tl'uf-*b' �JOCk Section Page 6.0 Reclaimed Water Strategies.......................................................................................6-1 6.1 Types of Reclaimed Water Uses....................................................................6-1 6.2 Existing Reclaimed Water Infrastructure.......................................................6-3 6.3 Available Reclaimed Water........................................................................... 6-6 6.4 North Fork Diversion at County Road 7300 Strategy .................................. 6-10 6.5 Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP Strategy ..................................................... 6-15 6.6 Direct Potable Reuse to SWTP Strategy......................................................6-20 6.7 South Fork Discharge Strategy.................................................................... 6-25 6.8 North Fork Diversion to Lake Alan Henry Pump Station Strategy ............. 6-30 6.9 Reclaimed Water Aquifer Storage and Recovery Strategy ..........................6-35 7.0 Groundwater Strategies..............................................................................................7-1 7.1 Groundwater Sources.....................................................................................7-1 7.2 Groundwater Usage Regulations.................................................................7-12 7.3 Roberts County Well Field Capacity Maintenance Strategy ....................... 7-14 7.4 Bailey County Well Field Capacity Maintenance Strategy .........................7-19 7.5 Roberts County Well Field — New Transmission Line Strategy .................. 7-24 7.6 CRMWA to Aquifer Storage and Recovery Strategy .................................. 7-29 7.7 South Lubbock Well Field Strategy.............................................................7-35 7.8 Brackish Well Field Strategy....................................................................... 7-41 8.0 Surface Water Strategies............................................................................................8-1 8.1 Developed Water — Supplements to Brazos River Basin ............................... 8-2 8.2 Lake Alan Henry — Infrastructure Expansion Strategy .................................. 8-7 8.3 Jim Bertram Lake 7..................................................................................... 8-12 8.4 Post Reservoir.............................................................................................. 8-18 8.5 North Fork Scalping Operation................................................................... 8-23 Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u6b'1P6�fS February 2013 -ii- Contents Table of Section Page 9.0 Other Strategies Considered.......................................................................................9-1 9.1 Jim Bertram Lake 8........................................................................................9-1 9.2 Jim Bertram Lakes Well Field....................................................................... 9-3 9.3 Linear Well Field — CRMWA Aqueduct....................................................... 9-4 9.4 CRMWA Aqueduct Expansion...................................................................... 9-6 10.0 Supply Strategy Evaluation......................................................................................10-1 10.1 Strategy Scoring Criteria..............................................................................10-1 10.2 Individual Strategy Scoring.........................................................................10-1 10.3 Strategy Rankings......................................................................................10-19 11.0 Water Supply Packages............................................................................................11-1 11.1 Supply Package 1— Baseline......................................................................11-2 11.2 Supply Package 2 — LAH Phase 2 Delayed.................................................11-6 11.3 Supply Package 3 — RCWF Transmission Delayed...................................11-10 11.4 Supply Package 4 — Aggressive Conservation...........................................11-14 11.5 Supply Package 5 —Accelerated Growth...................................................11-18 11.6 Recommended Package of Strategies........................................................11-23 12.0 Financial Impact.......................................................................................................12-1 12.1 Net Present Value Analysis..........................................................................12-1 12.2 12-Year Financial Model.............................................................................12-5 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'ufl-bo�ftk February 2013 -iii- List of Appendices Appendix A-1 Historic Data for the City of Lubbock A-2 Population and Growth Rate Projections A-3 Per Capita Consumption and Water Demand Projections A-4 Peaking Factor, Average Annual Day, and Peak Day Demand B-1 Current Annual and Peak Day Water Supply Projections B-2 Current Annual Water Demand, Supply, and Net B-3 Current Peak Day Demand, Supply, and Net C-1 Lubbock Water Rate Structure, 1980-2012 C-2 Residential Water Bill Comparison for Major Texas Cities during January 2012 C-3 Public -School Program Lessons C-4 Conservation Calculations: More Stringent Seasonal Water Restrictions Strategy C-5 Conservation Calculations: Increase Non -Essential Water Volume Rates Strategy C-6 Conservation Calculations: Toilet Replacement Rebate for Schools and Universities C-7 Conservation Calculations: Washing Machine Rebate C-8 Conservation Calculations: Residential Showerhead Rebate C-9 Conservation Calculations: Landscape Rebate D-1 Gross Reclaimed Water Projections D-2 Net Reclaimed Water Projections E-1 Present Value Analysis (HDR Engineering, Inc. Memo) F-1 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model: Rate Structure Comparison — Package 1 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4l �OCk February 2013 -iv- real List of Appendices Appendix F-2 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model: Package 1 — Baseline F-3 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model: Package 2 — LAH Phase 2 Delayed F-4 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model: Packages 3 & 4 F-5 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model: Package 5 — Accelerated Growth Strategic Water Supply Plan city of February 2013 _V_ tl'u4'��}bOCk List of Fi Figure Page ES.1 Lubbock's Historic Water Supplies..................................................................... ES-1 ES.2 Water Supply Contribution Comparison for 1992 and 2012 ............................... ES-2 ES.3 Average Annual Demand and Peak Day Demand Projections ............................ ES-3 ESA 100-Year Annual Water Demand vs. Current Water Supply ............................... ES-4 ES.5 Supply Strategies Sorted by Rank (Highest to Lowest) ....................................... ES-8 ES.6 Net Present Value Comparison of Supply Packages ......................................... ES-10 ES.7 Comparison of Average Monthly Water Bill for Supply Packages ................... ES-11 1.1 Regional Planning Areas.........................................................................................1-2 2.1 Population Projections............................................................................................2-2 2.2 Per Capita Water Consumption...............................................................................2-4 2.3 Annual Water Demand Projections.........................................................................2-5 2.4 Peak Day Demands................................................................................................. 2-7 3.1 Lubbock's Historic Water Supply Usage................................................................3-1 3.2 City Well Field Locations....................................................................................... 3-2 3.3 Shallowater Well Field............................................................................................3-4 4.1 Water Supply Contribution Comparison for 1992, 2002 and 2012 ........................4-2 4.2 Current Water Supply Location Map...................................................................... 4-3 4.3 Current CRMWA Member City Allocations.......................................................... 4-5 4.4 Lake Meredith & Sanford Dam, 1967....................................................................4-6 4.5 Lake Meredith Chloride Concentration Trend........................................................4-7 Strategic Water Supply Plan or February 2013 -Vi- tI'uJ-*bIP6ck Figure Page 4.6 Historic Water Levels in Lake Meredith................................................................. 4-8 4.7 Roberts County Well Field.....................................................................................4-9 4.8 Bailey County Well Field......................................................................................4-11 4.9 Lake Alan Henry & John T. Montford Dam, 2007...............................................4-12 4.10 Lake Alan Henry Water Levels.............................................................................4-12 4.11 Current Water Supply Capacity Schematic...........................................................4-14 4.12 Proposed Transmission Line from PS 14 to PS 7.................................................4-15 4.13 100-Year Annual Water Demand vs. Current Water Supply ................................ 4-17 4.14 100-Year Peak Day Demand vs. Supply...............................................................4-19 5.1 Lubbock's Historic Per Capita Water Consumption ............................................... 5-2 5.2 Time Delay in Probable Demand vs. Conservation Demand ................................. 5-3 5.3 Per Capita Wastewater Usage Trend....................................................................... 5-4 5.4 Average Household Indoor Water Usage............................................................... 5-5 5.5 2012 Residential Water Bill Comparison for Major Texas Cities .......................... 5-6 5.6 City of Lubbock Water Loss History...................................................................... 5-7 5.7 Water Conservation Education Outreach................................................................ 5-9 6.1 Southeast Water Reclamation Plant (SEWRP) Layout ........................................... 6-4 6.2 Wastewater Effluent Pipeline System Schematic ................................................... 6-5 6.3 Reclaimed Water Demand Projections................................................................... 6-7 6.4 Net Reclaimed Water Availability.......................................................................... 6-9 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uf- ' ock February 2013 -vii- f Figure Page 6.5 North Fork Diversion at County Road 7300 Map.................................................6-11 6.6 Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP Map.................................................................... 6-16 6.7 Direct Potable Reuse to SWTP Map.....................................................................6-21 6.8 South Fork Discharge Map................................................................................... 6-26 6.9 North Fork Diversion to the Lake Alan Henry Pump Station Map ...................... 6-31 6.10 Reclaimed Water Aquifer Storage and Recovery Infrastructure ..........................6-36 7.1 Major Aquifers............................................................................................I............ 7-1 7.2 Minor Aquifers........................................................................................................7-2 7.3 Saturated Thickness of the Ogallala Aquifer.......................................................... 7-3 7.4 Saturated Thickness of the Ogallala Aquifer in Lubbock County .......................... 7-4 7.5 Location of Parks with Groundwater Wells............................................................ 7-5 7.6 Edwards -Trinity Aquifer.........................................................................................7-7 7.7 Cross -Section of the Southern High Plains............................................................. 7-8 7.8 Dockum Aquifer..................................................................................................... 7-9 7.9 Base of the Dockum Aquifer................................................................................ 7-10 7.10 Dockum TDS Concentrations, 1981-1996............................................................7-11 7.11 Seymour Aquifer...................................................................................................7-12 7.12 Groundwater Management Areas in Texas...........................................................7-13 7.13 Potential New Well Locations for RCWF Capacity Maintenance Strategy ......... 7-15 7.14 Potential New Well Locations for BCWF Capacity Maintenance Strategy ......... 7-20 7.15 RCWF — New Transmission Line to Aqueduct Strategy ...................................... 7-25 Strategic Water Supply Plan ��rr February 2013 -viii-IU�?IJO �ft am Figure Page 7.16 CRMWA to Aquifer Storage and Recovery Infrastructure...................................7-30 7.17 ASR System Schematic........................................................................................7-31 7.18 South Lubbock Well Field Infrastructure.............................................................7-36 7.19 Brackish Well Field Infrastructure........................................................................7-42 8.1 Major River Basins in Texas................................................................................... 8-1 8.2 River Basins in the Lubbock Region...................................................................... 8-2 8.3 Jim Bertram Lake System....................................................................................... 8-4 8.4 South Central & South Playa Lake Drainage Systems ........................................... 8-5 8.5 Lake Alan Henry Phase 2........................................................................................ 8-8 8.6 Jim Bertram Lake 7 Infrastructure........................................................................ 8-13 8.7 Post Reservoir Infrastructure................................................................................ 8-19 8.8 North Fork Scalping Operation Infrastructure...................................................... 8-24 9.1 Location of Proposed Jim Bertram Lake 8............................................................. 9-2 9.2 Jim Bertram Lakes Well Field................................................................................ 9-4 9.3 Linear Well Field — CRMWA Aqueduct................................................................ 9-5 9.4 Additional CRMWA Aqueduct............................................................................... 9-8 10.1 Supply Strategy Ranking and Available Water.................................................10-22 11.1 Package 1: Strategy Implementation Schedule.....................................................11-3 11.2 Package 1: Annual Supply vs. Annual Demand Projections ................................11-4 11.3 Package 1: Peak Supply vs. Peak Demand Projections........................................11-4 11.4 Package 2: Strategy Implementation Schedule.....................................................11-7 Strategic Water Supply Plan tItl 96) � February 2013 -ix- rcas List of '` ' Figure Page 11.5 Package 2: Annual Supply vs. Annual Demand Projections................................11-8 11.6 Package 2: Peak Supply vs. Peak Demand Projections........................................11-8 11.7 Package 3: Strategy Implementation Schedule...................................................11-11 11.8 Package 3: Annual Supply vs. Annual Demand Projections..............................11-12 11.9 Package 3: Peak Supply vs. Peak Demand Projections......................................11-12 11.10 Package 4: Strategy Implementation Schedule...................................................11-15 11.11 Package 4: Annual Supply vs. Annual Demand Projections..............................11-16 11.12 Package 4: Peak Supply vs. Peak Demand Projections......................................11-16 11.13 Package 5: Strategy Implementation Schedule...................................................11-19 11.14 Package 5: Annual Supply vs. Annual Demand Projections..............................11-20 11.15 Package 5: Peak Supply vs. Peak Demand Projections......................................11-20 12.1 Net Present Value Comparison for Supply Packages...........................................12-4 12.2 Comparison of Average Monthly Water Bill for Supply Packages ......................12-6 Strategic Water Supply Plan ciryoe February 2013-X-U�?b4G Table Page ES.1 Strategy Explanation............................................................................................ ES-5 ES.2 Comparison of Supply Packages.......................................................................... ES-9 2.1 Historic Peak Day Data........................................................................................... 2-6 4.1 Water Quality Comparison..................................................................................... 4-4 4.2 Demand, Supply, and Net Amounts for Annual vs. Peak.....................................4-20 5.1 Lubbock's Current Volume Rates........................................................................... 5-5 5.2 Summary of Conservation Strategies.................................................................... 5-17 6.1 North Fork Diversion at County Road 7300 Costs...............................................6-13 6.2 Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP Costs...................................................................6-18 6.3 Direct Potable Reuse to SWTP Costs................................................................... 6-23 6.4 South Fork Discharge Costs..................................................................................6-28 6.5 North Fork Diversion to the Lake Alan Henry Pump Station Costs ..................... 6-33 6.6 Reclaimed Water Aquifer Storage and Recovery Costs ....................................... 6-38 7.1 Potable Water Conserved Due at City Parks........................................................... 7-6 7.2 RCWF Capacity Maintenance Costs.....................................................................7-17 7.3 BCWF Capacity Maintenance Costs..................................................................... 7-22 7.4 RCWF — New Transmission Line to Aqueduct Costs .......................................... 7-27 7.5 CRMWA to Aquifer Storage and Recovery Costs ............................................... 7-33 7.6 South Lubbock Well Field Costs.......................................................................... 7-39 7.7 Brackish Well Field Costs..................................................................................... 7-44 8.1 Lake Alan Henry Phase 2 Costs............................................................................ 8-10 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u"b"96'ck February 2013 _Xi- TablesList of Table Page 8.2 Jim Bertram Lake 7 Strategy Costs....................................................................... 8-15 8.3 Post Reservoir Strategy Costs............................................................................... 8-21 8.4 North Fork Scalping Operation Costs................................................................... 8-26 10.1 Evaluation Criteria................................................................................................10-2 10.2 North Fork Diversion at County Road 7300 — Strategy Evaluation .....................10-3 10.3 Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP — Strategy Evaluation........................................10-4 10.4 Direct Potable Reuse to SWTP — Strategy Evaluation........................................10-5 10.5 North Fork Diversion to LAH Pump Station — Strategy Evaluation ....................10-6 10.6 Reclaimed Water Aquifer Storage & Recovery — Strategy Evaluation ................10-7 10.7 South Fork Discharge — Strategy Evaluation........................................................10-8 10.8 RCWF Capacity Maintenance — Strategy Evaluation...........................................10-9 10.9 BCWF Capacity Maintenance — Strategy Evaluation.........................................10-10 10.10 RCWF New Transmission Line to Aqueduct — Strategy Evaluation ..................10-11 10.11 CRMWA to Aquifer Storage & Recovery — Strategy Evaluation ......................10-12 10.12 South Lubbock Well Field — Strategy Evaluation...............................................10-13 10.13 Brackish Well Field — Strategy Evaluation.........................................................10-14 10.14 Lake Alan Henry Phase 2 — Strategy Evaluation................................................10-15 10.15 Jim Bertram Lake 7 — Strategy Evaluation.........................................................10-16 10.16 Post Reservoir — Strategy Evaluation..................................................................10-17 10.17 North Fork Scalping Operation — Strategy Evaluation.......................................10-18 10.18 Water Supply Strategy Ranking by Supply Type...............................................10-20 Strategic Water Supply Plan of February 2013 -xii- tI'uf--*bV6tYck Table Page 10.19 Water Supply Strategy Ranking from Highest to Lowest...................................10-21 11.1 Supply Package Schedule Comparison...............................................................11-24 12.1 Present Value Analysis — Assumed Rates Used in Calculations ..........................12-1 12.2 Inflated Project Cost Comparison.........................................................................12-3 12.3 Present Value Analysis Summary.........................................................................12-4 Strategic Water Supply Plan ciyo February 2013 -xiii- tl'uf-obb�Ck List of Acronyms & Abbreviations AAD Average Annual Day ac-ftlyr acre-feet per year ASR Aquifer Storage and Recovery AWD Average Water Demand AWWA American Water Works Association BCWF Bailey County (Sandhills) Well Field BNR Biological Nutrient Removal BRA Brazos River Authority CCEFN Consensus Criteria for Environmental Flow Needs CCL Candidate Contaminate List CIP Capital Improvement Plan CM Capacity Maintenance CR County Road CRMWA Canadian River Municipal Water Authority DBS&A Daniel B. Stephens & Associates DFCs Desired Future Conditions ECC Emerging Constituents of Concern EID Environmental Information Document EPS Effluent Pump Station FM Farm -to -Market Road GCD Groundwater Conservation District gpcd gallons per capita per day Strategic Water Supply Plan ciryof Lubbock February 2013 -xiv- ,���� List of Acronyms Abbreviations i gpf gallons per flush GMA Groundwater Management Area gpm gallons per minute HET high efficiency toilet HLAS Hancock Land Application Site hp Horse Power ICM Initial Capacity Maintenance IFAS Integrated Fixed Film Activated Sludge JBLS Jim Bertram Lake System kwh kilowatt hour LAH Lake Alan Henry LAHPS Lake Alan Henry Pump Station LLAS Lubbock Land Application Site mg million gallons mgd million gallons a day mg/L milligrams per liter MS4 Municipal Separate Storm Sewer System msl mean sea level mw megawatt North Fork North Fork Double Mountain Fork Brazos River NFD-LAHPS North Fork Diversion to Lake Alan Henry Pump Station NFSO North Fork Scalping Operation Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u6b'9toy k February 2013 -xv- ►cxns List of Acronyms tions t • _ • NTU Nephelometric Turbidity Units NWTP North Water Treatment Plant PDD Peak Day Demand PF Peaking Factor PPCPs Pharmaceuticals and Personal Care Products PS Pump Station psi pressure per square inch PPS Post Pump Station PV Present Value RCWF Roberts County (John C. Williams) Well Field RO Reverse Osmosis RWD Reclaimed Water Demand SCADA Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition SLPS Southland Pump Station SEWRP Southeast Water Reclamation Plant South Fork South Fork Double Mountain Fork Brazos River SWSP Strategic Water Supply Plan SWTP South Water Treatment Plant TAC Texas Administrative Code TCEQ Texas Commission on Environmental Quality TDS Total Dissolved Solids TPDES Texas Pollutant Discharge Elimination System Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u6b'bOCk February 2013 -xvi- sexes List of Acronymsi1 i TWDB Texas Water Development Board UV Ultraviolet USACE United States Army Corps of Engineers USEPA United States Environmental Protection Agency WAM Water Availability Model WCET Water Conservation Education Team WRMWD White River Municipal Water District µS/cm microSiemens per cm (units for conductivity) Strategic Water Supply Plan tltb'9o�fk February 2013 -xvii- Executive Summary The City of Lubbock's goal is to provide a "road map," plan, and guidance document for the development and implementation of its water supplies over the next 100 years. This document is intended to be updated frequently as conditions change. Historic Water Supplies Historically, Lubbock's water supplies have varied between groundwater and surface water. Some water supplies have been discontinued due to diminished water quality, reduction in the water availability, and/or more stringent drinking water regulations. Lubbock's historic water supply usage is depicted in Figure ES.1. 40,000 13.03 35,000 11.40 R 30,000 9.78 /V o 25,000 8.15 o 20,000 6.52 c o > = a 15,000 4.89 fo 2 3 10,000 3.26 > 5,000 1.63 W" 3 0 0.00 O O O ri N M O O O O O Iq to W n 00 O O O O1 O _f 01 01 01 ri r1 ri M M Cn 01 01 ri ri 1-4 1-4 ri ON O O ri N N Year -City of Lubbock Well Field -Shallowater Well Field -BaileyCounty Well Field -Lake Meredith -Roberts County Well Field Figure ES.1— Lubbock's Historic Water Supply Usage Strategic Water Supply Plan c;tyof February 2013 ES-1 tl'ulboCk The sources of Lubbock's water supplies have changed over time. Even within the last 20 years, the profile of Lubbock's water supply has changed dramatically as depicted in Figure ES.2. Because of the dynamic water supply situation, continuous planning is essential. 1992 Water Supply Bailey Count, Well Field, 13% 2012 Water Supply Lake � Henry, 2% Figure ES.2 — Water Supply Contribution Comparison for 1992 and 2012 Water Demand Projections The planning process included in this document begins with projecting the City's water demand over a 100-year timeframe. Water demand projections are the driving force behind water supply decisions, and are dependent upon population and per capita consumption estimates. In Section 2.0, three important annual water demand scenarios are developed as follows: Probable Annual Demand = Probable Growth x Probable Consumption Accelerated Annual Demand = Accelerated Growth x Probable Consumption Conservation Annual Demand = Probable Growth x Conservation Consumption Peak demand is also important to consider when planning for new water supplies. Satisfying peak demand can in some cases accelerate the need for a new water supply. Peak water demand scenarios are developed as follows: Strategic Water Supply Plan c� yyofFebruary 2013 ES-2t1'uf--Obbock Probable Peak Day Demand = Probable Average Day Demand x Probable Peak Factor Accelerated Peak Demand = Accelerated Average Day Demand x Probable Peak Factor Conservation Peak Demand = Probable Average Day Demand x Conservation Peak Factor Projections for these three scenarios for both Average Annual Demand and Peak Day Demand are depicted in Figure ES.3. 180,000 _ ___, —_ 161 160,000 143 140,000 125 120,000 -_®z®_�.___.���,���y.�������� 107 d 100,000 89 0 80,000 �,. ,. . i ._.� _ .. 71 a� 60,000 . _�; _. �._ _ •. _ _ 54 O 3 40,000 _ �.�. _._ �r .. _ r } _,' r __ 36 20,000 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 01 O `-i N M d' to lD n W 01 Ot M O O O O O O O O O O ei r1 a-i . q N N N N N N N N N N N N Year Historic Annual Probable Annual Accelerated Annual Conservation Annual .•.•.••.. Historic Peak Demand g * Probable Peak ®� ® Accelerated Peak a � * a s Conservation Peak Figure ES.3 — Average Annual Demand and Peak Day Demand Projections Current Water Supply Situation Lubbock's current water supply sources consist of Lake Alan Henry (LAH), Roberts County Well Field (RCWF), and the Bailey County Well Field (BCWF) as discussed in Section 4.0. A comparison of probable water demand (orange line) and the total annual current water supply is depicted in Figure ES-4. This figure indicates that by 2014, additional water supplies and/or aggressive water conservation (green line) is needed in order to preserve the BCWF for a peaking supply during the summer months. Without additional water supplies by 2025, Lubbock will not be capable of supplying the projected water demand even with aggressive conservation. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u-f-*b1P6�kFebruary 2013 ES-3 RCWF and BCWF are groundwater supplies. In the Ogallala Aquifer, groundwater production continues to decline over time if additional wells are not added periodically. LAH should be a renewable supply of water throughout the planning period as long as its yield does not change due to dramatic changes in the lake's environment. 100,000 _ . _ _ _ .._ ___r 32.6 ... 90,000 29.3 M 80,000 - - -- - _ _ _ - - 26.1 n. 70,000 - - - 22.8 0 u 60,00019.6 �. m 50,000 c E 0 40,000 t... 13.0 30,000 3 1 E 20,000 ____ _.___ __ _ _____�_ 6.5 �► 10,000 r 3.3 M M M M M M M M M M M ri N M � U1 W r` 00 M O 1-4 O O O O O O O O O rq e-I N N N N N N N N N N N Year I611M Lake Alan Henry Supply 1111111111111111111oberts County Well Field Supply Bailey County Well Field Supply Probable Demand -Accelerated Demand Conservation Demand Figure ESA —100-Year Annual Water Demand vs. Current Water Supply In order to meet the projected deficit created by an increasing demand and a decreasing supply of water, multiple supply strategies are developed and evaluated in this plan. Water Conservation Strategies Water conservation is considered the least expensive supply of water that we possess. It appears that the City could potentially delay future water supply projects by as much as 23 years by implementing a consistent and aggressive water conservation program. In Section 5.0, the conservation strategies discussed include public education and awareness, stringent seasonal watering restrictions, increased water volume rates, indoor water fixture replacement programs, landscape rebate program, and reducing unaccounted for water losses. It appears that some of the most effective water conservation programs include increasing water volume rates and stringent seasonal watering restrictions. Strategic Water Supply Plan fl'u"�b cityofFebruary 2013 ES-4bOCk Potential Water Supply Strategies Table ES.1 provides a short explanation of each of the 16 water supply strategies evaluated as part of this plan. These strategies, as described in Sections 6.0, 7.0 and 8.0, are categorized as reclaimed water, groundwater, or surface water, respectively. Table ES.1— Strategv Explanation North Fork Diversion Reclaimed water discharged at Outfall 001 on the North Fork will be ' at County Road 7300 re -captured 2.7 miles downstream and pumped to the South Water Treatment Plant (SWTP) for treatment. Direct Potable Reuse Reclaimed water will be treated and blended with other raw water supplies and to the SWTP pumped to the SWTP for further treatment. Direct Potable Reuse Reclaimed water will be treated and blended with other raw water supplies and to the NWTP pumped to the North Water Treatment Plant (NWTP) for further treatment. { North Fork Diversion Reclaimed water discharged at Outfall 001 will travel 67 miles downstream on to LAH Pump Station the North Fork to the diversion site where it will be pumped directly to the Lake Alan Henry (LAH) Pump Station. Reclaimed Water Reclaimed water will be treated and injected into the Ogallala Aquifer, to ASR recovered down gradient, and transported to the NWTP for treatment. The existing effluent pipeline to the Hancock Land Application Site will be South Fork Discharge extended to a tributary on the South Fork so that reclaimed water can be discharged and flow into LAH. RCWF —Capacity Maintenance New wells will be installed to maintain the capacity of the existing RCWF. BCWF — Capacity Maintenance F. New wells will be installed to maintain the capacity of the existing BCW RCWF New Construction of a second transmission line from the RCWF to the Canadian - Transmission Line River Municipal Water Authority (CRMWA) Aqueduct will almost double Lubbock's CRMWA allocation and fill the aqueduct to capacity. CRMWA to ASR Water received from CRMWA during winter months will be injected into the Ogallala Aquifer and recovered from the aquifer during summer months. South Lubbock Construction of numerous wells in south Lubbock - collect groundwater and k Well Field treat it near Pump Station 10 before transmission into the system. SWTP Brackish Brackish groundwater will be pumped from the Dockum Aquifer and treated at Well Field a desalination plant prior to blending with other water supplies at the SWTP. LAH Phase 2 Expansion of existing infrastructure will double the quantity of water that Lubbock can transport and treat from LAH. Jim Bertram Lake 7 A reservoir will be constructed on the North Fork upstream of Buffalo Springs Lake. Lake 7 water will be pumped to the SWTP for treatment. F Post Reservoir A reservoir will be constructed on the North Fork located east of Post in Garza County. Post Reservoir water will be pumped to the Post Pump Station. North Fork Scalping Stormwater on the North Fork will be captured and transported to LAH, Operation increasing the lake's firm yield. Strategic Water Supply Plan O YU�} pCk February 2013 ES-5 b ,tYs In order to evaluate the strategies relative to one another, each strategy has been ranked on a scale from 1 (low) to 5 (high) in 10 different categories. Each category is weighted either 1.0 or 0.5, depending on the category's importance. The range of possible total scores is 0 to 40. Section 10.0 describes the ranking process in detail. Figure ES.5 summarizes the results of the evaluation process. Combinations of supply strategies in conjunction with the various demand projections were used to develop five different supply packages that can potentially provide the City with water for the 100-year planning period. In all supply packages, the BCWF and LAH play an important role in providing Lubbock with its peaking capacity over the planning period. In order to preserve the BCWF, efforts should be made to reduce the annual usage from this source. Many strategies used in these supply packages are interchangeable with other strategies. Just because a strategy is not used in one of these examples, does not mean the strategy may not prove to be a more appropriate strategy in the future. Section 11 describes these supply packages in greater detail. The five different supply packages developed are described below. Supply Package 1— Baseline This supply package is considered a baseline package that consists of the following supply strategies that will be necessary to meet the Probable Demand over the next 100 years: BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance, BCWF Capacity Maintenance, LAH Phase 2, RCWF New Transmission Line, RCWF Capacity Maintenance, and Direct Potable Reuse at the North Water Treatment Plant. Supply Package 2 — LAH Delayed This supply package is similar to Package 1 except it delays the implementation of LAH Phase 2 from 2017 until 2031. In addition, this strategy uses an indirect reuse strategy instead of direct reuse of reclaimed water. This package consists of the following supply strategies that will be necessary to meet the Probable Demand over the next 100 years: BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance, BCWF Capacity Maintenance, LAH Phase 2, RCWF New Transmission Line, RCWF Capacity Maintenance, and North Fork Diversion at CR 7300. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u'r--4bVtoy Ck February 2013 ES-6 � Package 3 — RCWF Line Delayed This supply package is similar to Package 1 except it delays the implementation of the RCWF New Transmission Line from 2025 until 2035. In addition, this package accelerates the implementation of direct reuse of reclaimed water from 2054 to 2020. This package consists of the following supply strategies that will be necessary to meet the Probable Demand over the next 100 years: BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance, BCWF Capacity Maintenance, LAH Phase 2, RCWF New Transmission Line, RCWF Capacity Maintenance, and Direct Potable Reuse at the North Water Treatment Plant. Supply Package 4 — Conservation This supply package is different from Packages 1, 2, and 3 because its objective is to meet the Conservation Demand projections described in Section 2. Since the Conservation Demand projections are less than the Probable Demand projections used in the first three packages, the implementation of the RCWF New Transmission Line is delayed indefinitely. Strategies used in Supply Package 4 include: BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance, BCWF Capacity Maintenance, LAH Phase 2, RCWF Capacity Maintenance, and Direct Potable Reuse at the North Water Treatment Plant. Package 5 — Growth This supply package is different from Packages 1, 2, and 3 because its objective is to meet the Accelerated Growth Demand projections described in Section 2. Since the Accelerated Growth Demand projections are higher than the Probable Demand projections used in the first three packages, more strategies are needed in Supply Package 5. Strategies used in this package include: BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance, BCWF Capacity Maintenance, LAH Phase 2, RCWF New Transmission Line, RCWF Capacity Maintenance, Direct Potable Reuse at the North Water Treatment Plant, Jim Bertram Lake 7, North Fork Scalping Operation, and Brackish Well Field at the South Water Treatment Plant. Table ES.2 compares strategy timelines and implementation dates for each of the five supply packages discussed. Strategic Water Supply Plan c�tyof February 2013 ES-7 tltf-ob'bock RCWF Capacity Maintenance LAH Phase 2 BCWF Capacity Maintenance RCWF - New Transmission Line North Fork Diversion atCR 7300 Direct Potable Reuse - NWTP Direct Potable Reuse- SWTP South Fork Discharge North Fork Diversion to LAH PS Jim Bertram Lake 7 Reclaimed WaterASR CRM WA to ASR Post Reservoir North Fork Scalping Operation South Lubbock Well Field Brackish Well Field Weighted Score 0 8 16 24 32 40 1,120 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 Volume (ac-ft/yr) ■ Incremental Capacity Increase(ac-ft/yr) ■Weighted Score Figure ES.5 — Supply Strategies Sorted by Rank (Highest to Lowest) Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u-f'-*W6'Y�fkFebruary 2013 ES-S Table ES.2 — Comparison of Supply Packages Supply Package 1 Baseline Supply Package 2 LAH Delayed Supply Package 3 RCWF Delayed Supply Package Conservation Supply Package 5 Accel. Growth 2013 2013: BCWF - ICM 2017: LAH Phase 2 2013: BCWF - ICM 2017: BCWF CM-1 2013: BCWF - ICM 2017: LAH Phase 2 2020: Direct Reuse 2013: BCWF - ICM 2017: LAH Phase 2 2020: Direct Reuse 2013: BCWF - ICM 2017: LAH Phase 2 2020: Direct Reuse 2023 2023: BCWF CM-1 2025: RCWF New Transmission Line 2023: BCWF CM-2 2025: RCWF New Transmission Line 2031: LAH Phase 2 2023: BCWF CM-1 2025: RCWF CM-1 2023: BCWF CM-1 2025: RCWF CM-1 2023: BCWF CM-1 2025: RCWF New Transmission Line 2033 2033: BCWF CM-2 2035: RCWF New Transmission Line 2043 2053 2054: Direct Reuse 2055: RCWF CM-1 2054: North Fork Diversion at CR 7300 2055: RCWF CM-1 2055: RCWF CM-2 2055: North Fork Scalping Operation 2055: RCWF CM-2 2063 2065: RCWF CM-2 2063: BCWF CM-2 2073 2079: Jim Bertram Lake 7 2083 2085: RCWF CM-2 2085: RCWF CM-2 2085: RCWF CM-3 2085: RCWF CM-3 2093 2095: RCWF CM-3 2098: Brackish Well Field 2103 2103: BCWF CM-3 2113 Note: ICM = Initial Capacity Maintenance, CM-1 = Capacity Maintenance-1, CM-2 = Capacity Maintenance-2, etc. Strategic Water Supply Plan tlt'--b'WotyO if February 2013 ES-9 ,,,, Financial Impact to Water Rates The financial impact of each of the five strategy packages has been evaluated for the short- term planning period of 12-years. The results of this evaluation are detailed in Section 12.0 and summarized below. Figure ES.6 shows the net present value for each of the five supply packages. As expected, Supply Package 4 is the least expensive alternative since it requires the fewest water supply strategies to meet the aggressive Conservation Demand projections. Conversely, Supply Package 5 is the most expensive alternative since it requires the implementation of the most water supply strategies in order to meet the Accelerated Demand projections. Figure ES.6 — Net Present Value Comparison of Supply Packages Supply Packages 1, 2, and 3 are all based on satisfying the Probable Demand projections. Supply Package 2 is less expensive than Supply Packages 1 and 3 for several reasons. This package draws more heavily upon the existing BCWF supply for a longer period of time. Heavy usage of the BCWF may not be sustainable. Package 1 implements LAH Phase 2 sooner in order to relieve BCWF. Package 3 implements direct reuse of reclaimed water sooner in order to relieve BCWF. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uf-.*bVoCk February 2013 ES-10 ,tx.: In order to provide information for water rate planning, the City's Finance Department created a financial spreadsheet model for the Water Fund that extends over the 12 year short-term planning period. Models were developed for all five supply packages discussed in Section 11.0. In each model, volume rates increase more dramatically during the first part of the modeling period, since the base rates are reduced in FY 2013, FY 2014, and FY 2015. This transition was initiated by the City Council to promote additional water conservation. Financial models for each supply package are included in Appendix E. Key drivers of these financial models include debt service, appropriable net asset levels, a RCWF reserve fund, and increases to the volume and/or base rates. The financial models are used to estimate how much water rates will increase over the next 12 years in order to fund each of the supply packages. Figure ES.7 compares a 3/4-inch meter residential monthly water bill at 2013 water rates (7,000 gallons usage) with projected water bills for each supply package in 2025. An average water bill is estimated to increase from $49.00 per month to at least $63.73 per month. Figure ES.7 — Comparison of Average Monthly Water Bill for Supply Packages Strategic Water Supply Plan city of February 2013 ES-11 Lubbock KIM The City of Lubbock's City Council approved an initial Strategic Water Supply Plan (SWSP) in July 2007. The goal of the Water Resources Department is to update the Plan every five years in order to keep planning information as current as possible. Prior to the 2007 Plan, other water planning documents were prepared as needed by the City or by consultants hired by the City. Excerpts from these documents are referenced in the 2007 Plans and include: • 2004 City of Lubbock Strategic Water Plan, Water Texas • 2001 City of Lubbock Water Supply Evaluation, Black & Veatch • 1999 City of Lubbock 50-Year Water Plan, Water Staff • 1992 Comprehensive Groundwater Management Study for the City of Lubbock, Geraghty & Miller, Inc. • 1975 Plan for Additional Water Supply- Lubbock, Texas, Freese & Nichols • 1971 Report on Water Supply — Lubbock, Texas, Freese, Nichols & Endress • 1968 Interim Report on Water Supply — Lubbock, Texas, Freese, Nichols & Endress In addition to Lubbock's planning efforts, the State of Texas passed legislation in 1999 which required the creation of 16 Regional Water Planning Areas across the State. Regional Water Planning Groups were appointed for each area and are tasked with developing water supply plans for their respective areas. Lubbock is located within the Llano Estacado (Region O) Water Planning Area as depicted in Figure 1.1, and is currently represented by two City staff on the Region O Water Planning Group. The first regional plans were completed in 2001 with subsequent updates to the plans in 2006 and 2011. All of the regional plans are incorporated into the State Water Plan which is released one year later (i.e. 2002, 2007, 2012). The Region O Plan includes water management strategies for Lubbock and surrounding communities as well as for agriculture, mining, and industry. Strategic Water Supply Plan city of February 2013 1-1 tl'ul-bbock irado Figure 1.1— Regional Planning Areas (Map courtesy of Texas Water Development Board) 1.2 Purpose The City of Lubbock's goal is to continuously refine and implement its 100-year strategic water supply plan. This goal is essential in order to ensure that a sufficient water supply is available at the time that it is needed. The purpose of this Plan is to provide the framework for the City to develop sustainable water supply sources that can be implemented within appropriate time frames and in the most cost efficient manner. This Plan will also be utilized to support the City's position in the on -going regional water planning process. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u6b" oCk February 2013 1-2 ,k ' I I The following steps are involved in the water supply planning process: Step 1 — Estimate Water Demand Step 2 — Calculate Long -Term Yield of Current Water Supplies Step 3 — Determine when Water Deficits Begin to Occur Step 4 — Evaluate the Role of Water Conservation Step 5 — Identify New Water Supply Strategies Step 6 — Evaluate and Rank New Water Supply Strategies Step 7 — Create Supply Packages to Satisfy Future Needs Step 8 — Calculate Financial Impact to Water Rates Step 9 — Plan Implementation Step 10 — Continuously Analyze and Refine Plan This Plan follows Steps 1 through 8. Steps 9 and 10 are dynamic steps that will evolve year by year. The planning horizon in this document includes the next 100 years. Projections have been made with the following three planning periods in mind: Short Range Planning Medium Range Planning Long Range Planning 12 years 2013 — 2025 50 years 2026 — 2063 100 years 2064 — 2113 In order to meet the projected deficit created by an increasing demand and a decreasing supply of water, multiple supply strategies are developed and evaluated in this plan. Potential water conservation strategies with associated costs are evaluated. In addition, potential water supply strategies are grouped into three categories: reclaimed water, groundwater, and surface water. These strategies include estimated volumes of available water and costs to implement each strategy. Sixteen water supply strategies are evaluated, ranked, and subsequently packaged to meet future needs. Various strategies are placed into five supply packages to demonstrate ways to meet Conservation, Probable, and Accelerated Demand scenarios. Three of the supply packages provide examples of how to meet the Probable Demand projections. The other two packages provide examples of how to meet the Conservation Demand and Accelerated Demand. Supply packages are presented for planning purposes only. Many supply strategies are interchangeable. The attractiveness of each strategy may change over Strategic Water Supply Plan fl'u4b'V�cf�February 2013 1-3 time. Implementation schedules may change based on a variety of unpredictable variables including climate conditions, population, per capita consumption, industry need, changes in regulatory environments, etc. Each package of strategies includes a net present value financial analysis. In addition, a financial model has been created for each package that estimates the potential impact to water rates over the next 12 years. 1 2007 Strategic Water Supply Plan for the City of Lubbock, Section 4.0. 2 Texas Water Development Board. 2002 State Water Plan. Volume 3: Fig. 4-1. Strategic Water Supply Plan eityof February 2013 1-4 lbbty Water2.0 ' i Projections Water demand projections are the driving force behind water supply decisions, and are dependent upon population and per capita consumption estimates. In this section, the 2013 Plan projections are compared with former projections from the City's 2007 Strategic Water Supply P1ani and the 2011 Llano Estacado (Region O) Regional Water Plan.2 It is important to note that the 2011 Region O Water Plan only extends to the year 2060, and the City's 2007 Plan extends to 2105 while the 2013 Plan extends to 2113. Where applicable, at least 30 years of historic data are also provided to place future projections into the appropriate context. , The population projections in this 2013 Plan are based on the 2010 Federal Census data3 and the City Planning Department's historical population information.4 This Plan projects population for the following four communities that receive water from the City of Lubbock Water System (2010 Census populations included): • City of Lubbock (229,573 people) • City of Shallowater (2,484 people) • Town of Ransom Canyon (1,096 people) • Buffalo Springs Lake (453 people) The smaller communities make up less than 2% of Lubbock's total population, which is well within the margin of error for population projections. Two population scenarios are presented in this Plan. These scenarios are described below: Probable Growth — This scenario depicts the most likely scenario for population growth in the City and closely corresponds to the City Planning Department's projections for the first 20 years. The Probable Growth projection consists of a 1.20% per year growth rate through 2033. After this period, the growth rate drops to 0.80% per year and declines 0.10% every decade until 2074, at which point it remains constant at 0.40% per year growth. Strategic Water Supply Plan toy f February 2013 2-1 tltlbock Accelerated Growth — This scenario depicts what would occur if the City experiences accelerated growth over the next 20 years. The Accelerated Growth projection starts at 1.20% per year and increases by 0.10% per year until it reaches a 1.7% per year growth rate that remains constant through 2033. After 2033, the growth rate declines to 1.20% per year for a decade, 1.00% per year for the following decade, and then declines 0.10% per decade from 2054 through 2093. For the last two decades, the growth rate declines by 0.15% per decade. Previous population projections from the 2007 Strategic Water Supply Plan and the 2011 Region O Water Plan were based on 2000 Federal Census data and Texas Water Development Board (TWDB) projections. Therefore, both of these documents contain projections that are not as consistent with the City's 2013 Plan as they would have been if the 2010 Census data had been used. Figure 2.1 compares the population projections from these three planning documents. Historic and projected population tables are included in Appendix A-1 and A-2, respectively. 800,000 700,000 600,000 C 500,000 0 3400,000 0. 0 a 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Q1 01 01 a1 Ot Ot 01 01 01 O O O O O O O O O O Year Historic Population Accelerated Population 2007 SWSP Medium Population Probable Population 2011 Region O Plan Population 2007 SWSP High Population Figure 2.1 - Population Projections Strategic Water Supply Plan ]UbbpCk February 2013 2-2 ,EA The Probable Growth scenario for this 2013 Plan projects the following populations for the City of Lubbock and three customer cities in the future: • 277,586 in the year 2025 • 376,463 in the year 2063 • 464,228 in the year 2113 The Region O Water Planning Group and the State of Texas Water Conservation Task Force have established realistic municipal per capita consumption goals, urging cities to implement measures that lower their per capita consumption each year. The Region O recommended target for municipal consumption is 172 gallons per capita per day (gpcd).5 The Water Conservation Task Force has recommended a per capita consumption goal of 140 gpcd.6 In this 2013 Plan, two per capita consumption scenarios were developed. Each meet the more stringent goal of 140 gpcd set by the Water Conservation Task Force, but the scenarios differ in terms of the time in which this is accomplished. The two consumption scenarios are described below. Probable Consumption — This scenario starts at 178 gpcd (the per capita consumption from 2011, the driest year on record) and declines 0.54% per year until 2033, reaching a gpcd of 160. Over the next 80 years, the per capita consumption declines at a slower rate, ending at 140 gpcd in 2113. Conservation Consumption — This scenario demonstrates the effect on water demand if the City creates and maintains a more aggressive water conservation program. The Conservation Consumption scenario starts at 160 gpcd (Lubbock's ten year average per capita consumption). This scenario declines to 150 gpcd in 2015 and 146 gpcd in 2020, meeting the goals set forth in the City of Lubbock's 2010 Water Conservation Plana By 2033, the gpcd reaches 140. After this period, the per capita consumption declines at a slower rate, ending at 120 gpcd in 2113. Strategic Water Supply Plan �►tyof February2013 2_3 tl'u4b' bOCk TE7tA5 A comparison of these two scenarios with the 2011 Region O Plan and the City's 2007 Plan is depicted in Figure 2.2. Historic and projected per capita consumption tables are included in Appendix A-1 and A-3 respectively. Figure 2.2 - Per Capita Water Consumption 2.3 Annual Water Demand Lubbock's Annual Water Demand (AWD) projections consist of three scenarios which were developed by using different combinations of the two population scenarios described in Section 2.1 and the two per capita consumption scenarios described in Section 2.2. The AWD scenarios are as follows. Probable Demand — (Probable Growth x Probable Consumption) — This scenario is the most likely projection since it includes probable population and probable consumption projections. Accelerated Demand — (Accelerated Growth x Probable Consumption) — This scenario provides for a water demand projection that reflects an accelerated population growth combined with probable consumption. Strategic Water Supply Plan tI'uf-`*bVtoy k February 2013 2-4 r�Y�f Conservation Demand — (Probable Growth x Conservation Consumption) — This scenario is included to provide an understanding of the impact that aggressive water conservation efforts may have on the water demand. A comparison of this Plan's AWD to the 2011 Region O Plan and the City's 2007 Plan is depicted in Figure 2.3. Historic and projected AWD tables are included in Appendix A-1 and A-3 respectively. 180,000 _ _ . _ _ . _ _ _ _ `. _ _ . _ 58.7 160,000 _ _ i 52.1 >. - 140,000 - i I - . ! +, -� i 45.6 N 120,000 f 39.1 1 ' 100,000 � _ 32.6 0 c N 80,000 26.1 yE G i 60,000 - _- 19.6 3 w 40,000 I 13.0 E 20,000 _. i _ 6.5 0 0.0 3 0 0 0 0 0 00 Ql O r-I N M 0 0 d' to 0 0 0 0 0 0 l0 1, 00 Q1 O M 01 O O O O ci r-I N N N N O O N N O O O O •-1 . I N N N N N N Year -Historic Demand •Probable Demand -Accelerated Demand Conservation Demand 2007 SWSP Medium Demand 2007 SWSP High Demand 2011 Region O Plan Demand Figure 2.3 - Annual Water Demand Projections The 2013 Plan's Probable Demand curve is similar to the 2007 Plan's Medium Demand curve. However, the 2013 Accelerated Demand curve increases more gradually than the 2007 High Demand curve. The 2011 Region O demand curve increases more gradually than both the 2013 Plan's Probable and Accelerated Demand curves. 2.4 Peak Day Water Demand Peak Day Demand (PDD) must be considered when designing water system infrastructure. The purpose of evaluating the PDD in this Plan is to determine whether existing and future water supplies can be delivered at PDD rates. The PDD is based on the AWD discussed in Section 2.3. Projections for PDD are calculated as follows: Strategic Water Supply Plan c►yoFebruary 2013 2-stl'uf--bboCk Average Annual Day (AAD) in million gallons (mg) = AWD / 365 days PDD in mg = AAD x Peaking Factor (PF) The PF is a constant determined using historical trend data. Table 2.1 shows highlighted years for Lubbock's historic PDD, ADD, and PF. Appendix A-1 includes a more comprehensive table of historical peaking factors. Table 2.1- Historic Peak Day Data Year DD Historic Pistoric (mg) H AAD (mg) Historic PF Historic Reference 1980 70.85 35.89 1.97 1985 65.18 32.41 2.01 1990 79.00 35.79 2.21 1995 79.54 1 41.32 1.92 2000 67.82 1 39.51 1.72 Last 10 Years 2003 73.61 38.95 1.89 2004 59.94 33.05 1.81 2005 62.54 35.09 1.78 2006 68.77 37.38 1.84 2007 47.30 28.97 1.79 2008 57.18 31.76 1.80 2009 54.23 31.63 1.71 2010 50.40 32.38 1.56 2011 64.12 41.25 1.55 2012 58.07 1 36.23 1.60 Note that PDD, AAD, and PF vary from year to year due to variation in annual precipitation patterns and temperature fluctuations. For planning purposes, the following two peaking factors have been developed. Probable PF - A common rule of thumb employed in the water planning industry is to assume a PF of 2.0. However, over the last 10 years, the City of Lubbock's PF has been much lower than 2.0. Therefore, a PF of 1.8 is used in this Plan. This number is derived from the City's 10-year average Strategic Water Supply Plan c toy of February 2013 2-6 tl'u4'�bbck PF. This means that the City is projecting that the amount of water used on a peak day will be 1.8 times higher than on an "average" day. Conservation PF — The Conservation PF shows the reduction in PDD that may be achieved if the City adopts more aggressive water conservation policies. The conservation PF begins at 1.8 (the average PF from the previous 10 years) and then decreases from 1.8 to 1.6 over the 100-year planning period. These two peaking factors were used to create three PDD scenarios. The Probable PF was combined with the Probable AWD to produce the Probable PDD and with the Accelerated AVWD to produce the Accelerated PDD. The Conservation PF was multiplied by the Conservation AWD to produce the Conservation PDD. A comparison of this Plan's PDD to the City's 2007 Plan is provided in Figure 2.4 (see Appendix A-1 and A-4). The 2011 Region O Plan does not include PDD information. 275 , 250 — 225 ?a e 200 c 175 t 150 v C 125 E100 75 0 50 Y d a 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 � M M o 0 a-i .-i N N 0 0 0 0 0 N N N N N 0 0 0 N N N N N Year Historic Peak —Probable Peak Accelerated Peak —Conservation Peak 2007 SWSP Medium Peak 2007 SWSP High Peak Figure 2.4 - Peak Day Demands The 2013 Plan's Probable PDD curve is similar to the 2007 Plan's Medium PDD curve. The 2013 Plan's Accelerated PDD curve increases more gradually than the 2007 Plan's High PDD. Strategic Water Supply Plan cf yyof tl'uflbock February 2013 2-7 1E7 AS 1 Strategic Water Supply Plan. City of Lubbock. July 2007: section 3a. 2 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: 2-8, 2-44. 3 State & County QuickFacts. U.S. Census Bureau. Address: http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/48/4845000.html. 4 The City of Lubbock Planning Department projects a 1.12% annual growth rate from 2010-2040. The Planning Department has not generated population projections beyond 2040. 5 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: 4-110. 6 Texas Water Development Board Special Report: Report to the 79t" Legislature. Water Conservation Implementation Task Force. Austin, TX. November 2004: 31-33. 7 2010 Water Use Management Plan — Water Conservation Plan and Drought and Emergency Contingency Plan. City of Lubbock. 2010: Ordinance No. 2010-00055, section 2.4. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u41V6'YCk February 2013 2-8 ,tag 3.0 Decommissioned Water Supplies Water supplies are dynamic natural resources. Over a period of decades, a once productive and cost effective water supply can become less desirable for a variety of reasons. Undesirable changes that can occur in a water supply include decreases in water quality, a decline in the sustainable yield, a depletion of the source of water, or a shift in the regulations governing water. Figure 3.1 depicts the City's historic water supply usage since the establishment of the City in 1911. 40,000 13.03 35,000 Itm 11.40 30,000 9.78 _o �► 25,000 8.15 a, 0 3 20,000 6.52 0 > 15,000 4.89 Zo 1` 3 10,000 3.26 3 > 5,000 1.63 a, 3 0 0.00 O O O O a4 N rn ct O O O O Ln to T, 00 O O O M O e-4 G1 M M 01 M Cn Cn M ei M O O Year —City of Lubbock Well Field —Shallowater Well Field —BaileyCounty Well Field —Lake Meredith —Roberts County Well Field Figure 3.1— Lubbock's Historic Water Supply Usage As shown on the graph, two of the City's past water supplies (City and Shallowater Well Fields) were used for a period of time and later decommissioned. A brief history of each of these decommissioned supplies is presented in this section. Strategic Water Supply Plan fI'uf__4b bc;ock yyof February 2013 3_1 TF{AS 3.1 City of Lubbock Well Field When the first municipal water system was constructed for the City in 1911, it consisted of one well installed at a depth of 206 feet near the current intersection of 51, Street and Avenue J. From 1911 to 1954, the City owned 5.0 acres of water rights in and adjacent to the city limits. The City gradually expanded the number of wells it used. Groundwater pumped from well fields near the City was the only water supply for the City until the late 1950s when the Shallowater and Bailey County (Sandhills) Well Fields began to be used. Local well fields owned and operated by the City included the Northeast Well Field, the Airport Well Field, Pump Station #3 Well Field, Pump Station #6 Well Field, and Pump Station #7 Well Field. Figure 3.2 shows the location of the wells in the City Well Field. Figure 3.2 — City Well Field Locations At its peak, the City Well Field included 61 wells. In the mid-1950s, the City began reducing the City Well Field production as the Shallowater Well Field and subsequently the Bailey County Well Field became operational. The City discontinued the use of the City Well Field when Lake Meredith water became available in 1968. The only local wells that were in operating condition and could potentially produce water for the City in the Strategic Water Supply Plan tlh]Po�fjSFebruary 2013 3-2 1990s were the eight wells associated with Pump Station #6. At that time, it was estimated the combined production of these wells was 8 million gallons per day (mgd).1 The City eventually decided to decommission the City Well Field due to changes in the water quality of the groundwater under the City as Lubbock became more populated and urban sources of contamination impacted the groundwater supply. In addition, some of the naturally occurring minerals (such as fluoride) could not meet the increasingly stringent water quality standards set by regulatory agencies. These local wells that were once used for potable purposes are no longer part of the City's water supply. By 2012, all of the inactive City potable water supply wells had been plugged and abandoned. In 1953, the City purchased 2,060 acres of water rights in Hockley and Lubbock counties, about 12 miles northwest of the City of Lubbock, and subsequently constructed the Shallowater Well Field.2 The well field was used by the City from 1955 until 1968 when Lake Meredith became the main source of drinking water for the City. It appears that the City stopped using the Shallowater Well Field in the 1960s due to water quality issues. Furthermore, the production capacity of the Ogallala Aquifer near the well field had declined rapidly due to heavy agricultural irrigation practices surrounding the well field over the past century. The Shallowater Well Field consists of 17 wells which cover the entire water rights acreage. The well field location and infrastructure are depicted in Figure 3.3. In 2011, City staff evaluated whether the well field should be rehabilitated or decommissioned. Staff recommended that the well field be decommissioned.3 This recommendation was made for the following reasons: • Production capacity of the Shallowater Well Field is poor (average well capacity is 20 gpm); • Ogallala Aquifer groundwater underlying the well field is of poor quality; and • Existing water system infrastructure in the well field is in very poor condition. Strategic Water Supply Plan tltVob February 2013 3-3 ,E S Figure 3.3 — Shallowater Well Field It was estimated that it could cost more than $8,000,000 to replace all of the wells and upgrade the related infrastructure to meet current regulatory standards. These estimates did not include the cost of advanced water treatment facilities to correct water quality problems. Overall, the cost per recoverable acre-foot of groundwater for the Shallowater Well Field was determined to be at least seven times more expensive than expansions associated with the Roberts County (John C. Williams) and Bailey County (Sandhills) Well Fields. 1 Comprehensive Groundwater Management Study for the City of Lubbock. Geraghty & Miller, Inc. April 1992: Vol. 1, 57. 2 City of Lubbock Water Advisory Commission; Orientation Manual. September 18, 2003. 3 Shallowater Well Field Decommissioning Evaluation Memorandum. April 8, 2011. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'uf__*bboFebruary 2013 3-4,«as 4.0 Current Water Supplies The City of Lubbock has relied upon both surface and groundwater for over 45 years. During this time, the City's main water supplies have consisted of the following sources: • Canadian River Municipal Water Authority (CRMWA) o Lake Meredith o Roberts County Well Field (RCWF) • Bailey County Well Field (BCWF) • Lake Alan Henry (LAH) Prior to 1968, groundwater withdrawals from the BCWF and local well fields were sufficient to meet the City's total water demand. In 1968, with the availability of surface water from Lake Meredith, groundwater withdrawals were reduced substantially. By the 1980s, Lake Meredith provided up to 90% of the City's water demand. However, Lake Meredith's yield began declining. By the end of 2001, groundwater was being used to replace a portion of Lake Meredith's supply. By September 2011, Lake Meredith's water levels had fallen too low for CRMWA's member cities to continue using water from the reservoir. From the fall of 2011 until the fall of 2012, the City met its water demand with 100% groundwater from the RCWF and the BCWF. Water from LAH became available in the fall of 2012. Phase 1 of LAH's water supply infrastructure is expected to provide approximately 17% of the City's annual supply starting in 2013. Lubbock's water supplies are constantly changing over time. Within the last 20 years, the profile of Lubbock's water supply has changed dramatically, as depicted in Figure 4.1. In 1992, Lubbock received 87% of its water supply from Lake Meredith, and the RCWF did not exist. By 2012, Lake Meredith was no longer a supply, and RCWF provided 58% of Lubbock's water supply. As a result of the dynamic water supply situation, continuous planning is essential. Figure 4.2 includes a map depicting the locations of the City's current water supplies. Strategic Water Supply Plan Of February 2013 4-1 tIt-Ob'Wock texas 1992 Water Supply f Bailey County Well Field, 13% 2002 Water Supply Bailey County G Well Field, 20% 2012 Water Supply Lake Alan Henry, 2% Figure 4.1— Water Supply Contribution Comparison for 1992, 2002, and 2012 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl �j�j�OC February 2013 4-2 Tex►: (_ CRMIVATransmlssion j — Pipeline � Lake -# ! I Meredith 87 _--� - ' Roberts Countyti ! Well Field ' l 'a do • --�--�__. �� CRMWA Aqueduct Ajt 385 �- 7 — ., ,._TO Bailey County' Well Field- i BCWF Treated Water Pipeline jLj 8A �� LAH Water Raw 'pellne �- r Lake Pi_ 20 Mites �� Alan Henry — Figure 4.2 - Current Water Supply Location Map As depicted in Figure 4.2, Lubbock's closest existing water supply source is Lake Alan Henry which is over 60 miles southeast of Lubbock. The RCWF is Lubbock's most distant water supply source, located over 150 miles northeast of Lubbock. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4lUO�fA February 2013 4-3 Table 4.1 compares the water quality for each of Lubbock's current water supplies. In general, the groundwater quality in Roberts County is comparable to the City's groundwater resources in Bailey County and the City's surface water resource at LAH. Lake Meredith water quality has degraded significantly as the lake's volume of water has been depleted over the past decade. Table 4.1 Water Quality Comparison Selected Water Quality Parameters Lake Alan HenryA Lake B Meredith BCWF c D RCWF pH 7.8 8.5 7.0 7.8 Total Alkalinity (mg/L)E 167 196 232 192 Turbidity (NTU) F 3.60 7.15 0.80 1.22 Conductivity (uS/cm)G 1,160 4,588 600 1,214 Total Dissolved Solids (mg/L) 633 2,935 319 715 Fluoride (mg/L) 1.10 0.80 1.50 0.75 Chloride (mg/L) 234 1,114 20 219 Nitrate (mg/L) 0.06 0.34 1.33 1.64 Sulfate (mg/L) 84 624 41 84 Potassium (mg/L) 4.6 13.7 5.7 6.2 Sodium (mg/L) 210 934 33 171 Calcium (mg/L) 27.2 100.0 56.8 71.6 Magnesium (mg/L) 8.3 1 94.7 1 18.1 1 33.6 A- Analytical results extracted from the City of Lubbock's 2010 Water Quality Report. B- Analytical results provided by Rod Goodwin, CRMWA. Sample collected from intake tower 7-7-2011. C- Analytical results extracted from the City of Lubbock's 2010 Water Quality Report. D- Analytical results provided by Rod Goodwin, CRMWA. Composite sample for all Phases collected 7-5-2011. E- mg/L = milligrams per liter F- NTU = Nephelometric Turbidity Units G- µS/cm = microSiemens per cm The water in the Ogallala Aquifer underlying CRMWA's existing well field in Roberts County becomes saltier with depth. Therefore, total dissolved solids (TDS), chloride, and sodium are higher than the BCWF. Overall, Lubbock's sources of water are generally compatible with one another. Strategic Water Supply Plan ofFebruary 2013 4-4tl'u41'96YCk 4.1 Canadian River Municipal Water Authority CRMWA supplies raw water to eleven member cities which have a combined population of over 500,000 people in the Texas Panhandle and South Plains. The water supply is conveyed via a 358-mile aqueduct system. CRMWA was created by the Texas Legislature in 1953 to provide a source of municipal and industrial water for its member cities. Figure 4.3 depicts the current groundwater allocation of CRMWA water between the member cities. Plainview Pampa 3.691 % Slaton 3.600 /0 ( 1.576% Tahoka O'Donnell 1, 0.460% 0.278% , Lubbock — Amarillo 37.058% ;, 40.621 % Levelland Borger 2.790% 5.549% Lamesa Brownfield 2.179% 2.198% Figure 4.3 - Current CRMWA Member City Allocations The CRMWA headquarters is located at Sanford Dam about 37 miles northeast of Amarillo, Texas. Originally, CRMWA was organized to operate Lake Meredith, which was built and financed by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation as part of the Canadian River Project. Later, the RCWF was constructed to supplement the lake supply. Lake Meredith When construction began on Lake Meredith in 1962, initial estimates placed the firm yield of the Lake at 103,000 acre-feet per year (ac-ft/yr). After the Sanford Dam was completed in 1965, water began being stored in Lake Meredith. In 1968, CRMWA began delivering water to member cities. Lubbock's initial allocation was 38,169 ac-ft (37.058%). Later studies indicated that the firm yield of the lake was only 76,000 ac-ft/yr. Lubbock's Strategic Water Supply Plan cityofFebruary 2013 4-5tl'u4%boCk allocation was adjusted to 28,164 ac-ft/yr. However, the drought conditions over the last decade necessitated a further reduction in the estimated firm yield of the lake to less than 50,000 ac-ft/yr. By the fall of 2011, insufficient inflows rendered the lake unusable as a water supply. Figure 4.4 — Lake Meredith and Sanford Dam,1967 Water quality issues became a concern in Lake Meredith shortly after CRMWA began delivering water to its member cities. In 1969, CRMWA began preparing a plan to address the elevated levels of chlorides in the lake. In 1971, the source of the problem was identified when salt springs along the Canadian River were discovered near Logan, New Mexico. This problem was eventually addressed in 2001 when the Lake Meredith Salinity Control Project was placed into operation to mitigate the salt springs. In addition to salinity, CRMWA also made plans to address the general water quality of the lake. In 2002, the RCWF was constructed to improve the lake's water quality by blending the two sources in the aqueduct system. In the early 2000s, Lake Meredith's water level began to decline which led to further water quality issues. Figure 4.5 depicts the increasing chloride concentration in the lake over time. Strategic Water Supply Plan Cl'u"Woty�fjSFebruary 2013 4-6 Figure 4.5 - Lake Meredith Chloride Concentration Trend As a result of the declining water levels in the lake, the allocations to the member cities were reduced. Groundwater from the RCWF was used to make up the difference as much as possible. In 2011, during the worst one-year drought of record, Lake Meredith was used for summer peaking capacity only. After the summer of 2011, water could no longer be pumped from the lake. Historic water levels in Lake Meredith are presented in Figure 4.6. In January 2009, the results of a Freese & Nichols, Inc. Lake Meredith report titled Surface Water Study' was presented to the Panhandle (Region A) Regional Water Planning Group. The conclusions of this study indicated that the decreased capacity of Lake Meredith was most likely attributed to changes in the groundwater to surface water interactions and land - use changes in the watershed. Declines in the Ogallala Aquifer and Dockum Formation water levels appeared to impact spring flow into the lake. In addition, the increase in shrub (especially salt cedar) in the watershed appeared to be a factor contributing to reduced reservoir inflows. The report indicated that the decreased capacity of the lake did not appear to be meteorological in origin. Precipitation amounts, precipitation intensity, and evaporation were not considered to be contributing factors. As a result, it is uncertain whether or when Lake Meredith will recover and resume supplying water to member cities. Strategic Water Supply Plan flU'bUOCk February 2013 4-7 1�xas 110 100 90 80 w 70 60 a 0 50 40 3 30 20 10 W 0 r, r, 00 00 M M o 0 � � 0 o 0 14 Year ® Sedimentation Level ■ Streambed to Lowest Gate ■ Water Depth Figure 4.6 - Historic Water Levels in Lake Meredith Lake Meredith is not considered a viable water supply strategy at this time. If the lake begins to refill, this water supply strategy will be re-evaluated. Roberts County (John C. Williams) Well Field CRMWA began efforts to supply supplemental groundwater to Lake Meredith's supply as early as the 1990s. In 1994, CRMWA purchased 42,864 acres of water rights in Roberts and Hutchinson counties and began construction of the RCWF (also called the John C. Williams Well Field). Phase 1 and Phase 2 of the RCWF were completed in 2002 and 2006 respectively, totaling 29 wells. A 35-mile, 54-inch diameter transmission line was also constructed commecting Phases 1 and 2 of the well field to the main CRMWA Aqueduct that transports water to its member cities. Phase 1 and 2 were initially permitted to supply up to 40,000 ac-ft/yr. CRMWA began blending the well water with Lake Meredith water in 2002. Due to the need to replace lost capacity created by Lake Meredith's decline, Phase 3 of the RCWF was constructed and placed into operation in 2011, expanding the total number of wells to 45. On June 23, 2011, CRMWA signed a contract with Mesa Water to purchase 144,000 additional acres of water rights that were predominately contiguous to the RCWF. This purchase increased CRMWA's water rights holdings in the well field to over 400,000 Strategic Water Supply Plan t1hV6�fjS February 2013 4-8 acres. According to an internal memorandum2 prepared by City staff to evaluate the purchase of the Mesa Water rights, the strategic value of this purchase included: • expansion of the RCWF which is one of Lubbock's key water supplies; • Mesa's water rights' accessibility to the existing RCWF infrastructure; • Mesa's water rights' volume of water per surface acre that is at least three times greater than well fields on the South Plains; and • the high quality of the groundwater in Roberts County. By the fall of 2011, CRMWA began supplying 100% groundwater when Lake Meredith's water levels declined below the lowest gate of the intake structure (Figure 4.6). The layout of the RCWF is depicted in Figure 4.7. Figure 4.7 - Roberts County Well Field CRMWA's goal is to maintain the peak capacity of the RCWF at 92 mgd even though the 54-inch diameter transmission line can only supply approximately 65 mgd. At a 92 mgd peaking capacity, the RCWF can maintain a 70% load factor giving CRMWA the operational flexibility to rotate and rest wells. The current capacity of the RCWF is Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uf-bUiOCk February 2013 4-9 BEY►: estimated to be 86 mgd. Without capacity maintenance, the well field capacity will continue to decrease over time. Lubbock's 2013 CRMWA allocation is 24,088 ac-ft/yr. CRMWA cannot increase Lubbock's allocation until an additional transmission line is constructed from the RCWF to the main aqueduct. The BCWF (also called the Sandhilis Well Field) is located approximately 60 miles northwest of the City of Lubbock in Bailey and Lamb counties. In 1954, the City purchased the initial 53,910 acres of water rights to create the well field. In 1957, the City's water rights were expanded to 75,041 acres.3 Today, the current water right holdings for the BCWF are approximately 83,305 acres. Water from the BCWF is pumped from the Ogallala Aquifer. Most of the wells were constructed in the 1950s and 1960s.4 The 175 active wells are distributed over approximately 50% of the water rights owned by the City in this well field. Figure 4.8 shows a layout of the BCWF with the associated well locations and collection system. The number of irrigated fields surrounding the BCWF indicates that groundwater usage adjacent to the well field for agriculture is extensive. The City used the well field at an average rate of 6,000 ac-ft/yr from 2000 to 2010. However, during 2011, with the loss of Lake Meredith as a water supply, the City was forced to pump over 20,000 ac-ft from the BCWF. Over the past couple of years, the well field's capacity has decreased from 50 mgd to 38 mgd, dropping below the 40 mgd capacity of the transmission line that transports water from the BCWF to the City. The well field capacity will continue to decrease each year unless additional wells are installed. Since the average well production capacity is 200 gallons per minute, 35 wells would be required for every additional 10 mgd capacity needed. The goal for this well field is to extend its useful life by reducing its usage to less than 7,000 ac-ft/yr and using it only during the summer months to provide peaking capacity as recommended in a 2012 report completed by Daniel B. Stephens & Associates, Inc.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan city of February 2013 4-10 tl'u4lbock Figure 4.8 — Bailey County Well Field 4.3 Lake Alan Henry Construction of the John T. Montford Dam was completed in October 1993. The lake can hold 94,808 ac-ft of water. According to a 2008 LAH Yield Model memorandum prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc., the firm yield of the lake is 22,210 ac-ft/yr and the 2- year safe yield of the lake is 16,080 ac-ft/yr. In 2007, the City began the preliminary engineering for the water supply infrastructure that would deliver treated water to the City's distribution system. Infrastructure for LAH was designed to be completed in two phases. Phase 1 infrastructure includes two pump stations, 50-miles of raw water pipeline, a water treatment plant, and finished/treated water transmission pipelines connecting to the City's distribution system. Phase 1 was completed in September 2012 and can treat and deliver a peak capacity of 15 mgd and an annual capacity of 8,000 ac-ft. Phase 2 of the LAH infrastructure project will expand the system to a peak capacity of 30 mgd and an annual capacity of 16,000 ac-ft. Phase 2 is anticipated to begin in the near future. Strategic Water Supply Plan tlu4lbcity ocj of February 2013 4-11 Figure 4.9 — Lake Alan Henry and John T. Montford Dam, 2007 During July 2010, significant rainfall and flooding filled the reservoir to its capacity and engaged its spillway for several days. However, during the extreme 2011 drought, the water level in LAH declined over eight feet due to significant evaporation and low inflows. Historic water levels are presented in Figure 4.10. Figure 4.10 — Lake Alan Henry Water Levels Strategic Water Supply Plan tI'u4bV6'Y�fS February 2013 4-12 • In order to evaluate the amount of water that Lubbock can supply to its customers, the capacity of various parts of the existing water system infrastructure must be evaluated. Figure 4.11 depicts Lubbock's current water sources and supply infrastructure with the corresponding capacity of each item. As the City adds new water supply strategies and increases the amount of water being delivered, improvements to the supply and distribution system will be necessary. Lubbock's raw water supplies are treated at one of three treatment facilities before entering into the City's distribution system. These treatment facilities include the BCWF chlorination facility, the North Water Treatment Plant (NWTP), or the South Water Treatment Plant (SWTP. The NWTP has excess capacity to treat additional water and transport it into the distribution system. However, the SWTP does not have any additional capacity. LAH Phase 1 can deliver up to 15 mgd of treated water to pump stations 8, 10, and 14. These pump stations are operating at maximum capacity. Therefore, additional quantities of water transported to the SWTP for treatment will need to be routed to a different pump station, such as PS 7, as depicted in Figure 4.12. Currently, water from the BCWF is transported to Lubbock and enters the distribution system at PS 9 and the Lowhead B Pump Station. Plans are in progress to build a 36-in treated water transmission pipeline that by-passes PS 9 and transports water to PS 7. These plans include the demolition of the Lowhead B Pump Station. This project is currently under design. Several of the water supply strategies in this Plan include the cost of a 4-mile, 42-in transmission line that will connect the existing transmission line at PS 14 to PS 7. This will allow for additional water to be treated and transported from the SWTP into the distribution system. Strategic Water Supply Plan citoy February 2013 4-13 t1'u___ObJCk Capacity: 1 IS mgd A Lubbock: 44 mgd N Capacity: 65 mgd Capacity: 103 mgd Lubbock: 24 mgd Lubbock: 38 mgd City of Antai Capacity: 53 mgd Lubbock: 42 mgd Amarillo Regulating Reservoir Capacity: 244 mg Lubbock Regulating Reservoir Capacity: 162 mg F North Terminal Storage Reservoir Capacity: 390 mg 3` North Water Treatment Plant Capacity: 75 mgd Lubbock: 65 rngd 6.f Capacity: 40 mgd .: South Water Treatment Plant South Terminal Capacity: 15 mgd%A01 IN Storage Reservoir Capacity. 225 mg CapacityPost Pump Station LAH Pump Figure 4.11 - Current Water Supply Capacity Schematic Strategic Water Supply Plan city �fk f114bbo February 2013 4-14 Figure 4.12 — Proposed Transmission Line from PS 14 to PS 7 4.5 Water Demand vs. Current Water Supply Evaluation of both the AWD and PDD compared to available water supply and capacity is essential in determining when additional water supplies and/or infrastructure may become necessary. In order to make such an evaluation, current water supply projections have been made. Annual Water Supply Development of the projected AWD scenarios is discussed in Section 2.0 (Appendix A-3). In order to determine how to meet these projected demand scenarios, the City inventoried its current water supply sources. Current annual water supply projections were developed for each of the City's water supply sources as described below. These annual water supply projections estimate the existing supply capabilities with no expansion or maintenance over the 100-year planning period. Strategic Water Supply Plan ci yyofFebruary 2013 4-15fl'uf-bUOCk TEi�f Lake Alan Henry — Since LAH's 2-year safe yield is 16,080 ac-ft/yr, Lubbock's current 8,000 ac-ft/yr withdrawal from the lake should be sustainable throughout the planning period. Roberts County Well Field — CRMWA's well field is currently at 70% utilization. This is important for well rotation and maintenance. The 54- inch transmission line connecting to the main aqueduct is near capacity. Well field production should keep the transmission line flowing full for the next 22 years supplying 24,088 ac-ft of water to Lubbock. In 2035, the RCWF capacity is estimated to drop below the capacity of the transmission line. The system capacity will continue to decline gradually until 2098 when RCWF will no longer be able to supply the City of Lubbock with water. Bailey County Well Field — The City's well field will continue to decline in capacity due to heavy utilization. It is anticipated that the decline will continue until the well field is exhausted in 2037. The current water supply projections for the next 100 years (Appendix B-1) are depicted with respect to the three water demand scenarios (Appendix B-2) in Figure 4.13. Strategic Water Supply Plan tyvf February 2013 4-16U�3�JOC 100,000 32.6 90,000 29.3 80,000 26.1 Vl o 70,000 __.-� �.,.�._ __. _ __ _ 22.8 0 60,000 i 19.6 c c c �0 50,000 16.3 3 E [� 40,000 13.0 -o cc d 30,000 __ 9.8 E it 3 d 20,000 6.5 3 10,000 3.3 0 v . r 0.0 M M M r-1 N M M M M M It Ln W 1, M M M M 00 M O r-1 O O O N 1V N O O O O N N N N O O r-i .-1 N N N N Year t �Lake Alan Henry Supply i•RCWFSupply 11111111111111111BCWFSupply -Probable Demand -Accelerated Demand Conservation Demand Figure 4.13 —100 Year Annual Water Demand vs. Current Water Supply While it appears that the City's current water supplies can be utilized for many more years, additional infrastructure will be necessary in the near future to either increase capacity or maintain the capacity of each water supply. A comparison of the Probable Demand to the total Annual Water Supply in Figure 4.13 indicates that as early as 2013, an additional water supply will be needed unless BCWF is used heavily or aggressive conservation efforts are effectively implemented (Conservation Demand). Implementing conservation efforts could delay additional water supply needs for another decade (2023). Peak Day Supply In addition to meeting the AWD, PDD must also be satisfied. Current peak day supply projections were developed for each of the City's water supply sources as described below. These peak day supply projections depict the supply capabilities of the City's already existing water sources with no expansion or maintenance over the 100-year planning period. Lake Alan Henry — The SWTP capacity of 15 mgd sets the maximum peak day capacity that can be delivered to the City's distribution system from LAH during a given day. Strategic Water Supply Plan fl'u"tVoty�fA February 2013 4-17 Roberts County Well Field — The 54-inch transmission line transporting water from the well field to the CRMWA Aqueduct will set the maximum peak day capacity for Lubbock at 24 mgd from the RCWF water supply until the well field capacity declines below the transmission line capacity in 2035. After 2035, the well field capacity will continue to drop until 2098 when RCWF is exhausted. Bailey County Well Field — The 48-inch transmission line from the BCWF to Lubbock has a maximum capacity of 40 mgd. In 2012, the BCWF capacity was 38 mgd. The BCWF will continue to decline in capacity due to heavy utilization until the well field is exhausted in 2061. At the end of 2012, Lubbock's water supply could deliver a maximum peak day supply of 77 mgd. The current water supply peak day projections for the next 100 years (Appendix B-1) are depicted with respect to the three peak day demand scenarios (Appendix B-3) in Figure 4.14. Development of the projected PDD scenarios is discussed in Section 2.0. The total terminal storage reservoir capacity is not included in these projections. Terminal storage reservoir capacity is reserved for emergency situations only. During an emergency situation, Lubbock has 616 million gallons of storage when the terminal storage reservoirs are full (see Figure 4.11). This would be an equivalent of 10 days of water supply at a peak demand of 60 mgd. Strategic Water Supply Plan lU�?b�OCk February 2013 4-18 ,: 160 140 120 M m E 100 W 80 0 60 a, a am 20 0 m m m M M M M M M m M e-1 N M ct Ln W I1% 00 M O -1 O O O O O O O O O rq ei N N N N N N N N N N N Year LakeAIan Henry Peak lllllllllllllllllRCWF Peak lllllllllllllllllBCWF Peak •..•Probable Peak Demand � Accelerated Peak Demand Conservation Peak Demand Figure 4.14 -100 Year Peak Day Demand vs. Supply Net Water Supply Summary Based on the projections discussed in Section 4.3, Table 4.2 depicts the deficit amount at the end of 12 years, 50 years, and 100 years (see Appendix B-3). Based on projections, additional water supply strategies must be evaluated, recommended, and implemented to meet the City's future water needs. In addition to the City's current water supplies, several potential water supply strategies are evaluated in the subsequent sections in an effort to meet Lubbock's projected water demand in the future. These strategies are grouped into four main categories: water conservation, reclaimed water, groundwater, and surface water. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'"� bj9toy k February 2013 4-19 ,Ex►s Table 4.2 - Demand, Supply, and Net Amounts for Annual vs. Peak Annual Demand, Supply, and Net (ac-ft/yr) Year Probable Annual Demand Accel. Annual Demand Conserv. Annual Demand Annual Supply Probable Annual Net Accel. Annual Net Conserv. Annual Net 2013 47,965 47,965 43,654 47,088 -877 -877 3,434 2025 51,865 54,486 1 44,763 44,088 -7,777 -10,398 -675 2063 64,159 77,418 55,800 21,245 -42,915 -56,174 -34,555 2113 72,956 94,847 62,567 8,000 -64,956 -88,847 -54,567 Year Peak Day Demand, Supply, and Net (mgd) Probable Peak Demand Accel. Peak Demand Conserv. Peak Demand Peak Supply Probable Peak Net Accel. Peak Net Conserv. Peak Net 2013 77.08 77.08 70.15 75.97 -1.11 -1.11 5.82 2025 83.34 87.55 71.18 67.09 -16.25 -20.46 -4.09 2063 103.10 124.41 85.85 28.01 -75.09 -96.40 -57.84 2113 j 117.24 152.41 92.16 15.00 -102.24 -137.41 -77.16 1 Surface Water Study. Freese and Nichols. January 2009. 2 Evaluation of Mesa Water Rights in Roberts County - Memo, City Staff, August 9, 2011. 3 City of Lubbock Water Advisory Commission; Orientation Manual. September 18, 2003. 4 Comprehensive Ground Water Management Study for the City of Lubbock. Geraghty & Miller, Inc. April 1992: (Vol. 1) 36. 5 Updated Bailey County Well Field Modeling, Daniel B. Stephens & Associates, Inc. October 2012: 6. 6 Lake Alan Henry Yield Model - Memo. HDR, Inc. January, 24 2008. Strategic Water Supply Plan tluf'-Wow�fS February 2013 4-20 Water5.0 Conservation Strategies Water conservation can be defined as any beneficial reduction in water loss, water use, or waste of water. Conservation also includes the preservation of water quality. A reduction in water use can be accomplished by implementation of water conservation or water efficiency measures. A water conservation measure is an action, behavioral change, device, technology, or improved design or process implemented to reduce water loss, waste, or use. Water efficiency is a tool of water conservation that results in more efficient water use and thus reduces water demand. The value and cost-effectiveness of a water efficiency measure must be evaluated in relation to its effects on the use and cost of other natural resources (e.g. energy or chemicals). Water conservation is considered an important water supply strategy because it can effectively delay expensive water supply projects and decrease the costs of meeting peak day demand during the summer months. In this section, the City's current conservation efforts are highlighted and eight potential conservation strategies are discussed for the future. The water conservation strategies presented in this section are not ranked against other water supply strategies in this Plan because it is hard to quantify the impact of conservation efforts. However, conservation is the "least expensive supply of water" that we can develop. Lubbock's overall water conservation (combined indoor and outdoor) can be quantified by calculating the change in per capita potable water consumption (gpcd) from year to year. The City's per capita consumption has declined gradually over the past 30 years. The City's per capita potable water demand decreased approximately 26% from 1980 to 2012 as depicted in Figure 5.1 (see Appendix A-1). Strategic Water Supply Plan tlu"�Woty�fkFebruary 2013 5-1 The City incorporated water conservation goals into its Water Use Management Plan' that was adopted by City Council on July 22, 2010. These goals were set in accordance with Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ) rules that require that water conservation plans contain specific, quantifiable five- and ten-year goals. The City's Water Use Management Plan sets a per capita goal for year 2015 of 150 gpcd and a year 2020 goal of 146 gpcd. The State of Texas Water Conservation Task Force has recommended that cities seek to achieve a per capita consumption of 140 gpcd.3 The Task Force considers this to be a realistic goal for most cities. Figure 5.1— Lubbock's Historic Per Capita Water Consumption Based on a comparison of the projections developed in Section 2.2 for the Probable Consumption and the Conservation Consumption, continued conservation could reduce the per capita demand for the City by 20 gpcd by 2033 (see Figure 5.2). This translates into a reduction of the Probable Water Demand in 2033 by 6,718 acre-feet, or 12%. This means that additional water supply projects could be delayed as much as 23 years (until 2055). Strategic Water Supply Plan February 2013 5-2 fl'u'lVoty�ft 65,000 __ _ _ _ _ 21.2 60,000 19.6 c 0 55,000 �- - "` 17.9 $ 0 50,000 _ _.� 16.3 c c M 23-Year i= c45,000Time Delay 14.7 a� E a 3 40,000 13.0 a, 35,000 _ _ _ __ _ 11.4 3 30,000 9.8 00 M O N M It Ln CO 1-4 a-1 N N N N N N N Year Historic Demand Probable Demand -Conservation Demand Figure 5.2 — Time Delay in Probable Demand vs. Conservation Demand To continue to achieve its water conservation goals, the City must continue to facilitate and support cost effective measures that reduce residential and commercial water use year round. Much of the water conservation achieved thus far can be attributed to the implementation of a conservation rate structure, conservation education, and water conservation ordinances. Treated wastewater usage trends provide insights into the amount of indoor water conservation that is occurring. Figure 5.3 reveals that the City has experienced a long history of indoor water conservation, presumably due to more efficient residential and commercial plumbing fixtures as well as reduced potable water usage in industrial processes and commercial ventures such as restaurants. Figure 5.3 shows that the wastewater gpcd decreased by 27% from 1995 to 2012 while the population served increased by 22% over the same time period. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl"Ub9oy Cfk February 2013 5-3 rEzas 115 :$ 110 a M 105 m d 100 a a 95 M u 90 d a c 85 0 c7 80 75 Ln w r,, w m O a-1 N M c* to lD r` w M O rq N M m M M M O O O O O O O O O O ri ri .-i 01 Ol Ot 01 Ol O O O O O O O O O O O O O ri ri ri e-I e-1 N N N N N N N N N N N N N Year Wastewater gpcd Lubbock Population Figure 5.3 — Per Capita Wastewater Usage Trend 240,000 230,000 220,000 c 0 r 210,000 3 a 0 a 200,000 190,000 180,000 Much of the indoor water savings has been driven by State of Texas legislative actions. The State acknowledged the need for indoor water conservation in 1991 when the legislature passed the Water Saving Performance Standards (Senate Bill 587), placing stringent water -use standards on indoor plumbing equipment.4 Toilets sold in Texas prior to January 1, 1992 used between 3.0 to 8.0 gallons per flush (gpf), whereas toilets installed after January 1, 1992 were required to use 1.6 gpf or less.5 This legislation also set standards for urinals (1.0 gpf), faucets (2.2 gallons per minute (gpm)), and showerheads (2.5 gpm). The 2011 Region O Plan estimated that up to 18 gpcd could be saved by replacing pre-1992 fixtures with the newer, more water efficient models.6 More recently, the State has passed House Bill 2667 which takes effect in 2014. This bill raises the standards by requiring that toilets sold in Texas must be high -efficiency toilets (HET) that use 1.28 gpf or less. The American Water Works Association (AWWA) completed a study in 1999 that examined residential indoor water usage. Figure 5.4 shows the breakdown of an average household's indoor water usage based on their findings. As the figure shows, the main water using fixtures are toilets, washing machines, and showerheads. Strategic Water Supply Plan tIt-Obb'OCk February 2013 5-4 ,rya: 1999 AWWA study Shower 16.8% Toilet 26.7% Other 2.2% Leak Y- Bath 13.7 1.7% Clothes Faucet Washer 15.7% 21.7 Dishwasher 1.4% Figure 5.4 — Average Household Indoor Water Usage? 5.3 Current Conservation Rate Structure Prior to 1991, the City used a decreasing water block rate. This meant that the cost of water per 1,000 gallons decreased as a customer used more. In 1991, the City changed the decreasing block rate to a uniform rate where the customer paid the same rate regardless of the volume used. In 2007, the City implemented an increasing block, or conservation, rate structure. The current structure encourages customers to use their water more efficiently by charging higher rates for the higher volumes of water used. See Table 5.1 for Lubbock's volume block rates as of December 2012. Additional details regarding Lubbock's current and historic water rates are located in Appendix C-1. Table 5.1— Lubbock's Current Volume Rates Block 1 Block 2 Block 3 Monthly Rates per 1,000 $4.00 $5.46 $6.55 Gallons Strategic Water Supply Plan February 2013 5-5 tl'u`�*bgo"�fk Figure 5.5 compares the City's water rates to those of 16 other major Texas cities with populations over 150,000 during January 2012 (see Appendix C-2). The monthly water bills used in this comparison include the base charge, volume charges, and water supply fees (if applicable). The following cities were used in the comparison: Amarillo Arlington Austin Brownsville Corpus Christi Dallas El Paso Fort Worth Garland Grand Prairie Houston Irving Laredo Pasadena Plano San Antonio Figure 5.5 — 2012 Residential Water Bill Comparison for Major Texas Cities (rates shown for 5/8" and/or 3/4" meters) The City of Lubbock's rate structure attempts to optimize three competing goals that all water systems must seek to balance. These goals are revenue stability, water conservation, and affordability. • Revenue stability is strengthened by covering a portion of the City's debt through the base rate. • Water conservation is facilitated through an increasing volume block rate structure. • Affordability is addressed by seeking to set base charges and Block 1 volume rates at reasonable levels. Strategic Water Supply Plan (1'u4l' Vtoy February 2013 5-6 Overall, Lubbock's water rates have encouraged customers to conserve and use water more efficiently under normal weather conditions. During drought conditions, additional conservation measures may be necessary. 5.4 Unaccounted for Water Loss One important method of conserving water is to reduce the amount of unaccounted for water lost from the system. The City's water system's historic unaccounted for water as a percent of the total water used in the system is depicted in Figure 5.6. The figure includes AWWA's 2007 Distribution System Water Loss benchmark for water purveyors in the South region of the United States. Over half of the purveyors achieve 8.9% or lower water loss in this region. The top 25% achieves 3.8% or lower. The bottom 25% achieves 14.1 % or lower.8 Figure 5.6 — City of Lubbock Water Loss History The City's goal is to keep water losses below 10% for its delivery system.9 As depicted in Figure 5.3, the City has been successful in meeting this goal. In 2011, water losses were at 9%. The City seeks to continually improve this measure by implementing effective meter change out, construction meter control, and water main repair and replacement programs. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4l' Vtoy February 2013 5-7 TEtAf Water Main Replacement Program This program attempts to manage the replacement of old water lines that are prone to leaks and breaks. In the past 5 years, the City has spent more than $20 million on the replacement of aging pipelines and valves, including the 341h Street and Downtown Waterline Replacement projects. The City routinely monitors the water system for leaks. The goal is to repair detected and/or reported leaks in a timely manner. Meter Change -out Program The City uses a random sampling technique to test meter accuracy and to determine when meters need to be repaired or replaced. The City randomly samples approximately 400 water meters each year. Depending on the results of this sample, additional sampling may be done to target meters of a certain age or meters located within a certain geographical portion of the City. Meters found to have an accuracy of less than +/- 4% are either repaired or replaced as appropriate. Fire Hydrant - Construction Meter Program This program attempts to meter water used from fire hydrants by construction contractors and City departments. Contractors lease the fire hydrant meters and are billed at the Block 2 rate for water used. Any City department using water from a fire hydrant must also use a fire hydrant meter. Public education is a crucial component of the City's water conservation efforts. To make wise water -use decisions, customers must be equipped with accurate information and knowledge about how they can help. The goal of the Water Conservation Education Team (WCET) is to raise awareness and disseminate information about water conservation issues in the City. The WCET focuses on reaching people through public school programs, community outreach events, and irrigation consultations. Figure 5.7 shows how the City's water conservation effort has shifted over the last eight years from public school lessons to TCEQ mandated irrigation inspections. This shift was necessary due to limited financial resources. Moreover, properly Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4l'Vow�fkFebruary 2013 5-8 operating irrigation systems can significantly reduce the amount of water wasted each year. Figure 5.7 — Water Conservation Education Outreach Public -School Programs The City started the WCET in 1996 to coordinate and implement educational programs that allow students (kindergarten through 12th grade) to explore the science of water and become familiar with water stewardship concepts. The program is free of charge and consists of nineteen interactive presentations (see Appendix C-3). Teachers can either request that the City's educator give the presentation, or teachers can use the lesson plans that are available on-line (http://water.ci.lubbock.tx.us/education/allEdu.aspx). The public school program reached its peak during the 2003-2004 school year. At that time, the WCET included three educators who gave 1,313 classrooms presentations reaching approximately 26,260 students. During the 2011-2012 school year, the program was much smaller with one educator on staff who taught or provided material for 165 lessons. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4"bVock February 2013 5-9 ��: Annual Home c& Garden Show The WCET has participated in the annual West Texas Home Builder's Home and Garden Show since 2001. Each year 6,000-8,000 citizens attend. The WCET is present to provide information, answer questions, make presentations, and support the community -wide water conservation effort through home and landscape design. SmartScape Promotion Programs The WCET works with the Lubbock Chamber of Commerce's water conservation council and Lubbock Master Gardeners to promote Texas SmartScape. The SmartScape program encourages the use of native, water -efficient landscaping. The Texas SmartScape website (www.txsmartscape.com) provides detailed information about designing a water -efficient landscape with a list of over 200 water -efficient plants for the West Texas region. It also provides landscape design tools that help citizens create blueprints for new landscape plans. Demonstration Gardens and Homes The WCET works with local sponsors and businesses to develop demonstration gardens, model landscaping, and homes featuring Texas SmartScape materials. Many of the homes are included in the annual West Texas Home Builder's Parade of Homes, which are on display for citizens to tour for a two week period. As many as 10,000 citizens attend annually. Local Water Conservation Conferences The WCET participates in annual conferences sponsored by organizations that promote water conservation and provide a forum for the public to participate and learn about energy and water efficient home practices and technologies, water -efficient landscapes, and earth - kind practices. Irrigation Consultations The City's irrigation inspectors routinely conduct one-on-one consultations with customers on the proper use of their sprinkler systems. These consultations typically become necessary while performing inspections on irrigation systems. The inspectors assist homeowners and businesses in optimizing their sprinkler system by determining proper "cycle and soak" run times. When requested, they reset customer controllers to optimal settings. Strategic Water Supply Plan ti'u'196"�fjSFebruary 2013 5-10 i i. The City Council has adopted ordinances that encourage customers to avoid wasting water. These ordinances include: A Water Rate Ordinance (Sec. 22.03.081 - 22.03.097) that defines the City's conservation block rate structure where higher rates apply to higher volumes of water consumed. A Waste of Water Ordinance (Sec. 22.03.131 — 22.03.134) that outlines water use standards for outdoor landscapes. These standards identify the times of day that sprinklers can be used (between 6:00 p.m. and 10:00 a.m. from April to September), as well as recognizing that the City may, at times, enact watering schedules, limiting the number of times customers can water their landscape during a given day or week. A Water Use Management Plan (Sec. 22.08.001 — 22.08.103) that promotes water conservation by providing an implementation plan for annual water conservation and drought contingency measures. Numerous conservation strategies across the United States are used by municipalities in an effort to reduce their annual water demand and peak summer usage. Conservation strategies are categorized as mandatory or voluntary measures. Research has found that mandatory conservation measures tend to result in greater water savings.10 Both mandatory and voluntary measures can cost a municipality a substantial amount of money to track and/or enforce. The following potential conservation strategies provide a variety of ways to reduce water usage. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'uf--*bV6` �fS February 2013 5-11 More Stringent Seasonal Water Restrictions Strategy A large percentage of Lubbock's water is used for seasonal irrigation. Lubbock is situated in a semi -arid region that requires more water per capita for landscape irrigation than in many other parts of Texas. Evidence of landscape irrigation demand is apparent when comparing Lubbock's average summer (April through September) water usage of 177 gpcd to the average winter (October through April) water usage of 128 gpcd. This means that approximately 48 gpcd is used during the summer (the difference between average summer and average winter usages) on outdoor landscape irrigation, swimming pools, etc. This totals approximately 34 ac-ft/day. Implementing increased seasonal water restrictions would help reduce the City's non -essential seasonal water usage by limiting the amount of water applied to outdoor landscapes and by limiting the number of days each household can water. Program Details — Implement a year round outdoor water use restriction that limits each facility to watering landscape with irrigation systems to two days per week on specified days. The suggested landscape application should be less than 1.5 inches per week. For detailed calculations on this strategy, see Appendix C-4. Water Conserved — It is estimated that this program will reduce seasonal water usage by 15%. This equates to a reduction in water usage of 916 ac-ft/yr. Program Costs — The cost associated with this strategy includes staff time for amending the current water conservation ordinance and enforcement of the ordinance. The City already has code enforcement officers that check for compliance with water use and conservation ordinances. Revenue Impact - If 916 ac-ft are conserved each year due to this strategy (assuming that 75% of the water conserved is from Block 2 and 25% is from Block 3), the City will experience a reduction in revenue of $1,710,781 each year. Increase Water Volume Rates Strategy Under Lubbock's current water rate structure, Block 1 usage represents a household's base or essential water needs, while Block 2 and Block 3 account for a household's seasonal or non -essential water usage. Increasing Block 2 and Block 3 water rates encourages customers to reduce their seasonal or non -essential water usage. L196"�fa Strategic Water Supply Plan February 2013 5-12 Strategy Details — Increase Block 2 and Block 3 rates by 10% each. Currently, the Block 2 rate is $5.46 per 1,000 gallons and the Block 3 rate is $6.55 per 1,000 gallons. This strategy would result in increases of $0.55 and $0.66 per 1,000 gallons, respectively. For detailed calculations on this strategy, see Appendix C-5. Water Conserved — A 2008 water rate study by the National Bureau of Economic Research revealed that a 10% increase in water rates can result in a 3% to 6% reduction in water demand.11 Applying a 3% reduction to Lubbock's 5-year average annual water demand (37,375 ac-ft/yr) results in savings of 329 ac-ft annually. Program Costs — This strategy would not cost additional funds for the City to implement and administer. Using volume rates to promote water conservation does not require the City to make an investment of time or capital to enforce water usage. Revenue Impact —The City will lose revenue on the 329 ac-ft/yr of water that will be conserved. This loss will be offset by the additional revenue that the City will earn due to the rate increase from the volume of water that continues to be used from Blocks 2 and 3 (-10,955 ac-ft/yr). Overall, the City could experience a net gain in revenue of $1,309,967 per year. Rate changes must be made incrementally and cautiously to make sure that revenue stability is not disrupted due to dramatic decreases in water use. Indoor Water Fixtures Replacement Strategy This strategy consists of improving water use efficiency by providing rebate incentives for residential, commercial, and institutional facilities for the replacement of fixtures such as toilets, washing machines, and showerheads. Potential programs are discussed below. Toilet Replacement Rebate for Schools and Universities Program Details — $90 rebate to replace old toilets with new high -efficiency toilets in public schools and university dorms. For detailed calculations on this strategy, see Appendix C-6. Water Conserved — Many of the local schools and dorms have toilets pre -dating 1992 which use between 3.0 and 5.0 gallons per flush (gpf). New toilets use 1.6 gpf. The estimated annual water conserved with this program is 283 ac-ft/yr. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u1__*bV6w k February 2013 5-13 ,�$�g Program Costs — This strategy would cost the City approximately $402,030 to administer. Revenue Impact — This strategy would reduce revenue each year by approximately $368,797, assuming the water conserved is from Block 1 usage. Washing Machine Rebate Program Details — The City would offer $300 rebates to replace old commercial washing machines with new high -efficiency machines, and $150 rebates to replace old residential washing machines in apartment complexes and university dorms with new high -efficiency residential machines. For detailed calculations on this strategy, see Appendix C-7. Water Savings — A case study by Western Resource Advocates found that conversion from an older commercial washer to a newer high -efficiency commercial machine saves approximately 37,800 gallons a year.12 Estimated water savings for Lubbock commercial washers are 76.6 ac-ft/yr. Replacing older residential washers with new high -efficiency residential machines saves approximately 8,500 gallons a year per machine.13 However, a typical residential machine only serves 2-5 people whereas apartment complex / university dorm washing machines serve 8-10 people. Therefore, estimated water savings are higher for these washing machines because they are being used more frequently. Estimated water savings for these fixture replacements are 81.5 ac-ft/yr. Total water conserved for the washing machine program is 158.1 ac-ft/yr. Program Costs — The total program cost is estimated to be $463,650. Revenue Impact — This strategy would reduce revenue each year by approximately $206,052, assuming that the water conserved is from Block 1 usage. Residential Showerhead Rebate Program Details —The City would offer $10 rebates for showerheads to each residential Lubbock Water Utility customer. For detailed calculations on this strategy, see Appendix C-8. Water Savings — The 1992 Water Saving Performance Standards require that all showerheads meet 2.5 gpm flow rates. It is estimated that an average household in Lubbock (3.35 people) can save 5,500 gallons per year by switching to these low - Strategic Water Supply Plan �;tyoe February 2013 5-14 t1'u'r_'*bUOCk flow showerheads. With 10% customer participation, Lubbock could save 116 ac- ft/yr with this program. Program Costs — With 10% customer participation, this strategy would cost the City $68,530. Revenue Impact — This strategy would reduce revenue each year by approximately $150,880, assuming that the water conserved is from Block 1 usage. Landscape Rebate Strategy As discussed above, a large percentage of the City's water during the summer months is used to maintain residential and commercial landscaping. Landscape rebates are a voluntary conservation measure with a goal of reducing seasonal water usage. Program Details —Offer a $0.25 rebate per every 1 ft2 of traditional grass lawn that is removed and replaced with trees and SmartScape or Xeriscape. For detailed calculations on this strategy, see Appendix C-9. Water Savings — Over the last five years, Lubbock's residential water customers have used an average of 3,741 gallons of water per month per connection during the growing season (May through September). It is estimated that if a property installs SmartScape or Xeriscape, the residence's seasonal water usage could be reduced by 50%.14 Assuming that 10% of residential customers decide to use this rebate program, it is estimated that this program will reduce the City's water usage by 106 ac-ft/yr. Program Costs — This strategy would cost the City approximately $770,951 in rebates if 10% of residential customers participate in this rebate program. Revenue Impact — The annual reduction in revenue created by this strategy is estimated at $198,613, assuming that 75% of the water conserved is from Block 2 and 25% is from Block 3. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u-f__*bV6'Y�fS February 2013 5-15 Public Education and Awareness Strategy The aim of public education and awareness is to change water -wasting behaviors. This can often be hard to quantify and measure, but educating the public does help create behavioral changes in the way water is used. Consider the following examples: • A Lubbock homeowner that irrigates a 1/4-acre lawn uses approximately 540 — 810 gallons per cycle or watering interval (12-18 gpm x 15 minutes x 3 zones). If this homeowner irrigates twice a week for 6 months (April -September), he uses 25,920 — 38,880 gallons per year. By manually initiating each cycle when needed by the landscape (rather than turning the system to automatic), a household can save approximately 50% of their outdoor usage.15 In this example, this homeowner could save 12,960 — 19,440 gallons of water per year. • On average, the residential faucet runs 8.1 minutes per person per day.16 In Lubbock, that adds up to 4,090,990 gallons a day. If every person engaged in water -saving behavior that resulted in a one minute decrease in faucet -use per day (i.e. by turning the faucet off while brushing teeth or shaving, etc.), the City could save over 500 ac-ft/yr. • The average household does approximately 1 load of laundry each day.17 If every household reduced clothes washing from 7 times a week to just 6 times a week (this can be accomplished by washing larger loads of clothes at one time), the City could save approximately 435 ac-ft/yr. Increased public awareness can be achieved through education and advertising. As discussed in Section 5.5, Lubbock currently has an education program that reaches all ages of people through public -school programs, community out -reach programs, and irrigation consultations. Additionally, as in 2003-2010 when the Water Department had a successful series of radio and television campaigns, the City may choose to advertise through local media outlets to bring attention to important regional water issues. Strategies to Reduce Unaccounted-for Water The City will continue to look for ways to decrease its water losses. Leak detection programs and audits will be helpful. At a minimum, the City will conduct a water audit using the methodology outlined by the TWDB every five years in accordance with current TWDB rules. Water audits may be conducted on a more frequent basis if the City deems that action to be appropriate. The City has allocated approximately $1 million per year Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u1__*bV4Ck February 2013 5-16 T��� over the next 5 years to the replacement of aging water lines that are prone to breaks and leaks. Summary of Conservation Strategies Table 5.2 provides a summary of some of the conservation strategies discussed in this section. The table compares the amount of water that could potentially be saved each year, the estimated cost to implement the programs, and the potential impact to the City's revenues. The More Stringent Seasonal Water Restrictions strategy appears to conserve the most water annually. Table 5.2 — Summary of Conservation Strategies Strategy Water Saved Cost to Implement Change in (ac-ft/yr) Program Annual Revenue More Stringent Seasonal 916 $0 -$1,710,781 Water Restrictions Increase Non -Essential Water 329 $0 $1,309,967 Volume Rates Public School and University 283 $402,030 -$308,797 Toilet Replacement Commercial, Apartment, & Dorm Washing 158 $463,650 -$206,052 Machine Replacement Residential Showerhead 116 $68,529 -$,150,880 Replacement Landscape Rebate 106 $770,951 -$198,613 TOTAL 1,907 $1,705,160 -$1,325,156 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uf--*b9oCk February 2013 5-17 ,€,�, 1 City of Lubbock Code of Ordinances; Water Use Management Plan. Article 22.08.034. 2 Texas Administrative Code. Title 30; Part 1; Chapter 288; Subchapter A; Rule 288.2; section (a); subsection (1) (C). 3 Texas Water Development Board Special Report: Report to the 79th Legislature. Water Conservation Implementation Task Force. Austin, TX. 2004: 31-33. 4 State of Texas Health and Safety Code; Water Saving Performance Standards. Section 372.002. 5 Waskom, R. and M. Neibauer. "Water Conservation In and Around the Home." Colorado State University; Consumer Series, Housing: Fact Sheet No. 9.952. 2010: 1. 6 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: 4-108. 7 Mayer, P.W., W.B. DeOreo, E.M. Opitz, J.C. Kiefer, W.Y. Davis, B. Dziegielewski, and J.O. Nelson. Residential End Uses of Water. AWWA Research Foundation and American Water Works Association. 1999: ES 6. 8 Benchmarking — Performance Indicators for Water and Wastewater Utilities: 2007 Annual Survey Data and Analyses Report. American Water Works Association. 2007: 6. 9 City of Lubbock Code of Ordinances; Water Use Management Plan. Article 22.08.034. to Renwick, M.E. and R.D. Green. Do Residential Water Demand Side management Policies Measure Up? An Analysis of Eight California Water Agencies. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. 2000: (40) 51. 11 Olmstead, S. M. and R.N. Stavins. Comparing Price and Non -Price Approaches to Urban Water Conservation. National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper Series. 2008: 8. 12 Hem, T., T. Hutchins-Cabibi, B. Miller, and N. Theerasatiankul. Smart Savings Water Conservation: Measures that Make ¢ents. Western Resource Advocates. 2008: ES 4. 13 Hem, T., T. Hutchins-Cabibi, B. Miller, and N. Theerasatiankul. Smart Savings Water Conservation: Measures that Make ¢ents. Western Resource Advocates. 2008: ES 4. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'�'*Wow�fkFebruary 2013 5-18 14 Hurd, Brian H. Water Conservation and Residential Landscapes: Household Preferences, Household Choices. Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics. 2006: vol 31(2), 175. 15 Mayer, P.W. , W.B. DeOreo, E.M. Opitz, J.C. Kiefer, W.Y. Davis, B. Dziegielewski, and J.O. Nelson. Residential End Uses of Water. AWWA Research Foundation and American Water Works Association. 1999: ES 16. 16 Mayer, P.W. , W.B. DeOreo, E.M. Opitz, J.C. Kiefer, W.Y. Davis, B. Dziegielewski, and J.O. Nelson. Residential End Uses of Water. AWWA Research Foundation and American Water Works Association. 1999: ES 8. 17 Mayer, P.W. , W.B. DeOreo, E.M. Opitz, J.C. Kiefer, W.Y. Davis, B. Dziegielewski, and J.O. Nelson. Residential End Uses of Water. AWWA Research Foundation and American Water Works Association. 1999: ES 7. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4b'90Ck February 2013 5-19 ,��, The use of reclaimed water (treated wastewater or effluent) is considered an important water supply strategy in the 2012 State Water Plan.' The State Water Plan predicts that by 2060, reclaimed water will represent over 10% of the water produced by all water strategies in Texas. Since Lubbock must import its potable water from such long distances, reusing water makes economical and practical sense. Using reclaimed water can reduce dependency on new water supplies. Various types of reclaimed water uses are discussed in the following section. Reclaimed water can be used for a variety of beneficial uses depending on the level of wastewater treatment. This includes both non -potable and potable uses. Non -Potable Reuse Non -potable reuse is the process of conveying treated wastewater effluent to an end -user for beneficial uses such as irrigation, manufacturing, or power generation. The effluent may need to go through additional treatment by the end user depending on the final use of the water. Reclaimed water used in this way can reduce demand on the City's potable water supply, which is more expensive due to the costs to transport, treat, and deliver potable water to customers. 30 Texas Administrative Code (TAC) Chapter 210.32 identifies the following two types of non -potable reclaimed water uses. Type I Reclaimed Water is defined as using reclaimed water where contact between humans and the water is likely. Examples of this type of use include landscape irrigation, public golf course irrigation, fire protection, and toilet or urinal flushing. Type II Reclaimed Water is defined as using reclaimed water where contact between humans and the water is unlikely. Examples of this type of use include dust control, cooling tower applications, irrigation of food crops where the reclaimed water is not expected to come in direct contact with the edible part of the crop, and maintenance of impoundments or natural water bodies where direct human contact is not likely. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4b'b'oCk February 2013 6-1 ,loss In order for the City to reuse Type I and II reclaimed water, it must maintain an authorization from the TCEQ pursuant to 30 TAC Chapter 210 (commonly referred to as a "210 Authorization"). The City is preparing to file an "Application for Authorization to Use Domestic Reclaimed Water" with the TCEQ expanding the potential non -potable reuses of its treated wastewater. The City has not deployed a widespread reclaimed water distribution system since most potential users have opted to use more economical local groundwater supplies. Currently the City's non -potable reuse customers include two private cotton farming operations and the Xcel (Southwestern Public Service) Jones Power Plant. Private Cotton Farming Operations — In May 2012, the City entered into new contracts with two cotton farmers to supply them Type II reclaimed water under the current 210 Authorization from the TCEQ. The City is not obligated to provide a specific amount of water to the farmers. The contracts expire in 2015. Xcel Energy — Jones Power Plant - In May 1968, the City entered into a contract with Southwestern Public Service (now Xcel Energy) to supply up to 7.7 mgd of reclaimed water to the Jones Power Plant located a few miles southeast of the City's water reclamation plant. The contract was amended in 1992 to send a total of 7.0 mgd. Then, in July 2009, the City amended the contract again to supply up to 9.0 mgd to the Jones Power Plant until 2045.2 Jones Power Plant typically uses less than 5.0 mgd throughout the year. Indirect Reuse Indirect reuse is the process of discharging treated effluent into the "bed and banks of a river" allowing it to flow downstream to a point where it is captured and pumped back into the raw water supply for treatment to potable standards. Water that is discharged into a river basin for conveyance downstream requires a permit from the TCEQ before it can be re -diverted. Several of the City's potential water supply strategies utilize this process. Strategic Water Supply Plan tlt'�bbOClZ February 2013 6-2 ,�A: Direct Potable Reuse Direct potable reuse is the process of transporting treated wastewater through a pipeline back to the raw water supply used for potable purposes. The wastewater will go through additional advanced treatment barriers before being injected back into the raw water supply. The primary concerns associated with the use of reclaimed water to supplement the water supply include regulatory limitations and public perception. Particular challenges to public acceptance of reuse projects include: perceptions of health risks, the source of recycled water, the issue of choice and options, trust and knowledge, and the cost of recycled water. A successful project will need to address these public acceptance issues. Direct potable reuse strategies are evaluated in Sections 6.5 and 6.6. 6.2 Existing Reclaimed Water Infrastructure Over the past decade, specific improvements have been undertaken by the City to improve the quality of effluent produced at the Southeast Water Reclamation Plant (SEWRP) so it can be discharged into the North Fork of the Double Mountain Fork of the Brazos River (North Fork). The SEWRP currently consists of two operating treatment facilities, Plants 3 and 4. Plant 1 was taken out of service and demolished. Currently, Plant 2 is not being used to treat wastewater. Plants 3 and 4 are connected at the headworks of the SEWRP, but function independently until the plants discharge into two effluent pumping stations (EPS-1 and EPS-2). Recent Plant 4 modifications completed in 2012 include a conversion of the conventional activated sludge process with aeration basins to biological nutrient removal (BNR) utilizing an Integrated Fixed -film Activated Sludge (IFAS) process. Effluent from the two plants are filtered through new cloth media units and disinfected with an ultraviolet (UV) disinfection system prior to discharge or disposal. Digester and sludge handling improvements are underway. These improvements will also improve the quality of the effluent. In order for all of the City's effluent to meet stream discharge requirements, Plant 3 will need to be upgraded in a similar manner as Plant 4 has been. The design of Plant 3 improvements is scheduled to begin in 2017. Improvements are estimated to be completed by 2021. By increasing the quality of the effluent, the City achieves greater flexibility in how it can beneficially reuse its reclaimed water. The existing SEWRP layout is depicted in Figure 6.1. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uJI'Vow February 2013 6-3 �fS Figure 6.1— Southeast Water Reclamation Plant (SEWRP) Layout Strategic Water Supply Plan fl'u%'96"�fk February 2013 6-4 The current location of the effluent pipeline with its associated capacity is important in the evaluation of potential reuse strategies. Some reuse strategies may require modifications to the treatment and discharge facilities. Figure 6.2 shows a schematic of the existing reclaimed water effluent pipeline configuration. Outfall 007 Southeast Water Petniitted: Reclamation Plant 14.5 mgd Plant 4 Capacity: 18 mgd Capacity: 18 mgd EPS I Capacity: 27 mgd Capacity: 9 mgd A ;North Fork Double Mt. fork Brazos River Outfall 001 Outfall 004 Xcel Jones Plant T Capacity: 9 mgd Figure 6.2 — Wastewater Effluent Pipeline System Schematic The permitted outfalls are labeled on the map. Only two of the currently permitted outfalls allow discharges into the North Fork. Outfall 001 is located at the intersection of FM 400 and the North Fork. Outfall 007 is located next to the SEWRP at the North Fork. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u'tVo�f%k February 2013 6-5 Reclaimed water volume projections are necessary to determine when associated water supply strategies will become viable options. Volume projections are developed by multiplying estimated population by the estimated per capita wastewater effluent usage each year. Population Population projections were calculated using the City's population and growth rates discussed in Section 2.1. However, the populations of the four communities that receive potable water from the City were not included in these projections since they operate their own wastewater collection and treatment systems. The Probable Growth scenario is used (as described in Section 2.1) to develop the reclaimed water projections. Per Capita Wastewater Usage The City has experienced an average decrease of 1.2% per year in its per capita wastewater usage since 1995. Due to conservation and reuse, most large cities in Texas are continuing to experience decreasing per capita wastewater flows. Therefore, Lubbock's future per capita wastewater usage was determined by using 2012's per capita usage of 80 gpcd as a baseline and reducing the gpcd for 100 years until it reaches 65 gpcd. The City's wastewater flows have dropped as low as 65 gpcd during some months of the year. This usage projection is used in determining the reclaimed water demand projections. Gross Reclaimed Water Demand Lubbock's annual Reclaimed Water Demand (RWD) projections consist of a scenario which was developed using the Probable Growth scenario and the per capita wastewater usage described in the preceding paragraphs. Probable RWD (Probable Growth x Per Capita Wastewater Usage) — This scenario is the most likely projection since it includes probable population growth projections. A comparison of this Plan's RWD projections to the City's 2009 Wastewater Master Plana and the 2012 Canyon Lakes Water Reuse Preliminary Engineering Report4 is depicted in Figure 6.3 (see Appendix D-1). Strategic Water Supply Plan cif" f February 2013 6-6 tl'u4b'bock Figure 6.3 — Reclaimed Water Demand Projections Note that the City's 2009 Wastewater Master Plan and the 2012 Canyon Lakes Water Reuse Report only project wastewater demands to 2060. The Probable Demand scenario projects that the following total volume of reclaimed water will be available for reuse in the designated years: • 19 mgd (21,151 ac-ft/yr) by the year 2013 • 21 mgd (23,872 ac-ft/yr) by the year 2025 • 27 mgd (30,084 ac-ft/yr) by the year 2063 • 30 mgd ( 33,379 ac-ft/yr) by the year 2113 Net Reclaimed Water Availability Electric generation and land application commitments must be subtracted from the total RWD in order to determine how much reclaimed water will be available for potable water supply strategies. Therefore, the following assumptions have been made. Electric Power Generation — It is anticipated that existing electric power generation demand for reclaimed water will be approximately 9 mgd until 2019. In 2019, additional electric power generation capacity may be added in the Lubbock region. For natural gas power plants, it is estimated that 1 mgd will be required for each 100 megawatts (mw) of power generated. Strategic Water Supply Plan tlh' Vtoy ClZ February 2013 6-7 ,e«+s The following estimated power generation will require reclaimed water by 2019: Xcel's Jones Power Plant LP&L Cooke Power Plant 700 mw 9 mgd 200 mw 2 mgd New Natural Gas Power Plant 500 mw 5 mad Total 1,400 mw 16 mgd It is anticipated that in 2045 (Xcel's Jones Power Plant contract expiration), the Xcel contract will be renegotiated to match more closely the actual reclaimed water that is needed for electric power generation. Therefore, the total electric power commitment drops by 2 mgd in 2045. Within the next 50 years, improvements in technology should reduce the amount of water needed for power generation. Consequently, in 2063 (50 years), the allocation of reused water for power production will reduce by roughly one- third, from 14 mgd to 9 mgd. Land Application Operations — It is anticipated that it will take a minimum of 4 mgd of effluent to keep Lubbock Land Application Site (LLAS) and 4 mgd of effluent to keep the Hancock Land Application Site (HLAS) operational. Projections assume that by 2019, the LLAS will be reduced in its size and the HLAS site will be decommissioned. Therefore, the combined reclaimed water commitment to the land application sites will drop from 8 mgd in 2013 to 2 mgd in 2019. Figure 6.4 depicts the projected net reclaimed water that will be available for water supply projects. In addition, it depicts the water reserved for electric power generation and land application operations. Appendix D-2 includes a table of available net reclaimed water projections. Strategic Water Supply Plan c; yo February 2013 6-8 tl'uf-*bbock __ 39,200 25 28,000 E i i E 20 22,400 Qj 0 > 15 3 16,800 0 3 10 11,200 3 5 5,600 0 0 rn m m m 14 N m 10 cn m m Ln W r, m oo M m m M 0 .-+ 0 0 0 0 N N N N 0 0 0 N N N 0 N 0 .-i .-4 N N N Year M Probable Net Effluent ■ Land Application Sites ■ Electric Power Generation Figure 6.4 — Net Reclaimed Water Availability In the following sections, six water supply strategies are presented that rely upon the net reclaimed water available during a given year. Both direct and indirect reuse strategies are discussed. Without the availability of reclaimed water, these strategies are not viable options. Each of the strategies utilizes the same reclaimed water source. As a result, if one of the strategies is implemented, it may necessitate the elimination or downsizing of other strategies using the same reclaimed water source. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'ulWo"'�fAFebruary 2013 6-9 The North Fork Diversion at County Road (CR) 7300 Strategy is considered an indirect reuse strategy. The City of Lubbock is permitted to discharge 9 mgd of treated effluent at Outfall 001 located at the intersection of Farm -to -Market Road (FM) 400 and the North Fork (see Figure 6.2). With this strategy, the City will construct a diversion facility 2.7 river miles downstream from Outfall 001 to recapture the discharged effluent. After capture, the water (reclaimed effluent commingled with actual flows) will be pumped through the transmission line to the SWTP. An expansion of the SWTP and a new transmission pipeline between Pump Station (PS) #14 and the Low Head B by-pass line will be necessary to make this strategy viable. The major design features of this strategy include: • Design flows associated with the intake, pump station, and transmission pipeline estimated at 5% downtime; • A new intake structure and a 1,136 horsepower (hp) pump station at the CR 7300 crossing to divert the City's water from the North Fork; • An 8-mile, 24-in transmission pipeline to deliver the water to the SWTP; • A 4-mile, 42-in transmission pipeline to connect PS #14 to the Low Head B by- pass line that feeds PS #7 (see Figure 4.12); and • An expansion of the SWTP capacity and the associated high service pump station by 9 mgd. Figure 6.5 depicts the relative locations of the CR 7300 infrastructure needed. Strategic Water Supply Plan tI'uf__.*bV��fkFebruary 2013 6-10 Figure 6.5 — North Fork Diversion at County Road 7300 Map Quantity of Available Water This strategy is estimated to provide a peak capacity of 9 mgd and an average capacity of 10,089 ac-ft/yr of reclaimed water for treatment at the SWTP. Carriage losses within the 2.7 miles of stream bed of the North Fork are considered negligible. A similar strategy in the 2011 Region O Plan5 assumes that the City will discharge as much as 16,444 ac-ft/yr in 2060 from Outfall 001. However, current estimates of the net available reclaimed water for this strategy are less than was estimated in the 2011 Region O Plan. Strategic Water Supply Plan tlt-bUOCk February 2013 6-11 ui�s Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 6.1. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • Existing infrastructure will be used for transmission of treated water from the SWTP into the City's water distribution system; • Energy costs and upgrades to PS #14 are not included with the transmission pipeline costs; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs are 30% of pipeline construction and 35% of other facilities constructed; • Power is available at $0.09 per kilowatt-hour (kwh); • Interest during construction is estimated at 4.0%, and a 1% return on investments over a 2-year period; and • The project will be financed for 20 years at a 5.5% annual interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'_Ub. 9toy fj February 2013 6-12 ,F: Table o..t —tvortn cork JJiversion at uoun Koacl "/mu costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item I Costs Capital Costs Intake and Pump Station (9.5 mgd) $9,644,000 Transmission Pipeline 24-in dia., 8 miles (raw water to line to SWTP) $4,759,000 42-in dia., 4 miles (PS #14 to Low Head B By -Pass Line) $6,708,000 SWTP Expansion (9 mgd) $16,522,000 Total Capital Cost $37,633,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $12,598,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $201,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (37 acres) $278,000 Interest During Construction (2 years) $3,550,000 Total Project Cost $54,260,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $4,540,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $356,000 SWTP $1,419,000 Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $635,000 Total Annual Cost $6,950,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 10,089 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $689 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $2.11 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4l'Vo"'�fk February 2013 6-13 As shown, the total project cost is estimated to be $54,260,000. Annual debt service is $4,540,000; and, annual operational cost, including power, is $2,410,000. This results in a total annual cost of $6,950,000. The unit cost for 9 mgd or 10,089 ac-ft/yr supply of water is estimated to be $689 per ac-ft, or $2.11 per 1,000 gallons. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues The primary environmental issue related to this strategy includes the construction of the diversion facilities. Therefore, there will be a potential impact on animal habitats which must be mitigated. Studies will be necessary to determine the actual impact to cultural resources, wetlands, and threatened and endangered species. However, the construction of the diversion facilities should have a low to moderate impact relative to most of these concerns. Permitting Issues The City started discharging at Outfall 001 in May 2003 pursuant to Texas Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (TPDES) Permit No. 10353-002. Outfall 001 is permitted to discharge a maximum of 9.0 mgd (10,089 ac-ft/yr). In April 2004, the City filed an amendment to Water Use Permit 3985 with the TCEQ. The amendments approval was delayed due to a contested case hearing regarding ownership of developed water return flows. The TCEQ ruled on the case and issued the City the Water Use Permit in December 2012. This permit authorizes the diversion of up to 10,089 ac-ft annually (minus 0.47% carriage losses) at the CR 7300 facility. Additional permitting will be required to construct the proposed diversion facility. Other Issues Property will need to be acquired at the proposed diversion location. In addition, pipeline utility easements will be necessary to construct a raw water transmission line to the SWTP. Strategic Water Supply PlanUbblOCk February 2013 6-14 ,FAA: 4" I 1 . l ' 1 This strategy includes advanced treatment with multiple barriers before transporting and discharging up to 9 mgd of reclaimed water into the raw water supply pipeline immediately upstream of the NWTP. The project processes reclaimed water from the SEWRP through advanced treatment (reverse osmosis (RO)) to create a water supply that should be higher quality than the City's other raw water sources. The treated reclaimed water will be pumped to the NWTP where it will be blended with other raw water from CRMWA and undergo conventional treatment for distribution to customers. Human health risks for direct potable reuse are equal or less than those of other water supply sources when full advanced treatment is used (RO, advanced oxidation, and disinfection). These processes are effective at removing identified emerging constituents of concern and other contaminants, including pathogens, from treated wastewater. The major design features of this strategy include: • The NWTP has an existing capacity adequate to treat and distribute the additional 9 mgd of reclaimed water. Therefore, an expansion of the NWTP is not necessary; • A 9 mgd advanced water treatment plant (RO) at the Lubbock SEWRP; • A Dockum Aquifer well with 200 feet of additional piping to dispose of the RO concentrate at the SEWRP; and • A new 636 hp pump station at the SEWRP to deliver the treated reclaimed water to the NWTP via a new 24-in, 6-mile transmission pipeline. Figure 6.6 depicts the relative locations of the infrastructure needed for the Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP strategy. Strategic Water Supply Plan 1Y f February 2013 6-15 tItlbock Figure 6.6 — Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP Map Quantity of Available Water This strategy is designed to treat and deliver an average of 9 mgd (10,089 ac-ft/yr) of treated reclaimed water to the NWTP each year. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4b'9O�f%k February 2013 6-16 Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 6.2. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • Concentrate reject from the RO plant will be injected into the Dockum Aquifer; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs are 30% of pipeline construction and 35% of other facilities constructed; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is estimated at 4.0%, and a 1 % return on investments over a 2-year period; • The project will be financed for 20 years at a 5.5% annual interest rate; and • The project is assumed to have a 2-year construction period. Strategic Water Supply Plan February 2013 6-17tl'uol'Voty�fk Table 6.2 — Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP Costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item I Costs Capital Costs Transmission Pipeline 24-in dia., 6 miles (SEWRP to NWTP) $5,163,000 Pump Station at SEWRP $4,266,000 Advanced Water Treatment at SEWRP (9 mgd, RO) $36,356,000 Dockum Aquifer Injection Well (RO Waste Disposal) $750,000 Total Capital Cost $46,535,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $16,029,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $0 Land Acquisition and Surveying (28 acres) $217,000 Interest During Construction (1 year) $4,395,000 Total Project Cost $67,176,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $5,621,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $166,000 Advanced Water Treatment Plant $2,384,000 Pumping Energy Costs (3,115,767 kwh @ 0.09 $/kwh) $356,000 Purchase of Water (ac-ft/yr @ $/ac-ft) $0 Total Annual Cost $8,527,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 10,089 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $845 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $2.59 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uj'��Woty�fAFebruary 2013 6-18 As shown, the total cost is estimated to be $67,176,000. Annual debt service is $5,621,000; and annual operational cost, including power, is $2,906,000. This results in a total annual cost of $8,527,000. The unit cost for 10,089 ac-ft/yr of supply at the NWTP is estimated to be $845 per ac-ft, or $2.59 per 1,000 gallons. This cost does not include the distribution of the potable water from the NWTP to potential customers. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues Since the RO treatment facilities are being constructed on property owned by Lubbock that is currently being used for similar purposes, environmental issues should be minimal. The transmission line corridor that will convey the reclaimed water should be selected to avoid potentially sensitive areas. Permittiny, Issues The TCEQ is currently developing potable reuse guidance requirements to be applied to proposed projects and to be used as the basis for reviewing permit applications. Treatment requirements for any reclaimed water as a drinking water source may consider the pretreatment program, influent wastewater quality, vulnerability assessment of the collection system, results of effluent quality sampling/monitoring data, and wastewater treatment process. Monitoring is likely to include Cryptosporidium (or a surrogate organism), other regulated contaminants, and may include contaminants on the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) Candidate Contaminate List (CCL), including Emerging Constituents of Concern (ECCs) and pharmaceuticals and personal care products (PPCPs). Other Issues Advanced treatment design considerations should include: • multiple process barriers; • redundancy and backup power sources; • alternate storage or discharge locations to divert reclaimed water from the potable distribution system during an acute episode; and • real time monitoring and regular sampling to ensure process performance and avoid any acute episode of pathogens in the reclaimed water. Strategic Water Supply Plan c►ryof February 2013 6-19 Lubbock This strategy includes advanced treatment with multiple barriers before transporting and discharging up to 9 mgd of reclaimed water into the raw water supply pipeline immediately upstream of the SWTP. The project processes reclaimed water from the SEWRP through advanced treatment (RO) to create a water supply that will be higher quality than the City's other raw water sources. The treated reclaimed water will be pumped to the SWTP and be blended with other raw water supplies and treated again prior to being introduced into the distribution system. Human health risks for direct potable reuse are equal or less than those of other water supply sources when full advanced treatment is used (reverse osmosis, advanced oxidation, and disinfection). These processes are effective for removing identified emerging constituents of concern and other contaminants, including pathogens, from treated wastewater. The major design features of this strategy include: • Property for the SEWRP expansion and SWTP expansion is owned by the City; • A 9 mgd RO water treatment plant constructed at the SEWRP; • A 1,900 ft. Dockum Aquifer injection well will be constructed to dispose of concentrate reject water generated from the RO plant; • A 0.45 mg ground storage tank and 500 hp pump station will be constructed at the • A 7.5 mile, 24-inch diameter transmission pipeline to deliver RO water to the SWTP. • A 9 mgd expansion of the SWTP's treatment facilities; and • A 4-mile, 42-in transmission pipeline to connect PS #14 to the Low Head B by- pass line that feeds PS #7 (see Figure 4.12) Figure 6.7 depicts the relative locations of the infrastructure needed for the Direct Potable Reuse to SWTP strategy. Strategic Water Supply Plan eRyoe February 2013 6-20 Lubbock Figure 6.7 — Direct Potable Reuse to SWTP Map Quantity of Available Water This strategy is designed to treat and deliver a peak amount of 9 mgd and an average amount of 10,089 ac-ft/yr of treated effluent to the SWTP. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u%Voy February 2013 6-21 Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 6.3. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • Concentrate reject from the RO plant will be injected into the Dockum Aquifer; • Right-of-way for pipeline is estimated at $8,712/acre; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs are 30% of pipeline construction and 35% of other facilities constructed; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is estimated at 4.0%, and a 1% return on investments over a 2-year period; and • The project will be financed for 20 years at a 5.5% annual interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'ujI�J�OCkFebruary 2013 6-22,��,: Table 6.3 — Direct Potable Reuse to SWTP Costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item I Costs Capital Costs Transmission Pipeline 24-in dia., 7.5 miles (from SEWRP to SWTP) $5,924,000 42-in dia., 4 miles (PS #14 to Low Head B By -Pass Line) $6,708,000 Transmission Pump Station(s) $2,760,000 Advanced Water Treatment at SEW" (9 mgd, RO) $36,356,000 SWTP Expansion (9 mgd) $16,522,000 Dockum Aquifer Injection Well (RO Waste Disposal) $750,000 Total Capital Cost $68,390,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $23,336,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $285,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (129 acres) $443,000 Interest During Construction (2 years) $3,236,000 Total Project Cost $95,690,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $8,007,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $191,000 Water Treatment Plants $3,803,000 Pumping Energy Costs (3,115,767 kwh @ 0.09 $/kwh) $280,000 Purchase of Water (ac-ft/yr @ $/ac-ft) $0 Total Annual Cost $12,281,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 10,089 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $1,217 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $3.74 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan tlubVowCk February 2013 6-23 ►E„z As shown, the total cost is estimated to be $95,690,000. Annual debt service is $8,007,000; and, annual operational cost, including power, is $4,274,000. This results in a total annual cost of $12,281,000. The unit cost for a 10,089 ac-ft/yr peaking supply is estimated to be $1,217 per ac-ft, or $3.74 per 1,000 gallons. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues Since the RO treatment facilities are being constructed on property owned by Lubbock that is currently being used for similar purposes, environmental issues should be minimal. The transmission line corridor that will convey the raw water to the SWTP should be designed to avoid any potentially sensitive areas. Permittin Issues ssues The TCEQ is currently developing potable reuse guidance requirements to be applied to proposed projects and to be used as the basis for reviewing permit applications. Treatment requirements for any reclaimed water as a drinking water source may consider the pretreatment program, influent wastewater quality, vulnerability assessment of the collection system, results of effluent quality sampling/monitoring data, and wastewater treatment process. Monitoring is likely to include Cryptosporidium (or a surrogate organism), other regulated contaminants, and may include contaminants on the USEPA Candidate Contaminate List (CCL), including Emerging Constituents of Concern (ECCs) and pharmaceuticals and personal care products (PPCPs). Other Issues Advanced treatment design considerations should include: • multiple process barriers; • redundancy and backup power sources; • alternate storage or discharge locations to divert reclaimed water from the potable distribution system during an acute episode; and • real time monitoring and regular sampling to ensure process performance and avoid any acute episode of pathogens in the reclaimed water. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4b'Vow�f% February 2013 6-24 Another potential indirect reuse strategy includes the discharge of treated effluent into the South Fork of the Double Mountain Fork of the Brazos River (South Fork) to increase the firm yield of LAH.6 The City operates an existing pipeline that transports reclaimed water from the SEWRP to the Hancock Land Application Site (HLAS) located north of the community of Wilson, Texas. This strategy extends the existing reclaimed water pipeline from the HLAS to a tributary on the South Fork enabling the City to discharge up to 9 mgd of reclaimed water into the South Fork. The discharged water will flow downstream and be stored in LAH. The additional water will be pumped to the SWTP via the LAH raw water pipeline. The major design features of this strategy include: • A new 9 mgd pump station at the HLAS; • An 18-mile, 24-in transmission pipeline to discharge reclaimed water into the South Fork tributary; • A stilling basin located at the discharge point of the 24-in transmission pipeline; • Expansion of the LAHPS and Post Pump Station (PPS); • The construction of the Southland Pump Station (SLPS); • A 7.3 mgd expansion of the SWTP and associated high service pump station; and • A 4-mile, 42-in transmission pipeline connecting PS #14 to the Low Head B by- pass line (see Figure 4.12). Figure 6.8 depicts the relative locations of the South Fork Discharge infrastructure needed. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'ulgotyCk February 2013 6-25 ,Ex Figure 6.8 — South Fork Discharge Map Quantity of Available Water The City will discharge up to 9 mgd of reclaimed water into the South Fork tributary. The water will flow 36 river miles to LAH where the water will be stored until it is pumped back to the SWTP. Carriage losses from the discharge point to LAH are estimated to be 19% or 1.7 mgd. Therefore, this strategy is estimated to provide an additional peak day of 7.3 mgd or an average of 8,183 ac-ft/yr of water supply. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u% b�Ck February 2013 6-26 TFx4f Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 6.4. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • Expansion costs for the LAHPS, PPS, and SLPS are included in costs; • Energy costs to transmit water through the LAHPS and pipeline are included; • Existing infrastructure will be used for transmission of treated water from the SWTP into the City's water distribution system; • Energy costs and upgrades to PS #14 were not included in transmission pipeline costs; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs are 30% of pipeline construction and 35% of other facilities constructed; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is estimated at 4.0%, and a 1% return on investments over a 2-year period; and • The project will be financed for 20 years at a 5.5% annual interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan tltl-1 o` GIC February 2013 6-27 TEa Table 6.4 — South Fork Discharge Costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item I Costs Capital Costs Intake and Pump Station (7.3 mgd) $2,730,000 Transmission Pipeline 24-in dia., 18 miles $12,016,000 42-in dia., 4 miles (PS #14 to Low Head B By -Pass Line) $6,708,000 Stilling Basin $34,000 LAH Pipeline Pump Station Expansions $9,437,000 SWTP Expansion (7.3 mgd) $13,995,000 Total Capital Cost $44,920,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $14,785,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $433,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (129 acres) $616,000 Interest During Construction (2 years) $4,254,000 Total Project Cost $65,018,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $5,441,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $256,000 SWTP $1,201,000 South Fork Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $188,000 LAH Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $1,747,000 Total Annual Cost $8,833,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 8,183 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $1,079 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $3.31 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4'� bbotoyekFebruary 2013 6-28 As shown, the total project cost is estimated to be $65,018,000. Annual debt service is $5,441,000; and, annual operational cost, including power, is $3,392,000. This results in a total annual cost of $8,833,000. The unit cost for 7.3 mgd or 8,183 ac-ft/yr of supply is estimated to be $1,079 per acre-foot, or $3.31 per 1,000 gallons. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues This strategy should have minimal impact on the environment since the return flows will be discharged into an existing river basin. The discharge parameters dictated by the TCEQ in the TPDES discharge permit that will be required should ensure that the treated effluent does not impair this segment of the South Fork. Mitigation for the impact to wildlife habitats has already been accomplished for LAH. Permittin Issues s The City's existing discharge permit (TPDES Permit WQ0010353002) will need to be amended to include an additional outfall on the South Fork. If the existing HLAS pipeline is used, the amendment must include a request to discharge up to 10,089 ac-ft annually into the South Fork. The current permit only authorizes the discharge of treated effluent at FM 400 and the North Fork (Outfall 001) and at the SEWRP (Outfall 007). A water rights permit will be required pursuant to the Texas Water Code Section 11.042 to authorize the conveyance and diversion of the associated return flows associated with the City's reclaimed water. In addition, authorization to construct the discharge facility will be required. Other Pipeline utility easements will be necessary to extend the existing reclaimed water pipeline to the South Fork. Easements will also be required for the construction of the stilling basin. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'ujIVOCk February 2013 6-29 ,s The North Fork Diversion to Lake Alan Henry Pump Station (NFD-LAHPS) is another potential indirect reuse strategy. Under this strategy, the City would discharge up to 9 mgd as permitted from Outfall 001. The water will travel approximately 67 miles downstream on the North Fork to the diversion site. Due to significant carriage losses, only 6.7 mgd of the discharged reclaimed water is estimated to be available for diversion. The water will then be pumped from the diversion site to the LAHPS. From the LAHPS, the water will be transported to the SWTP near Lubbock via the existing LAH raw water pipeline. The LAH pipeline's capacity was designed to transport up to 36 mgd of raw water (27 mgd of water from LAH and 9 mgd of water from other sources). The major design features of this strategy include: • Design flows associated with the intake structure adjusted for carriage losses; • Design associated with the intake, diversion pump station, and transmission pipeline excludes downtime allocation; • A new intake structure and a 394 hp pump station constructed at the diversion location. • The intake structure and diversion pump station include a small coffer dam to allow for the diversion of the reclaimed water at low flows; • A 5-mile, 27-in transmission pipeline to deliver the diverted water to the LAHPS; • Expansion of the LAHPS and PPS; • The construction of the SLPS; • A 6.7 mgd expansion of the SWTP and associated expansion of the high service pump station at the SWTP; and • A 4-mile, 42-in transmission pipeline connecting PS #14 to the Low Head B by- pass line (see Figure 4.12). Figure 6.9 depicts the relative locations of the NFD-LAHPS infrastructure needed. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u"'�bgo'y�fjSFebruary 2013 6-30 Figure 6.9 — North Fork Diversion to the Lake Alan Henry Pump Station Map This strategy could be combined with the North Fork Scalping Operation strategy (diverting storm water flows) described in Section 8.5 since both strategies could utilize the same diversion dam and lake. Quantity of Available Water The strategy is estimated to provide a constant 6.7 mgd or 7,510 ac-ft/yr of reclaimed water for treatment at the SWTP. This quantity is calculated based on 9 mgd of treated effluent being discharged by the City at Outfall 001 and being reduced by approximately 26% due to carriage losses between the discharge and diversion points on the North Fork. A similar strategy in the 2011 Region O Plan assumes that up to 17,444 ac-ft/yr would be available at the North Fork Diversion location by 2060. However, current estimates of the available reclaimed water for this strategy are less than was estimated in the 2011 Region O Plan. Strategic Water Supply Plan '° cityoe February 2013 6-31 1UbbOC Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 6.5. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • Expansion costs for the LAHPS, PPS, and SLPS are included in costs; • Energy costs to transmit water through the LAHPS and pipeline are not included; • Existing infrastructure will be used for transmission of treated water from the SWTP into the City's water distribution system; • Energy costs and upgrades to PS #14 were not included in transmission pipeline costs; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs are 30% of pipeline construction and 35% of other facilities constructed; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is estimated at 4.0%, and a 1 % return on investments over a 2-year period; and • The project will be financed for 20 years at a 5.5% annual interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'uf---b'9OGk February 2013 6-32 ,�, i ame o.5—iNortri work Diversion to the Lake Alan HenryFunig Station Costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item I Costs Capital Costs Intake and Pump Station (6.7 mgd) $4,508,000 Transmission Pipeline 27-in dia., 5 miles $3,372,000 42-in dia., 4 miles (PS #14 to Low Head B By -Pass Line) $6,708,000 LAH Pipeline Pump Station Expansions $9,077,000 SWTP Expansion (6.7 mgd) $12,976,000 Total Capital Cost $36,641,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $12,320,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $141,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (37 acres) $194,000 Interest During Construction (2 years) $3,451,000 Total Project Cost $52,747,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $4,414,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $213,000 SWTP $1,112,000 North Fork Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $220,000 LAH Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $1,601,000 Total Annual Cost $7,560,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 7,510 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $1,007 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $3.09 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan February 2013 6-33 tl'u4IV�cfA As shown, the total project cost is estimated to be $52,747,000. Annual debt service is $4,414,000; and, annual operational cost, including power, is $3,146,000. This results in a total annual cost of $7,560,000. The unit cost for 6.71 mgd or 7,510 ac-ft/yr supply is estimated to be $1,007 per ac-ft, or $3.09 per 1,000 gallons. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues The primary environmental issue related to this strategy is the change in land use from ranchland to a low water dam. Therefore, there will be an impact on animal habitats which must be mitigated. Studies will be necessary to determine the actual impact to cultural resources, wetlands, and threatened and endangered species. However, the construction of the diversion lake should have a low to moderate impact associated with most of these concerns.8 The sharpnose shiner and smalleye shiner exist along this part of the Brazos River Basin and may soon be included on the Federal threatened and endangered species list. Other threatened species that live in the region surrounding the North Fork include the Texas horned lizard and black -footed ferret. Permitting Issues The City started discharging at Outfall 001 in May 2003 under its existing discharge permit TPDES Permit 10353-002. Outfall 001 is permitted to discharge a maximum of 9.0 mgd (10,089 ac-ft/yr). In order to implement this strategy, the City would need to submit an application to the TCEQ for a new water use permit which includes a bed and banks authorization allowing for the transportation and diversion of up to 10,089 ac-ft annually (minus carriage losses) of the City's return flows at the diversion location. Additional permitting will be required to construct the proposed diversion facility. Other Issues The existing LAH raw water pipeline capacity is 38,112 ac-ft/yr.9 If the North Fork Diversion to Lake Alan Henry Pump Station strategy is employed alone, and not in conjunction with the NFSO (see section 8.5), the capacity of the pipeline should be sufficient. Property will need to be acquired at the proposed diversion location to accommodate the pumping facilities. In addition, pipeline utility easements will be necessary to construct a raw water transmission line to the LAHPS. Strategic Water Supply Plan � tyoe February 2013 6-34 tl'uj";bboCk 6.9 Reclaimed Water Aquifer Storage and Recovery Strategy The Reclaimed Water Aquifer Storage and Recovery (ASR) Strategy will treat and transport reclaimed water from the SEWRP to an ASR facility located northeast of the City. The reclaimed water will then be injected into the Ogallala Aquifer and then recovered approximately 1.25 miles downgradient. The injected water is assumed to flow in a southeasterly direction. The recovered water will be delivered to the NWTP for disinfection and blending with other treated water from CRMWA for distribution to customers. The major design features of this strategy include: • Ten Ogallala ASR injection wells with spacing of 1,200 feet or greater with one contingency or standby well; • Eight 700 gpm ASR recovery wells constructed at about 220 feet deep with horizontal spacing of 1,200 feet or greater with one contingency or standby well; • A 9 mgd advanced water treatment plant (RO) at the Lubbock SEWRP; • A Dockum Aquifer well used to dispose of the RO concentrate at the SEWRP; • A new 552 hp pump station at the SEWRP to deliver the treated reclaimed water to ground storage at the well field via a new 24-in, 7-mile transmission pipeline; • A booster pump station to deliver the reclaimed water from the ground storage to ASR wells for injection; • A new 20-in, 2.5 mile pipeline to deliver the recovered water to the NWTP. Due to the relatively small quantity of water being recovered, a booster pump station and ground storage were not deemed necessary for delivery to the NWTP; and • An expansion of the NWTP is necessary for additional chlorine disinfection. Figure 6.10 depicts the relative locations of the Reclaimed Water ASR wells and associated infrastructure. Strategic Water Supply Plan eityof February 2013 6-35 tIt-'ObboCk Figure 6.10 — Reclaimed Water Aquifer Storage and Recovery Infrastructure Quantity of Available Water This Reclaimed Water ASR strategy assumes that up to 9 mgd of reclaimed water will be sent to the ASR. However, due to nearby Ogallala irrigation wells, an estimated 20 percent of the original 9 mgd will be lost, leaving a final supply of 7.2 mgd (8,071 ac-ft/yr) for disinfection and distribution at the NWTP. Strategic Water Supply Plan eiryof February 2013 6-36 IUbbOCk T[�4T Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 6.6. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • Property for the well field can be purchased for $2,000 per acre, which is twice the average of rural lands in this part of the state; • Due to Ogallala irrigation wells in the vicinity of the ASR well field, it is assumed that 20% of the injected water will be lost to other wells before it is recovered; • The depth to the base of the Ogallala Aquifer is about 220 feet; • Additional costs for well field Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA), valves and pump controls were included in the strategy costs; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs is 30% of pipelines and 35% for other facilities; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is 4%, and a 1 % return on investments; • The project will be financed for 20-years at a 5.5% interest rate; and • The project is assumed to have a 2-year construction period. Strategic Water Supply Plan 6)' February 2013 6-37 Lubbock Table 6.6 — Reclaimed Water Aquifer Storage and Recovery costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item Costs Capital Costs Advance Water Treatment at SEWRP (9 mgd RO) $36,356,000 Disposal Well (1 Dockum well, 200 ft of pipeline) $750,000 Pump Station (from SEWRP to ASR Well Field) $3,834,000 Transmission Pipeline 24-in dia., 7 miles (SEWRP to ASR Well Field) $6,161,000 20-in dia., 2.5 miles (ASR to NWTP) $1,062,000 Injection Booster Station and Ground Storage Tank at ASR $1,132,000 ASR Injection Well Field (10 wells, 2.5 miles of distribution pipeline) $5,184,000 ASR Recovery Well Field (8 wells, 2.7 miles of collector pipeline) $3,930,000 ASR Well Field SCADA, Valving, Pumps $250,000 NWTP Modifications (7.8 mgd) $315,000 Total Capital Cost $58,974,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $20,279,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $1,280,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (1,470 acres) $1,752,000 Interest During Construction (1 year) $5,760,000 Total Project Cost $88,045,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $7,367,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $292,000 Water Treatment Plant $2,450,000 Transmission Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $331,000 ASR Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $344,000 Total Annual Cost $10,784,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 8,071 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $1,336 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $4.10 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4b' OC� February 2013 6-38 ,ES As shown, the total cost is estimated to be $88,045,000. Annual debt service is $7,367,000; and, annual operational cost, including power, is $3,417,000. This results in a total annual cost of $10,784,000. The unit cost for 8,071 ac-ft/yr of supply at the NWTP is estimated to be $1,336 per ac-ft, or $4.10 per 1,000 gallons. This cost does not include the distribution of the potable water from the NWTP to potential customers. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues The installation of wells and collection pipelines should be planned and installed so that sensitive habitats, cultural resources, and other environmentally sensitive areas are avoided. PermittingIssues ssues The City does not own groundwater rights in the area of interest. Groundwater rights will need to be purchased so wells can be drilled within the proposed ASR area. The City will need to acquire permits from the High Plains Underground Water Conservation District No. 1. The design and construction of public water supply wells and water transmission facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. In addition, the High Plains Underground Water Conservation District No. 1 will need to promulgate rules regarding ASR projects. There may also be permitting obligations pursuant to Texas Water Code Section 11.154 depending upon regulatory characterization of the associated return flows. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4bVow�fAFebruary 2013 6-39 1 Water for Texas : 2012 State Water Plan. Texas Water Development Board. January 2012: 194. 2 Third Amendment to Contract between the City of Lubbock and Southwestern Public Service for the sale and purchase of treated sewage effluent. July 28, 2009: Resolution 2009-R0271. 3 Wastewater Master Plan. City of Lubbock, Texas. Jacobs Engineering, Inc. 2009. 4 Canyon Lakes Water Reuse Project: Preliminary Engineering Report. Alan Plummer Associates, Inc. March 2012. 5 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: 4-199 — 4-213. 6 Strategic Water Supply Plan. City of Lubbock. July 2007: section 12. 7 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: 4-202. 8 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: 4-206 — 4-211. 9 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: 4-179. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'uf----bV6"'�fAFebruary 2013 6-40 7.0 Groundwater Strategies Groundwater has always been a vital source of water for Lubbock. When the first municipal water system was constructed for the City in 1911, it consisted of one well pumping water from the Ogallala Aquifer. The City relied solely upon groundwater until 1968 when surface water from Lake Meredith was made available (see Figure 3.1). 7.1 Groundwater Sources The TWDB recognizes 30 major and minor aquifers in the State of Texas. Aquifers that supply large quantities of water over large areas of the state are defined as major aquifers. Aquifers that supply relatively small quantities of water over large areas of the state or supply large quantities of water over small areas of the state are defined as minor aquifers. Each aquifer has unique characteristics! The major aquifers in Texas are depicted in Figure 7.1 and the minor aquifers are depicted in Figure 7.2. Hueco-M"11 Edwards-Tri Figure 7.1— Major Aquifers (Map courtesy of TWDB2) rrizo-Wilcox Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uf-bbOCkFebruary 2013 7-1,E:�: The Ogallala and Seymour aquifers are the major aquifers in Lubbock's region. The Edwards -Trinity (High Plains) and the Dockum aquifers are the minor aquifers in the Lubbock region. Edwards Trinity (High Plains) Capitan Reef Bone Spring-VkAorio Peak West Texas Bolsons Ellenburger-San Saba Figure 7.2 — Minor Aquifers (Map courtesy of TVWDB3) Ogallala Aquifer The High Plains of Texas lies above the largest groundwater formation in the State of Texas, known as the Ogallala Aquifer. The Ogallala has been the main source of potable and agriculture water in the Lubbock region since the early 1900s. However, only 5% of the Ogallala groundwater on the Southern High Plains is used for domestic purposes.4 Most of the water is used for irrigating crops. Because of the heavy agricultural activities on the Southern High Plains for over 100 years, the saturated thickness levels have dropped significantly. Figure 7.3 depicts the saturated thickness of the Ogallala Aquifer in 2008. The figure demonstrates that the portion of the Ogallala Aquifer to the north of Lubbock near Amarillo contains the greatest volumes of groundwater in the Texas portion of the aquifer. Historically, groundwater use in this region has been minor, primarily for cattle grazing with windmills used to pump relatively small quantities of groundwater for stock tanks. Strategic Water Supply Plan tlVty t1bOCk February 2013 7-2 iEXAf Oldham I Potter -, coo Hall cruiaress Hardeman Motley Cottle Foard Dickens King Knox Garza Kent Stonewall Haskell Borden I Scurry Fisher I Jones Saturated Thickness DO-50ft �eG4�s Mitchell 50.1 - 100 ft 100.1 -150 ft 150.1 - 200 ft Ector lasscock Stettin Coke 200.1 - 300 ft Winkler idland g 300.1 - 400 ft 0 60 100 Mies 400.1 - 500 ft Figure 7.3- Saturated Thicknesses of the Ogallala Aquifer (Data courtesy of the Center for Geospatial Technology at Texas Tech University, 20085) Figure 7.4 depicts the saturated thicknesses of groundwater in Lubbock County. Several studies have evaluated the potential for using the groundwater underlying the City of Lubbock and Lubbock County. However, the saturated thickness of the groundwater in Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4l]%�cfjS February 2013 7-3 Lubbock County has declined greatly from heavy agricultural irrigation over the past 100 years, and wells in many areas of the county produce less than 30 gpm. There exists little potential for long-term development of groundwater within Lubbock County. 0-50ft 50.1 -100 ft 100,1 -150 ft 150.1 - 200 ft 200.1 - 300 ft 300.1 - 400 ft 400.1 - 500 ft Figure 7.4 — Saturated Thickness of the Ogallala Aquifer in Lubbock County (Data courtesy of the Center for Geospatial Technology at Texas Tech University, 20086) Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uflVty f February 2013 7-4 lEx.: The Parks and Recreation Department has historically been among the City's top water users. In 2006, the City began evaluating ways to reduce the amount of potable water used to irrigate its parks. In the 2007 Strategic Water Supply Plan, the City indicated that there were 78 parks with a total water demand of 1.356 billion gallons per year or 4,161 ac- ft/yr.7 Of these 78 parks, it was determined that it was not feasible to irrigate 20 of the parks with groundwater from the Ogallala Aquifer. Nine parks are irrigated with water diverted from the Jim Bertram Lake System as discussed in Section 8.1. From 2007 and 2008, 26 water wells were installed throughout 18 different City -owned parks (encompassing 319 acres) as depicted in Figure 7.5. Figure 7.5 — Location of Parks with Groundwater Wells Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4lUOCk February 2013 7-5 TpIAt Due to the production rates of these wells and time -of -day irrigation restrictions at City parks, irrigation of the parks requires supplemental supply from the City's potable water system to operate properly. Over the last five years, this initiative has helped conserve roughly half of the potable water used to irrigate the 18 parks in which wells were installed. The total annual amount of water conserved represents less than 1 % of the City's total potable water demand. Table 7.1 shows the volumes of water saved each year. Table 7.1— Potable Water Conserved at Citv Parks Potable Water Conserved Percent of Year (Well Water Used, ac-ft/yr) Total Annual Demand 2008 70.8 0.2% 2009 100.7 0.3% 2010 249.4 0.7% 2011 218.6 0.5% 2012 147.6 0.4% Edwards -Trinity Aquifer The Edwards -Trinity Aquifer is a Cretaceous -aged minor aquifer located on the Southern High Plains of Texas and New Mexico (see Figure 7.6). The Edwards -Trinity spans approximately 9,000 square miles and lies just underneath the Ogallala Aquifer and above the Dockum Aquifer. Approximately 95% of the water pumped from this aquifer is used for irrigation.9 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u"�WOCf February 2013 7-6 zEAs Bailey Lamb Hale Floyd Cocfiran Ho"y Lubbodc Crosby Yoakum Terry _ Lynn Garza ---------------- Grains Oawsort Borden N Outcrop 1 40 Miles Figure 7.6 —Edwards-Trinity Aquifer (Map courtesy of TWDB 10) Figure 7.7 shows a cross-section of the Southern High Plains. The Edwards Trinity Aquifer is located within the blue Cretaceous layer (for reference, the Ogallala is yellow and the Dockum is purple). In certain locations where the soils are permeable and the dividing formations are thin, water will move between the Edwards -Trinity and the Ogallala, constituting the main source of recharge for the Edwards -Trinity Aquifer.I I There is a limited quantity of water in the Edwards -Trinity. The average yield for an Edwards -Trinity well is between 50-200 gpm, with maximum yields reported at over 1,000 gpm.12 In 2010, the total estimated yield from the Edwards -Trinity was 4,160 ac-ft/yr. This is expected to diminish to 2,065 ac-ft/yr by 2060.13 Water quality in the Edwards -Trinity varies by location, ranging from fresh to slightly brackish. The typical range for TDS is between 1,000 — 2,000 mg/L.14 However, maximum TDS values can reach 20,000 mg/L in extremely low -quality areas.15 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uJI V toy Ck February 2013 7-7 rr«as 3,600 3,500 3,400 3,300 c 3,200 a 3,100 -4 3.000 LU 2,900 2,800 2,700 2,600 a 3, V U �i M C 3,4 3, 3.� uJ 3,1 2, 2, Gals Yoakum Terry HockleY ! Lubbock 44 1 Wes Figure 7.7 — Cross -Sections of the Southern High Plains (Map courtesy of TWDB16) Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4'�UbOCk February 2013 7-8 ,Ex.a Dockum Aquifer The Dockum Aquifer is a minor aquifer found in the northwest part of Texas, as depicted in Figure 7.8. The formation underlies all counties from Castro to Upton, including Bailey and Lubbock counties. However, the figure does not depict the formation under these two counties because data regarding the characteristics of the Dockum Aquifer is sparce in these areas. N 100 Miles 702 Figure 7.8 — Dockum Aquifer (Map courtesy of TWDB 17) This aquifer is defined stratigraphically by the Dockum Group and includes four formations (from oldest to youngest): the Santa Rosa, the Tecovas, the Trujillo Sandstone, and the Cooper Canyon. The highest groundwater yields come from the Santa Rosa sandstones at the base of the Dockum. The Dockum is approximately 2,000 feet deep in Strategic Water Supply Plan (1 tlhVtCt February 2013 7 iEtAf the Lubbock area and contains high concentrations of chlorides and TDS. The TWDB's Final Report: Groundwater Availability Model for the Dockum Aquifer indicates that there "has not been widespread use of the Dockum Aquifer because of poor water quality, low yields, declining water levels, and deep pumping depth. ,18 Because of low use of this aquifer, very little data exist for the Lubbock region. Figure 7.9 depicts the base of the Dockum Aquifer, and Figure 7.10 depicts the concentrations of TDS in the formation. ® Base of Dockurn Elevation �. 111031 gE 5.001- 3,200 ® 5,201- 5.400 iState Line i Model. - Downdip Aquifer Limit County Boundaries Control Point Figure 7.9 — Base of the Dockum Aquifer (Map courtesy of TWDB19) Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u"10 OCk February 2013 7-10 if%4S .., • • 7 , 9 'e"' ` •{ R1,01 a L • Eddy �` Miles �. Kent I Stonewall 1 11 Ion Balance isher + Unbalanced Jones o Balanced TDS (mg/1) Taylor C1 ,000 Nolan w' 1,000 - 5,000 Coke Runnels 5,000-10,000 10,000 - 20,000 Tom Green >20,000 State Lines Model Boundary t3cNelcner Downdip Aquifer Limit s,,,,,o„ Counties Figure 7.10 — Dockum TDS Concentrations,1981-1996 (Map courtesy of T)VDB20) Seymour Aquifer The Seymour Formation is one of the nine major aquifers in Texas, but would be a poor groundwater supply option for the City of Lubbock. The formation is located a considerable distance to the east of Lubbock, and the water quality and aquifer yield are very inconsistent. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4b"Vovo�fFebruary 2013 7-11t4f C Figure 7.11— Seymour Aquifer (Map courtesy of TWDB21) 7.2 Groundwater Usage Regulations In Texas, groundwater usage is legally recognized as a private property interest subject to the rule of capture and limited by regulation by local Groundwater Conservation Districts (GCDs). There are 119 GCDs across the state. Because of the size of many of the aquifers in Texas, numerous conservation districts manage the resources from a given aquifer. For example, Lubbock and Bailey Counties are part of the High Plains Underground Water Conservation District No. 1, while Roberts County is part of the Panhandle Groundwater Conservation District. Strategic Water Supply Plan tlu4l'Vov�fkFebruary 2013 7-12 In 1995, Groundwater Management Areas (GMAs) were created "in order to provide for the conservation, preservation, protection, recharging, and prevention of waste of the groundwater, and of groundwater reservoirs or their subdivisions, and to control subsidence caused by withdrawal of water from those groundwater reservoirs or their subdivisions, consistent with the objectives of Section 59, Article XVI, Texas Constitution..." (Texas Water Code §35.001) Added by Acts 1995, 74th Leg., ch. 933, §2, eff. Sept. 1, 1995. The creation of GMAs made it possible to establish common groundwater management goals among multiple GCDs. The TWDB was delegated responsibility to delineate GMAs, and subsequently divided Texas into 16 GMAs in 2002 (Figure 7.12). These areas correspond roughly to aquifer boundaries in the State and help State agencies regulate different aspects of groundwater usage. Figure 7.12 — Groundwater Management Areas in Texas (Map courtesy of TWD1322) The Texas Legislature mandated that by September 1, 2010, GCDs must establish Desired Future Conditions (DFCs) for aquifers in each GMA. These DFCs may differ across GMAs and impact the amount of groundwater that can be pumped from a given aquifer on an annual basis. Most of Lubbock's current or potential groundwater supplies are located within GMA # 1 or #2. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'uf--*bVtY f February 2013 7-13 �Ex�s 7.3 Roberts County Well Field Capacity Maintenance Strategy The RCWF produces water from the Ogallala Aquifer. For operational sustainability and flexibility, CRMWA maintains a production capacity in the RCWF that is 30% greater than the capacity of the transmission line from the RCWF to the main CRMWA Aqueduct. The target capacity of the RCWF is 93 mgd. The maximum capacity of the transmission line is 65 mgd. As is common in Ogallala well fields, the RCWF's capacity continues to decline over time with consistent utilization. Eventually, replacement wells become necessary to maintain capacity. This RCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM) strategy is designed to maintain the RCWF's capacity at 93 mgd. Modeling by Lee Wilson & Associates (CRMWA's hydrogeologists) estimates that 11 replacement wells will be needed approximately every 30 years in order to sustain a production of 65 mgd and maintain the 93 mgd RCWF capacity. The major design features of this strategy include: • Eleven new wells constructed 950 feet deep; • On average, each well will operate at 1,768 gpm with a peak production of 2,250 gpm; • New wells will be located on property where CRMWA holds the interest in groundwater rights; and • No additional treatment is included in the costs. Figure 7.13 depicts the relative locations of the well field and associated infrastructure needed. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4lb�OCk February 2013 7-14 ,E��, Figure 7.13 — Potential New Well Locations for the RCWF Capacity Maintenance Strategy Quantity of Available Water The RCWF Capacity Maintenance strategy is designed to maintain the target RCWF capacity of 93 mgd. Under this strategy, the City's allocation from CRMWA will remain at 24,088 ac-ft/yr and the transmission line from the RCWF to the CRMWA Aqueduct will remain near capacity (65 mgd) at all times. The wells in this strategy increase the RCWF capacity by 28 mgd (11 wells producing approximately 1,768 gpm each). Therefore, the new wells are assumed to provide an annual supply of 7,252 ac-ft/yr, which is equivalent to 28/93rds of the 24,088 ac-ft/yr supply, based upon the new wells' pro-rata contribution to the total capacity of the well field. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4�bbtCk February 2013 7-15 ,Ex.s Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 7.2. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • City of Lubbock will pay for 37.058% of the costs for this project, which is the City's allocation of water from CRMWA; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs are 35% for facilities required by this strategy; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is 4.0%, and a 1.0% return on investments; and • The project will be financed for 20-years at a 5.5% interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan of February 2013 7-16 tl'u6bV6ck Table 7.2 — RCWF Capacity Maintenance Costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Estimated Lubbock's Item Costs Portion 37.058% Capital Costs Transmission Pipeline (0 miles) $0 Transmission Pump Station(s) $0 Well Fields (11 wells, 2,250 gpm, 950 ft deep; 48,000 ft collection piping) $18,398,000 Distribution $0 Relocations & Other $0 Total Capital Cost $18,398,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $6,439,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $277,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (6 acres) $0 Interest During Construction (1 year) $878,000 Total Project Cost $25,942,000 $9,614,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $2,171,000 $805,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $184,000 $68,000 Pumping Energy Costs (8,740,445 kwh @ 0.09 $/kwh) $787,000 $292,000 Purchase of Water $0 Total Annual Cost $3,142,000 $1,165,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 19,516 7,252 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $161 $161 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $0.49 $0.49 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan �tyO February 2013 7-17 tl'uf--b* bock As shown, the total cost is estimated to be $25,942,000. Annual debt service is $2,171,000; and, annual operational cost, including power, is $971,000. This results in a total annual cost of $3,142,000. CRMWA project and operational costs are shared amongst the 11 member cities. Lubbock's share of the project is 37.058% which will result in an annual cost estimated at $1,165,000. Based on the annual allocation of 7,252 ac-ft/yr, the unit cost is estimated to be $161 per acre-foot, or $0.49 per 1,000 gallons. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues The installation of wells and collection pipelines should be planned so that sensitive habitats, cultural resources, and other environmentally sensitive areas are avoided. PermittingIssues Currently, CRMWA owns the groundwater interests in over 400,000 acres of property. Wells will be drilled within this area. The City will need to secure well drilling permits from the Panhandle Groundwater Conservation District. The design and construction of public water supply wells and water transmission facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. Other Wells will be placed on properties where CRWMA owns the water rights which include the rights to surface improvements to extract and convey their groundwater. Strategic Water Supply Plan t_1uf_-*bV6'YCk February 2013 7-18 ,Es 7.4 Bailey County ' i Capacity Maintenane Strategy The BCWF produces water from the Ogallala Aquifer. The BCWF's capacity has decreased sharply the last few years because the City has needed to produce more from the BCWF than desired in order to compensate for a reduction in supply coming from Lake Meredith. In 2010, the BCWF's capacity was 50 mgd. In 2012, the well field's capacity had dropped to 38 mgd. The transmission line from the BCWF to Lubbock's distribution system can deliver a peak capacity of 40 mgd. The City has two goals for the BCWF. The first goal is to maintain a 13CWF capacity that is 10 mgd greater than the transmission line capacity. This will continue to allow the City to rotate, rest, and repair wells as needed. The City's second goal is to reserve the BCWF for meeting peak demand during summer months. In order to effectively meet these goals, it is recommended that the City produce less than 7,000 ac-ft/yr from the BCWF.23 The City is currently using two to three times more than this recommended production rate. The proposed BCWF CM strategy consists of two phases (Initial CM (ICM) and CM-1) that will assist the City in achieving its goals regarding the BCWF. The ICM includes the installation of 34 wells that will restore the BCWF to a 50 mgd capacity. It is anticipated that the ICM will maintain capacity for 10 years, after which time additional well field maintenance will be needed. According to Daniel B. Stephens & Associates' (DBS&A) October 2012 modeling report,24 10 replacement wells will be required every 10 years after the ICM to maintain the capacity in the BCWF using an estimated well field production rate of 10,000 ac-ft/yr. While capacity maintenance will be needed every 10 years, this strategy only considers a 20 year project period in which the ICM and CM-1 are implemented in order to compare this strategy to other strategies in this Plan. The major design features of this strategy include: • Construction of 34 wells during the ICM; • Construction of 10 replacement wells 10 years after ICM is implemented (CM-1); • Wells are assumed to be constructed to 220 feet deep and operate at 250 gpm; • Wells are located on existing City water rights properties; • No additional treatment is included in the costs; Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u-1-**bV6v'�'fkFebruary 2013 7-19S • Approximately 15.5 miles of 6-inch to 24-inch diameter collection pipe is required for the ICM; • Approximately 3.8 miles of 6-inch to 24-inch diameter collection pipe is required for CM-1; and • Delivery pressure is assumed to be 30 pounds per square inch (psi) at the connection to the original well field. Figure 7.14 depicts the relative locations of the well field and associated infrastructure needed. Figure 7.14 — Potential New Well Locations for BCWF Capacity Maintenance Strategy Quantity of Available Water The BCWF Capacity Maintenance strategy is designed to restore the total BCWF capacity to 50 mgd (ICM) and then maintain this capacity for at least 20 years (ICM and CM-1). Under this strategy, the City will produce an average of 10,000 ac-ft/yr of water from the BCWF. The wells in the ICM phase of the project increase the BCWF capacity by 12 mgd (34 wells producing approximately 250 gpm each). Therefore, the ICM wells are assumed to provide an annual supply of 2,400 ac-ft/yr, which is equivalent to 12/50ths of the 10,000 ac-ft/yr supply, based upon the new wells' pro-rata contribution to the total capacity of the Strategic Water Supply Plan tI'uf-'*bbtQf February 2013 7-20 ,Exx� well field. These wells are assumed to be utilized during June -September, or about 120 days per year. Future phases (CM-1, CM-2, etc.) will consist of installing 10 wells every 10 years, providing 3.6 mgd (10 wells at approximately 250 gpm each) of capacity to offset overall capacity declines from the system. Future wells will provide an annual supply of 720 ac- ft/yr, which is 3.6/50ths of the 10,000 ac-ft/yr supply, based on the wells' pro -rate contribution to the total capacity of the well field. The wells are anticipated to be utilized during June -September, or about 120 days per year. Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 7.3. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs are 35% for facilities constructed for this strategy; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is estimated at 4.0%, and a 1 % return on investments over a 2-year period; and • The project will be financed for 20 years at a 5.5% annual interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4l VOCk February 2013 7-21 icss Table 7.3 — BCWF Capacity Maintenance Costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item Estimated Costs Initial CM Future CM Total Capital Costs Initial Expansion (ICM) ICM Well Field (34 wells, 250 gpm) $8,951,000 Well Collection System (15.5 miles — 6, 8, 12, 24-in dia.) $4,387,000 Continued Expansion (CM-1, etc.) CM Well Field (10 wells, 250 gpm) $2,633,000 Well Collection System (3.8 miles — 6, 8, 12, 16-in dia.) $1,392,000 Total Capital Cost $13,338,000 $4,025,000 $17,363,00 0 Engineering, Legal Costs, and $4,668,000 $1,409,000 $6,077,000 Contingencies Environmental & Archaeology Studies $388,000 $95,000 $483,000 and Mitigation Land Acquisition and Surveying (17 $0 $0 $0 acres) Interest During Construction (1 year) $644,000 $194,000 838,000 Total Project Cost $19,038,000 $5,723,000 $24,761,00 0 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $1,593,000 $479,000 $2,072,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $133,000 $40,000 $173,000 Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $127,000 $25,000 $152,000 Purchase of Water $0 $0 $0 Total Annual Cost $1,853,000 $544,000 $2,397,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 2,400 720 3,120 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $722 $756 $768 Annual Cost of Water ($ per $2.37 $2.32 $2.36 1,000gallons) Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'uf---*bV6v�fkFebruary 2013 7-22 Costs are separated into ICM (12 mgd project) and Future CM (3.6 mgd increments). As shown, the total cost for the first 34 wells (ICM) to provide 12 mgd of capacity is estimated to be $19,038,000. Annual debt service is $1,593,000; and, annual operational cost, including power, is $260,000 resulting in a total annual cost of $1,853,000 for ICM wells. The unit cost for a 2,400 ac-ft/yr supply is estimated to be $772 per ac-ft, or $2.367 per 1,000 gallons. The cost of future phases (CM-1, etc.) were estimated using the same assumptions and pricing. Total project costs every 10 years for expansions are $5,723,000. Annual costs will increase by $544,000 with the future phases. Annual unit costs are estimated to be $756/ac-ft for future phases. For evaluation and ranking of strategies (Section 10), costs for the ICM and one future phase (CM-1) are utilized. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues The installation of wells and collection pipelines should be planned and installed so that sensitive habitats, cultural resources, and other environmentally sensitive areas are avoided. PermittingIssues ssues The City already owns groundwater rights on 83,305 acres of contiguous property, and wells will be drilled within this area. The City will need to acquire permits from the High Plains Underground Conservation District No. 1, and the design and construction of public water supply wells and water transmission facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. Other Wells will be placed on properties where the City owns the water rights, which include the rights to surface improvements to extract and convey their groundwater. Future CMs (CM-1, CM-2, etc.) must be implemented every 10 years to maintain the BCWF capacity. Additional wells will be necessary beyond the 20 year project life under which this strategy was evaluated. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4��?btGf February 2013 7-23,�s 7.5 Roberts County Well Field - New Transmission Line oAqueduct With the decline in yield from Lake Meredith, CRMWA is planning to expand its groundwater supplies for delivery through the surface water delivery system. This strategy consists of expanding the RCWF and well field transmission pipeline capacity for delivery to the CRMWA Aqueduct. Currently a 54-inch diameter transmission line with a 65 mgd capacity delivers water from the RCWF west toward Borger and then south to Amarillo. A new 54-inch diameter transmission line will be constructed using a new right-of-way to deliver supplies to the CRMWA Aqueduct. Additional wells will also be necessary to increase the RCWF capacity to match the increased pipeline capacity. Eventually, replacement wells will be necessary to maintain the proposed RCWF capacity. Two 54-inch diameter transmission lines delivering water from the RCWF could deliver a peak supply of 130 mgd to the CRMWA Aqueduct (65 mgd from each pipeline). Lubbock's portion would be 48.2 mgd (37.058% of the total CRMWA water available). However, the current capacity of the CRMWA Aqueduct between Amarillo and Lubbock is 53 mgd, of which Lubbock's allocation is approximately 42 mgd (see Figure 4.9). Therefore, while this strategy could supply up to 48.2 mgd to Lubbock if the transmission lines are operating at a full capacity of 65 mgd each, the aqueduct can only deliver a maximum supply of 42 mgd to Lubbock. The major design features of this strategy include: • Twenty new Ogallala wells will be constructed to a depth of 950 feet and operate at 2,050 gpm per well; • All new wells are located on CRMWA property; • Approximately 72 miles of 54-inch diameter transmission pipeline is required; • Three booster pump stations sized for 65 mgd; and • No additional treatment is included in the costs. Figure 7.15 depicts the relative locations of the well field, new wells, transmission lines, and associated infrastructure needed. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4b'VOCk February 2013 7-24 fE,: Figure 7.15 — RCWF — New Transmission Line to Aqueduct Strategy Quantity of Available Water It is assumed that CRMWA will operate the new transmission line between RCWF and the CRMWA Aqueduct at 80% of its 65 mgd capacity. Thererfore, Lubbock's incremental increase in annual allocation from CRMWA will be 21,583 ac-ft/yr (65 mgd x 1120 ac- ft/yr/mgd x 0.8 x 0.37058). Consequently, the CRMWA Aqueduct between Plainview and Lubbock will be flowing near its peak capacity of 53 mgd with Lubbock's portion of the peak capacity of 42 mgd. Under this strategy, Lubbock's total CRMWA allocation is calculated as follows: Lubbock's current CRMWA allocation: 24,088 ac-ft/yr Additional supply with new transmission line: 21,583 ac-ft/yr Lubbock's total new CRMWA supply: 45,671 ac-ft/yr Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u-r1WtGf February 2013 7-25 Tex,: Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 7.4. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • The City will pay for 37.058% of the costs for this project; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs are 35% for facilities required by this strategy; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is 4.0%, and a 1.0% return on investments; and • The project will be financed for 20-years at a 5.5% interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan f1'u1--*bVO�ft February 2013 7-26 Table 7.4 — RCWF — New Transmission Line to Aqueduct Costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Estimated Lubbock's Item Costs Portion 37.058% Capital Costs Transmission Pipeline 54 in dia., 72 miles $113,802,000 Transmission Pump Stations (9,500 hp; 10,400 hp, 9,600 $46,809,000 hp) Well Fields (20 wells, 2050 gpm) $34,409,000 Water Treatment Plant $0 Distribution $0 Relocations & Other $0 Total Capital Cost $195,020,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $62,567,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $2,190,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (373 acres) $3,331,000 Interest During Construction (2 years) $18,418,000 Total Project Cost $281,526,000 $104,328,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 30 years) $23,558,000 $8,730,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $2,585,000 $958,000 Pumping Energy Costs (191,602,615 kwh @ 0.09 $/kwh) $17,244,000 $6,390,000 Purchase of Water $0 Total Annual Cost $43,387,000 $16,078,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 58,240 21,583 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $745 $745 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $2.29 $2.29 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan Lubb. ov k c February 2013 7-27 As shown, the total cost is estimated to be $281,526,000 for facilities to provide peaking capacity of 65 mgd. Annual debt service is $23,558,000; and, annual operational cost, including power, is $19,829,000. This results in a total annual cost of $43,387,000. The unit cost for the average annual supply is $745/ac-ft or $2.29 per 1,000 gallons. These costs are for delivery of water to Lubbock's terminal storage reservoir and not for any subsequent treatment or transmission from the reservoir. The supply and costs from this strategy will be shared by other CRMWA members. Lubbock's annual cost will be 37.058% of the total annual cost or $16,078,000. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues The installation of wells and collection pipelines should be planned so that sensitive habitats, cultural resources, and other environmentally sensitive areas are avoided. CRMWA should seek to minimize environmental impact when planning the route for the new 54-inch transmission pipeline. Permitting Issues Currently, CRMWA owns the groundwater interests in over 400,000 acres of property and wells will be drilled within this area. The City will need to secure permits from the Panhandle Groundwater Conservation District and the design and construction of public water supply wells and water transmission facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. Other Wells will be placed on properties where CRMWA owns the water rights which include the rights to surface improvements to extract and convey their groundwater. However, an easement will need to be acquired for the new transmission pipeline. Strategic Water Supply Plan tlt bO 9toy k February 2013 7-28 ,E,: 4' t- This ASR strategy will store water purchased from CRMWA during the fall, winter, and spring in the Ogallala Aquifer and recover the water during June through September. The ASR project aids in balancing the CRMWA deliveries by increasing the deliveries during periods of relatively low winter demands and decreasing demands on the CRMWA system during the summer. Such a project could either delay or eliminate the need for additional wells in Roberts County and/or another transmission line or aqueduct. The raw CRMWA water will be delivered to the NWTP, treated, delivered, and injected into a new ASR well field about two miles east of the NWTP. Later, this water will be recovered and delivered to the NWTP, disinfected, and blended with other treated water from CRMWA for distribution. The framework for this option follows a 2011 CDM Smith report titled Canadian River Municipal Water Authority Aquifer Storage and Recovery Facility: Project Delivery Plan.25 The major design features of this strategy include: • Raw water from CRMWA sources will be treated at NWTP; • A new PS at the NTWP will deliver the treated water to ground storage at the ASR well field; • A PS to deliver treated water from the ground storage tank to ASR wells for injection; • Installation of 45 Ogallala ASR wells. Five of the wells are considered to be contingency or standby wells. Their spacing is 1,200 feet or greater; • Pumps will deliver recovered water to the ground storage at the ASR well field. • A PS will deliver the recovered water to the NWTP; • The recovered water will be disinfected and delivered to the NWTP for blending with treated water from the CRMWA supply. Then, the blended water will be pumped into the distribution system; and Strategic Water Supply Plan t1-'uf--0W6v"�tFebruary 2013 7-29 Figure 7.16 depicts the relative locations of the ASR wells and associated infrastructure. Figure 7.16 — CRMWA to Aquifer Storage and Recovery Infrastructure Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u-f-'*bbOCf February 2013 7-30 TEx,s Figure 7.17 is a schematic showing how the proposed new ASR infrastructure will interact with the existing NWTP facilities. ---------- Raw Water A%c11itLes------------------�. ..---------- ' f ASR Wel I Flel d 1 Tti,u-ar "Pam or CL v North .^ Grourd Pump ii WTp Injection storage station To ASR WMa i Ground Recovery UJ Storage p pLan F Pump b s i Station �_ +� Wail. t it r I % i i TreatedWa}tern---------------------------------------- Figure 7.17 — ASR System Schematic Quantity of Available Water The strategy assumes that the new transmission line from the RCWF to the CRMWA Aqueduct will be built. As a result, Lubbock's share of the CRMWA water supply will be 45,671 ac-ft/yr. The portion of water available to inject into the aquifer is assumed to be 50% during four winter months each year. This results in an average of 7,612 ac-ft/yr of water available for storage in ASR. The loss of water in ASR storage is assumed to be 20%. As a result, the average annual recovery is 6,090 ac-ft/yr. Recovery would be during four summer months. Peak design capacity is assumed to be 40 mgd, which provides a peaking factor of about 2.4. Strategic Water Supply Plan tI'u-r-**bbOCk February 2013 7-31 ,�„: Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 7.5. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • A high -capacity Ogallala production well will produce 700 gpm (1.0 mgd); • The depth to the base of the Ogallala is 220 feet; • The migration of the injected water will be minimal. However, there are Ogallala irrigation wells in the vicinity of the ASR well field. For purposes of this plan, it's assumed that 20% of the stored water would be lost to other wells; • Raw water treatment will be provided at no cost to the ASR project. Water will be treated and delivered during November - February when there is unused capacity in the NWTP; • Property for the ASR well field can be purchased for $2,000 per acre (inclusive of water rights), which is twice the average of rural lands in this part of the state; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs is 30% of pipelines and 35% for other facilities; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is 4.0%, and a 1.0% return on investments; and • The project will be financed for 20-years at a 5.5% interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4bWov�fkFebruary 2013 7-32 I able '/.�) — UK1v1WA to and Kecovery Uosts Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item I Costs Capital Costs Pump Station at Water Treatment Plant $1,718,000 Pump Station and Ground Storage at ASR Well Field $4,180,000 Pump Station at ASR Well Field to ASR Wells $1,449,000 Transmission Pipeline 48 in dia., 3 miles (SWTP and ASR Well Field) $4,554,000 ASR Well Field (45 ASR wells, 11 miles of collector pipelines) $23,876,000 Water Treatment Plant (40 mgd, chlorination only) $1,710,000 ASR Well Field SCADA, Valving and Pumps $1,000,000 Total Capital Cost $38,487,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $13,243,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $2,880,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (1,470 acres) $3,311,000 Interest During Construction (1 year) $2,028,000 Total Project Cost $59,949,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $5,016,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $451,000 Water Treatment Plant $256,000 Pumping Energy Costs (8,103,764 kwh @ 0.09 $/kwh) $234,000 Purchase of Water $0 Total Annual Cost $5,957,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 6,090 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $978 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $3.00 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uf-'Wo'y�fkFebruary 2013 7-33 As shown, the total cost is estimated to be $38,487,000. Annual debt service is $5,016,000; and, annual operational cost, including power, is $941,000. This results in a total annual cost of $5,957,000. The unit cost for a 6,090 ac-ft/yr peaking supply is estimated to be $978 per ac-ft, or $3.00 per 1,000 gallons. This cost does not include the cost of water from CRMWA nor the water treatment prior to storage in the ASR well field. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues The installation of wells and collection pipelines should be planned and installed so that sensitive habitats, cultural resources, and other environmentally sensitive areas are avoided. Permitting Issues The City will need to acquire permits from the High Plains Underground Water Conservation District No. 1, and the design and construction of public water supply wells and water transmission facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. In addition, the District will need to promulgate rules regarding ASR projects. Other The City does not own groundwater rights in this area. Groundwater rights will need to be purchased so wells can be drilled within the proposed area. Strategic Water Supply Plan February 2013 7-34 tlu4obgov�fk Although the City used over 60 Ogallala Aquifer wells located within the city limits from 1911 to 1970 for the potable water supply, all of the wells and water collection systems have been decommissioned and abandoned (Section 3.2). However, in 2006, the City initiated a study to evaluate the feasibility of creating a new well field in the southern part of the City where groundwater levels are relatively high and the saturated thickness is relatively large. The results of the evaluation are documented in the City of Lubbock Groundwater Treatment Plant Engineering Report delivered by Parkhill, Smith & Cooper and Black & Veatch in May 200626 and the Groundwater Utilization Study delivered by Daniel B. Stephens & Associates in March 2007.27 The information in these reports was utilized to evaluate this strategy. The South Lubbock Well Field Strategy includes the installation of wells in existing City - owned properties. Groundwater is transported to a new water treatment plant at PS #10, near the intersection of Memphis Avenue and 82" d Street. The raw groundwater will need advanced water treatment to overcome relatively high salinity and the possibility of the groundwater being "under the influence" of surface water. The treated water will be discharged into the ground storage tank at PS #10 for blending and distribution. However, there is not sufficient capacity in PS #10 to accommodate this new water supply, and some of the water destined for PS #10 will be diverted to other parts of Lubbock's distribution system. The major design features of this strategy include: • Installation of 17 water supply wells (2 are standby wells); • All wells installed on City property and located to meet TCEQ's sanitary control easement requirements (the well locations are based on previous work by • Approximately 7 miles of 6 to 18-inch diameter raw water collection pipeline; • Well pumps will be sized to deliver the raw water directly to the new advanced water treatment plant at PS #10; • A new advanced water treatment plant will be constructed near PS #10. The new treatment plant will provide microfiltration and RO for desalination. The new treatment plant will produce finished water with salinity near the concentration of current potable water supplies; Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4b'Vov�fkFebruary 2013 7-35 • Treated water will be delivered to the existing ground storage tank at PS #10 for blending and distribution; • Since PS #10 is at capacity, an equal portion of water supply to PS #10 would be diverted to another part of the distribution system in order to accommodate the new supply at PS-10; • A 4-mile, 42-in transmission pipeline will connect PS #14 to the Low Head B by- pass line that feeds PS #7 (see Figure 4.12); • Desalination concentrate will be disposed of by injecting the concentrate into the Dockum Aquifer; • The new treatment plant will be designed to produce desalination concentrate with a TDS concentration that is less than or equal to the salinity of water in the Dockum Aquifer; and • The concentrate disposal well will be located near the new treatment plant. Figure 7.18 depicts the relative locations of the well field and associated infrastructure needed. Figure 7.18 — South Lubbock Well Field. Infrastructure Strategic Water Supply Plan fl4uU�JOCk February 2013 7-36 ,Ex,: Quantity of Available Water This strategy is estimated to produce 7.0 mgd during the summer months (June - September) each year to assist the City in meeting its peak demand. This pumping schedule would contribute 2,613 ac-ft/yr to Lubbock's overall water supply. 8 However, concerns exist regarding the ability of the Ogallala Aquifer to sustain the level of required pumping from this area of the City for several decades. Additional information is needed to more fully evaluate the quantity of water available from this strategy. Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 7.6. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • A high -capacity Ogallala Aquifer production well can produce 325 gpm (0.47 mgd); • The depth to the base of the Ogallala is approximately 135 feet; • Sparse and relatively old data suggest TDS concentrations range from approximately 570 to over 1,600 mg/L. The composite raw water concentration is expected to be below the secondary drinking water standard of 1,000 mg/L. If not, then the water could be blended with other sources to meet drinking water standards; • This part of the Ogallala receives rather rapid and direct recharge from rainfall and possibly urban irrigation. Considering the likelihood of the water being slightly brackish and possibly "under the influence" of surface water, advanced water treatment is planned. Advance treatment will include microfiltration and RO; • Based on a 2003 TWDB report,29 the depth to the base of the best Dockum sandstone is about 1,900 feet; • Groundwater in the Dockum at this location has an estimated TDS concentration of about 25,000 milligrams per liter (mg/L); • Concentrate will be pumped directly into the Dockum disposal well; • For an operational capacity of 7.0 mgd of potable water, 7.2 mgd of raw water is required. The balance of 0.2 mgd becomes concentrate (50% bypass and 95% efficiency); • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs is 35% for facilities required by this strategy; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u_f'0_b_V6tYFebruary 2013 7-37,€SAS ® Interest during construction is 4.0%, and a 1.0% return on investments; and ® The project will be financed for 20-years at a 5.5 % interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4 bbotoyckFebruary 2013 7-38 Table 7.6 — South Lubbock Well Field Costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item I Costs Capital Costs Transmission Pipeline 42-in dia., 4 miles (PS#14 to Low Head B By -Pass Line) $6,708,000 Well Field (17 Ogallala wells, 7 miles of collector pipeline) $1,713,000 Disposal Well (1 Dockum well, 200 ft of pipeline) $750,000 Advanced Water Treatment Plant, with RO for desalination (7 mgd) $29,920,000 Distribution Improvements Interconnect to existing ground storage tank $50,000 Total Capital Cost $39,141,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $15,076,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies, Permitting and $176,000 Restoration Land Acquisition and Surveying (14 acres) $0 Interest During Construction (1 year) $2,075,000 Total Project Cost $56,468,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $5,135,000 Operation and Maintenance Wells and Pipelines $141,000 Water Treatment Plant $1,920,000 Pumping Energy Costs (1,600,862 kwh @ 0.09 $/kwh) $144,000 Purchase of Water $00 Total Annual Cost $7,340,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 2,613 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $2,809 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $8.62 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1uW6'yCk February 2013 7-39 rExas As shown, the total cost is estimated to be $39,141,000. Costs estimates include adjustment for construction in an urban setting. Annual debt service is $5,135,000; and, annual operational cost, including power, is $2,205,000. This results in a total annual cost of $7,340,000. The unit cost for a 2,613 ac-ft/yr supply is estimated to be $2,809 per ac-ft, or $8.62 per 1,000 gallons. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues Environmental issues should be minimal since the new infrastructure would be installed in an urban area. PermittingIssues ssues Water well permits from the High Plains Underground Water Conservation District No. 1 will be necessary. Design and construction of public water supply wells and water treatment facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. Authorization to construct and operate an injection well for concentrate disposal will also be required by the TCEQ. Other Wells will be placed on City owned properties. In addition, pipelines will be placed in City utility easements. However, pipeline construction under City streets is costly due to the surface infrastructure restoration necessary. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'uf--*bV6tYCk February 2013 7-40 ,Ex�: • MID I I OM l' ' This strategy consists of installing wells in the bottom portion of the Santa Rosa Formation of the Dockum Aquifer. Brackish water would be pumped to the surface and treated before being used for drinking water. The well system would be constructed on the City's existing 320-acre SWTP site. Desalination facilities will be required for proper treatment, and a concentrate disposal well discharing into the Permian formation will be necessary to dispose of the concentrate produced during treatment. The major design features of this strategy include: • The installation of 4 Dockum production wells in the corners of the SWTP property. Because of the availability of other water sources, no contingency or standby wells are planned. • The installation of 2 Permian injection wells. Storage facilities will be located on the east side of the property; • Approximately 10,400 feet of 8-inch diameter raw water collection pipeline; • Approximately 8,300 feet of 6-inch diameter concentrate disposal pipeline;. • Pumps will deliver the raw water directly to the desalination water treatment plant; • The desalination water treatment plant will use RO technology, which will produce potable water with a TDS concentration of 500 mg/L. The concentrate will have a TDS concentration of about 170,000 mg/L; • Concentrate will be delivered to a ground storage tank near the desalination water treatment plant, which is sized to hold the amount of concentrate that is produced in a day; • From the ground storage tank, a high pressure pump will deliver the concentrate to the injection well for disposal; • For an operational capacity of 1.0 mgd of potable water, 1.17 mgd of raw water is required. The balance of 0.17 mgd becomes concentrate (85% recovery); and • Treated water will be delivered to the SWTP for blending and distribution. Figure 7.19 depicts the relative locations of the Brackish Well Field and associated infrastructure needed. Strategic Water Supply Plan toy February 2013 7-41llb�JO�fk Figure 7.19 — Brackish Well Field Infrastructure Quantity of Available Water This strategy is designed for a dependable treated supply of 1,120 ac-ft/yr or 1.0 mgd. The required raw water supply will be about 1,310 ac-ft/yr or 1.17 mgd and will generate approximately 190 ac-ft/yr or 0.17 mgd of concentrate. Because the water supply will come from a deep aquifer, it is considered to be independent of drought conditions. Strategic Water Supply Plan tlub-60tyCk February 2013 7-42 Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 7.7. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • Based on information in the TWDB Groundwater Availability Model documentation,30 a high -capacity Dockum production well is expected to produce about 200 gpm (0.29 mgd); • Based on a 2003 TWDB report,31 the depth to the base of the best Dockum sandstone is about 1,900 feet; • The water has an estimated TDS concentration of about 25,000 mg/L. This concentration is estimated from relatively sparse data in the TWDB Groundwater Availability Model report;32 • A high -capacity Permian injection well is about 5,000 feet deep for disposal of the brine concentrate; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs are 35% for the facilities required by this project; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is 4.0%, and a 1.0% return on investments; and • The project will be financed for 20-years at a 5.5% interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan February 2013 7-43 tl'uJIVov�fk Table 7.7 — Brackish Well Field Costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item Costs Capital Costs Concentrate Pump Station $930,000 Well Field (300 gpm, 1,900 ft deep, Dockum) $3,335,000 Concentrate Well (175 gpm, 5,000 ft deep, Permian) $3,825,000 Desalination Water Treatment (1.5 mgd) $15,869,000 Total Capital Cost $23,959,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $8,400,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $0 Land Acquisition and Surveying (13 acres) $0 Interest During Construction (1 year) $1,135,000 Total Project Cost $33,494,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $2,806,000 Operation and Maintenance Wells and Pipelines $92,000 Water Treatment Plant $917,000 Pumping Energy Costs (600,204 kwh @ 0.09 $/kwh) $184,000 Purchase of Water $0 Total Annual Cost $3,999,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 1,120 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $3,571 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $10.96 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u"�Woty�fkFebruary 2013 7-44 As shown, the total cost is estimated to be $33,494,000. Annual debt service is $2,806,000; and, annual operational cost, including power, is $1,193,000. The total annual cost is $3,999,000. The unit cost for a 1,120 ac-ft/yr supply is estimated to be $3,571 per ac-ft, or $10.96 per 1,000 gallons. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues Environmental issues should be minimal since the new infrastructure would be installed on existing City properties. No known wildlife habitat or cultural resources would be affected. An environmental assessment for the SWTP approved by the TWDB was prepared as part of the LAH Phase 1 infrastructure project. In addition, environmental assessments were performed as part of the City's due diligence in purchasing the property for the SWTP. Permitting Issues Water well permits from the High Plains Underground Water Conservation District No. 1 will be necessary. Design and construction of public water supply wells and water treatment facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. Authorization to construct and operate an injection well for concentrate disposal will also be required by the TCEQ. Other Wells and collection pipelines will be placed on City owned properties. The target zone for brine disposal from oil and gas production in the area is about 5,000 feet deep in the Permian Formation. No other information is readily available to estimate its suitability for a concentrate disposal well. As a result, there is considerable uncertainty in the capacity of the Permian to accept the required injection rate for an extended period of time. Strategic Water Supply Plan c3 yo February 2013 7-45 t1'u*--*bboCk 1 Water for Texas: 2012 State Water Plan. 163. 2 George, P.G., R.E. Mace, and R. Petrossian. Aquifers of Texas. Texas Water Development Board: Report 380. 2011: Figure 2-1. 3 George, P.G., R.E. Mace, and R. Petrossian. Aquifers of Texas. Texas Water Development Board: Report 380. 2011: Figure 2-2. 4 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: 3-1. 5 Center for Geospatial Technology, Texas Tech University. 2008. 6 Center for Geospatial Technology, Texas Tech University. 2008. 7 2007 Strategic Water Supply Plan, City of Lubbock, Section 9. 8 George, P.G., R.E. Mace, and R. Petrossian. Aquifers of Texas. Texas Water Development Board: Report 380. 2011: 101. 9 George, P.G., R.E. Mace, and R. Petrossian. Aquifers of Texas. Texas Water Development Board: Report 380. 2011: 101. to George, P.G., R.E. Mace, and R. Petrossian. Aquifers of Texas. Texas Water Development Board: Report 380. 2011: 101. 11 Blanford, T.N., M. Kuchanur, A Standen, K.C. Callum, P. Kirby, and G. Shah. Edwards -Trinity (High Plains) Groundwater Availability Model. Texas Water Development Board. 2008: 12-13. 12 Brackish Groundwater Manual for Texas Regional Water Planning Groups. Texas Water Development Board. 2003: 91. t3 Water for Texas: 2007 State Water Plan. 2007: 169. 14 Blanford, T.N., M. Kuchanur, A Standen, K.C. Calhoun, P. Kirby, and G. Shah. "Edwards -Trinity (High Plains) Groundwater Availability Model." Texas Water Development Board. 2008: 19. 15 George, P.G., R.E. Mace, and R. Petrossian. Aquifers of Texas. Texas Water Development Board: Report 380. 2011: 101. 16 George, P.G., R.E. Mace, and R. Petrossian. Aquifers of Texas. Texas Water Development Board: Report 380. 2011: 102. Strategic Water Supply Plan toy February 2013 7-46Lubb �fk 17 George, P.G., R.E. Mace, and R. Petrossian. Aquifers of Texas. Texas Water Development Board: Report 380. 2011: 97. 18 Final Report: Groundwater Availability Model for the Dockum Aquifer. Texas Water Development Board. October 2008: 1-1. 19 Ewing, J.E. and others. October 2008. Final Report: Groundwater Availability Model for the Dockum Aquifer. Texas Water Development Board Report. October 2008: Figure 4.2.2. 20 Ewing, J.E. and others. October 2008. Final Report: Groundwater Availability Model for the Dockum Aquifer. Texas Water Development Board Report. October 2008: Figure 4.8.1. 21 George, P.G., R.E. Mace, and R. Petrossian. Aquifers of Texas. Texas Water Development Board: Report 380. 2011: 63. 22 Texas Water Development Board Groundwater Management Areas. Online: http://www.twdb.state.tx.us/groundwater/management—areas/ 23 Updated Bailey County Well Field Modeling Report, Daniel B. Stephens & Associates. September 2012: 6. 24 Updated Bailey County Well Field Modeling Report, Daniel B. Stephens & Associates. September 2012: 7. zs Canadian River Municipal Water Authority Aquifer Storage and Recovery Facility: Project Delivery Plan. CDM Smith. 2011. 26 Engineering Report: Groundwater Treatment Plant- Lubbock, Texas. Parkhill, Smith & Cooper, Inc. May 2006. 27 City of Lubbock Groundwater Utilization Study. Daniel B. Stephens & Associates, Inc. March 23, 2007. 28 City of Lubbock Groundwater Utilization Study. Daniel B. Stephens & Associates, Inc. March 23, 2007: ES-3. 29 Bradley, R.G., and S. Kalaswad. December 2003. The groundwater resources of the Dockum Aquifer in Texas: TWDB Report 359. 30 Ewing, J.E. and others. October 2008. Final Report: Groundwater Availability Model for the Dockum Aquifer. Texas Water Development Board Report. October 2008. Strategic Water Supply Plan �yyof February 2013 7-47 tl'uf-bbock 31 Ewing, J.E. and others. October 2008. Final Report: Groundwater Availability Model for the Dockum Aquifer. Texas Water Development Board Report. October 2008. 32 Ewing, J.E. and others. October 2008. Final Report: Groundwater Availability Model for the Dockum Aquifer. Texas Water Development Board Report. October 2008. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uf---*bbock February 2013 7-48 ,��as 8.0 Surface Water Strategies The State of Texas contains all or part of 23 river basins, as shown in Figure 8.1. Legend 1 Canadian =2 Red =3 Sabine = 4 Cypress 5 Sabine 6 Neches 7 Neches -Trinity 8 Upper Trinity �9Trinity-San Jacinto M 10 San Jacinto 11 San Jacinto-Brazc 12 Brazos 13 Brazos -Colorado 14 Colorado r 15 Colorado -Lavaca 16 Lavaca 17 Lavaca-Guadalup ®18 Guadalupe 19 San Antonio =20 San Antonio-Nuec = 21 Nueces =22 Nueces-Rio Grani =23 Rio Grande 0 100 2001 1 1 1 1 1 Figure 8.1 - River Basins in Texas Four of the river basins are within practical reach of Lubbock, including the Canadian River, Red River, Brazos River, and Colorado River basins as depicted in Figure 8.2. However, on the semi -arid High Plains of Texas, surface water is limited. With an average annual rainfall for the Lubbock region of only 19 inches, typical surface water in the region is limited to intermittent stream flows and storm water collected in playa lakes.' In the absence of water discharged by the City of Lubbock, the North Fork remains dry most of the year. The South Fork flows into LAH and historically has received greater storm flow events than the North Fork. Lake Meredith is located in the Canadian River Basin. Currently, Lake Meredith does not hold enough water to be a viable water supply for Lubbock. Strategic Water Supply Plan tlh'UOCk February 2013 8-1 iEK�f Figure 8.2 — River Basins in the Lubbock Region 8.1 Developed Water — Supplements to Brazos River Basin Since flows in the upper Brazos River Basin are limited, the addition of developed water is desirable to make new reservoirs viable. Developed water can be defined as water that is non-native to the Brazos River Basin. Developed water includes groundwater, groundwater -based reclaimed water, and playa lake water, the latter of which would be considered privately owned diffuse surface water. Supplemental Reclaimed Water Reclaimed water that is treated to stream discharge standards and permitted to be discharged into a surface water body can become a supplemental source of surface water. Reclaimed water supply strategies are described in Section 6.0. Two potential lakes (Jim Bertram Lake 7 and Post Reservoir) that rely upon reclaimed, developed, and storm water Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4"t Vtoy February 2013 8-2 are discussed in Sections 8.3 and 8.4 respectively. These reservoirs only become feasible strategies if a sufficient amount of treated wastewater is discharged into the North Fork and recaptured in one or both of these reservoirs for reuse. Supplemental Groundwater The Yellow House Canyon and Blackwater Draw run through Lubbock and discharge into the North Fork. In 1969, the City hired a consultant to perform the initial planning for the Canyon Lakes Project, which consists of a series of eight dams and small reservoirs in the Yellow House Canyon. The City subsequently constructed a series of lakes in the Yellow House Canyon. These lakes were named as follows: Lake 1 Conquistador Lake Lake 2 Llano Estacado Lake Lake 3 Comacheria Lake Lake 4 Not Constructed Lake 5 Mackenzie Park Lake Lake 6 Dunbar Lake This system of lakes was originally known as the Canyon Lake System but was later renamed the Jim Bertram Lake System (JBLS). The City has developed a park system around these lakes. The JBLS is depicted in Figure 8.3. These small lakes receive a constant flow of water each year from groundwater that is pumped from under the Lubbock Land Application Site (LLAS) just outside of East Loop 289 adjacent to the City. The pumping began in 1989 as part of an Agreed Order from the TCEQ to reduce a water mound and high levels of nitrate in the groundwater beneath the LLAS. TPDES Discharge Permit No. WQ00004599000 issued on April 28, 2006 (renewed September 18, 2009 with an expiration date on March 1, 2014), allows a maximum daily discharge of groundwater into Lake 1 of 4.3 mgd (4,817 ac-ft/yr). The City obtained Certificate of Adjudication 12-3705 in February 1985, which authorizes the impoundment of water in the JBLS for recreation purposes, with no diversion right. Certificate 12-3705 was subsequently amended two times at the City's request (12-7305A on February 28, 1997 and 12-7305B on May 11, 2007) to obtain the right to divert from Lakes 1, 2 and 6, and to gain more flexibility in using the water for agriculture, municipal, recreational, and industrial purposes in Lubbock and Lynn Counties. The combined rate of Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4loVoty�fS February 2013 8-3 authorized diversion is 4.3 mgd (4,817 ac-ft/yr). The City can only divert the amount of groundwater that it discharges into the JBLS, less carriage losses. On average, the City currently discharges approximately 2.0 mgd (2,240 ac-ft/yr) into the JBLS. The City diverts water from the JBLS and uses it to irrigate various parks and facilities. The major users of the JBLS water are as follows: Berl Huffinan Soccer Complex 215.7 ac-ft/yr Meadowbrook Golf Course 484.4 ac-ft/yr City Cemetery 245.8 ac-ft/yr Total JBLS Water Used -2011 945.9 ac-ft/yr By using the JBLS water for irrigation of these large areas, the City is conserving its potable water supply. Figure 8.3- Jim Bertram Lake System Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4l9OCk February 2013 8-4 ,EY,S Supplemental Playa Lake Water A potential source of surface water that can supplement the natural flows of the Brazos River Basin is the water stored in playa lakes throughout the City. Storm water in the Lubbock area collects in playa lakes and can flood surrounding structures. In an effort to reduce the potential for flooding around the playa lakes, the City completed the construction of the South -Central Drainage System in 2003 and the South Drainage System in 2008. These systems convey excess storm water into the Yellow House Canyon (a tributary to the North Fork) as depicted in Figure 8.4. Discharges into the North Fork are authorized by the TCEQ pursuant to the City's Municipal Separate Storm Sewer System (MS4) TPDES permit no. WQ0004773000. Figure 8.4 — South Central & South Playa Lake Drainage Systems The quantity of water available from these systems will vary based on seasonal and annual rainfall events. According to a Municipal Precipitation Runoff study performed in October 2008, the following volumes of storm water can be anticipated from these two discharge points designated as No. 30 and No. 31, respectively. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u4_0b*VtCf February 2013 8-5 ,Ex�f Storm Event Point 30 Point 31 Total Discharge 2 - Year 1,278 773 2,051 ac-ft 5 - Year 2,182 1,279 3,461 ac-ft 10 - Year 2,941 1,713 4,654 ac-ft The impoundment and diversion of the storm water after its discharge from the South and South Central Playa Lake Drainage Systems will ultimately require water use permits. In May 2009, the City entered into an Interlocal Agreement with the Brazos River Authority (BRA) where the BRA acknowledged these two drainage systems as the City's developed water.3 This agreement ensures that the BRA will not contest any of Lubbock's applications or filings that seek to divert and use these storm water flows. The City also has a pending application for Water Use Permit 5921 in which the City is seeking the right to impound in Lake 7 and divert water originating as treated effluent discharges and storm water from the South and South Central Playa Lake Drainage Systems. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u4';-bV0'31 �fk February 2013 8-6 8.2 Lake Alan Henry Phase 2 Strategy Lake Alan Henry impounds water on the South Fork. This water supply strategy includes expanding the existing LAH infrastructure so that its capacity to transport and treat raw water from the lake to the City of Lubbock is increased from 15 mgd to 30 mgd. As discussed in Section 3.0, Lubbock began using LAH as a water supply during the fall of 2012. The existing LAH raw water supply pipeline (Phase 1) consists of- 9 Two raw water pump stations —Lake Alan Henry (LAHPS) and Post (PPS) pump stations; • The SWTP; • A 42-inch diameter raw water transmission pipeline from the LAHPS to the PPS; • A 48-inch diameter raw water transmission pipeline from the PPS to the SWTP; and • Treated water transmission lines that move water into three pump stations (PS #8, PS #10, and PS #14) within Lubbock's water distribution system. Expansion of the existing infrastructure is necessary to supply water to the City at a greater daily rate. The major design features of the LAH Phase 2 strategy include: • Construction of a Southland Pump Station (SLPS); • Capacity expansion of equipment at the LAHPS and the PPS; • A 15 mgd expansion of the SWTP, which includes expansion of the high service pump station; and • A 4-mile, 42-in transmission pipeline connecting PS #14 to the Low Head B by- pass line (see Figure 4.12). Figure 8.5 depicts the additional infrastructure required for this strategy. Strategic Water Supply Plan �a yyoe February 2013 g-, tl'uf--*bbock Figure 8.5 — Lake Alan Henry Phase 2 Quantity of Available Water The City intends to operate LAH near the 2-year safe yield of 16,080 ac-ft/yr. 4 The current water supply infrastructure will only deliver 8,000 ac-ft/yr with a peaking capacity of 15 mgd. Phase 2 will be constructed to increase the total deliverable water to 16,000 ac-ft/yr from LAH, an incremental increase of 8,000 ac-ft/yr. The pump stations and the SWTP will be modified to provide a peak capacity of 30 mgd. Additional raw water transmission lines will not be necessary since the existing pipelines were sized to handle up to 34 mgd5 with the appropriate pumping capacity. The additional capacity of the raw water transmission lines may be used if other water supply strategies are implemented, such as the NFD-LAHPS (Section 6.8), the Post Reservoir (Section 8.4), or the North Fork Scalping Operation (Section 8.5). Strategic Water Supply Plan �bUOCk February 2013 8-8 r�x�s Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 8.1. Facility component sizes were obtained from a Freese and Nichols, Inc. Opinion of Probable Construction Cost estimate provided to the City of Lubbock. These costs and facility sizes are used in this cost estimate. Other assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • Energy costs to transmit the additional water from the expansion through the LAHPS and pipeline are included. These costs are based on an average annual delivery of an additional 7.1 mgd (8,000 ac-ft/yr) through the upgraded system; • Existing infrastructure will be used to transmit treated water from the SWTP into the City's water distribution system; • Land for the new SLPS has already been purchased; • Energy costs and upgrades to Pump Station #14 were not included in transmission pipeline costs; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs are 30% of pipeline construction and 35% of other facilities constructed; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is estimated at 4.0%, and a 1% return on investments over a 2-year period; and • The project will be financed for 20 years at a 5.5% annual interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl4uW6C February 2013 8-9 ,E� Table 8.1— Lake Alan Henry Phase 2 Costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item Costs Capital Costs LAH Pump Station Expansion (additional 15 mgd) $4,691,000 Post Pump Station Expansion (additional 15 mgd) $3,330,996 Southland Pump Station Expansion (30 mgd) $6,910,000 Transmission Pipeline 42-in dia., 4 miles (PS#14 to Low Head B By -Pass Line) $6,708,000 Water Treatment Plant Expansion (additional 15 mgd) $23,875,000 Total Capital Cost $45,514,996 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $15,840,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $5,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (5 acres) $6,000 Interest During Construction (2 years) $4,345,000 Total Project Cost $65,710,996 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $5,557,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $442,000 SWTP Expansion $112,000 Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $1,936,000 Total Annual Cost $8,047,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 8,000 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $1,006 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $3.09 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u_0_.*bVtoyFebruary 2013 8-10,�XAx As shown, the total project cost is estimated to be $65,710,000. Annual debt service is $5,557,000; and, the annual operational cost, including power, is $2,490,000. This results in a total annual cost of $8,047,000. The unit cost for an additional annual supply of 7.1 mgd or 8,000 ac-ft/yr from LAH is estimated to be $1,006 per ac-ft, or $3.09 per 1,000 gallons. Implementation Issues Environmental Environmental issues associated with this option should be minimal. The TWDB approved an environmental assessment for the overall Phase 1 project so the City could qualify for low interest loans administered through the TWDB. In addition, environmental assessments were performed at the locations of the proposed SLPS' and the SWTP9 expansion. Therefore, no additional assessment should be necessary at these locations. The treated water transmission pipeline routes can be selected to avoid sensitive wildlife habitat and cultural resources. Permitting Raw water will be obtained from LAH, which is owned by the City of Lubbock. Water Use Permit No. 4146 allows for the diversion of 35,000 ac-ft each year. No additional permitting requirements are anticipated. The TCEQ will need to approve design modifications to the existing system. Other Issues The City owns property where the SLPS and the additional SWTP capacity will be constructed. The treated water transmission pipeline will be installed within the city limits and preferably within existing City street easements. Strategic Water Supply Plan citygf February 2013 8-11 tlt'� bbock The Jim Bertram Lake 7 Strategy was initially conceived as part of the Jim Bertram Lakes Project described in Section 8.1. The Lake 7 reservoir will be located on the North Fork and have a reservoir holding capacity of 20,000 ac-ft at a conservation pool elevation of 3,100 ft-msl. Most of the yield associated with this strategy is generated by capturing the City's reclaimed water. However, Lake 7 will also capture storm water flows and discharges from the City's South and South Central Playa Lake Drainage Systems discussed in Section 8.1. These three sources of surface water make Lake 7 a viable supply strategy. The major design features of this strategy include: • The construction of the dam and 20,000 ac-ft lake inundating 774 acres; • A new intake structure and 665 hp pump station near the Lake 7 dam; • A 5-mile, 24-in transmission pipeline that will deliver the raw water to the SWTP; • A 4-mile, 42-in transmission pipeline connecting PS #14 to the Low Head B by- pass line (see Figure 4.12); and • A 10.1 mgd expansion of the SWTP which includes an expansion of the high service pump station at the SWTP. A report entitled Feasibility of Constructing the Proposed Lake 7 was completed by HDR Engineering, Inc.10 under the City's direction in September of 2011. This report provided an optimal location for the lake to be built upstream of Buffalo Springs Lake along the North Fork. Figure 8.6 depicts the relative locations of Lake 7 and associated infrastructure that will be needed. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uJI dCk February 2013 8-12 TE�x Figure 8.6 — Jim Bertram Lake 7 Infrastructure Quantity of Available Water According to the HDR Feasibility Report, Jim Bertram Lake 7 will supply a one-year safe yield of 11,300 ac-ft/yr of raw water. The safe yield is based upon the availability of return flows discharged by the City and the availability of playa lake developed water. Natural inflows captured by Lake 7 were modeled subject to the TCEQ's Consensus Criteria for Environmental Flow Needs (CCEFN) instream flow requirements. The individual contributions of the three sources of inflows to increase the yield of Lake 7 are as follows: Reclaimed Water (8 mgd): 7,300 ac-ft/yr Playa Lake Developed Water: 2,200 ac-ft/yr State Water/Natural Inflow: 1,800 ac-ft/yr Total 11,300 ac-ft/yr Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'uf__ObV6v�fkFebruary 2013 8-13 This yield amount is subject to the City obtaining sole rights to its developed water (playa lake storm water and reclaimed water).11 Increases and decreases of the reclaimed water available will have an approximate one to one increase or decrease on the reservoir's safe yield. The reclaimed water will come from Outfall 007 located at the SEWRP and/or another future outfall further upstream. The Lake 7 yield does not include any reductions attributed to horizontal leakage through the canyon walls. Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 8.2. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • Flows used to design the intake, pump station, and transmission pipelines include an estimated 5% downtime; • The treated water transmission pipeline will be installed within the city limits and preferably within existing city street easements; • Energy costs and upgrades to PS #14 were not included in transmission pipeline costs; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs are 30% of pipeline construction and 35% of other facilities constructed; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is estimated at 4.0%, and a 1 % return on investments over a 2-year period; and • The project will be financed for 20 years at a 5.5% annual interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4lgty f February 2013 8-14 ,Ex�� Table 8.2 — Jim Bertram Lake 7 Stratem Uosts Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item I Costs Capital Costs Dam and Reservoir (20,000 ac-ft, 774 acres, 3,100 ft msl) $25,322,000 Intake and Pump Station (10.6 mgd) $6,579,000 Transmission Pipeline 24 in dia., 5 miles $3,392,000 42-in dia., 4 miles (PS#14 to Low Head B By -Pass Line) $6,708,000 SWTP Expansion (10.1 mgd) $18,097,000 Total Capital Cost $60,098,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $20,529,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $914,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (803 acres) $1,007,000 Interest During Construction (2 years) $5,780,000 Total Project Cost $88,328,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $4,188,000 Reservoir Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $3,203,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $265,000 Dam and Reservoir $380,000 SWTP Expansion $1,557,000 Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $372,000 Total Annual Cost $9,965,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 11,300 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $882 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $2.71 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan cityoi February 2013 8-15 Lubbock As shown, the total project cost is estimated to be $88,328,000. Annual debt service is $7,391,000; and, the annual operational cost, including power, is $2,574,000. This results in a total annual cost of $9,965,000. The unit cost for 11,300 ac-ft/yr supply is estimated to be $882 per acre-foot, or $2.71 per 1,000 gallons. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues The primary environmental issue related to this strategy is the change in land use of 774 acres from ranchland to a reservoir site. In July 2011, the City provided an Environmental Information Document (EID) to the TCEQ which described the environment that will potentially be affected by the construction of Lake 7.12 According to the EID, this project will have an impact on the environment, and a mitigation plan will be required to compensate for unavoidable impacts. Some of the issues identified in the EID include: • No federal or state protected aquatic life has been found (neither the smalleye shiner nor the sharpnose shiner).13 • A baseline survey revealed that the Texas horned lizard (Texas listed threatened species) is thriving in the project vicinity. Additional evaluation and a management and mitigation plan will be necessary if the reservoir is built.14 • A review of Texas Historical Commission and other records identified 17 archeological sites in or near the project area that will need to be assessed.15 Permittiniz Issues As discussed in Section 6.0, the existing TPDES Permit No. 10353-002 authorizes the City to discharge up to 14.5 mgd (16,242 ac-ft/yr) of reclaimed water at the SEWRP into the North Fork at Outfall 007. In 2005, the City submitted Water Rights Application No. 5921 which, among other things, seeks the right to impound and divert water from the proposed Lake 7. Although the application was declared administratively complete in April 2006, the TCEQ's technical review is still on -going. The TCEQ has received eight requests for contested case hearings. It will take several more years before the permit may be issued to the City. In addition, a United States Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) Section 404 permit will be required prior to commencing construction of Lake 7. This lake is large enough to require an individual permit. Mitigation plans for the project's environmental impacts must be developed and agreed upon by the USACE and other state and federal resource agencies. Strategic Water Supply Plan toy of February 2013 8-16 tl'u4bbock Other Property will need to be acquired for the lake, dam, pump station, and mitigation area. In addition, pipeline utility easements will be necessary to construct a raw water transmission line to the SWTP. The geological formation that the dam foundation will be constructed upon appears to be somewhat pervious. Extensive cut-off wall and grout curtains will need to be installed to avoid water seeping under the dam and around the abutments. In addition, there may be considerable leakage from the reservoir conservation pool to the local groundwater aquifer system. The Comanche Peak formation could also allow vertical leakage from the reservoir through the valley floor.16 A study was initiated by the City in 2012 to investigate these geologic formation issues. Strategic Water Supply Plan toy February 2013 8_17 lubbck Post Reservoir is considered an indirect reuse strategy defined in Section 6.0, since much of the lake's capacity will be created by the City's reclaimed water. The proposed reservoir site is located on the North Fork northeast of Post, Texas in Garza County. Certificate of Adjudication No. 12-3711 authorizes the impoundment of 57,420 ac-ft of water and the diversion and use of up to 10,600 ac-ft of water per year. Under this strategy, water will be impounded and diverted from the reservoir and transported to the existing PPS that delivers water from LAH to Lubbock. The 48-inch diameter LAH raw water line is adequate to convey water from both the Post Reservoir and LAH. However, an expansion of the SWTP will be necessary. The major design features of this strategy include: • Construction of a 57,420 ac-ft, 2,280 acre reservoir; • A new intake structure and pump station located at the reservoir site; • A 6-mile, 24-in transmission pipeline to deliver water from Post Reservoir to the PPS; • An 8 mgd expansion of the SWTP; • A 4-mile, 42-in transmission pipeline connecting PS #14 to the Low Head B by- pass line (see Figure 4.12); • Expansion of the PPS to transport raw water along the LAH pipeline system; and • The addition of the SLPS located on the LAH raw water pipeline. Figure 8.7 depicts the additional infrastructure required for this strategy. Strategic Water Supply Plan tI'uf-*bV6v�fkFebruary 2013 8-18 Figure 8.7 — Post Reservoir Infrastructure Quantity of Available Water The conservation pool will store approximately 57,420 ac-ft of water (neglecting sedimentation), with a surface area of 2,280 acres. Analyses using the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ) Water Availability Model (WAM) indicate a range of firm and safe yield supplies could be developed for this strategy, depending upon treatment of upstream return flows, sediment storage reserves, instream flow requirements and playa lake stormwater flows. For purposes of this analysis, it is assumed that 8,962 ac-ft/yr (8 mgd) of water is available for diversion from the Post Reservoir, given that Lake 7 would not be constructed upstream. Strategic Water Supply Plan ty�February 2013 8-19tl'u'19ock Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 8.3. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • Flows used to design the intake, pump station, and transmission pipeline designs include an estimated 5% downtime; • Expansion costs of the PPS is included; • The construction of the SLPS is included; • Energy costs to transmit water through the LAHPS and pipeline are included; • Existing infrastructure will be used for transmission of treated water from the SWTP into the City's water distribution system; • Energy costs and upgrades to PS #14 were not included in transmission pipeline costs; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs are 30% of pipeline construction and 35% of other facilities constructed; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is estimated at 4.0%, and a 1 % return on investments over a 2-year period; and • The project will be financed for 20 years at a 5.5% annual interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'bu1--'�JUCkFebruary 2013 8-20rExas fable s.3 — Yost Keservoir atrateav costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item I Costs Capital Costs Dam and Reservoir $22,145,000 Intake and Pump Station $6,295,000 Transmission Pipeline 24 in dia., 6 miles $3,512,000 42-in dia., 4 miles (PS#14 to Low Head B By -Pass Line) $6,708,000 SWTP Expansion (8.0 mgd) $14,990,000 LAH Pipeline Expansion $7,798,000 Total Capital Cost $61,448,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $20,996,000 Permitting Fees $5,000,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $2,435,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (2,307 acres) $2,609,000 Interest During Construction (2 years) $6,475,000 Total Project Cost $98,963,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $4,824,000 Reservoir Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $3,457,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $260,000 Dam and Reservoir $322,000 SWTP Expansion $1,287,000 Post Pipeline Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $330,000 LAH Pipeline Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $495,000 Total Annual Cost $10,975,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 8,962 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $1,225 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $3.76 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan �UUbOCk February 2013 8-21 ,Fxk, As shown, the total project cost is estimated to be $98,963,000. Annual debt service is $8,281,000; and, annual operational cost, including power, is $2,694,000. This results in a total annual cost of $10,975,000. The unit cost for 8,962 ac-ft/yr supply is estimated to be $1,225 per ac-ft, or $3.76 per 1,000 gallons. Implementation Issues Environmental The primary environmental issue related to this strategy is the change in land use of 2,250 acres from ranchland to a reservoir site. There will be a high impact on animal habitats that must be mitigated. Studies will be necessary to determine the actual impact to cultural resources, wetlands, and threatened and endangered species. However, it is anticipated that the construction of the reservoir will have a low to moderate impact related to these concerns. 1 7 Permitting As discussed in Section 6.0, the existing TPDES Permit No. 10353-002 authorizes the City to discharge up to 14.5 mgd (16,242 ac-ft/yr) of reclaimed water at the SEWRP into the North Fork at Outfall 007, and up to 9.0 mgd (10,089 ac-ft/yr) at FM400 at Outfall 001. The White River Municipal Water District (WRMWD) holds Certificate of Adjudication No. 12-3711, which authorizes the Post Reservoir with a priority date of January 20, 1970. This Certificate authorizes impoundment of 57,420 ac-ft in the reservoir. It also authorizes diversion of 5,600 ac-ft/yr for municipal use, 1,000 ac-ft/yr for industrial use, and 4,000 ac-ft/yr for mining purposes. The City will need to obtain ownership of the water right in order to construct the reservoir. The certificate will need to be amended so the City can obtain authorization to divert and use the full 10,600 ac-ft/yr for municipal purposes and obtain clarification regarding 19,000 ac-ft of sediment reserve identified in the special conditions of the certificate. In addition, a USACE Section 404 permit will be required prior to commencing construction of the Post Reservoir. This lake is large enough to require an individual permit. Mitigation plans for the project's environmental impacts must be developed and agreed upon by the USACE and other interested state and federal resource agencies. Other Issues Property will need to be acquired for the lake, dam, pump station, and wildlife mitigation area. In addition, pipeline utility easements will be necessary to construct a raw water transmission line to the PPS. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'ul-ObVOCk February 2013 8-22 ,Ex: The North Fork Scalping Operation (NFSO) strategy is designed to increase the firm yield of LAH by 8,725 ac-ft/yr by collecting and re -directing storm water from the North Fork into the lake. To accomplish this, a diversion reservoir will be built on the North Fork in Garza County. This diversion reservoir will capture storm water flows on the river. A pumping station at the diversion reservoir will move the water from the diversion reservoir through an oversized transmission pipeline that can handle substantial, sudden surges of water into a stilling basin near Gobbler Creek. The stilling basin will decrease the velocity of the scalped water and therefore reduce erosion. The water from the stilling basin will flow into Gobbler Creek which naturally drains into LAH. The major design features of this strategy include: • A 1,000 ac-ft, 650 acre diversion reservoir on the North Fork to capture high flows for scalping; • A new intake structure and a 12,669 hp pump station at the diversion site; • A 5-mile, 96-in transmission pipeline to deliver the scalped high flows from the North Fork to LAH; • A stilling basin located at the discharge point located on Gobbler Creek; • Construction of the SLPS; • A 7.8 mgd expansion of the SWTP which includes expansion of the high service pump station at the SWTP; and • A 4-mile, 42-in transmission pipeline connecting PS #14 to the Low Head B by- pass line (see Figure 4.12). Figure 8.8 depicts the relative locations of the NFSO infrastructure needed. Strategic Water Supply Plan tIu - �6 February 2013 8-23 rEzas Figure 8.8- North Fork Scalping Operation Infrastructure The NFSO strategy could be combined with the North Fork Diversion to LAHPS strategy (diverting reclaimed water) described in Section 6.8. since both strategies could utilize the same diversion dam and reservoir. Quantity of Available Water The NFSO will be an intermittent and unpredictable source of water because it is dependent upon local precipitation and storm events. However, a model developed by HDR Engineering, Inc., estimates that the NFSO could increase the firm yield of LAH by as much as 7.8 mgd or 8,725 ac-ft/yr.18 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4"tgotyA�tFebruary 2013 8-24 Strategy Costs Costs associated with this strategy are presented in Table 8.4. Assumptions and conditions associated with these costs include: • Expansion costs of the LAHPS and PPS • Construction of the SLPS; • Energy costs to transmit water through the LAHPS and pipeline are included; • Existing infrastructure will be used to transmit treated water from the SWTP into the City's water distribution system; • Energy costs and upgrades to PS #14 were not included in transmission pipeline costs; • Engineering, legal, and contingency costs are 30% of pipeline construction and 35% of other facilities constructed; • Power is available at $0.09 per kwh; • Interest during construction is estimated at 4.0%, and a 1% return on investments over a 2-year period.; and • The project will be financed for 20 years at a 5.5% annual interest rate. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'uf-**bV6'�fkFebruary 2013 8-25 Table 8.4 — North Fork Scalping Operation Costs Cost Estimate Summary / March 2012 Prices Item Costs Capital Costs Dam and Reservoir (Conservation Pool 1,000 ac-ft, 650 acres) $2,582,000 Intake and Pump Station (162.4 mgd) $30,334,000 Transmission Pipeline 96 in dia., 5 miles $21,388,000 42-in dia., 4 miles (PS#14 to Low Head B By -Pass Line) $6,708,000 Stilling Basin $756,000 SWTP Expansion (7.8 mgd) $14,727,000 LAH Pipeline Expansion (SLPS, PPS, LAHPS) $10,177,000 Total Capital Cost $86,672,000 Engineering, Legal Costs, and Contingencies $28,893,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $786,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (684 acres) $931,000 Interest During Construction (2 years) $8,211,000 Total Project Cost $125,493,000 Annual Costs Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $10,070,000 Reservoir Debt Service (5.5%, 20 years) $432,000 Operation and Maintenance Intake, Pipeline, Pump Station $1,047,000 Dam and Reservoir $39,000 SWTP Expansion $1,264,000 Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $504,000 LAH Pumping Energy Costs (0.09 $/kwh) $1,870,000 Total Annual Cost $15,226,000 Available Project Yield (ac-ft/yr) 8,725 Annual Cost of Water ($ per ac-ft) $1,745 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) $5.35 Costs prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'uf__4b0V6ty�fk February 2013 8-26 As shown, the total project cost is estimated to be $125,493,000. Annual debt service is $10,502,000; and, the annual operational cost, including power, is $4,724,000. This results in a total annual cost of $15,226,000. The unit cost for 7.8 mgd or 8,725 ac-ft/yr supply is estimated to be $1,745 per acre-foot, or $5.35 per 1,000 gallons. Implementation Issues Environmental Issues This project should have a low to moderate impact on the environment, including habitats, cultural resources, wetlands, and threatened or endangered species.19 Some concern exists that discharging storm water from the North Fork into LAH could encourage golden algae growth in LAH. Golden alga is an organism that is toxic to fish under certain conditions, and has been found in lakes along the North Fork.20 The sharpnose shiner and smalleye shiner may soon be listed as a threatened species on the federal list. These fish have been found along this reach of the North Fork. Increased flows into Gobbler Creek may change the size and configuration of the channel.21 PermittingIssues A new water use permit from the TCEQ will be required for the impoundment and diversion of water from the North Fork and the conveyance of the diverted water into LAH. Diversions will be subject to instream flow requirements. A USACE Section 404 permit will be required prior to commencing construction of the diversion facilities. Mitigation plans for the project's environmental impacts must be developed and agreed upon by the USACE and other interested state and federal resource agencies. The TCEQ must review and approve construction of proposed facilities. Other Issues Property will need to be acquired for the diversion reservoir, dam, and pump station. In addition, pipeline utility easements will be necessary to construct a raw water transmission line to Gobbler Creek. Strategic Water Supply Plan � ty of February 2013 8_27 Lubbock I Annual Water Highlights: Technical Summary. Brazos River Authority. 2000: III-6. 2 Municipal Precipitation Runoff Contributions to the North Fork of the Double Mountain Fork of the Brazos River (City of Lubbock Discharge Points 30 & 31). Parkhill, Smith & Cooper, Inc. August 2008: 20, 47. 3 Interlocal Agreement Between The Brazos River Authority of Texas and The City of Lubbock, Texas. Resolution No. 2009-R0187. May 14, 2009. 4 Lake Alan Henry Yield Model - Memo. HDR, Inc. January, 24 2008. 5 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: 4-179. 6 Opinion of Probable Construction Cost: LAH System Upgrades for 36 mgd. Freese and Nichols, Inc. September 4, 2012. 7 Environmental Assessment for the City of Lubbock Lake Alan Henry Water Supply Project. Freese and Nichols, Inc.; June 2009 8 Phase I Environmental Site Assessment, 4.82 Acre Tract, Southland, Garza County, Texas (Southland Pump Station Site), Prepared by V-Tech Environmental Services, January 8, 2008. 9 Phase I Environmental Site Assessment, West half of Section 72, Block S, Lubbock County, Texas (South Water Treatment Plant Site), Prepared by the City of Lubbock, August 5, 2008. to Feasibility of Constructing the Proposed Lake 7, HDR, Inc., September 2011. 11 Feasibility of Constructing the Proposed Lake 7, HDR, Inc., September 2011, p. 7-1. 12 Environmental Information Document in Support of Water Use permit Application No. 5921; City of Lubbock, July 2011. 13 Feasibility of Constructing the Proposed Lake 7, HDR, Inc., September 2011, p. 5-4. 14 Feasibility of Constructing the Proposed Lake 7, HDR, Inc., September 2011, p. 5-5. 15 Feasibility of Constructing the Proposed Lake 7, HDR, Inc., September 2011, p. 5-7. 16 Feasibility of Constructing the Proposed Lake 7, HDR, Inc., September 2011, p. 7-2. 17 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: p. 4-219-221. Strategic Water Supply Plan - February 2013 8-28 tl'u"bVotyCk 18 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: 4-202. 19 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: p. 4-213. 20 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: p. 4-206. 21 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group. September 2010: p. 4-208, 210. Strategic Water Supply Plan p tl'uf-*Wovo�fFebruary 2013 8-29 i05 9.0 Other Strategies Considered In addition to the 16 water strategies that were fully evaluated and ranked, several strategies were considered that either: 1) did not consist of enough data to be fully evaluated, or 2) were evaluated in the past but found undesirable for various reasons. These strategies include Jim Bertram Lake 8, a Jim Bertram Lakes well field, a linear well field along the CRMWA Aqueduct, and the addition of a second CRMWA Aqueduct often referred to as CRMWA III. These strategies are discussed in this section. This strategy was included in the 2006 Llano Estacado (Region O) Regional Water Plan. The concept behind this strategy was to construct both Jim Bertram Lake 7 and 8 simultaneously. These lakes were both included to provide a way to use Lubbock's developed water resources. Developed resources include storm water collected into playa lakes, groundwater pumped from under the LLAS, and treated wastewater discharged into the North Fork. Figure 9.4 depicts the proposed location of Lake 8 downstream of Lake Ransom Canyon. Lake 8 would be built to capture, store, and divert water to the SWTP and subsequently pumped into Lubbock's water distribution system. Design includes: I • A reservoir with 49,900 acre-feet of storage capacity; • A 26.7 mgd capacity pump station and intake structure; • A 90-inch diameter raw water transmission pipeline with a 26.7 mgd capacity to transfer water 7 miles to the SWTP; and • Expansion of the SWTP to include an additional 21 mgd treatment capacity. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'uf__'-*J90Ck February 2013 9-1 ,��, Figure 9.1— Location of Proposed Jim Bertram Lake 8 Quantity of Available Water This strategy was estimated to provide an additional 17,720 ac-ft/yr of annual water supply to Lubbock. This firm yield was determined in conjunction with a 3,500 ac-ft/yr yield for Lake 7 for a total system yield of 21,200 ac-ft/yr.2 Yields for these two lakes were based on 25,648 ac-ft/yr of available reclaimed water. Current projections indicate that by 2113 (in 100 years), less than 22,000 ac-ft/yr of reclaimed water will be available for direct and/or indirect reuse (See Section 6.3). Strategic Water Supply Plan tl4uWtoy �fkFebruary 2013 9-2 Implementation Issues In 2005, the City submitted Water Rights Application No. 5921 which, among other things, originally sought the right to impound and divert water from both Lakes 7 and 8. Although the application was declared administratively complete in April 2006, the TCEQ's technical review is still on -going. On March 4, 2008, a request was made by Lubbock to the TCEQ to remove Lake 8 from the permit application. This was due primarily to the number of existing structures and properties that Lake 8 would inundate if constructed. Lake 8 was subsequently deleted from the 2011 Region O Water Plan. Another potential strategy consists of installing a series of shallow wells in close proximity to the Jim Bertram Lake System. This lake system flows through east Lubbock as depicted in Figure 9.2. Wells would be installed on either side of the Lakes 1, 2 and 3. The water would be pumped to the surface, collected, and transported through a pipeline to the NWTP for treatment and distribution. Data needed to further evaluate this strategy includes: • The recommended distance between the "bed and banks" of the river basin to the proposed wells; • The hydraulic characteristics of the alluvial formation; • The depth to the groundwater table and the base of the formation; • The recommended number of wells; • A determination of the amount of water that these wells can produce over a sustained period; • A determination of whether the groundwater is under the influence of surface water; • A determination of whether the groundwater is considered to be part of the "bed and banks" of the river system; • Water rights or water use permits that will be required; • The allowable spacing of the proposed wells;. • The size and length of collection and transmission pipelines that will be needed; • The type of pumping facilities that will be needed; and, • The level of treatment that will be required. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'u_r_-*bV6tY�fS February 2013 9-3 Figure 9.2 — Jim Bertram Lakes Well Field This strategy has been considered because installing a well field along the Jim Bertram Lakes System has the potential to be a sustainable supply of water since the water in the lakes is recharging into the surrounding water bearing formations. However, one uncertainty is that most of the water found in the lake system has been supplied by pumping groundwater from the LLAS and discharging it into Lake 1. This groundwater remediation project will not provide a long-term, reliable supply of water (beyond 30 years). When the remediation project is ended, another source of water would need to be discharged into the JBLS to continue recharging the surrounding water bearing formations. 9.3 Linear Well Field - CRMWA Aqueduct This potential strategy consists of installing a series of wells into the Ogallala Aquifer at optimal locations near the existing CRMWA Aqueduct. The groundwater would be pumped to the surface, collected, and transported to the aqueduct for delivery to Lubbock's NWTP for treatment and distribution. This concept is depicted in Figure 9.3. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u'tVoy February 2013 9-4 «„ Figure 9.3 — Linear Well Field — CRMWA Aqueduct The proposed linear well field would be located in an optimal area (encircled in yellow on the figure) between Tulia and Amarillo along the CRMWA Aqueduct. Strategic Water Supply Plan cityofFebruary 2013 9-5tI'u-l-*bbock Data needed to further evaluate this strategy includes: • Recommended areas along the aqueduct to install proposed wells; • The hydraulic characteristics of the Ogallala formation in the areas of interest; • The depth to the groundwater table and the base of the formation; • The recommended number of wells; • A determination of the amount of water the wells can produce over a sustained period; • Water rights and/or water use permits that will be required; • The allowable spacing of the proposed wells; • The size and length of collection and transmission pipelines that will be needed; • The type of pumping facilities that will be needed; • The level of treatment that will be required. This strategy has been considered because installing wells along the aqueduct could be a cost effective way to supplement the supply of water in the aqueduct. However, additional information is needed before the evaluation can be completed. 9.4 Additional CRMWA Aqueduct When the RCWF New Transmission Line (Section 7.5) is built, the current CRMWA Aqueduct will be near capacity delivering up to 43,728 ac-ft/yr to Lubbock. At that point, the only way to increase the allocation of water to CRMWA member cities' will be to expand the capacity of the aqueduct system. This strategy proposes the construction of a new aqueduct that runs parallel to the existing CRMWA Aqueduct from an area north of Amarillo to Lubbock's NWTP. Since Lake Meredith is no longer a source of water for the aqueduct and the two RCWF transmission lines will be at capacity, a third transmission line will also be needed to convey greater quantities of water from the RCWF to the aqueducts. The existing aqueduct was originally built to transport surface water to member cities. The water must pass through two open top balancing reservoirs between the lake and Lubbock. Therefore, all of the raw water, including groundwater, is treated the same as surface water. If the second aqueduct is constructed, it could be built as a "groundwater only" pipeline and by-pass the balancing reservoirs. This would allow the groundwater to be Strategic Water Supply Plan tltbVtoy if February 2013 9-6 ,�Af chlorinated and by-pass Lubbock's NWTP which is a conventional surface water treatment facility. Data needed to further evaluate this strategy includes: • The allowable RCWF field pumping capacity based on Panhandle Groundwater Conservation District rules; • The optimal rate of RCWF production; • The recommended size of the second CRMWA aqueduct; • The recommended size of the third RCWF transmission line to the CRMWA aqueduct system; • The length of aqueduct and transmission pipelines that will be needed; and, • The type of pumping facilities that will be needed. Figure 9.4 shows a schematic of the necessary infrastructure for the CRMWA Aqueduct Expansion. This strategy has been considered because installing additional aqueduct and transmission lines in the CRMWA system could quadruple the amount of water allocated to Lubbock from the current CRMWA allocation of 24,088 ac-ft/yr to an allocation of approximately 90,000 ac-ft/yr. However, this means that the RCWF would be depleted at least four times faster than current depletion rates. Additional modeling of the RCWF would be necessary to determine its long-term viability at a much higher production rate. In addition, the cost of such a large and long aqueduct may not be as cost effective as other water supply strategies. Strategic Water Supply Plan IU 7 Vo February 2013 9-7 ,A Figure 9.4 — Additional CRMWA Aqueduct 1 2006 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan, HDR, p. 4-183 2 2006 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan, HDR, p. 4-185 Strategic Water Supply Plan CI'u*-'ObIP6�fAFebruary 2013 9-8 Supply10.0 ` 1Evaluation The potential water supply strategies developed and discussed in Sections 6, 7, and 8 are evaluated and ranked in this section. The objective of the evaluation is to determine which strategies should become the highest priorities for the City to implement. All strategies were evaluated and scored based on a common set of 10 criteria. The first four criteria — confidence, reliability, sustainability, and permitability consist of some level of subjectivity. The last six criteria — quality, quantity, schedule, unit cost, project cost, and annual cost — are objective. Strategies were assigned a ranking for each criterion on a scale from 1 to 5. The raw scores were then weighted based on the relative importance of each of the criteria. The evaluation criterion helps provide a more objective framework for comparison of these strategies. Descriptions of these criteria and associated weightings are described in Table 10.1. Detailed tables providing the rationale for the scoring of each strategy with respect to each criterion are shown in Tables 10.2 through 10.17. Strategy rankings are based on the current known political, regulatory, technological, and other conditions. Many supply strategies are interchangeable. The attractiveness of each strategy may change over time based on a variety of unpredictable variables. Rankings will be updated periodically as evaluation factors change in the future. Strategic Water Supply Plan tItbOVtoy Ck February 2013 10-1 rEaa: Table 10.1— Evaluation Criteria Category Weight Low / Poor 2 Medium 4 High / Excellent The likely success of the potential project- based upon public perception, Confidence 1.0 political climate, impact to existing infrastructure, involvement of other entities, and staff opinion. Reliability 1.0 The likelihood that the water source is available 100% of the time considering seasonality, interuptabilty, etc. The likelihood that the supply will be available for a longer period than other Sustainability 1.0 strategies. 1: less than or equal to (<) 20 yrs; 2: < 40 yrs; 3: < 60 yrs; 4::5 80 years 5: greater than (>) 80 years Permitability 1.0 The ease of resolving the legal, regulatory, permitting, and environmental challenges before implementation. The relative supply volume (in ac-ft/yr) compared to other strategies. Quantity 1.0 1: less than or equal to (<) 3,000; 2::5 6,000; 3: < 9,000; 4: < 12,000 5: greater than (>) 12,000 The relative level of water treatment required for each strategy. 1: Advanced Treatment - RO + Other Techniques; Quality 0.5 2: Advanced Treatment - RO; 3: Advanced Treatment - Membrane; 4: Conventional Treatment; 5: Chlorination Only The relative length of strategy implementation schedule compared to other Schedule 0.5 strategies. 1: greater than (>) 12 yrs; 2: less than or equal to (5) 12 yrs; 3: <_ 9 yrs; 4::5 6 yrs; 5 : < 3 yrs The relative unit costs compared to other strategies. Unit Cost (cost /1,000 gal) 1'0 1: greater than (>) $8.00; 2: less than or equal to (<) $8.00; 3 : <_ $6.00; 4: <_ $4.00; 5::5 $2.00 The relative total project cost compared to other strategies. Project ($ in miCost llions) 0'S 1. greater than (>) $100 M; 2: less than or equal to (<) $100 M; 3::5$75M; 4:<_$50M; 5:<$25M The annual operational costs compared to other strategies. Annual Cost ($ in millions) 0.5 1: greater than (>) $8 M; 2: less than or equal to (5) $8 M; 3:<$6M; 4:<$4M; 5:<_$2M Strategic Water Supply Plan , tl'u4b]Po�fkFebruary 2013 10-2 Table 10.2 — North Fork Diversion at County Road 7300 — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking This supply strategy is within 15 miles of Lubbock. The City holds permits Confidence 3 to discharge, transport, and divert the reclaimed water at CR 7300 on the North Fork. Sufficient reclaimed water will be needed to implement this strategy. Landowner opposition may be an issue at CR 7300. This strategy uses 100% reclaimed water. Reclaimed water availability is Reliability 3 dependent on commitments to other users and operational decisions. The water supplied is interruptible. Since water used for this strategy is 100% reclaimed water, it should be Sustainability 4 available for at least 60 years unless the City seeks to use the reclaimed water for another beneficial purpose. The City holds a permit to discharge up to 10,089 ac-ft/yr (9 mgd) of treated effluent at Outfall 001 into the North Fork. In addition, the impoundment Permitability 3 and diversion permit at CR 7300 was issued in 2012. However, the City must still acquire the land for the diversion facility, easements for the pipelines, and authorization by the TCEQ to construct facilities. Quantity 4 This strategy has the potential to produce 10,089 ac-ft/yr. This strategy consists of treated effluent that is discharged into the North Quality 3 Fork and transported downstream 2.7 miles where it will be diverted. Before entering the distribution system, this water will need to undergo advanced treatment that includes membrane barriers. This strategy could take between 9 and 12 years to acquire land for the Schedule 2 diversion facilities and pipeline easements, receive authorization by the TCEQ, and construct the facilities. Unit Cost 4 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $2.11/1,000 gal. Project Cost 3 The project cost for this strategy is $54,260,000. Annual Cost 2 The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $6,950,000. Raw Score 31 Weighted Score 26.0 Strategic Water Supply Plan February 2013 10-3tl'u4b"Vo'y�fk Table 10.3 - Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking Public perception of direct potable reuse in Texas has improved some. Confidence 2 Improvements in technology and drought conditions have stimulated increased desire in many communities to implement this type of strategy. Standards, rules, and regulations are still being developed. This strategy uses 100% reclaimed water. Reclaimed water availability is Reliability 3 dependent on commitments to other users and operational decisions. The water supplied is interruptible. The water used by this strategy will be 100% reclaimed water. This supply Sustainability 4 should be available for at least 60 years unless the City seeks to use the reclaimed water for another beneficial purpose. The TCEQ is currently developing potable reuse guidance requirements to be Permitability 3 applied to proposed projects and to be used as the basis for reviewing permit applications. Future permits must comply with these "undeveloped" regulations. Quantity 4 This strategy has the potential to produce 10,089 ac-ft/yr. The water used by this strategy must be treated using RO plus other barriers Quality 1 during advanced treatment since it includes direct reuse of wastewater efflnent Schedule 4 It may take from 3 to 6 years to complete the permitting, planning, design, and construction of this project. Unit Cost 4 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $2.59/1,000 gal. Project Cost 3 The project cost for this strategy is $67,176,000. Annual Cost 1 The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $8,527,000. Raw Score 29 Weighted Score 24.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'uf-**bV6'Y�ftk February 2013 10-4 Table 10.4 - Direct Potable Reuse to SWTP — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking Public perception of direct potable reuse in Texas has improved some. Confidence 2 Improvements in technology and drought conditions have stimulated increased desire of many communities to implement this type of strategy. Standards, rules, and regulations are still being developed. This strategy uses 100% reclaimed water. Reclaimed water availability is Reliability 3 dependent on commitments to other users and operational decisions. The water supplied is interruptible. The water used by this strategy will be 100% reclaimed water. This supply Sustainability 4 should be available for at least 60 years unless the City seeks to use the reclaimed water for another beneficial purpose. The TCEQ is currently developing potable reuse guidance requirements to be Permitability 3 applied to proposed projects and to be used as the basis for reviewing permit applications. Future permits must comply with these "undeveloped" regulations. Quantity 4 This strategy has the potential to produce 10,089 ac-ft/yr. The water used by this strategy must be treated using RO plus other barriers Quality I during advanced treatment since it includes direct reuse of wastewater effluent. Schedule 4 It may take from 3 to 6 years to complete the permitting, planning, design, and construction of this project. Unit Cost 4 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $3.74/1,000 gal. Project Cost 2 The project cost for this strategy is $95,690,000. Annual Cost 1 I The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $12,281,000. Raw Score 28 Weighted Score 24.0 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4b'b'OCk February 2013 10-5 TEXRS Table 10.5 - North Fork Diversion to LAH Pump Station — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking The diversion point for this strategy is over 50 miles from Lubbock. The City holds a permit to discharge the reclaimed water, but does not hold permits to transport, impound, and divert the reclaimed water at this location. Confidence 2 Existing water rights holders and landowners may oppose an application for a permit. Sufficient reclaimed water will be needed to implement this strategy. Carriage losses are high. Water blended with the LAH raw water at the LAHPS could be a problem. This strategy uses 100% reclaimed water. Reclaimed water availability is Reliability 3 dependent on commitments to other users and operational decisions. The water supplied is interruptible. The water used by this strategy will be 100% reclaimed water. This supply Sustainability 4 should be available for at least 60 years unless the City seeks to use the reclaimed water for another beneficial purpose. The City holds a permit to discharge up to 10,089 ac-ft/yr (9 mgd) of treated effluent at Outfall 001 into the North Fork. However, transport, Permitability 2 impoundment, and diversion permits may be difficult to obtain. In addition, the City must acquire the land for the diversion facility, easements for the pipelines, and authorization by the TCEQ to construct facilities. Quantity 3 This strategy has the potential to produce 7,510 ac-$/yr. Carriage losses will be 26 /o. This water consists of treated effluent that is discharged into the North Fork Quality 3 and transported downstream 67 miles where it will be diverted. Before entering the distribution system, this water will need to undergo advanced treatment that includes membrane barriers. This strategy may take more than 12 years to acquire water rights permits, Schedule 1 land for the pumping facilities, pipeline easements, and authorization by the TCEQ to begin construction. Unit Cost 4 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $3.09/1,000 gal. Project Cost 3 The project cost for this strategy is $52,747,000. Annual Cost 2 The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $7,560,000. Raw Score 27 Weighted Score 22.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan tItf-b* �OCk February 2013 10-6 TEa: Table 10.6 - Reclaimed Water Aquifer Storage & Recovery — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking Public perception of direct potable reuse in Texas has improved some. Confidence 3 Improvements in technology and drought conditions have stimulated increased desire in many communities to implement this type of strategy. Standards, rules, and regulations are still being developed. This strategy uses 100% reclaimed water. Reclaimed water availability is Reliability 3 dependent on commitments to other users and operational decisions. The water supplied is interruptible. Also, some water is lost between injection into the aquifer and recovery from the aquifer. The water used by this strategy will be 100% reclaimed water. This supply Sustainability 4 should be available for at least 60 years unless the City seeks to use the reclaimed water for another beneficial purpose. The TCEQ is currently developing potable reuse guidance requirements to be applied to proposed projects and to be used as the basis for reviewing permit Permitability 3 applications. Future permits must comply with these "undeveloped" regulations. Permits will also be needed from the Groundwater Conservation District for injection and extraction of groundwater. Quantity 3 This strategy has the potential to produce 8,071 ac-ft/yr. The water used by this strategy must be treated using RO plus other barriers Quality 1 during advanced treatment since it includes direct reuse of wastewater Schedule 3 It may take from 3 to 6 years to complete the permitting, planning, design, and construction of this project. Unit Cost 3 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $4.10/1,000 gal. Project Cost 2 The project cost for this strategy is $88,045,000. rAnnualCost I 1 I The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $10,784,000. Raw Score 26 Weighted Score 22.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan t1t4bWov�fAFebruary 2013 10-7 Table 10.E - South Fork Discharge — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking Public concern exists about discharging reclaimed water into the South Fork Confidence 2 that will be mixed with LAH water. Furthermore, high carriage losses make this strategy less attractive. This strategy uses 100% reclaimed water. Reclaimed water availability is Reliability 3 dependent on commitments to other users and operational decisions. The water supplied is interruptible. The water used by this strategy will be 100% reclaimed water. This supply Sustainability 4 should be available for at least 60 years unless the City seeks to use the reclaimed water for another beneficial purpose. The City's existing discharge permit (TPDES Permit WQ0010353002) will need to be amended to include an additional outfall on the South Fork. Also, Permitability 2 although the City's current Water Use Permit No. 4146 for LAH authorizes a maximum annual withdrawal of 35,000 ac-ft/yr, the City needs to ensure that the return flow discharges on the South Fork can be diverted and used. Quantity 3 This strategy has the potential to produce 8,183 ac-ft/yr. Carriage losses will be 19 /a. This water consists of treated effluent that is discharged, transported 36 miles Quality 3 down the South Fork, and impounded in LAH. The water will be blended into the lake water. Treatment will be advanced treatment with membranes. This strategy may take 9 to 12 years to acquire water rights permits, land for Schedule 2 the pumping facilities, pipeline easements, and authorization by the TCEQ to begin construction. Unit Cost 4 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $3.31/1,000 gal. Project Cost 3 The project cost for this strategy is $65,018,000. Annual Cost 1 The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $8,833,000. Raw Score 27 Weighted Score 22.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan 6Ytf February 2013 10-8 tl'ujl�ock Table 10.8 - RCWF Capacity Maintenance — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking The likely success of this project is high since it maintains the capacity of an already existing water supply. All financial decisions for this strategy must Confidence 4 be approved and implemented by the CRMWA board. Panhandle Groundwater Conservation District rules may change production strategies from the RCWF. Reliability 5 This strategy relies on groundwater that should be available as needed. Estimates vary as to the amount of available groundwater in the Ogallala Sustainability 4 Aquifer in Roberts County. Further data collection is needed to determine the exact saturated thickness. This water supply should last at least 60 years. Water well permits from the Panhandle Groundwater Conservation District Permitability 5 will be necessary. Design and construction of public water supply wells and water transmission facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. Quantity 3 This strategy has the potential to produce 7,252 ac-ft/yr. The groundwater from Roberts County is high quality. The only treatment Quality 4 typically required is chlorination. However, Lubbock must treat the groundwater like surface water since the groundwater must pass through two open topped balancing reservoirs before it reaches Lubbock. Schedule 5 Once all member cities agree to move forward with this strategy, it can be designed and completed in 3 years. Unit Cost 5 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $0.49/1,000 gal. Project Cost 5 The project cost for this strategy is $9,614,000. Annual Cost 5 The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $1,165,000. Raw Score 45 Weighted Score 35.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4bWo�fkFebruary 2013 10-9 Table 10.9 - BCWF Capacity Maintenance — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking The likely success of this project is high since it includes maintaining the Confidence 5 capacity of an already existing water supply. This strategy has minimal legal/permitting issues, a relatively low unit/project/annual cost, and can be implemented quickly. Reliability 5 This strategy relies on groundwater that should be available as needed. Sustainability 2 With the estimated annual use of 10,000 ac-ft/yr, current modeling suggests that the BCWF should be sustainable for at least 40 years. Water well permits from the High Plains Underground Water Conservation Permitability 5 District No. 1 will be necessary. Design and construction of public water supply wells and water transmission facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. Quantity 2 This strategy will restore the BCWF to its full capacity, providing an incremental increase of 3,120 ac-ft/yr. Quality 5 The groundwater from Bailey County is high quality. The only treatment required is chlorination. Schedule 5 This strategy can be implemented in less than 3 years. Unit Cost 4 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $2.36/1,000 gal. Project Cost 5 The project cost for this strategy is $24,761,000. Annual Cost 4 The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $2,397,000. Raw Score 42 Weighted Score 32.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4b' �OCk February 2013 10-10 b T[itAS Table 10.10 - RCWF New Transmission Line to Aqueduct — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking Any decision regarding the RCWF requires the consent of all CRMWA Confidence 4 member cities. Many of the cities have expressed interest in this project as the large incremental increase in water supply will assist with the cities' growing water demands. Reliability 5 This strategy relies on groundwater that should be available as needed. Estimates vary as to the amount of water contained in the Ogallala Aquifer in Sustainability 3 Roberts County. Further data collection and aquifer modeling is needed to estimate saturated thickness and well field decline patterns. Water well permits from the Panhandle Groundwater Conservation District Permitability 4 will be necessary. Design and construction of public water supply wells and water transmission facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. Furthermore, CRMWA must acquire easements for the new transmission line. Quantity 5 This strategy has the potential to produce 21,583 ac-ftlyr. The groundwater from Roberts County is high quality. The only treatment Quality 4 typically required is chlorination. However, Lubbock must treat the groundwater like surface water since the groundwater must pass through two open topped balancing reservoirs before it reaches Lubbock. Schedule 4 Once all member cities agree to move forward with this strategy, it can be designed and completed in less than 6 years. Unit Cost 4 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $2.29/1,000 gal. Project Cost 1 The project cost for this strategy is $104,328,000. Annual Cost 1 I The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $16,078,000. Raw Score 35 Weighted Score 30.0 Strategic Water Supply Plan Oltbb'oy February 2013 10-11 ,�A, Table 10.11- CRMWA to Aquifer Storage & Recovery — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking ASR has not been attempted in the Lubbock area of the Ogallala Aquifer. Confidence 2 Due to the many uncertainties in reliability, sustainability, and water losses during storage, confidence in this strategy is low. It is uncertain when excess water will be available in the CRMWA Aqueduct to use for ASR. This strategy seeks to store CRMWA water during the winter months so it Reliability 1 can be used in the summer to meet peak demands. The amount of water available for storage is dependent upon the amount of excess capacity in the CRMWA Aqueduct. Long-term sustainability of this strategy is dependent upon how CRMWA uses the capacity of the existing or future aqueducts that supply Lubbock with Sustainability 1 water. Important factors include member city allocations which are set annually and Lubbock's water demand/usage. These factors will likely change in future years creating some uncertainty. Both injection and recovery wells will need to be permitted by the High Permitability 3 plains Underground Water Conservation District No. 1. Design and construction of the public water supply transmission facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. Quantity 3 This strategy has the potential to produce 6,090 ac-ft/yr. Quality 5 Groundwater recovered from the Ogallala Aquifer is high quality. It should only require chlorination for treatment. Schedule 4 It may take up to 6 years to complete the planning, design, and construction of this project. Unit Cost 4 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $3.00/1,000 gal. Project Cost 3 The project cost for this strategy is $59,949,000. Annual Cost 1 3 1 The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $5,957,000. Raw Score 29 Weighted Score 21.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uf-IbTOCk February 2013 10-12 TEXA4 Table 10.12 - South Lubbock Well Field — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking The lack of available saturated thickness data, the low quality of water, and Confidence I high costs of water treatment associated with this strategy create poor public perception and give City staff low confidence in this strategy. Reliability 4 This strategy relies on groundwater that should be available as needed. Even though this strategy is designed for peaking, requiring only 4 months of pumping during the year, concerns exist regarding the sustainability of the Sustainability 2 Ogallala Aquifer in this area of the City for 50 years or more. Additional information is needed to more fully evaluate the quantity of water available for this strategy. Water well permits from the High Plains Underground Water Conservation District No. I will be necessary. Design and construction of public water Permitability 3 supply wells and water treatment facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. The City owns all of the properties and easements needed for this project, but pipeline construction under City streets will be costly and difficult. Quantity I This strategy has the potential to produce 2,613 acre-feet per year. The raw groundwater produced by this strategy will need advanced water Quality 2 treatment with RO to overcome relatively high salinity and the possibility of the groundwater being "under the influence" of surface water. Schedule 4 It may take up to 6 years to complete the planning, design, and construction of this project. Unit Cost 1 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $8.62/1,000 gal. Project Cost 3 The project cost for this strategy is $56,468,000. Annual Cost 2 1 The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $7,340,000. Raw Score 23 Weighted Score 17.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan toy of February 2013 10-13 tl'ujIbock Table 10.13 - Brackish Well Field — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking The lack of available saturated thickness and production data, the low quality Confidence 1 of water, and high costs of water treatment associated with this strategy creates poor public perception and give City staff low confidence in this strategy. Reliability 2 This strategy relies completely upon groundwater. However, insufficient data exists to predict the reliability of the Dockum Aquifer in this area. Estimates vary as to the amount of water contained in the Dockum Aquifer. Sustainability 2 Further data collection is needed to determine better estimates of saturated thicknesses and other hydrogeologic data. Water well permits from the High Plains Underground Water Conservation Permitability 3 District No. 1 will be necessary. Design and construction of public water supply wells and water treatment facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. Brine concentrate injections wells must also be permitted through the TCEQ. Quantity 1 This strategy has the potential to produce 1,120 ac-ft/yr. Quality 2 The water available from this strategy is brackish and will require advanced treatment with RO before entering the City's raw water supply. Schedule 3 It may take up to 9 years to complete the planning, design, and construction of this project. Unit Cost 1 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $10.96/1,000 gal. Project Cost 4 The project cost for this strategy is $33,494,000. Annual Cost 4 The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $3,999,000. Raw Score 23 Weighted Score 16.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uJIb�OCk February 2013 10-14 ,E„ Table 10.14 - Lake Alan Henry Phase 2 — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking Phase 1 of the LAH water supply is already complete. Phase 2 expands the Confidence 5 treatment and pumping capacity. Staff is confident that Phase 2 can be implemented successfully. Reliability 5 The water used for this strategy will be 100% surface water. Water from this strategy should be available at all times and useful for peaking capacity also. If precipitation patterns, land use trends, and the City's usage from the lake do Sustainability 5 not change in the coming decades, LAH should be sustainable for more than 80 years. The permitting issues associated with this project were addressed in Phase 1. Permitability 5 No additional permitting requirements are anticipated with Phase 2. Design and construction of public water supply and treatment facilities must be approved by the TCEQ. Quantity 3 This strategy has the potential to produce 8,000 ac-ft/yr of water. Quality 3 Advanced treatment using membrane barriers was installed during Phase 1. Phase 2 will include the same type of treatment facilities. Schedule 5 This strategy can be completed in less than 3 years. Unit Cost 4 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $3.09/1,000 gal. Project Cost 3 The project cost for this strategy is $65,710,996. Annual Cost 1 The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $8,047,000. Raw Score 39 Weighted Score 33.0 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'ujl�]Po�fAFebruary 2013 10-15 Table 10.15 - Jim Bertram Lake 7 — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking There is mixed public interest in this project. Some downstream water rights Confidence 2 holders are opposed to the lake while others are in favor. Due to complex permitting issues, high project costs, and length of time required to plan and construct a reservoir, confidence levels are low. This strategy uses a combination of reclaimed water, state water/natural inflows, and playa lake developed water. Reclaimed water availability is Reliability 3 dependent on City water usage and operational decisions at the wastewater treatment plant. State water/natural inflows and playa lake developed water are dependent upon precipitation. This strategy relies heavily on City's reclaimed water to be viable. This Sustainability 4 supply should be available for at least 60 years unless the City seeks to use the reclaimed water for another beneficial purpose. Water Rights Application No. 5921 associated with Lake 7 is under technical review by the TCEQ. In addition, the TCEQ has received several requests for contested case hearings. It will take several more years before the permit can be issued. A USACE Section 404 permit will be required prior to Permitability 2 commencing construction of Lake 7. Mitigation plans for the project's environmental impacts must be developed and agreed upon by the USACE and other state and federal agencies. The City must also acquire the property for the lake, dam, pump station, wildlife mitigation area, and pipeline easements. Quantity 4 This strategy has the potential to produce 11,300 ac-ft/yr of water. Quality 3 This strategy uses reclaimed water, state water/natural inflows, and playa lake developed water. Advanced treatment with membrane barriers is necessary. Schedule 1 Due to the extensive amount of permitting issues, this strategy will take more than 12 years to permit, design, and construct. Unit Cost 4 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $2.71/1,000 gal. Project Cost 2 The project cost for this strategy is $88,328,000. Annual Cost I The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $9,965,000. Raw Score 26 Weighted Score 22.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan t1t4b"V6 February 2013 10-16 SEAS Table 10.16 - Post Reservoir — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking There is mixed public interest for this project. Some existing water rights holders may be opposed to the lake while some elected officials may be Confidence 2 interested in economic development in Garza County. Moreover, due to complex permitting issues, high project costs, and length of time required to plan and construct a reservoir, confidence levels are low. This strategy uses a combination of reclaimed water, state water/natural inflows, and playa lake developed water. Reclaimed water availability is Reliability 3 dependent on City water usage and operational decisions at the wastewater treatment plant. State water/natural inflows and playa lake developed water are dependent upon precipitation. This strategy relies heavily on City's reclaimed water to be viable. This Sustainability 4 supply should be available for at least 60 years unless the City seeks to use the reclaimed water for another beneficial purpose. The City would need to obtain ownership of the TCEQ Certificate of Adjudication No. 3711 from the White River Municipal Water District in order to construct the reservoir. The permit will need to be amended so the City can divert sufficient water to make this strategy viable. In addition, a Permitability 2 USACE Section 404 permit will be required prior to commencing construction of the Post Reservoir. Mitigation plans for the project's environmental impacts must be developed and agreed upon by the USACE and other state and resource agencies. The City must also acquire the property for the lake, dam, pump station, wildlife mitigation area, and pipeline easements. Quantity 3 This strategy has the potential to produce 8,962 ac-ft/yr of water. Quality 3 This strategy uses reclaimed water, state water/natural inflows, and playa lake developed water. Advanced treatment with membrane barriers is necessary. Schedule 1 Due to the extensive amount of permitting issues, this strategy will take more than 12 years to permit, design, and construct. Unit Cost 4 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $3.76/1,000 gal. Project Cost 2 The project cost for this strategy is $98,963,000. Annual Cost 1 The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $10,975,000. Raw Score 25 Weighted Score 21.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan tlu'16y Cf February 2013 10-1 / iEA3 Table 10.17 - North Fork Scalping Operation — Strategy Evaluation Category Rank Reason for Ranking This strategy requires the City to file a new water rights permit application with the TCEQ. It is uncertain whether the TCEQ will grant any more Confidence 2 permits on the North Fork. The water availability may be over allocated already. It is uncertain whether existing water rights holders would protest the application. The water used for this strategy is storm water and is, therefore, dependent Reliability 2 upon precipitation events. Consequently, this is not the most reliable source of water. It will help "firm up" LAH's yield. If precipitation patterns, land use, and senior water rights usage trends do not Sustainability 5 change in the coming decades, this project should be sustainable for more than 80 years. A water use permit authorized by the TCEQ will be required for the impoundment and diversion of storm water. A USACE Section 404 permit Permitability 2 will also be required. The City will need to acquire property for the diversion facilities and pump station. In addition, pipeline utility easements will be necessary to construct a raw water transmission line to Gobbler Creek. Quantity 3 This strategy has the potential to produce 8,725 ac-ft/yr. Quality 3 This strategy is comprised of storm water flows that flow into LAH. Advanced treatment with membrane barriers is necessary. Schedule 2 It may take up to 12 years to complete the planning, design, and construction of this project. Unit Cost 3 The unit cost of water for this strategy is $5.35/1,000 gal. Project Cost 1 The project cost for this strategy is $125,493,000. Annual Cost 1 I The annual operational costs associated with this strategy are $15,226,000. Raw Score 24 Weighted Score 20.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uj"b iOCk February 2013 10-18 TEtA4 Based on the aggregate score for each strategy, the strategies were compared and ranked. The water supply strategy ranking results by type of water supply (reclaimed water, surface water, and groundwater) are presented in Table 10.18. From this table the following general observations can be made: • The highest ranked reclaimed water strategy is the North Fork Diversion at CR 7300; • The highest ranked groundwater strategy is the RCWF Capacity Maintenance; • The highest ranked surface water strategy is LAH Phase 2; • Ogallala groundwater strategies generally have the highest rankings of all categories; and • Surface water strategies tend to rank lower than strategies in other categories. Table 10.19 provides a list of the strategies based on their respective rankings (highest to lowest). These rankings are based on the total weighted score for each strategy. From this table the following general observations can be made: • The four top ranked strategies — RCWF Capacity Maintenance, LAH Phase 2, BCWF Capacity Maintenance, and RCWF New Transmission Line - are all associated with existing water supplies; • The RCWF New Transmission Line provides the most incremental increase in water supply at 21,583 ac-ft/yr; • The Brackish Well Field provides the least incremental increase in water supply at 1,120 ac-ft/yr; • Four strategies have the same score — South Fork Diversion, North Fork Diversion to LAH Pump Station, Jim Bertram Lake 7, and Reclaimed Water to ASR; Table 10.20 provides a graphical representation of the ranking of the strategies and the amount of additional water each strategy will yield. Strategic Water Supply Plan tI'uf--'*bV�cfAFebruary 2013 10-19 Table 10.18 - Water Supply Strategy Ranking by Supply Type q Lubbock Water W o U a U o. L. ° :3p a a U U e m Vl Supply Strategies °0 8 ,�' d h a� w o d Weight 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 Reclaimed Water North Fork Diversion at CR 7300 no 10,089 2.11 54.26 6.95 3 3 4 3 4 3 2 4 3 2 31 26.0 Direct Potable no 10,089 2.59 67.18 8.53 2 3 4 3 4 1 4 4 3 1 29 24.5 Reuse - NWTP Direct Potable Reuse - SWTP no 10,089 3.74 95.69 12.28 2 3 4 3 4 I 4 4 2 1 28 24.0 North Fork Diversion to LAH Pump Station yes 7,510 3.09 52.75 7.56 2 3 4 2 3 3 1 4 3 2 27 22.5 Reclaimed Water to ASR no 8,071 4.10 88.05 10.78 3 3 4 3 3 1 3 3 2 1 26 22.5 South Fork Discharge no 8,183 3.31 65.02 8.83 2 3 4 2 3 3 2 4 3 1 27 22.5 Groundwater RCWF Capacity yes 7,252 0.49 9.61 1.17 4 5 4 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 45 35.5 Maintenance BCWF Capacity yes 3,120 2.36 24.76 2.40 5 5 2 5 2 5 5 4 5 4 42 32.5 Maintenance RCWF-New no 21,583 2.29 104.33 16.08 4 5 3 4 5 4 4 4 1 1 35 30.0 Transmission Line CRMWA to ASR no 6,090 3.00 59.95 5.96 2 1 1 3 3 5 4 4 3 3 29 21.5 South Lubbock no 2,613 8.62 56.47 7.34 1 4 2 3 1 2 4 1 3 2 23 17.5 Well Field 1 Brackish Well Field yes 1,120 10.96 33.49 4.00 1 2 2 3 1 2 3 I 4 4 23 16.5 Surface Water LAH Phase 2 yes 8,000 3.09 65.71 8.05 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 4 3 1 39 33.0 Jim Bertram Lake 7 yes 11,300 2.71 88.33 9.97 2 3 4 2 4 3 1 4 2 1 26 22.5 Post Reservoir yes 8,962 3.76 98.96 10.98 2 3 4 2 3 3 1 4 2 1 25 21.5 North Fork Scalping yes 8,725 5.35 125.49 15.23 2 2 5 2 3 J32 3 1 1 24 20.5 Operation Strategic Water Supply Plan tI'u"-ObV6'Y�fS February 2013 10-20 Table 10.19 - Water Supply Strategy Ranking from Highest to Lowest q Lubbock Water o p a U o' F L' ° ° a Z 4 L' ° o U U U o rn Supply Strategies °o a n L o`. $ _ e s a o �: A a vz d a a a w d a d is ds a 3 a d Weight 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 j 0.5 0.5 RCWF Capacity yes 7,252 0.49 9.61 1.17 4 5 4 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 45 35.5 Maintenance LAH Phase 2 yes 8,000 3.09 65.71 8.05 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 4 3 1 39 33.0 BCWF Capacity yes 3,120 2.36 24.76 2.40 5 5 2 5 2 5 5 4 5 4 42 32.5 Maintenance RCWF-New no 21,583 2.29 104.33 16.08 4 5 3 4 5 4 4 4 1 1 35 30.0 Transmission Line North Fork no 10,089 2.11 54.26 6.95 3 3 4 3 4 3 2 4 3 2 31 26.0 Diversion at CR 7300 Direct Potable no 10,089 2.59 67.18 8.53 2 3 4 3 4 1 4 4 3 1 29 24.5 Reuse - NWTP Direct Potable no 10,089 3.74 95.69 12.28 2 3 4 3 4 1 4 4 2 1 28 24.0 Reuse - SWTP South Fork Discharge no 8,183 3.31 65.02 8.83 2 3 4 2 3 3 2 4 3 1 27 22.5 North Fork Diversion yes 7,510 3.09 52.75 7.56 2 3 4 2 3 3 1 4 3 2 27 22.5 to LAH Pump Station Jim Bertram Lake 7 yes 11,300 2.71 88.33 9.97 2 3 4 2 4 3 1 4 2 1 26 22.5 Reclaimed Water no 8,071 4.10 88.05 10.78 3 3 4 3 3 1 3 3 2 1 26 22.5 to ASR CRMWA to ASR no 6,090 3.00 59.95 5.96 2 1 1 3 3 5 4 4 3 3 29 21.5 Post Reservoir yes 8,962 3.76 98.96 10.98 2 3 4 2 3 3 1 4 2 1 25 21.5 North Fork Scalping yes 8,725 5.35 125.49 15.23 2 2 5 2 3 3 2 3 1 1 24 20.5 Operation South Lubbock no 2,613 8.62 56.47 7.34 1 4 2 3 1 2 4 1 3 2 23 17.5 Well Field Brackish Well Field yes 1,120 10.96 33.49 4.00 1 2 2 3 1 2 3 1 4 4 23 16.5 Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uf-&%�cf�February 2013 10-21 RCWF Capacity Maintenance LAH Phase 2 BCWF Capacity Maintenance RCWF - New Transmission Line North Fork Diversion at CR 7300 Direct Potable Reuse - NWTP Direct Potable Reuse - SWTP South Fork Discharge North Fork Diversion to LAH PS Jim Bertram Lake 7 Reclaimed WaterASR CRM WA to ASR Post Reservoir North Fork Scalping Operation South Lubbock Well Field Brackish Well Field Weighted Score 0 8 16 24 32 40 1,120 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 Volume (ac-ft/yr) ■ Incremental Capacity Increase(ac-ft/yr) ■Weighted Score Figure 10.1- Supply Strategy Ranking and Available Water Strategic Water Supply Plan cityof February 2013 10-22 Lubbock Water11.0 Packages In this section, various potential water supply strategies along with existing water supplies are combined into water supply package designed to supply the City's projected water demand over the next 100 years. Five different supply packages are presented and discussed in this section that depict a wide range of strategies that can be used to meet the Probable, Conservation, or Accelerated Growth Demands determined in Section 2. Conditions and assumptions common to all of the supply packages include: • Incorporating existing water supplies discussed in Section 4; ® Giving priority to the highest ranked potential water supply strategies evaluated in Section 10 (see Table 10.19); • Basing the year that a new strategy is implemented on when the Annual Demand projection line and the total available water supply intersect, or when the Peak Day Demand projection line and the peak supply intersect, whichever occurs first; and • Projecting water demand and supply for a 100 year planning period. Supply packages are evaluated and discussed in the following paragraphs. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uf--W�cfSASFebruary 2013 11-1 This supply package is considered a baseline package that consists of the following supply strategies that will be necessary to meet the Probable Demand (orange line) over the next 100 years. The potential strategies used are described in the following sections: Supply Strategy Section Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP 6.5 RCWF Capacity Maintenance 7.3 BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance 7.4 BCWF Capacity Maintenance 7.4 RCWF New Transmission Line 7.5 LAH Phase 2 8.2 In this supply package, strategies are implemented or phased in as depicted in Figure I L I. The individual and cumulative annual water supplies available from these strategies with respect to the estimated demand over the planning period are depicted in Figure 11.2. The individual and cumulative available peak supplies from these strategies with respect to the estimated peak demand are depicted in Figure 11.3. Strategic Water Supply Plan city �fk February 2013 11.2Lubbo 2013 2013 - BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance (ICM) 2017 - LAH Phase 2 2023 1 2023 - BCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-1) 2025 - RCWF New Transmission Line 2033 2043 2053 1 2054 - Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP 2055 - RCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-1) 1IZ1G3 2073 2083 2085 — RCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-2) 2093 2103 2113 Figure 11.1—Package 1: Strategy Implementation Schedule Strategic Water Supply Plan IU�?bOCk February 2013 11-3 ,��� 100,000 I a I ► �. 32.6 80,000-.. —. 26.1 70,000 _-..____ f 22.8 0 60,000 - - - 19.6 c a, 50,000 16.3 v >0 40,000 13.0 E a`, % 30,000 0 9.8 > 3 20,000 6.5 a' rya 10,000 _ 3.3 3 0 0.0 M ro M M 1-4 N M 94 M rn M M Cn M Ln l0 r` 00 M O M ri O O O O N N N N O O O O O ri N N N N N N e-f N ®LAH-Phase 1 Year WMLAH-Phase 2 fIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIICurrent RCW F RCW F - CM & New Transmission Line 11=11BCWF ®Direct Potable Reuse —Probable Demand Accelerated Demand Conservation Demand Figure 11.2 — Package 1: Annual Supply vs. Annual Demand Projections 160 140 .0 120 m ar 100 E 0 80 0 y 60 3 40 20 0 M ri O N M M M M N M q* Ln O O O O N N N N 111111111111111111BCWF- Current LAH- Phase 1 fiff•Current RCWF ff1• Direct Potable Reuse Conservation Demand 160 140 120 m 100 a► E 80 2 0 60 40 3 20 0 l0 r� 00 0) O ri O O O O ci ri N N N N N N Year � BCW F - CM a LAH- Phase 2 � RCW F - CM & New Transmission Line —Probable Demand Accelerated Demand Figure 11.3 — Package 1: Peak Supply vs. Peak Demand Projections Strategic Water Supply Plan tlh toy Ck February 2013 11-4 T�:a BCWF Capacity Maintenance — This strategy includes implementing the BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance strategy in 2013 as depicted in Figure 11.2. Due to a projected usage of the BCWF averaging 12,306 ac-ft/yr over a 12-year period, another group of wells (BCWF CM-1) is recommended in 2023. After the RCWF Transmission Line strategy is implemented in 2025, the BCWF is reserved for peaking capacity for the remainder of the planning period. The BCWF plays an important role in boosting Lubbock's total peaking capacity. BCWF should be capable of providing up to 40 mgd to meet peak demand for the remaining planning period (see Figure 11.3) if its annual usage remains below 3,000 ac- ft/yr as projected. Lake Alan Henry Phase 2 — This strategy includes expanding the existing LAH infrastructure by 2017 by an additional 8,000 ac-ft/yr. Since this strategy includes pumping water from LAH at a rate equal to or less than the lake's safe yield, the lake should provide 16,000 ac-ft/yr of water supply to Lubbock for the duration of the planning period. LAH plays an important role in boosting Lubbock's total peaking capacity. Once Phase 2 is complete, LAH will be capable of providing up to 30 mgd to meet peak demand for the duration of the planning period (see Figure 11.3). RCWF New Transmission Line — This strategy includes constructing a new transmission line from the RCWF to the CRMWA Aqueduct that will almost double the amount of water available (45,671 ac-ft/yr) from the RCWF to Lubbock by 2025. Since the RCWF production will decline over time, it is anticipated that additional wells will need to be added in 2055 and 2085 to maintain the necessary capacity to keep the transmission lines flowing full. Direct Potable Reuse at the NWTP — This strategy includes implementing Direct Potable Reuse at the NWTP by 2054. Figures 11.2 and 11.3 depict this supply strategy using all of the Net Reclaimed Water available (21,057 ac-ft/yr by 2113) as discussed in Section 6.3. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uf3--bV�EftFebruary 2013 11-5 11.2 Supply Package 2 — LAH Phase 2 Delayed This supply package is similar to Package 1 except it delays the implementation of LAH Phase 2 from 2017 until 2031. In addition, this strategy uses an indirect reuse strategy (North Fork Diversion at CR 7300) instead of direct reuse of reclaimed water. This package consists of the following supply strategies that will be necessary to meet the Probable Demand (orange line) over the next 100 years. The potential strategies used are described in the following sections: Supply Strategy Section North Fork Diversion at CR 7300 6.4 RCWF Capacity Maintenance 7.3 BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance 7.4 BCWF Capacity Maintenance 7.4 RCWF New Transmission Line 7.5 LAH Phase 2 8.2 In this supply package, strategies are implemented or phased in as depicted in Figure 11.4. The individual and cumulative annual water supplies available from these strategies with respect to the estimated demand over the planning period are depicted in Figure 11.5. The individual and cumulative available peak supplies from these strategies with respect to the estimated peak demand are depicted in Figure 11.6. Strategic Water Supply Plan city �fk February 2013 11-6IU}?O 2013 1 2013 - BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance (ICM) 2017 - BCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-1) 2023 2023 - BCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-2) 2025 - RCWF New Transmission Line 2031 - LAH Phase 2 2033 2043 2053 1 2054 - North Fork Diversion at CR 7300 2055 - RCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-1) 2063 2073 2083 2085 - RCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-2) 2093 2103 2113 Figure 11.4 — Package 2: Strategy Implementation Schedule Strategic Water Supply Plan tIt-"Wow�fAFebruary 2013 11-7 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 d E 50,000 > 40,000 30,000 3 20,000 10,000 0 m a-i O N N rn � in tmo n 00 0l O N N N N N N N N N Year Mill LAH - Phase 1 I♦ Current RCW F I• RCWF- CM & New Transmission Line � LAH- Phase 2 � BCW F � CR 7300 -Probable Demand Accelerated Demand Conservation Demand 3 2.6 29.3 26.1 2 22.8 0 19.6 c 16.3 a 13.0 E 9.8 6.5 3.3 3 0.0 M .-4 1-4 Figure 11.5 — Package 2: Annual Supply vs. Annual Demand Projections 160 140 120 d 100 E 80 0 d 60 f'a 3 40 20 0 M 0 N N M d' Ln to 0 0 0 0 0 N N N N fV Year BCW F - Current ®LAH-Phase 1 � RCWF- CM & New Transmission Line � CR 7300 Conservation Demand M M M M r, 00 m o o O o 1-r N N N N � BCWF- CM � Current RCW F 600 LAH - Phase 2 -Probable Demand Accelerated Demand 160 140 120 eo 100 a, E 80 2 0 60 y fo 40 3 20 0 M 14 rl N Figure 11.6 — Package 2: Peak Supply vs. Peak Demand Projections Strategic Water Supply Plan tlt" b toy k February 2013 11-5 ►�><s BCWF Capacity Maintenance — This strategy includes implementing the BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance strategy in 2013 as depicted in Figure 11.5. Due to a projected usage of the BCWF averaging 17,640 ac-ft/yr over a 12-year period, another group of wells is recommended in 2017 (BCWF CM-1) and 2023 (BCWF CM-2). After the RCWF Transmission Line strategy is implemented in 2025, the BCWF can be reserved for peaking capacity for the remaining planning period. The BCWF plays an important role in boosting Lubbock's total peaking capacity. BCWF should be capable of providing up to 40 mgd to meet peak demand for the remaining planning period (see Figure 11.6) if its annual usage remains below 3,000 ac-ft/yr. RCWF New Transmission Line — This strategy includes constructing a new transmission line from the RCWF to the CRMWA Aqueduct that will almost double the amount of water available (45,671 ac-ft/yr) from the RCWF to the City by 2025. Since the well field production will decline over time, it is anticipated that additional wells will need to be added in 2055 and 2085 to maintain the necessary capacity to keep the transmission lines flowing full. Lake Alan Henry Phase 2 — This strategy includes delaying the 8,000 ac-ft/yr expansion of the LAH infrastructure until 2031 as depicted in Figure 11.5. Since this strategy includes pumping water from LAH at a rate equal to or less than the lake's safe yield, the lake should provide 16,000 ac-ft/yr of water supply to Lubbock for the duration of the planning period. LAH plays an important role in boosting Lubbock's total peaking capacity. Once Phase 2 is complete, LAH will be capable of providing up to 30 mgd to meet peak demand for the duration of the planning period (see Figure 11.6). North Fork Diversion at CR 7300 — This strategy includes implementing the North Fork Diversion at CR 7300 by 2054. Since this strategy includes capturing reclaimed water from the North Fork, this strategy should provide 10,089 ac-ft/yr of water supply to Lubbock for the duration of the planning period. Strategic Water Supply Plan IUbbOCk February 2013 11-9 rEes 11.3 Supply Package 3 — RCWF Transmission Delayed This supply package is similar to Package 1 except it delays the implementation of the RCWF New Transmission Line from 2025 until 2035. In addition, this package accelerates the implementation of direct reuse of reclaimed water from 2054 to 2020. This package consists of the following supply strategies that will be necessary to meet the Probable Demand (orange line) over the next 100 years. The potential strategies used are described in the following sections: Supply Strategy Section Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP 6.5 RCWF Capacity Maintenance 7.3 BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance 7.4 BCWF Capacity Maintenance 7.4 RCWF New Transmission Line 7.5 LAH Phase 2 8.2 In this supply package, strategies are implemented or phased in as depicted in Figure 11.7. The individual and cumulative annual water supplies available from these strategies with respect to the estimated demand over the planning period are depicted in Figure 11.8. The individual and cumulative available peak supplies from these strategies with respect to the estimated peak demand are depicted in Figure 11.9. Strategic Water Supply Plan t1'uf--*b V toy �fk February 2013 11-10 oux; 2013 2013 - BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance (ICM) 2017 - LAH Phase 2 2020 - Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP 2023 2023 - BCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-1) 2025 - RCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-1) 2033 —{ 2033 - BCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-2) 2035 - RCWF New Transmission Line 2043 2053 2063 —{ 2065 - RCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-2) 2073 2093 —{ 2095 - RCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-3) 2103 2113 Figure 11.7 — Package 3: Strategy Implementation Schedule Strategic Water Supply Plan LU�?IJOCk February 2013 11-11 ,ERAS 100,000 _ _ -_ _ 32.6 90,000 29.3 c 80,000 .__. 26.1 70,000 22.8 46 60,000 ( 19.6 c oa E 50,000 - 16.3 - v j 40,000 13.0 E d ro 30,000 9.8 3 > 3 20,000 6.5 t 10,000 3.3 3 0 0.0 m m m rn ri N rn Iq cn m rn rn rn m Ln t0 r` 00 M O m .1 O O O O N N N N O O O O O 11 N N N N N N .1 N KM LAH- Phase 1 Year LAH- Phase 2 111111111111111lCurrentRCWF � RCWF- CM & New Transmission Line 1=1BCWF �DirectPotable Reuse -Probable Demand Accelerated Demand Conservation Demand Figure 11.8 — Package 3: Annual Supply vs. Annual Demand Projections 160 _ - _.._.__. ___. . i r 120 -..--_. ___.�._�__ _ _.__ __ 120 0o m 100 _ 100 as as 80 __ 8U 2 w 60 60 3 40 40 3 20 20 0 0 m a -I m m m m N m cf Ln m l0 m m m m r` 00 0) O m .� O N O O O O N N N N O N O O O r1 N N N N cI N Year �BCWF- Current � BCWF- CM ®LAH- Phase 1 IM111 LAH- Phase 2 1111111111111111lCurrentRCWF RCWF- CM & New Transmission Line � Direct Potable Reuse -Probable Demand Conservation Demand Accelerated Demand Figure 11.9 — Package 3: Peak Supply vs. Peak Demand Projections Strategic Water Supply Plan ci yo February2013 11-12 tl'u"'bboCk iu►s BCWF Capacity Maintenance — This strategy includes implementing the BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance strategy in 2013 as depicted in Figure 11.8. Due to a projected usage of the BCWF averaging 9,900 ac-ft/yr over a 22-year period, another group of wells is recommended in 2023 (BCWF CM-1) and 2033 (BCWF CM-2). After the RCWF Transmission Line strategy is implemented in 2035, the BCWF can be reserved for peaking capacity for the remaining planning period. The BCWF plays an important role in boosting Lubbock's total peaking capacity. BCWF should be capable of providing up to 40 mgd to meet peak demand for the remaining planning period (see Figure 11.9) if the annual usage remains less than 7,000 ac-ft/yr. Lake Alan Henry Phase 2 — This strategy includes expanding the existing LAH infrastructure by 2017 by an additional 8,000 ac-ft/yr. Since this strategy includes pumping water from LAH at a rate equal to or less than the lake's safe yield, the lake should provide 16,000 ac-ft/yr of water supply to Lubbock for the duration of the planning period. LAH plays an important role in boosting Lubbock's total peaking capacity. Once Phase 2 is complete, LAH will be capable of providing up to 30 mgd to meet peak demand for the duration of the planning period (see Figure 11.9). RCWF New Transmission Line — This strategy includes delaying the construction of the new transmission line from RCWF to the CRMWA Aqueduct until 2035. This strategy will almost double the amount of water available (45,671 ac-ft/yr) from the RCWF. Since the well field production will decline over time, it is anticipated that additional wells will need to be added in 2025, 2065, and 2095 to maintain the necessary capacity to keep the transmission lines flowing full. Direct Potable Reuse at the NWTP — This strategy includes implementing direct potable reuse at the NWTP by 2020 as described in Section 6.5. Implementing this strategy earlier will reduce the need for the BCWF. Figures 11.8 and 11.9 depict this supply strategy using all of the Net Reclaimed Water available (21,057 ac-ft/yr by 2113) as discussed in Section 6.3. Strategic Water Supply Plan ��of February 2013 11-13 IU�UQCk This supply package is different from Packages 1, 2, and 3 because its objective is to meet the Conservation Demand projections (green line) described in Section 2. Since the demand projections are less than the Probable Demand projections used in the first three packages, the implementation of the RCWF New Transmission Line is delayed indefinitely. The potential strategies used are described in the following sections: Supply Strategy Section Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP 6.5 RCWF Capacity Maintenance 7.3 BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance 7.4 BCWF Capacity Maintenance 7.4 LAH Phase 2 8.2 In this supply package, strategies are implemented or phased in as depicted in Figure 11.10. The individual and cumulative annual water supplies available from these strategies with respect to the estimated demand over the planning period are depicted in Figure 11.11. The individual and cumulative available peak supplies from these strategies with respect to the estimated peak demand are depicted in Figure 11.12. Strategic Water Supply Plan February 2013 11-14t1'uf---W6'Y�fk 2013 2013 - BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance (ICM) 2017 - LAH Phase 2 2020 - Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP 2023 2023 - BCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-1) 2025 - RCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-1) 2033 2043 2053 --� 2055 - RCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-2) 2063 —j 2063 — BCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-2) 2073 2083 —{ 2085 - RCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-3) 2093 2103 —{ 2103 - BCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-3) 2113 Figure 11.10 — Package 4: Strategy Implementation Schedule Strategic Water Supply Plan tltbV�cf�February 2013 11-15 100,000 , _. _ __. _t _ .... _: _._ .__ . ... _ _ .__..a .. _. . ........ ... __ _.._.- 32.6 90,000 + - _------------ ._. _._ 29.3 80,000 4— , 26.1 %_ 70,000 _.. _ _ . -_ -._ .. _l-. _.' . _ , _. _.___ i -._.t 22.8 91 60,000 - '- - 19.6 c 50,000 16.3 > 40,000 13.0 E 3 30,000 9.8 > 20,000 6.5 3 10,000 3.3 0 0.0 M M M ri N M M M M M M tt to w 11% 00 M M M M O ei O O O N N N O O O O O N N N N N 0 .-i rl N N N Year 000 LAH- Phase 1 RCWF- Current RCWF- CM MM LAH- Phase 2 BCWF v Direct Potable Reuse Probable Demand Accelerated Demand —Conservation Demand Figure 11.11— Package 4: Annual Supply vs. Annual Demand Projections 160 _ _ _ - _. __....._ ._ _ i._._ _. _ .._ f 160 140 140 ^� 120 _ _._.._- {_.-_._ _ -- C - - i - __ 120^ E 100 100 E a► E � E 2 80 80 a 0 0 60 60 3 40 40 3 20 20 0 0 M m M M r+ N M v M M M in r` M rn m 00 M cn o O O o N N N N 0 0 0 N N N 0 0 N N N N Year 11111111111111111BCWF-Current BCWF-CM OM LAH-Phase 1 RCWF-Current RCWF-CM NNW LAH - Phase 2 Direct Potable Reuse Probable Demand —Conservation Demand Accelerated Demand Figure 11.12 — Package 4: Peak Supply vs. Peak Demand Projections Strategic Water Supply Plan tluWoty�fkFebruary 2013 11-16 BCWF Capacity Maintenance — This strategy includes implementing the BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance strategy in 2013 as depicted in Figure 11.12. During the next four years (2013 through 2017) BCWF will have an average utilization of 10,233 ac-ft/yr. However, once LAH Phase 2 is implemented, the projected average utilization of the BCWF is 1,739 ac-ft/yr over a 66-year period. Due to the low utilization of BCWF, additional groups of wells are recommended in 2023, 2063, and 2103. After the LAH Phase 2 strategy is implemented in 2017, the BCWF can be reserved primarily for peaking capacity for the remaining planning period. The BCWF plays an important role in boosting Lubbock's total peaking capacity. BCWF should be capable of providing up to 40 mgd to meet peak demand for the remaining planning period (see Figure 11.13) if the annual usage remains less than 3,000 ac-ft/yr as projected. Lake Alan Henry Phase 2 — This strategy includes expanding the existing LAH infrastructure by 2017 by an additional 8,000 ac-ft/yr. Since this strategy includes pumping water from LAH at a rate equal to or less than the lake's safe yield, the lake should provide 16,000 ac-ft/yr of water supply to Lubbock for the duration of the planning period. LAH plays an important role in boosting Lubbock's total peaking capacity. Once Phase 2 is complete, LAH will be capable of providing up to 30 mgd to meet peak demand for the duration of the planning period (see Figure 11.13). RCWF Capacity Maintenance — This strategy only includes maintaining the existing transmission line from the RCWF. Since a new transmission line is not needed to meet the projected Conservation Demand, the well field production will decline more slowly extending the life of the RCWF. It is anticipated that over the planning period that additional wells will need to be added in 2025, 2055, and 2085 to maintain the necessary capacity to keep the transmission lines flowing full. Direct Potable Reuse at the NWTP — This strategy includes implementing Direct Potable Reuse at the NWTP by 2020. Implementing this strategy earlier will reduce the demand for the BCWF. Figures 11.12 and 11.13 depict this supply strategy using all of the Net Reclaimed Water available (21,057 ac-ft/yr by 2113) as discussed in Section 6.3. Strategic Water Supply Plan IU�}30Ck February 2013 11-17 ,Ex.3 11.5 Supply Package 5 —Accelerated Growth This supply package is different from Packages 1, 2, and 3 because its objective is to meet the Accelerated Growth Demand projections (red line) described in Section 2. Since the demand projections are greater than the Probable Demand projections used in the first three packages, several additional supply strategies must be implemented. The potential strategies used are described in the following sections: Supply Strategy Section Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP 6.5 RCWF Capacity Maintenance 7.3 BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance 7.4 BCWF Capacity Maintenance 7.4 RCWF New Transmission Line 7.5 Brackish Well Field 7.8 LAH Phase 2 8.2 Jim Bertram Lake 7 8.3 North Fork Scalping Operation 8.5 In this supply package, strategies are implemented or phased in as depicted in Figure 11.13. The individual and cumulative annual water supplies available from these strategies with respect to the estimated demand over the planning period are depicted in Figure 11.14. The individual and cumulative available peak supplies from these strategies with respect to the estimated peak demand are depicted in Figure 11.15. Strategic Water Supply Plan cfcvof February 2013 11-18 Lubbock 2013 2013 - BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance (ICM) 2017 - LAH Phase 2 2020 - Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP 2023 2023 - BCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-1) 2025 - RCWF New Transmission Line 2033 2043 2053 1 2055 - North Fork Scalping Operation 2055 - RCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-2) 2063 2073 2079 — Jim Bertram Lake 7 2083 -1 2085 - RCWF Capacity Maintenance (CM-3) 2093 2098 - Brackish Well Field 2103 2113 Figure 11.13 — Package 5: Strategy Implementation Schedule Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uf-obbOC February 2013 11-19 fk 100,000 _,. �.�_, I. _ ... ___I cr 32.6 90 000 _.-. r rz��'29.3 �- 0 80,000 L.-.. __ ._. . ___.._.I. 26.1 "o 70,000 -—- 22.8 0 60,000 19.6 0 a► 3 50,000 16.3 = :3 > 40,000 13.0 E I- W to 30,000 9.8 z > 3 20,000 6.5 a`► �O 10,000 3.3 3 0 0.0 M M M M r-1 N M iY M M M M M M to W r` 00 C1 O M e-1 O O O O N N N N O O O O O `-I N N N N N N `4 N Year EUM LAH- Phase 1 NIM LAH- Phase 2 �RCWF-Current RCWF -CM&New Transmission Line IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIBCWF � Direct Potable Reuse Lake 7 MOM NFSO 1� Brackish Well Field Probable Demand —Accelerated Demand Conservation Demand Figure 11.14 — Package 5: Annual Supply vs. Annual Demand Projections 160 160 m 120 - - __ _ _ . ?___ L . i 120 t __ ..__..l_ 100 100 2 80 80 0 0 60 60 ro 70 3 40 40 3 20 20 0 0 m M M M -+ N M -zr M M Ln 0 M M M M P� 00 rn O c» r-I O O O O N N N fV O o N N O O O .1 N N N N .-I N �BCWF-Current Year �BCWF-CM ®LAH- Phase 1 � LAH-Phase 2 11111111111111111IRCWF-Current RCWF-CM &New Transmission Line e Direct Potable Reuse Lake 7 DOM NFSO r"4 Brackish Well Field Probable Demand Conservation Demand —Accelerated Demand Figure 11.15 — Package 5: Peak Supply vs. Peak Demand Projections Strategic Water Supply Plan tlt�b]P�fkFebruary 2013 11-20 BCWF Capacity Maintenance — This strategy includes implementing the BCWF Initial Capacity Maintenance strategy in 2013 as depicted in Figure 11.15. Due to a projected usage of the BCWF averaging 12,027 ac-ft/yr over a 12-year period, another group of wells (BCWF CM-1) is recommended in 2023. After the RCWF New Transmission Line strategy is implemented in 2025, the BCWF is reserved for peaking capacity for the remaining planning period. The BCWF plays an important role in boosting Lubbock's total peaking capacity. BCWF should be capable of providing up to 40 mgd to meet peak demand for the remaining planning period (see Figure 11.16) if the annual usage remains less than 3,000 ac-ft/yr as projected. Lake Alan Henry Phase 2 — This strategy includes expanding the existing LAH infrastructure by 2017 by an additional 8,000 ac-ft/yr. Since this strategy includes pumping water from LAH at a rate equal to or less than the lake's safe yield, the lake should provide 16,000 ac-ft/yr of water supply to Lubbock for the duration of the planning period. LAH plays an important role in boosting Lubbock's total peaking capacity. Once Phase 2 is complete, LAH will be capable of providing up to 30 mgd to meet peak demand for the duration of the planning period (see Figure 11.16). RCWF New Transmission Line — This strategy includes constructing a new transmission line from the RCWF to the CRMWA Aqueduct that will almost double the amount of water available (45,671 ac-ft/yr) from the RCWF to Lubbock by 2025. Since the well field production will decline over time, it is anticipated that additional wells will need to be added in 2055 and 2085 to maintain the necessary capacity to keep the transmission lines flowing full. Direct Potable Reuse at the NWTP - This strategy includes implementing Direct Potable Reuse at the NWTP by 2020. Implementing this strategy earlier will reduce the demand for the BCWF. Figures 11.14 and 11.15 depict this supply strategy using all of the Net Reclaimed Water available as discussed in Section 6.3 until 2079 when Jim Bertram Lake 7 is completed. After 2079, this strategy must share the Net Reclaimed Water with Jim Bertram Lake 7. North Fork Scalping Operation - This strategy includes implementing the North Fork Scalping Operation by 2055. Since this strategy includes pumping storm water flows from the North Fork, the strategy should provide 8,725 ac-ft/yr of water supply to Lubbock for the duration of the planning period. Strategic Water Supply Plan tIt"b96ftFebruary 2013 11-21 Jim Bertram Lake 7 — This strategy includes constructing Lake 7 by 2079 with a safe yield of 11,300 ac-ft/yr with 7,300 ac-ft/yr coming from Lubbock's available Net Reclaimed Water as described in Section 8.3. Therefore, the Direct Potable Reuse at the NWTP strategy must be reduced from 18,968 to 10,067 ac-ft/yr in 2079. Since this strategy includes pumping water from Lake 7 at a rate equal to or less than the lake's safe yield, the lake should provide 11,300 ac-ft/yr of water supply to Lubbock for the duration of the planning period. Lake 7 plays an important role in boosting Lubbock's total peaking capacity. Once this strategy is complete, Lake 7 will be capable of providing up to 20 mgd to meet peak demand for the duration of the planning period (see Figure 11.16). Brackish Well Field — This strategy includes constructing the Brackish Well Field at the SWTP site by 2098. Since this strategy includes groundwater pumped from the Dockum Aquifer, it is uncertain whether this strategy will be sustainable for the remaining 15 years of the planning period without the installation of additional wells. Strategic Water Supply Plan ?OCk February 2013 11-22 tI'uf---b' r 1111111 K 1111 1 Table 11.1 provides a comparison of the five supply packages discussed in this section. General observations concerning this comparison include: • Many supply strategies are interchangeable. The attractiveness of each strategy may change over time. Implementation schedules may change based on a variety of unpredictable variables including climate conditions, population, per capita consumption, industry need, changes in regulatory environments, etc. • New supply strategies must be implemented over the next 20 years to reduce the over -utilization of the BCWF; • Delaying the implementation of LAH Phase 2 and/or the RCWF New Transmission Line (under Probable Demand conditions) threatens the sustainability of the BCWF as a viable peaking source. • If Lubbock persists in its water conservation efforts, the implementation of the RCWF New Transmission Line strategy and/or other supply strategies can be delayed indefinitely; • If accelerated growth occurs, several additional strategies will need to be implemented to meet the projected water demand in 2113; • Direct reuse and indirect reuse strategies are interchangeable. However, the amount of reclaimed water available during the first couple of decades is small compared to what is available during the later decades of the planning period. • Supply Packages 3 and 4 are identical during the first 20 years of the planning period. Strategic Water Supply Plan IU�?�J�OCk February 2013 11-23 nags Table 11.1— Supply Package Schedule Comparison Supply Package 1 Baseline Supply Package 2 LAH Delayed Supply Package 3 RCWF Line Delayed Supply Package 4 Conservation Supply Package 5 Accel. Growth 2013 2013: BCWF - ICM 2017: LAH Phase 2 2013: BCWF - ICM 2017: BCWF CM-1 2013: BCWF - ICM 2017: LAH Phase 2 2020: Direct Reuse 2013: BCWF - ICM 2017: LAH Phase 2 2020: Direct Reuse 2013: BCWF - ICM 2017: LAH Phase 2 2020: Direct Reuse 2023 2023: BCWF CM-1 2025: RCWF New Transmission Line 2023: BCWF CM-2 2025: RCWF New Transmission Line 2031: LAH Phase 2 2023: BCWF CM-1 2025: RCWF CM-1 2023: BCWF CM-1 2025: RCWF CM-1 2023: BCWF CM-1 2025: RCWF New Transmission Line 2033 2033: BCWF CM-2 2035: RCWF New Transmission Line 2043 2053 2054: Direct Reuse 2055: RCWF CM-1 2054: North Fork Diversion at CR 7300 2055: RCWF CM-1 2055: RCWF CM-2 2055: North Fork Scalping Operation 2055: RCWF CM-2 2063 2065: RCWF CM-2 2063: BCWF CM-2 2073 2079: Jim Bertram Lake 7 2083 2085: RCWF CM-2 2085: RCWF CM-2 2085: RCWF CM-3 2085: RCWF CM-3 2093 2095: RCWF CM-3 2098: Brackish Well Field 2103 2103: BCWF CM-3 2113 Note: ICM = Initial Capacity Maintenance, CM-1 = Capacity Maintenance-], CM-2 = Capacity Maintenance-2, etc. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'ut_obvl%�cf�February 2013 11-24 'Financiala In Section 11, five recommended water supply packages are presented and discussed. This section evaluates the financial impact of each of the supply packages. The financial impact of each package is dependent upon the timing, order, capital cost, annual operating costs, and number of supply strategies implemented over the 100 year planning period. This financial evaluation should assist the City in developing a Capital Improvement Plan (CIP) for the recommended supply packages. The proposed implementation schedules can be adjusted in the future to meet the City's needs. The strategies may shift in order of implementation as the City's priorities change. The City should re-evaluate the proposed order before each strategy is implemented. HDR Engineering, Inc. prepared a present value (PV) analysis on each of the five water supply packages. Appendix E includes a memo explaining the primary assumptions for the PV analysis. These assumptions include inflation, discount, and bond interest rates. Rates used in calculating PVs are summarized in Table 12.1. Table 12.1— Present Value Analysis — Assumed Rates Used in Calculations Time Period Inflation Rate Power Cost Inflation Rate Discount Rate Bond Rate 2014 — 2025 3.0% 1.0% 1.0% 5.1 % 2026 — 2046 3.1 % 2.8% 1.1 % 5.1 % 2047 — 2067 3.2% 3.8% 1.2% 5.1 % 2068-2113 2.7% 4.8% 1.0% 5.1% Strategic Water Supply Plan c;tyof February 2013 12-1 Lubbock Inflated Project Costs HDR Engineering, Inc. prepared inflated project costs for each of the five water supply packages shown in Table 12.2. These inflated costs account for estimated rates of inflation affecting future prices, using the rates shown in Table 12.1. Projects implemented later in the Plan have higher inflated costs than those implemented earlier. Table 12.2 lists the cost of projects if constructed today (Original Project Cost) and compares the inflated costs of those projects based upon their implementation date. Some of the original project costs differ from those presented in earlier sections as they have been adjusted in size and scope from the initial evaluation to meet the City's water supply needs in the year they are implemented. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u"�b9oy CfX February 2013 12-2 ,,� Table 12.2 - Inflated Project Cost Comparison Package 1 Package 2 Package 3 Package 4 Package 5 Baseline LAH Delayed RCWF Delayed Conservation Accel. Growth Original , Inflated Inflated d Inflated Inflated Inflated Project Name Project Cost 9 Project Cost Project Cost ( >- roject Cost ( Project Cost Project Cost ($ in millions) w ($ in millions) w in millions) w in millions) w ($ in millions) w ($ in millions) BCWF ICM $19.04 2014 $19.04 2014 $19.04 2014 $19.04 2014 $19.04 2014 $19.04 BCWF CM -I $5.72 2021 $7.04 2015 $5.89 2021 $7.04 2021 $7.04 2021 $7.04 BCWF CM-2 $5.72 2021 $7.04 2031 $9.51 2061 $24.10 BCWF CM-3 $5.72 2101 $72.14 Brackish $58.23 2096 $642.34 Well Field Direct Potable Reuse toNWTP $100.23 2052 $317.95 2018 $112.81 2018 $112.81 2018 $112.81 Phase 1 Direct Potable Reuse to NWTP $83.51 2052 $264.92 2045 $212.75 2045 $212.75 2045 $212.75 Phase 2 Jim Bertram $88.33 2077 $586.86 Lake 7 LAH Phase $65.71 2015 $67.68 2029 $102.75 2015 $67.68 2015 $67.68 2015 $67.68 North Fork Diversion at $54.26 2052 $172.13 CR 7300 North Fork $125.49 2053 $410.82 Scalping Operation RCWF New $104.33 2023 $136.12 2023 $136.12 2033 $184.29 2023 $136.12 Transmission Line RCWF CM-1 $9.61 2023 $12.54 2023 $12.54 with 11 wells RCWF CM-2 $9.61 2053 $31.47 with I I wells RCWF CM-3 $9.61 2083 $74.97 with I I wells RCWF CM-1 $18.44 2053 $60.36 2053 $60.36 2063 $82.69 2053 $60.36 with 20 wells RCWF CM-2 $18.44 2083 $143.79 2083 $143.79 2093 $187.77 2083 $143.79 with 20 wells Note: ICM = Initial Capacity Maintenance, CM-1 = Capacity Maintenance-], CM-2 = Capacity Maintenance-2, etc. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'u4l9OCk February 2013 12-3 ,tx: A summary of the PV Analysis is depicted in Table 12.3 and Figure 12.1. Based on this analysis, the PV of all five supply packages fall between $4 billion and $10 billion over the 100 year planning period. Table 12.3 — Present Value Analysis Summary Package Total Package Cost (Current Dollars) Total Package Cost (Inflated Dollars) Total Cash Flow (Inflated Dollars) Net PV of Cash Flow Package 1 $ 415,417,000 $ 1,016,904,796 $ 14,669,595,197 $ 6,793,719,381 Package 2 $ 291,661,000 $ 647,127,226 $ 10,821,355,010 $ 4,975,451,844 Package 3 $ 430,754,000 $ 896,130,642 $ 14,887,481,747 $ 6,974,456,843 Package 4 $ 314,499,000 $ 634,548,574 $ 8,536,822,201 $ 4,131,248,530 Package 5 $ 687,463,000 $ 2,399,617,523 $ 21,657,599,118 $ 9,945,560,890 Figure 12.1— Net Present Value Comparison for Supply Packages As expected, Supply Package 4 is the least expensive alternative since it requires the fewest water supply strategies to meet the Conservation Demand projections. Similarly, Supply Package 5 is the most expensive alternative since it requires the implementation of the most water supply strategies in order to meet the Accelerated Demand projections. Strategic Water Supply Plan February 2013 12-4 tl'u4l�ot'�fk Supply Packages 1, 2, and 3 are all based on satisfying the Probable Demand projections. Supply Package 2 is less expensive than Supply Packages 1 and 3 for several reasons. This package draws more heavily upon the existing BCWF supply for a longer period of time. However, heavy usage of the BCWF may not be sustainable. Package 1 implements LAH Phase 2 sooner in order to relieve BCWF. Package 3 implements direct reuse sooner in order to relieve BCWF. 12.2 12-Year Financial Model In order to provide information for water rate planning, the City's Finance Department created a financial spreadsheet model for the Water Fund that extends over the 12 year short-term planning period. Models were developed for all five supply packages discussed in Section 11. In each model, the volume rates increase more dramatically during the first part of the modeling period, because the City Council initiated a new water rate policy in 2012 to promote water conservation. Under this new policy, the base rates decrease over a three year period and the volume rates increase. For example, during this three year period, the base rate for a 3/4-inch water meter decreases from $21 to $7 per month. A rate structure comparison for Supply Package 1 is included in Appendix E-2 to demonstrate the variations in the base and volume rates due to this policy. Therefore, in the first few years of the modeling period the volume rates are affected by both the implementation of each supply package and the introduction of the new rate policy. Financial models for each Supply Package are included in Appendix E-3 through E-6. One financial model (Appendix E-5) represents both Supply Packages 3 and 4 since the exact same projects are initiated during the same timeframes over the 12 year period. Variations between these two packages do not occur until 2033. Key drivers of these financial models include: • Timing of debt issuance; • Amount of cumulative debt service; • Maintaining appropriable net assets at policy levels; • Creating and funding a RCWF reserve to fund the new transmission line; and • Increases in volume and/or base rates to meet additional revenue demands. Strategic Water Supply Plan tl'uf-l'So�ft February 2013 12-5 These financial models are used to estimate how much water rates will increase over the next 12 years in order to fund each of the supply packages. Figure 12.2 compares a 2013 monthly residential water bill for a 3/4-inch meter with projected water bills for each supply package in 2025 assuming an average consumption of 7,000 gallons/month. Figure 12.2 — Comparison of Average Monthly Water Bill for Supply Packages Based on the water bill comparison in Figure 12.2, the following observations and conclusions can be made: • During the short-term planning period, an average monthly water bill may increase by as much as $14 (30%) to $29 (59%) depending on which supply package is implemented. • Supply Package 2 (LAH Phase 2 Delayed) includes the smallest increase in the water rates over the short-term planning period. Because this package relies heavily on the BCWF, fewer strategies are needed in the next 12 year period. However, this strategy becomes more costly over the 100 year planning period. • While not the least expensive package in the short-term, Supply Package 4 (Conservation) is the least expensive package over the entire planning period (see Strategic Water Supply Plan j city �fS February 2013 12-6Lubbo Figure 12.1). The savings to the customer will become more noticeable during the medium- and long-term planning periods. • Supply Package 5 (Accelerated Growth) includes the most expensive increase in the water rates over the short-term and long-term planning periods. Strategic Water Supply Plan toy tl'u4bbock February 2013 12-7 Tt: Appendix A-1 Historic Data for the City of Lubbock Year Population (Genus Data) Growth Rate (Percent) Gallons per Capita per Day (gpcd) Water Demand (ac-ft/yr) Peak Day Demand (mgd) Average Annual Day (mg) Peaking Factor Data by Decade 1910 1938 n a 1920 4,051 109.0 1930 20,520 406.5 1940 31,853 55.2 1950 71747 125.2 1960 128,691 79.4 1970 149,101 15.9 1980 173,979 16.7 206 40,205 70.85 35.89 1.97 1990 186,206 7.0 192 40,086 79.00 35.79 2.21 2000 199 564 7.2 199 44,375 67.82 39.62 1.71 2010 229!573 15.0 148 36,890 50.38 32.93 1.53 Data by Year 1910 1,938, 8.54 1911 2,104 4.02 1912 2,188 4.35 1913 2,283 8.54 1914 2,478 8.54 1915 2,690 8.54 1916 2,920 8.54 1917 3,169 8.54 1918 3,440 8.54 1919 3,733 8.51 -1920 4,051 17.62 1921 4,765 17.62 1922 5,604 17.62 1923 6,591 17.62 1924 7,753 17.62 1925 9,118 17.62 1926 10,725 17.62 1927 12,614 17.62 1928 1 14,836 17.62 1929 17,450 17.59 1930 20,520 M 1931 21,443 4.50 1932 22,407 4.50 1933 23,414 4.50 1934 24,467 4.50 1935 25,567 4.50 1936 26,716 4.50 1937 27,917 4.50 1938 29,173 4.50 1939 30,484 4.49 1940 MA53 8.46 1941 34,547 8.46 1942 37,470 8.46 1943 40,639 8.46 1944 44,077 8.46 1945 47,806 8.46 1946 51,849 8.46 1947 56,235 8.46 1948 60,992 8.46 1949 66,152 8.46 1950 71,747, 6.02 1951 76,064 6.02 1952 80,641 6.02 1953 85,493 6.02 1954 90,638 6.02 1955 96,091 6.02 1956 101,873 6.02 1957 108,003 6.02 1958 114,501 6.02 1959 121,391 6.01 1960 128,691 1.48 1961 130,599 1.48 1962 132,536 1.48 1963 134,502 1.48 1 664 136,496 1.48 Appendix A-1 Historic Data for the City of Lubbock Year Population (Genus Data) Growth Rate (Percent) Gallons per Capita per Day (gpcd) Water Demand (ac-ft/yr) Peak Day Demand (mgd) Average Annual Day (mg) Peaking Factor 1965 138,521 1.48 1966 140,57S 1.48 1967 142,660 1.48 1968 144,77S 1.48 1969 146,922 1.48 1970 149,101 " 1.55 1971 151,420 1.55 1972 153,774 1.55 1973 156,165 1.55 1974 158,593 1.55 1975 161,059 1.55 1976 163,S64 1.55 1977 166,107 1.55 1978 168,690 1.55 1979 171,313 1.56 1980 173,979 0.30 - 206 40,205 70.85 35.89 1.97 1981 174,508 0.30 184 35,928 68.48 32.07 2.13 1982 175,038 0.30 178 34,841 58.69 31.10 1.89 1983 175,569 0.30 208 40,835 n/a 36.46 n/a 1984 176,103 2.19 195 38 385 n/a 34.27 n/a 198S 179,953 0.34 180 36,30S 65.18 32.41 2.01 1986 180,561 0.23 170 34,395 65.71 30.71 2.14 1987 180,973 0.70 168 34,057 57.01 30.40 1.87 1988 182,243 0.73 183 37,417 60.40 33.40 1.81 1989 183,573 1.43 196 40,233 69.12 35.92 1.92 1990 186,206 =' 0.50 192 40,086 79.00 35.79 2.21 1991 187,137 0.19 176 36,930 67.38 32.97 2.04 1992 187,493 0.26 167 34,971 55.50 31.22 1.78 1993 187,981 1.09 181 38,096 58.35 34.01 1.72 1994 190,038 0.52 197 41,929 74.98 37.43 2.00 1995 191,020 1.07 213 45,491 79.54 40.61 1.96 1996 193,064 1.19 204 44,178 66.71 39.44 1.69 1997 195,367 0.67 185 40,408 63.37 36.07 1.76 1998 196,679 0.22 224 49,299 84.17 44.01 1.91 1999 197,117 1.24 188 41429 68.93 36.99 1.86 2000 199,564 0.83 199 44,375 67.82 39.62 1.71 2001 201,217 0.39 191 43,078 73.09 38.46 1.90 2002 202,000 1.35 182 41,080 63.91 36.67 1.74 2003 204,737 0.76 190 43,626 73.61 38.95 1.89 2004 206,290 1.37 161 37,120 59.94 33.14 1.81 2005 209,120 0.99 168 39,302 64.97 35.09 1.85 2006 211,187 0.56 177 41,874 78.45 37.38 2.10 2007 212,365 1.17 136 32,456 51.77 28.97 1.79 2008 214,847 1.62 148 35,671 57.18 31.8S 1.80 2009 218,327 6.85 145 35,434 54.23 31.63 1.71 2010 229,573 1.06 143 36,890 50.38 32.93 1.53 2011 236,111 0.69 178 47,024 64.11 41.25 1.53 2012 237,712 1 1 152 40,587 58.07 36.23 1.60 Appendix A-2 Population and Growth Rate Projections Population Growth Rate (Percent) Year Probable Accelerated 2011 Region O Plan 2007 SWSP Medium 2007 SWSP High Probable Accelerated 2011 Region 0 Plan 2007 SWSP Medium 2007 SWSP High Data by Decade 2013 240,565 240,565 220,281 225,631 239,290 1.20 1.30 0.50 0.72 1.20 2023 271042 281945 230,143 241,149 269,568 1.20 1.70 0.31 0.62 1.20 2033 305,381 333,714 236 483 255,197 303,682 1.20 1.70 0.19 0.51 1.20 2043 330,710 375,993 240 563 267,400 342,118 0.80 1.20 0.13 0.41 1.20 2053 354,603 415,330 244,568 277,554 385,423 0.70 1.00 0.24 0.32 1.20 2063 376,463 454,260 n a 285,840 434,215 0.60 0.90 n a 0.25 1.20 2073 395,715 491938 n a 292,592 489189 0.50 0.80 n a 0.20 1.20 2083 411832 527,479 n a 298,076 551127 0.40 0.70 n a 0.15 20 2093 428 605 559996 302,206 302 206 620 912 0.40 0.60 n a 0.10 20 2103 446061 585 712 585,712 0.10 2n/a 211 4 228 603, 22 n a n a n a 0.40 0.30 n n a Databy Year 2010 233,606 233,606 216,974 220,817 229,913 1.06 1.06 0.51 0.72 1.20 2011 ' 2361,111 236,111 218,076 222,410 233,656 0.69 0.69 0.51 0.72 1.20 2012 237,712 237,712 219,178 224,015 236,456 1.20 1.20 0.50 0.72 1.20 2013 240,565 240,565 `: 220,281 - 22%631 239,290 1,26 1.30 0,50 0.72 1,20 2014 243,451 243,692 221,383 227,259 242,158 1.20 1.40 0.50 0.72 1.20 2015 246,373 247,104 222,485 228,899 245 060 1.20 1.50 0.50 0.72 1.20 2016 249,329 2S0,810 223,587 230,551 247,997 1.20 1.60 0.49 0.72 1.20 2017 252,321 254,823 224,689 232,214 250.970 1.20 1.70 0.49 0.72 1.20 2018 255,349 259,155 225,792 233,890 253,978 1.20 1.70 0.49 0.72 1.20 2019 258,413 263,561 226,894 235,577 257,022 1.20 1.70 0.49 0.50 1.20 2020 261,514 268,041 227 996 236,749 260,102 1.20 1.70 0.31 0.62 1.20 2021 264,652 272,598 228,712 238,207 263,220 1.20 1.70 0.31 0.62 1.20 2022 267,828 277,232 229,427 239,673 266,375 1.20 1.70 0.31 0.62 1.20 2023 271,042 281,945 230,143 241,149 269,568 1.20 1.70 0.31 0.62 1.20 2024 274,295 286,738 230,858 242,634 272,799 1.20VI.70 0.31 0.62 1.20 2025 277,586 291,611 � 231;574 244,128 ' 276,069 1.2070 0,31 0.62 1.20 2026 280,917 296,570 232,289 245,631 279,378 1.2070 0.31 0.62 1.20 2027 284,288 301,612 233,005 247,144 282,727 1.2070 0.31 0.62 1.20 2028 287,700 306,739 233,720 248,665 286,116 1.2070 0.31 0.62 1.20 2029 291,152 311,954 234,436 250,197 289,546 1.207 00.31 0.45 1.20 2030 294,646 317,257 235,151 251,326 293.017 1.20 1.70 0.19 0.51 1.20 2031 298,182 322,650 235,595 252,610 296,530 1.20 1.70 0.19 0.51 1.20 2032 ': 301,760 328,136 236,039 253,900 300,085 1.20 1.70 0.19 0.51 1.20 2033 305,381 333,714 236,483 255,197 303,682 1.20 1.70 0.19 0.51 1.20 2034 307,824 337,718 236 927 256,500 307,323 0.80 1.20 0.19 0.51 1.20 2035 310,287 341,771 237,371 257,810 311,007 0.80 1.20 0.19 0.51 1.20 2036 312,769 345,872 237,815 259,127 314,735 0.80 1.20 0.19 0.51 1.20 2037 315,271 350 023 238,259 260,451 318,509 0.80 1.20 0.19 0.51 1.20 2038 317,793 354,223 238,703 261,781 322,327 0.80 1.20 0.19 0.51 1.20 2039 320,336 358,474 239,147 263,118 326,191 0.80 1.20 0.19 0.40 1.20 2040 322,898 362,775 239,591 264,163 330,102 0.80 1.20 0.14 0.41 1.20 2041 325,482 367,129 239,915 265,238 334,060 0.80 1.20 0.14 0.41 1.20 2042 328,085 371,534 240,239 266,317 338,065 0.80 1.20 0.13 0.41 1.20 2043 330,710 375,993 240,563 267,400 342,118 0.80 1.20 0.13 0.41 1.20 2044 333,025 379,753 240,887 268,488 346,220 0.70 1.00 0.13 0.41 1.20 2045 335,356 383,550 241,211 269,580 350,371 0.70 1.00 0.13 0.41 1.20 2046 337,704 387,386 241,535 270,677 354,572 0.70 1.00 0.13 0.41 1.20 2047 340,068 391,259 241,859 271,778 358,823 0.70 1.00 0.13 0.41 1.20 2048 342,448 395,172 242,183 272,883 363,125 0.70 1.00 0.13 0.41 1.20 2049 344,845 399,124 242,507 273,993 367,479 0.70 1.00 0.13 0.33 1.20 2050 347,259 403,115 242,831 274,909 371,885 0.70 1.00 0.24 0.32 1.20 2051 349,690 407,146 243,410 275,788 376,344 0.70 1.00 0.24 0.32 1.20 2052 352,138 411,218 243,989 276,669 380,857 0.70 1.00 0.24 0.32 1.20 2 553 354,603 415,330 244,568 277,554 385,423 0.70 1.00 0.24 0.32 1.20 2054 ,730 419,068 245,147 278,441 390,045 0.60 0.90 0.24 0.32 1.20 2055,871 422,839 245,727 279,331 394,722 0.60 0.90 0.24 0.32 1.20 2056,024 426,645 246,306 280,224 399,455 0.60 0.90 0.24 0.32 1.20 2057,190 M 430,485 246,885 281,120 404,245 0.60 0.90 0.23 0.32 1.20 2058,369 434,359 247,464 282,019 409,092 0.60 0.90 0.23 0.32 1.2059,561 438,268 248,043 282,920 413,998 0.60 0.90 0.23 0.27 1.20 2060 369,767 442,213 74R FW 283,697 418,962 0.60 0.90 n/a 0.25 1.20 Appendix A-2 Population and Growth Rate Projections Population Growth Rate (Percent) Year Probable Accelerated 2011 Region O Plan 2007 SWSP Medium 2007 SWSP High Probable Accelerated 2011 Region 0 Plan 2007 SWSP Medium 2007 SWSP High 2061 371,985 446,193 n/a 284,410 423,966 0.60 0.90 n/a 0.25 1.20 2062 374,217 450,208 n/a 285,124 429,070 0.60 0.90 n/a 0.25 1.20 2063 376463, 454,260 n/a 285,840 434`215 0.60 0.90 n/a 0.25 11,20 2064 378,345 457,894 n/a 286,558 439,422 0.50 0.80 n/a 0.25 1.20 2065 380,237 461,558 n/a 287,278 444,692 0.50 0.80 n/a 0.25 1.20 2066 382,138 465,250 n/a 287,999 450,025 0.50 0.80 n/a 0.25 1.20 2067 384,049 4681,972 n/a 288,722 455,421 0.50 0.80 n/a 0.25 1.20 2068 385,969 472,724 n/a 289,448 460,883 0.50 0.80 n/a 0.25 1.20 2069 387,899 476,506 n/a 290,175 466,410 0.50 0.80 n/a 0.22 1.20 2070 389,838 480,318 n/a 290,824 472,003 0.50 0.80 n/a 0.20 1.20 2071 391,787 484,160 n/a 291,412 477,664 O.SO 0.80 n/a 0.20 1.20 2072 393,746 488,033 n/a 292,002 483,392 0.50 0.80 n/a 0.20 1.20 2073 395,715 491,938 n/a 292,592 489,189 0.50 0.80 n/a 0.20 1.20 2074 397,298 495,381 n/a 293,184 495,056 0.40 0.70 n/a 0.20 1.20 2075 398,887 498,849 n/a 293,777 500,993 0.40 0.70 n/a 0.20 1.20 2076 400,483 502,341 n/a 294,371 507,001 0.40 0.70 n/a 0.20 1.20 2077 402,085 505,857 n/a 294,966 513,081 0.40 0.70 n/a 0.20 1.20 2078 403,693 509,398 n/a 295,563 519,235 0.40 0.70 n/a 0.20 1.20 2079 405,308 512,964 n/a 296,161 525,462 0.40 0.70 n/a 0.19 1.20 2080 406,929 516,555 n/a 296,709 531,764 0.40 0.70 n/a 0.15 1.20 2081 408,557 520,171 n/a 297,164 538,142 0.40 0.70 n/a 0.15 1.20 2082 410,191 523,812 n/a 297,619 544,596 0.40 0.70 n/a 0.15 1.20 2083 411,832 527,479 n/a 298,076 551,127 0.40 0.70 n/a 0.15 1.20 2084 413,479 530,643 n/a 298,533 557,737 0.40 0.60 n/a 0.15 1.20 2085 415,133 533,827 n/a 298,990 564,426 0.40 0.60 n/a 0.15 1.20 2086 416,793 537,030 n/a 299,449 571,196 0.40 0.60 n/a 0.15 1.20 2087 418,461 540,252 n/a 299,908 578,047 0.40 0.60 n/a 0.15 1.20 2088 420,134 543,494 n/a 300,368 584,980 0.40 0.60 n/a 0.15 1.20 2089 421,815 546,755 n/a 300,829 591,996 0.40 0.60 n/a 0.14 1.20 2090 423,502 550,035 n/a 301,261 599,096 0.40 0.60 n/a 0.10 1.20 2091 425,196 553,336 n/a 301,S76 606,282 0.40 0.60 n/a 0.10 1.20 2092 426,897 556,656 n/a 301,891 613,553 0.40 0.60 n/a 0.10 1.20 2093 428,605 559,996 n/a 302,206 620,912 0.40 0.60 n/a 0.10 1.20 2094 430,319 562,516 n/a 302,522 628,360 0.40 0.45 n/a 0.10 1.20 2095 432,040 565,047 n/a 302,838 635,897 0.40 0.45 n/a 0.10 1.20 2096 433,768 567,590 n/a 303,155 643,524 0.40 0.45 n/a 0.10 1.20 2097 43S,504 570,144 n/a 303,472 651,242 0.40 0.45 n/a 0.10 1.20 2098 ' 437,246 572,709 n/a 303,789 659,054 0.40 0.45 n/a 0.10 1.20 2099 438,994 575,287 n/a 304,107 666,959 0.40 0.45 n/a 0.10 1.20 2100 440,750 577,875 n/a 304,411 674,959 0.40 0.45 n/a 0.10 1.20 2101 442,513 580,476 n/a 304,729 683,055 0.40 0.45 n/a 0.10 1.20 2102 444,284 583,088 n/a 305,048 691,248 0.40 0.45 n/a 0.10 1.20 2103 446,061 585,712 n/a 305,367 699,539 0.40 0.45 n/a 0.10 1.20 2104 447,845 587,469 n/a 305,687 707,930 0.40 0.30 n/a 0.10 1.20 2105' 449,636 589,231 n/a 306,006 716,421 0.40 0.30 n/a n/a n/a 2106 451,435 590,999 n/a n/a n/a 0.40 0.30 n/a n/a n/a 2107 453,241 592,772 n/a n/a n/a 0.40 0.30 n/a n/a n/a 2108 455,054 594,550 n/a n/a n/a 0.40 0.30 n/a n/a n/a 2109 456,874 596,334 n/a n/a n/a 0.40 0.30 n/a n/a n/a 2110 458,701 598,123 n/a n/a n/a 0.40 0.30 n/a n/a n/a 2111 460,536 599,917 n/a n/a n/a 0.40 0.30 n/a n/a n/a 211 4462,378 601,717 n/a n/a n/a 0.40 0.30 n/a n/a n/a 2113 464,228 603,522 i n/a n/a n/a " 0.40 0.30 n/a n/a i n/a Appendix A-3 Per Capita Consumption and Water Demand Projections Gallons per Capita per Day (gpcd) Water Demand (ac-ft/yr) Year Conservation Probable 2011 Region O Plan 2007 SWSP Medium 2007 SWSP High Conservation Probable Accelerated 2011 Region O Plan 2007 SWSP Medium 2007 SWSP High Data by Decade 2013 160 178 204 200 200 43,115 47,965 47 965 50,353 50,548 53,608 2023 145 169 201 200 200 44 006 51193 53 253 51836 54 024 60 391 2033 140 160 198 200 200 47 921 54,639 59,709 52,471 57,171 68,033 2043 137 157 196 200 200 50,919 58,220 66,191 52,732 59,905 76,644 2053 135 155 195 200 200 53 569 61422 71940 53,420 62,180 86,346 2063 132 152 n/a 200 200 55 800 64,159 77 418 n/a 64 036 97 277 2073 130 150 n/a 200 200 57,548 66 356 82.491 n/a 65.549 109,592 2083 127 147 n/a 200 200 58,764 67,948 87,028 n/a 66,778 123,468 2093 125 145 n/a 200 200 60 005 69,578 90,907 n/a 67,703 139,102 2103 123 143 n/a 200 200 61, 1 273 71247 93,553 n/a 68,411 156,717 2113 120 140 n/a n/a n/a 62,567 72,956 94,847 n/a n/a n/a Data by Year 2010 141 141 205 200 200 36,890 36,890 36,890 49,824 49,469 51,507 2011 178 178 205 200 200 47,024 47,024 47,024 50,000 49,826 52,346 2012 152 152 204 200 200 40,587 40,587 40,587 50,177 50,186 521,973 2013 160 178 204 200 200 43115 47,965 47,965 S W ,353 50 548 53 608 2014 156 177 204 200 200 42,541 48,279 48,326 50,529 50,912 54,250 2015 150 176 203 200 200 41,396 48,594 48,738 50,706 51,280 54,900 2016 149 175 203 200 200 41,692 48,912 49,202 50,882 51,650 55,558 2017 149 174 203 200 200 41,989 49,231 49,719 51,058 52,023 56,224 2018 148 173 203 200 200 42,289 49,553 50,292 51,234 52,398 56,898 2019 147 172 202 200 200 42,591 49,877 50,870 51,411 52,776 57,580 2020 146 171 202 200 200 42,896 50,203 511,456 51,587 53,039 58,270 2021 146 170 202 200 200 43,263 50,531 52,048 51,670 53,365 58,969 2022 145 170 201 200 200 43,633 50,861 52,647 51,753 53,694 59,676 2023 145 169 201 200 200 44,006 51,193 53,253 51,836 54,024 60,391 2024 144 168 201 200 200 44,383 51,528 53,866 51,919 54,357 61,115 2025 144 167 200 200` 200 44,763 ' 51865 54,486 52,002 54,692 61,847 2026 143 166 200 200 200 45,146 52,204 55,113 52,084 55,028 62,589 2027 143 165 200 200 200 45,533 52,545 55,747 52,167 55,367 63,339 2028 142 164 200 200 200 45,922 52,888 56,388 52,250 55,708 64,098 2029 142 163 199 200 200 46,315 53,234 57,037 52,333 56,051 64,867 2030 142 162 199 200 200 46,712 53,582 57,694 52,416 56,304 65,644 2031 141 161 199 200 200 47,112 53,932 58,358 52,434 56,592 66,431 2032 141 161 198 200 200 47,515 54,284 59,029 52,453 56,881 67,228 2033 140 160 198 200 200 47,921 54,639 59,709 52,471 57,171 68,033 2034 140 159 198 200 200 48,213 54,987 60,327 52,490 57,463 68,849 2035 140 159 1 197 200 200 48,506 55,337 60,952 52,508 57,757 69,674 2036 139 159 197 200 200 48,802 55,690 61,584 52,526 58,052 70,510 2037 139 159 197 200 200 49,099 56,044 62,222 52,545 58,348 71,355 2038 139 158 197 200 200 49,397 56,401 62,866 52,563 58,646 72,210 2039 139 158 196 200 200 49,698 56,760 63,518 52 582 58,946 73,076 2040 138 158 196 200 200 50,000 57,121 64,176 52,600 59,180 73,952 2041 138 158 196 200 200 50,304 57,485 64,841 52,644 59,421 74,839 2042 138 157 196 200 200 50,611 57,851 65,512 52,688 59,663 75,736 2043 137 157 196 200 200 50,919 58,220 66,191 52,732 59,905 76,644 2044 137 157 196 200 200 51,178 58,532 66,745 52,776 60,149 77,563 2045 137 157 195 200 200 51,438 58,846 67,303 52,820 60,394 78,493 2046 137 156 195 200 200 51,700 59,162 67,866 52,864 60,639 79,434 2047 136 156 195 200 200 51,962 59,480 68,434 52,908 60,886 80,387 2048 136 156 195 200 200 52,227 59,799 69,006 52,952 61,134 81,350 2049 136 156 195 200 200 52,492 60,120 69,583 52,996 61382 82,326 2050 136 155 195 200 200 52,759 60,443 70,165 53,040 61,587 83,313 2051 135 155 195 200 200 53,028 60,767 70,752 53,167 61,784 84,312 2052 135 155 195 200 200 53,298 61,094 71,344 53,293 61,982 85,323 2053 135 155 195 200 200 53,569 61,422 71,940 53,420 62180 86,346 2054 135 154 195 200 200 53,788 61,690 72,470 53,546 62,379 87,381 2055 134 154 195 200 200 54,008 61,960 73,004 53 673 62,578 88,429 2056 134 154 194 200 200 54,228 62,231 73,542 53,799 62,778 89,489 2057 134 154 194 200 200 54,450 62,502 74,083 53,926 62,979 90,562 2058 134 153 194 200 200 54,673 62,776 74,629 54,052 63,180 91,648 2059 133 153 194 200 200 54,896 63,050 75,179 54,179 63,382 92,747 2060 133 153 194 200 200 55,121 63,326 75,732 54,305 63,556 93,859 Appendix A-3 Per Capita Consumption and Water Demand Projections Gallons per Capita per Day (gpcd) Water Demand (ac-ft/yr) Year Conservation Probable 2011 Region O Plan 2007 SWSP Medium 2007 SWSP High Conservation Probable Accelerated 2011 Region O Plan 2007 SWSP Medium 2007 SWSP High 2061 133 153 n/a 200 200 55,346 63,602 76,290 n/a 63,716 94,980 2062 133 152 n/a 200 200 55,572 63,880 76,852 n/a 63,876 96,124 2063 132 :152 n/a '' 200 < 200 55,800 64,159 77,418 n/a 64,036 97,277- 2064 132 152 n/a 200 200 55,972 64,376 77,911 n/a 64,197 98,443 2065 132 152 n/a 200 200 56,145 64,593 78,407 n/a 64,358 99,624 2066 132 151 n/a 200 200 56,319 64,811 78,906 n/a 64,520 100,818 2067 131 151 n/a 200 200 56,493 65,029 79,409 n/a 64,682 102,027 2068 131 151 n/a 200 200 56,667 65,248 79,914 n/a 64,845 103,251 2069 131 151 n/a 200 200 56,842 65,468 80,423 n/a 65,007 104,489 2070 131 150 n/a 200 200 57,018 65,689 80,935 n/a 65,153 105,742 2071 130 150 n/a 200 200 57,194 65,911 81,451 n/a 65,285 107,010 2072 130 150 n/a 200 200 57,371 66,133 81,969 n/a 65,417 108,294 2073 130 ISO n/a 200 200 57,548 66,356 82,491 n/a 9 109,592 2074 130 149 n/a 200 200 57,669 66,513 82,934 n/a 2 110,907 2075 129 149 n/a 200 200 57,789 66,671 83,379 n/a 4 112,237 2076 129 149 n/a 200 200 57,910 66,830 83,827 n/a K66,081 1113,583 2077 129 149 n/a 200 200 58,031 66,988 84,277 n/a 114,945 2078 129 148 n/a 200 200 58,153 67,147 84,729 n/a 5 116,323 2079 128 148 n/a 200 200 58,275 67,307 85,184 n a 8 117,718 2080 128 148 n/a 200 200 58,397 67,466 85,642 n/a 66,471 119,130 2081 128 148 n/a 200 200 58,519 67,626 86,101 n/a 66,573 120,559 2082 128 148 n/a 200 200 58,641 67,787 86,564 n/a 66,675 122,005 2083 127 147 n/a 200 200 58,764 67,948 87,028 n/a 66,778 123,468 2084 127 147 n/a 200 200 58,887 68,109 87,409 n/a 66,880 124,949 2085 127 147 n/a 200 200 59,010 68,271 87,791 n/a 66,982 126,447 2086 127 147 n/a 200 200 1 59,133 68,433 88,174 n/a 67,085 127,964 2087 126 146 n/a 200 200 59,257 68,595 88,560 n/a 67,188 129,499 2088 126 146 n/a 200 200 59,381 68,758 88,947 n/a 67,291 131,052 2089 126 146 n/a 200 200 59,505 68,921 89,335 n/a 67,394 132,624 2090 126 146 n/a 200 200 59,630 69,085 89,726 n/a 67,491 134,215 2091 125 145 n/a 200 200 59,755 69,249 90,118 n/a 67,562 135,824 2092 125 145 n/a 200 200 59,880 69,413 90,512 n/a 67,632 137,453 2093 125 145 n/a 200 200 60,005 69,578 90,907 n/a 67,703 139,102 2094 125 145 n/a 200 200 60,131 69,743 91,169 n/a 67,774 140,771 2095 125 144 n/a 200 200 60,256 69,909 91,430 n/a 67,844 142,459 2096 124 144 n/a 200 200 60,383 70,075 91,693 n/a 67,915 144,168 2097 124 144 n/a 200 200 60,509 70,241 91,957 n/a 67,986 145,897 2098 124 144 n/a 200 200 60,635 70,408 92,221 n/a 68,057 147,647 2099 124 144 n/a 200 200 60,762 70,575 92,486 n/a 68,129 149,418 2100 123 143 n/a 200 200 60,889 70,742 92,751 n/a 68,197 151,210 2101 123 143 n/a 200 200 61,017 70,910 93,018 n/a 68,268 153,024 2102 123 143 n/a 200 200 61,145 71,078 93,285 n/a 68,339 154,859 2103 123 143 n/a 1 200 200 61,273 71,247 93,553 n/a 68,411 156,717 2104 122 142 n/a 1 200 200 61,401 71,416 93,682 n/a 68,483 158,596 2105 122 142 n/a 200 200 61,529 71,586 93,810 n/a 68,554 160,499 2106 122 142 n/a n/a n/a 61,658 71,756 93,939 n/a n/a n/a 2107 122 142 n/a n/a n/a 61,787 71,926 94,069 n/a n/a n/a 2108 121 141 n/a n/a n/a 61,916 72,097 94,198 n/a n/a n/a 2109 121 141 n/a n/a n/a 62,046 72,268 94,327 n/a n/a n/a 2110 121 141 n/a n/a n/a 62,176 72,439 94,457 n/a n/a n/a 2111 121 141 n/a n/a n/a 62,306 72,611 94,587 n/a n/a n a 2112 121 141 n/a n/a n/a 62,436 72 784 94,717 n/a n/a n/a 2113 120 :" 140 n/a n/a n/a 62,567 72,956 94,847 n/a n/a Appendix A-4 Peaking Factor, Average Annual Day, and Peak Day Demand Peaking Factor Average Annual Day - AAD (rngd) Peak Day Demand - PDD (mgd) Year Conservation Probable Conservation Probable Accelerated Conservation Probable Accelerated 2007 SWSP Medium 2007 SWSP High Data by Decade 2013 1.80 1.80 38.49 42.82 42.82 69.28 77.08 77.08 82.13 87.10 2023 1.78 1.80 39.29 45.70 47.54 70.10 82.26 85.57 87.78 98.12 2033 1.77 1.80 42.78 48.78 53.30 75.68 87.80 95.95 92.89 110.54 2043 1.75 1.80 45.46 51.98 59.09 79.71 93.56 106.37 97.33 124.53 2053 1.74 1.80 47.82 54.83 64.22 83.14 98.70 115.60 101.03 140.29 2063 1.72 1.80 49.81 57.28 69.11 85.85 103.10 124.41 104.05 158.05 2073 1.71 1.80 1 51.38 59.24 73.64 1 87.77 1 106.63 1 132.56 106.50 178.06 2083 1.69 1.80 52.46 60.66 1 77.69 1 88.85 1 109.19 1 139.85 1 108.50 200.61 2093 1.68 1.80 53.57 62.12 81.16 89.94 111.81 146.08 110.00 226.01 2103 1.66 1.80 54.70 63.61 83.52 1 91.04 1 114.49 1 150.33 1 111.15 254.63 2113 1.65 1.80 55.86 65.13 1 84.67 1 92.16 1 117.24 1 152.41 1 n a n a Data by Year 2010 1.53 1.53 32.93 32.93 32.93 50.38 50.38 50.38 80.38 83.69 2011 1.53 1.53 41.98 41.98 41.98 64.11 64.11 64.11 80.96 85.05 2012 1.60 1.60 36.23 36.23 36.23 58.07 58.07 58.07 81.54 86.07 2013 1.80 1.80 38.49 42.82 - 42.82 6918, 77.08 77.08 8213 87.10'.. 2014 1.80 1.80 37.98 43.10 43.14 68.30 77.58 77.66 82.72 88.15 2015 1.80 1.80 36.96 43.38 43.51 66.40 78.09 78.32 83.32 89.20 2016 1.80 1.80 37.22 43.67 43.92 66.82 78.60K83.64 6 83.92 90.27 2017 1.79 1.80 37.49 43.95 44.39 67.24 79.110 84.53 91.35 2018 1.79 1.80 37.75 44.24 44.90 67.66 79.632 85.14 92.45 2019 1.79 1.80 38.02 44.53 45.41 68.09 80.155 85.75 93.56 2020 1.79 1.80 38.29 44.82 45.94 68.51 80.679 86.18 94.68 2021 1.79 1.80 38.62 45.11 46.47 69.04 81.20 86.71 95.81 2022 1.79 1.80 38.95 45.41 47.00 69.57 81.730 87.24 96.96 2023 1.78 1.80 39.29 45.70 47.54 70.10 82.26 85.57 87.78 98.12 2024 1.78 1.80 39.62 46.00 48.09 70.64 82.80 86.56 88.32 99.30 2025 1.78 - 1:80 .. A96 46.30 - 48.64 71.18 -' 83.34 87.55 88.86 100.49 ,_ 2026 1.78 1.80 40.30 46.60 49.20 71.73 83.89 88.56 89.41 101.69 2027 1.78 1.80 40.65 46.91 49.77 72.28 84.44 89.58 89.96 102.91 2028 1.78 1.80 41.00 47.22 50.34 72.84 84.99 90.61 90.15 104.15 2029 1.78 1.80 41.35 47.52 50.92 73.40 85.54 91.66 91.07 105.39 2030 1.77 1.80 41.70 47.83 51.51 73.96 86.10 92.71 91.48 106.66 2031 1.77 1.80 42.06 48.15 52.10 74.53 86.67 93.78 91.95 107.94 2032 1.77 1.80 42.42 48.46 52.70 75.10 87.23 94.86 92.42 109.23 2033 1.77 1.80 42.78 48.78 53.30 75.68 87.80 95.95 92.89 110.54 2034 1.77 1.80 43.04 49.09 53.86 76.07 88.36 96.94 93.37 111.87 2035 1.77 1.80 43.30 49.40 54.41 76.47 88.92 97.95 93.84 113.21 2036 1.76 1.80 43.57 49.72 54.98 76.87 89.49 98.96 94.32 114.56 2037 1.76 1.80 43.83 50.03 55.55 77.27 90.06 99.99 94.80 115.94 2038 1.76 1.80 44.10 50.35 56.12 77.67 90.63 101.02 95.29 117.33 2039 1.76 1.80 44.37 50.67 56.71 78.07 91.21 102.07 95.78 118.73 2040 1.76 1.80 44.64 50.99 57.29 78.48 91.79 103.13 96.16 120.16 2041 1.76 1.80 44.91 51.32 57.89 78.89 92.38 104.20 96.55 121.60 2042 1.76 1.80r46 8 51.65 58.49 79.30 92.96 105.27 96.94 123.06 2043 1.75 1.806 51.98 59.09 79.71 93.56 106.37 97.33 124.53 2044 1.75 1.809 52.25 59.59 80.05 94.06 107.25 97.73 126.02 2045 1.75 1.802 52.53 60.08 80.39 94.56 108.15 98.13 127.53 2046 1.75 1.805 52.82 60.59 80.73 95.07 109.06 98.53 129.06 2047 1.75 1.809 53.10 61.09 81.07 95.58 109.97 98.93 130.61 2048 1.75 1.803 53.39 61.60 81.41 96.09 110.89 99.33 132.18 2049 1.74 1.806 53.67 62.12 81.75 96.61 111.82 99.73 133.76 2050 1.74 1.8010 53.96 62.64 82.09 97.13 112.75 100.07 135.37 2051 1.74 1.8034 54.25 63.16 82.44 97.65 113.69 100.39 136.99 2052 1.74 1.8058 54.54 63.69 82.79 98.17 114.64 100.71 138.63 2053 1.74 1.8082 54.83 64.22 83.14 98.70 115.60 101.03 140.29 2054 1.74 1.8002 55.07 64.70 83.40 99.13 116.46 101.35 141.98 2055 1.74 1.8021 55.31 65.17 83.67 99.57 117.31 101.68 143.68 2056 1.73 1.80 1 48.41 55.56 65.65 83.94 100.00 118.18 102.00 145.40 2057 1.73 1.80 48.61 55.80 66.14 84.21 100.44 119.05 102.33 147.15 2058 1.73 1.80 48.81 56.04 66.62 84.48 100.88 119.92 102.65 148.91 2059 1.73 1.80 49.01 56.29 67.12 84.75 101.32 120.81 102.98 150.70 Appendix A-4 Peaking Factor, Average Annual Day, and Peak Day Demand Peaking Factor Average Annual Day - AAD (mgd) Peak Day Demand - PDD (mgd) Year Conservation Probable Conservation Probable Accelerated Conservation Probable Accelerated 2007SWSP 20075WSPMedium High 2060 1.73 1.80 49.21 56.53 67.61 85.03 101.76 121.70 103.27 152.50 2061 1.73 1.80 49.41 56.78 68.11 85.30 102.20 122.59 103.53 154.33 2062 1.72 1.80 49.61 57.03 68.61 85.57 102.65 123.50 103.79 156.13 2063 1.72 1.80 4981 57.28 69.11 85.85 103.10 124.41; 104.05 158.05 2064 1.72 1.80 49.97 57.47 69.55 86.04 103.45 125.20 104.31 159.95 2065 1.72 1.80 50.12 57.66 70.00 86.23 103.80 126.00 104.57 161.87 2066 1.72 1.80 50.28 57.86 70.44 86.42 104.15 126.80 104.83 163.81 2067 1.72 1.80 50.43 58.05 70.89 86.61 104.50 127.61 105.09 165.77 2068 1.72 1.80 50.59 58.25 71.34 86.80 104.85 128.42 105.36 167.76 2069 1.71 1.80 50.75 58.45 71.80 87.00 105.20 129.24 105.62 169.77 2070 1.71 1.80 50.90 58.64 72.25 87.19 105.56 130.06 105.86 171.81 2071 1.71 1.80 51.06 58.84 72.71 87.38 105.91 130.89 106.07 173.87 2072 1.71 1.80 51.22 59.04 73.18 87.58 106.27 131.72 106.29 175.95 2073 1.71 1.80 51.38 59.24 73.64 87.77 106.63 132.56 106.50 178.06 2074 1.71 1.80 51.48 59.38 74.04 87.88 106.88 133.27 106.72 180.20 2075 1.71 1.80 51.59 59.52 74.44 87.99 107.14 133.99 106.93 182.36 2076 1.70 1.80 51.70 59.66 74.84 88.09 107.39 134.70 107.15 184.55 2077 1.70 1.80 51.81 59.80 75.24 88.20 107.65 135.43 107.37 186.76 2078 1.70 1.80 51.92 59.95 75.64 88.31 107.90 136.15 107.58 189.00 2079 1.70 1.80 52.02 60.09 76.05 88.42 108.16 136.89 107.80 191.27 2080 1.70 1.80 52.13 60.23 76.46 88.52 108.41 137.62 108.00 193.56 2081 1.70 1.80 52.24 60.37 76.87 88.63 108.67 138.36 108.17 195.88 2082 1.70 1.80 52.35 60.52 77.28 88.74 108.93 139.10 108.33 198.23 2083 1.69 1.80 52.46 60.66 77.69 88.85 109.19 139.85 108.50 200.61 2084 1.69 1.80 52.57 60.80 78.03 88.96 109.45 140.46 108.67 203.02 2085 1.69 1.80 52.68 60.95 78.37 89.07 109.71 141.07 108.83 205.45 2086 1.69 1.80 52.79 61.09 78.72 89.17 109.97 141.69 109.00 207.92 2087 1.69 1.80 52.90 61.24 79.06 89.28 110.23 142.31 109.17 210.41 2088 1.69 1.80 53.01 61.38 79.41 89.39 110.49 142.93 109.33 212.93 2089 1.68 1.80 53.12 61.53 79.75 89.50 110.75 143.56 109.50 215.49 2090 1.68 1.80 53.23 61.68 80.10 89.61 111.02 144.18 109.66 218.07 2091 1.68 1.80 53.35 61.82 80.45 89.72 111.28 144.81 109.77 220.69 2092 1.68 1.80 53.46 61.97 80.80 89.83 111.54 145.45 109.89 223.33 2093 1.68 1.80 53.57 62.12 81.16 89.94 111.81 146.08 110.00 226.01 2094 1.68 1.80 53.68 62.26 81.39 90.05 112.07 146.50 110.12 228.72 2095 1.68 1.80 53.79 62.41 81.62 90.16 112.34 146.92 110.23 231.47 2096 1.67 1.80 53.91 62.56 81.86 90.27 112.61 147.35 110.35 234.24 2097 1.67 1.80 54.02 62.71 82.09 90.38 112.87 147.77 110.46 237.05 2098 1.67 1.80 54.13 62.86 82.33 90.49 113.14 148.19 110.58 239.90 2099 1.67 1.80 54.25 63.01 82.57 90.60 113.41 148.62 110.69 242.77 2100 1.67 1.80 54.36 63.15 82.80 90.71 113.68 149.05 110.81 245.68 2101 1.67 1.80 54.47 63.30 83.04 90.82 113.95 149.47 110.92 248.63 2102 1.67 1.80 54.59 63.45 83.28 90.93 114.22 149.90 111.04 251.61 2103 1.66 1.80 54.70 63.61 83.52 91.04 114.49 150.33 111.15 254.63 2104 1.66 1.80 54.82 63.76 83.63 91.15 114.76 150.54 111.27 257.69 2105' 1.66 1.80 54.93 63.91 83.75 91.27 115.03 150.75 111.39 260.78 2106 1.66 1.80 55.04 64.06 83.86 91.38 115.31 150.95 n/a n/a 2107 1.66 1.80 SS.16 64.21 83.98 91.49 11S.S8 1S1.16 n/a n/a 2108' 1.66 1.80 55.28 64.36 84.09 91.60 115.85 151.37 n/a n/a 2109 1.66 1.80 55.39 64.52 84.21 91.71 116.13 151.58 n/a n/a 2110 L65 1.80 55.51 64.67 84.33 91.82 116.41 151.79 1 n/a n/a 2111 1.65 1.80 55.62 64.82 84.44 91.94 116.68 152.00 n/a /a n 2112 1 1.65 1.80 55.74 64.98 84.56 92.05 116.96 152.20 n/a n/a 2113 1.65'r 1.80 5586 65.13 ' 84.67 92.16 117.24 1 152.41 n/a n/a Appendix B-1 Current Annual and Peak Day Water Supply Projections Year Current Annual Supplies (ac-ft/Yr) Total Annual Water Supply (ac-ft/yr) Current Peak Day Supplies (mBd) Total Peak Day Supply (mgd) Roberts County Well Field Bailey County Well Field Lake Alan Henry Roberts County Well Field Bailey County Well Field Lake Alan Henry Data by Decade 2013 24 088 15,000 8,000 47 088 23.71 37.26 15.00 75.97 2023 24,088 12,500 8,000 44 588 23.71 29.86 15.00 68.57 2033 24,088 10,000 8,000 42,088 23.71 22.46 15.00 61.17 2043 20,990 7,500 8,000 36,490 20.61 15.06 15.00 50.67 2053 17117 5,000 8,000 30117 16.81 7.66 15.00 39.47 2063 13,245 0 8,000 21245 13.01 0.00 15.00 28.01 2073 9,372 0 8 000 17 372 9.20 0.00 15.00 24.20 2083 5,499 0 8 000 13,499 5.40 0.00 1 15.00 20.40 2093 1627 0 8,000 9,627 1.60 0.00 1 15.00 16.60 2103 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2113 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 Data by Year 2010 29,291 7,599 0 36,890 23.71 40.00 0.00 63.71 2011 26,195 20,829 0 47,024 23.71 40.00 0.00 63.71 2012 231,697 16,295 595 40,587 23.71 38.00 15.00 76.71 2013 24,088 • 15,000 , ; 8,000 47,088 23.71' 37.26 15A0 75.91 2014 24,088 14,750 8,000 46,838 23.71 36.52 15.00 75.23 2015 24,088 14,500 8,000 46,588 23.71 35.78 15.00 74.49 2016 24,088 14,250 81000 46,338 23.71 35.04 15.00 73.75 2017 24,088 14,000 81000 46,088 23.71 34.30 15.00 73.01 2018 24,088 13,750 8,000 45,838 23.71 33.56 15.00 72.27 2019 24,088 13,500 8,000 45,588 23.71 32.82 15.00 71.53 2020 24,088 13,250 8,000 45,338 23.71 32.08 15.00 70.79 2021 24,088 13,000 8,000 45,088 23.71 31.34 15.00 70.05 2022 24,088 12,750 8,000 44,838 23.71 30.60 15.00 69.31 2023 24,088 12,500 8,000 44,588 23.71 29.86 15.00 68.57 2024 24,088 12 250 8,000 44,338 23.71 29.12 15.00 67.83 2025 24 088 12,000 81000 44,088 23.71, 28.38' 15,00 67.09 2026 24,088 11,750 8,000 43,838 23.71 27.64 15.00 66.35 2027 24,088 11,500 8,000 43,588 23.71 26.90 15.00 65.61 2028 24,088 11,250 8,000 43,338 23.71 26.16 15.00 64.87 2029 24,088 11,000 81000 43,088 23.71 25.42 15.00 64.13 2030 24,088 10,750 8,000 42,838 23.71 24.68 15.00 63.39 2031 24,088 10,500 8,000 42,588 23.71 23.94 15.00 62.65 2032 24,088 10,250 8,000 42,338 23.71 23.20 15.00 61.91 2033 24,088 10,000 8,000 42,088 23.71 22.46 15.00 61.17 2034 24,088 9,750 81000 41,838 23.71 21.72 15.00 60.43 2035 24,088 9,500 8,000 41,588 23.71 20.98 15.00 59.69 2036 23,700 9,250 8,000 40,950 23.27 20.24 15.00 58.51 2037 23,313 9,000 8,000 40,313 22.89 19.50 15.00 57.39 2038 22,926 8,750 8,000 39,676 22.51 18.76 15.00 56.27 2039 22,539 8,500 8,000 39,039 22.13 18.02 15.00 55.15 2040 22,151 8,250 8,000 38,401 21.75 17.28 15.00 54.03 2041 21,764 8,000 8,000 37,764 21.37 16.54 15.00 52.91 2042 21,377 7,750 8,000 37,127 20.99 15.80 15.00 51.79 2043 20,990 7,500 8,000 36,490 20.61 15.06 15.00 50.67 2044 20.602 7,250 8,000 35,852 20.23 14.32 15.00 49.55 2045 20,215 7,000 8,000 35,215 19.85 13.58 15.00 48.43 2046 19,828 6,750 8,000 34,578 19.47 12.84 15.00 47.31 2047 19,441 6,500 8,000 33,941 19.09 12.10 15.00 46.19 2048 19,053 6,250 8,000 33,303 18.71 11.36 15.00 45.07 2049 18,666 6,000 8,000 32,666 18.33 10.62 15.00 43.95 2050 18,279 5,750 8,000 32,029 17.95 9.88 15.00 42.83 2051 17,892 5,500 8,000 31,392 17.57 9.14 15.00 41.71 2052 17,504 5,250 8,000 30,754 17.19 8.40 15.00 40.59 2053 17,117 5,000 8,000 30,117 16.81 7.66 15.00 39.47 2054 16,730 4,750 8,000 29,480 16.43 6.92 15.00 38.35 2055 16,343 4,500 8,000 28,843 16.05 6.18 15.00 37.23 2056 15,955 4 250 8,000 28,205 15.67 5.44 15.00 36.11 2057 15 568 4,000 8,000 27,568 15.29 4.70 15.00 34.99 2058 15,181 3 750 8,000 26,931 14.91 3.96 15.00 33.87 2059 1;r 94 3,500 8,000 26,294 14.53 3.22 15.00 1 32.75 Appendix B-1 Current Annual and Peak Day Water Supply Projections Year Current Annual Supplies (ac-ft/yr) Total Annual Water Supply (ac-ft/yr) Current Peak Day Supplies (mgd) Total Peak Day Supply (mgd) Roberts County Well Field Bailey County Well Field Lake Alan Henry Roberts County Well Field Bailey County Well Field Lake Alan Henry 2060 14,406 3,250 8,000 25,656 14.15 2.48 15.00 31.63 2061 14,019 3,000 8,000 25,019 13.77 1.74 15.00 30.51 2062 13,632 0 8,000 21,632 13.39 0.00 15.00 28.39 2063 13,245 0 8,000 21,245 13.01 ' 0.00 15.00 28.01 2064 12,857 0 8,000 20,857 12.63 0.00 15.00 27.63 2065 12,470 0 8,000 20,470 12.25 0.00 15.00 27.25 2066 12,083 0 8,000 20,083 11.87 0.00 15.00 26.87 2067 11,696 0 8,000 19,696 11.49 0.00 15.00 26.49 2068 11,308 0 8,000 19,308 11.10 0.00 15.00 26.10 2069 10,921 0 81000 18,921 10.72 0.00 15.00 25.72 2070 10,534 0 8,000 18,534 10.34 0.00 15.00 25.34 2071 10,146 0 81000 18,146 9.96 0.00 15.00 24.96 2072 9,759 0 8,000 17,759 9.58 0.00 15.00 24.58 2073 9,372 0 8,000 17,372 9.20 0.00 15.00 24.20 2074 8,985 0 8,000 16,985 8.82 0.00 15.00 23.82 2075 8,597 0 8,000 16,597 8.44 0.00 15.00 23.44 2076 8,210 0 8,000 16,210 8.06 0.00 15.00 23.06 2077 7,823 0 8,000 15,823 7.68 0.00 15.00 22.68 2078 7,436 0 8,000 15,436 7.30 0.00 15.00 22.30 2079 7,048 0 8,000 15,048 6.92 0.00 15.00 21.92 2080 6,661 0 8,000 14,661 6.54 0.00 15.00 21.54 2081 6,274 0 8,000 14,274 6.16 0.00 15.00 21.16 2082 5,887 0 81000 13,887 5.78 0.00 15.00 20.78 2083 5,499 0 8,000 13,499 5.40 0.00 15.00 20.40 2084 5,112 0 8,000 13,112 5.02 0.00 15.00 20.02 2085 4,725 0 81000 12,725 4.64 0.00 15.00 19.64 2086 4,338 0 8,000 12,338 4.26 0.00 15.00 19.26 2087 3,950 0 8,000 11,950 3.88 0.00 15.00 18.88 2088 3,563 0 8,000 11,563 3.50 0.00 15.00 18.50 2089 3,176 0 8,000 11,176 3.12 0.00 15.00 18.12 2090 2,789 0 8,000 10,789 2.74 0.00 15.00 17.74 2091 2,401 0 8,000 10,401 2.36 0.00 15.00 17.36 2092 2,014 0 8,000 10,014 1.98 0.00 15.00 16.98 2093 1,627 0 8,000 9,627 1.60 0.00 15.00 16.60 2094 1,240 0 8,000 9,240 1.22 0.00 15.00 16.22 2095 852 0 81000 8,852 0.84 0.00 15.00 15.84 2096 465 0 8,000 8,465 0.46 0.00 15.00 15.46 2097 78 0 8,000 8,078 0.08 0.00 15.00 15.08 2098 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2099 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 ISM 2100 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2101 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2102 0 0 8 000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2103 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2104 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2105 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2106 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2107 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2108 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 ISM 15.00 2109 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2110 0 0 8,000 81000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2111 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2112 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 0.00 15.00 15.00 2113 0 0 8,000 8,000 0.00 1 0.00 1 15.00 15,00 Appendix B-2 Current Annual Water Demand, Supply, and Net Year Annual Water Demand (ac-ft/yr) Total Annual Water Supply (ac-ft/yr) (for details see Appendix B-1) Annual Shortages/Surplus (ac-ft/yr) Conservation Probable Accelerated Conservation Probable Accelerated Data by Decade 2013 43,115 47,965 47,965 47 088 3,973 -877 -877 2023 44,006 51,193 53,253 44 588 581 -6 606 -8 665 2033 47,921 54,639 59 709 42 088 -5 834 -12 SS2 -17 621 2043 50,919 58,220 66 191 36 490 -14 429 -21730 -29 702 2053 53,569 61422 71940 30117 -23 452 -31305 -41823 2063 55,800 64159 77,418 21245 -34 555 -42 915 -56174 2073 57,548 66,356 82,491 17 372 -40176 -48 984 -65 119 2083 58,764 67,948 87,028 13 499 -45 264 -73 529 2093 60005 69578 90907 9 627 -50 378 51 -812103 61 27371247 93 553 8 000 -53 273 g54,448 47 -85 553 2113 62,567 72,956 94,847 8,000 -54,567 56 -86,847 Data by Year 2010 36,890 36,890 36,890 36,890 0 0 0 2011 47,024 47,024 47,024 47,024 0 0 0 2012 40,587 40,587 40,587 40,587 0 0 0 2013 43,315 " 47 965 47,965 47,088 3,973 -877 -877 2014 42,541 48,279 48,326 46,838 4,296 -1,441 -1,489 2015 41,396 48,594 48,738 46,588 5,192 -2,006 -2,150 2016 41,692 48,912 49,202 46,338 4,646 -2,574 -2,864 2017 - 41,989 49,231 49,719 46,088 4,098 -3 144 -3,632 2018 42,289 49,553 50,292 45,838 3,548 -3,715 -4,454 2019 42,591 49,877 50,870 45,588 2,996 .4,289 -5,283 2020 42,896 50,203 51,456 45,338 2,442 -4,865 -6,118 2021 43,263 50,531 52,048 45,088 1,825 -5,443 -6,960 2022 43,633 50,861 52,647 44,838 1,205 -6,023 -7,809 2023 44,006 51,193 53,253 44,588 581 -6,606 -8,665 2024 44,383 51,528 53,866 44,338 -45 -7,190 -9,528 2025 44,763 51865 ; 54,486 " 44,088 -675 -7,777 -10,398 2026 45,146 52,204 55,113 43,838 -1,308 -8,366 -11,275 2027 45,533 52,545 55,747 43,588 -11945 -8,957 -12,159 2028 45,922 52,888 56,388 43,338 -2,585 -9,551 -13,051 2029 46,315 53,234 57,037 43,088 -3,228 -10,146 -13,950 2030 46,712 53,582 57,694 42,838 -3,874 -10,744 -14,856 2031 47,112 53,932 58,358 42,588 -4,524 -11,344 -15 770 2032 47,515 54,284 59,029 42,338 -5,177 -11,947 -16,692 2033 47,921 54,639 59,709 42,088 -5,834 -12,552 -17,621 2034 48,213 54,987 60,327 41,838 -6,375 -13,149 -18,489 2035 48,506 55,337 60,952 41,588 -6,919 -13,750 -19,364 2036 48,802 55,690 61,584 40,950 -7,851 -14,739 -20,633 2037 49,099 56 044 62,222 40,313 -8,785 -15,731 -21,909 2038 49,397 56,401 62,866 39,676 -9,721 -16,725 -23,190 2039 49,698 56,760 63,518 39,039 -10,659 -17,721 -24,479 2040 50,000 57,121 64,176 38,401 -11,599 -18,720 -25,774 2041 50 304 57,485 64,841 37,764 -12,540 -19,721 -27,077 2042 50,611 57,851 65,512 37,127 -13,484 -20,724 -28,386 2043 50,919 58,220 66,191 36,490 -14,429 -21,730 -29,702 2044 51,178 58,532 66,745 35,852 -15,325 -22,680 -30,892 2045 51,438 58,846 67,303 35,215 -16,223 -23,631 -32,088 2046 51,700 59,162 67,866 34,578 -17,122 -24,584 -33,288 2047 51,962 59,480 68,434 33,941 -18,022 -25 539 -34,493 2048 52,227 59,799 69,006 33,303 -18,923 -26,496 -35,703 2049 52,492 60,120 69,583 32,666 -19,826 -27,454 -36,917 2050 52,759 60,443 70,165 32,029 -20,731 -28,414 -38,136 2051 53,028 60,767 70,752 31,392 -21,636 -29,376 -39,360 2052 53,298 61,094 71,344 30,754 -22,543 -30,339 -40,589 2053 53,569 61422 71,940 30,117 -23,452 -31,305 -41,823 2054 53,788 61,690 72,470 29,480 -24,308 -32,210 -42,990 2055 54,008 61,960 73,004 28,843 -25,165 -33,117 -44,161 2056 54,228 62,231 73,542 28,205 -26,023 -34,025 -45,336 2057 54,450 62,502 74,083 27,568 -26,882 -34,934 -46,515 2058 54,673 62,776 74,629 26,931 17,742 -35,845 -47,698 2059 54,896 63,050 75,179 26,294 -28,603 -36,756 -48,885 2060 551121 63,326 75,732 25,656 -29,464 -37,669 -50,076 Appendix B-2 Current Annual Water Demand, Supply, and Net Year Annual Water Demand (ac-ft/yr) Total Annual Water Supply (ac-ft/yr) (for details see Appendix B-1) Annual Shortages/Surplus (ac-ft/yr) Conservation Probable Accelerated Conservation Probable Accelerated 2061 55,346 63,602 76,290 25,019 -30,327 -38,583 -51,271 2062 55,572 63,880 76,852 21,632 -33,941 -42,248 -55,220 2063 55,800 64,159 77418 21,245-' -34,555 -42,915 -56,174' 2064 55,972 64,376 77,911 20,857 -35,115 -43,518 -57,054 2065 56,145 64,593 78,407 20,470 -35,675 -44,123 -57,937 2066 56,319 64,811 78,906 20,083 -36,236 -44,728 -58,824 2067 56,493 65,029 79,409 19,696 -36,797 -45,334 -59,713 2068 56,667 65,248 79,914 19,308 -37,359 -45,940 -60,606 2069 56,842 65,468 80,423 18,921 -37,921 -46,547 -61,502 2070 57,018 65,689 80,935 18,534 -38,484 -47,155 -62,402 2071 57,194 65,911 81,451 18,146 -39,048 -47,764 -63,304 2072 57,371 66,133 81,969 17,759 -39,612 -48,374 -64,210 2073 57,548 66,356 82,491 17,372 -40,176 -48,984 -65,119 2074 57,669 66,513 82,934 16,985 -40,684 -49,529 -65,949 2075 57,789 66,671 83,379 16,597 -41,192 -50,074 -66,782 2076 57,910 66,830 83,827 16,210 -41,700 -50,619 -67,617 2077 58,031 66,988 84,277 15,823 -42,209 -51,165 -68,454 2078 58,153 67,147 84,729 15,436 -42,717 -51,711 69,294 2079 58,275 67,307 85,184 15,048 -43,226 -52,258 -70,136 2080 58,397 67,466 85,642 14,661 -43,735 -52,805 -70,980 2081 58,519 67,626 86,101 14,274 -44,245 -53,353 -71,827 2082 58,641 67,787 86,564 13,887 -44,754 -53,900 -72,677 2083 58,764 67,948 87,028 13,499 -45,264 -54,448 -73,529 2084 58,887 68,109 87,409 13,112 -45,775 -54,997 -74,297 2085 59,010 68,271 87,791 12,725 -46,285 -55,546 -75,066 2086 59,133 68,433 88174 12,338 -46,796 -56,095 -75,837 2087 59,257 68,595 88,560 11,950 -47,307 -56,645 -76,609 2088 59,381 68,758 88,947 11,563 -47,818 -57,195 -77,384 2089 59,505 68,921 89,335 11,176 -48,330 -57,745 -78,160 2090 59,630 69,085 89,726 10,789 -48,841 -58,296 -78,937 2091 59,755 69,249 90,118 10,401 -49,353 -58,847 -79,717 2092 59,880 69,413 90,512 10,014 -49,866 -59,399 -80,498 2093 60,005 69,578 90,907 9,627 -50,378 -59,951 -81,281 2094 60,131 69,743 91,169 9,240 -50,891 -60,503 -81,929 2095 60,256 69,909 91,430 8,852 -51,404 -61,056 -82,578 2096 60,383 70,075 91,693 8,465 -51,917 -61,609 -83,228 2097 60,509 70,241 91,957 8,078 -52,431 -62,163 -83,879 2098 60,635 70,408 92,221 81000 -52,635 -62,408 -84,221 2099 60,762 70,575 92,486 8,000 -52,762 -62,575 -84,486 2100 60,889 70,742 92,751 8,000 -52,889 -62,742 -84,7S1 2101 61,017 70,910 93,018 8,000 -53,017 -62,910 -85,018 2102 61,145 71,078 93,285 8,000 -53,145 -63,078 -85,285 2103 61,273 71,247 93,553 8,000 -53,273 -63,247 -85,553 2104 61,401 71,416 93,682 8,000 -53,401 -63,416 -85,682 2105 61,529 71,586 93,810 8,000 -53,529 -63,586 -85,810 2106 61,658 71,756 93,939 8,000 -53,658 -63,756 -85,939 2107 61,787 71,926 94,069 8,000 -53,787 -63,926 -86,069 2108 61,916 72,097 94,198 8,000 -S3 916 -64,097 -86,198 2109 62,046 72,268 94,327 8,000 -54,046 -64,268 -86,327 2110 62 176 72,439 94,457 8,000 -54,176 -64,439 -86,457 2111 62,306 72,611 94,587 8,000 -54,306 64,611 86,587 2112 62,436 72,784 94,717 8,000 -54,436 -64,784 -86,717 2113 62,567 72,956 94,847 8,000 c -54,567 "-64,956 -86,847i Appendix B-3 Current Peak Day Demand, Supply, and Net Year Peak Day Demand (mgd) Peak Day Supply (mgd) (for details see Appendix 8-1) Peak Day Shortages/Surpluses (mgd) Conservation Probable Accelerated Conservation Probable Accelerated Data by Decade 2013 69.28 77.08 77.08 75.97 6.69 -1.11 -1.11 2023 70.10 82.26 85.57 68.57 -1.53 -13.69 -17.00 2033 75.68 87.80 95.95 61.17 -14.51 -26.63 -34.78 2043 79.71 93.56 106.37 50.67 -29.04 -42.88 -55.69 2053 83.14 98.70 115.60 39.47 -43.67 -59.23 -76.13 2063 85.85 103.10 124.41 28.01 -57.84 -75.09 -96.40 2073 87.77 106.63 132.56 24.20 -63.57 -82.43 -108.35 2083- 88.85 109.19 139.85 20.40 -68.45 -88.79 -119.45 2093 89.94 111.81 146.08 16.60 -73.34 -95.21 -129.49 2103 91.04 114.49 150.33 15.00 -76.04 -99.49 -135.33 2113 92.16 117.24 152.41 15.00 -77.16 -102.24 -137.41 Data by Year 2010 50.38 50.38 50.38 63.71 13.33 13.33 13.33 2011 64.11 64.11 64.11 63.71 -0.40 -0.40 -0.40 2012 58.07 58.07 58.07 76.71 18.64 18.64 18.64 2013 69.28 77.08 77.08 r 75.97 6.69 -1.11 1.11 2014 68.30 77.58 77.66 75.23 6.93 -2.35 -2.43 2015 66.40 78.09 78.32 74.49 8.09 -3.60 -3.83 2016 66.82 78.60 79.06 73.75 6.93 -4.85 -5.31 2017 67.24 79.11 79.90 73.01 5.77 -6.10 -6.89 2018 67.66 79.63 80.82 72.27 4.61 -7.36 -8.55 2019 68.09 80.15 81.75 71.53 3.44 -8.62 -10.22 2020 68.51 80.67 82.69 70.79 2.28 -9.88 -11.90 2021 69.04 81.20 83.64 70.05 1.01 -11.15 -13.59 2022 69.57 81.73 84.60 69.31 -0.26 -12.42 -15.29 2023 70.10 82.26 85.57 68.57 -1.53 -13.69 -17.00 2024 70.64 82.80 86.56 67.83 -2.81 -14.97 -18.73 2025 71.18 83.34 87M 67.09 ' -4.09 -16.25 -20.46: 2026 71.73 83.89 88.56 66.35 -5.38 -17.54 -22.21 2027 72.28 84.44 89.58 65.61 -6.67 -18.83 -23.97 2028 72.84 84.99 90.61 64.87 -7.97 -20.12 -25.74 2029 73.40 85.54 91.66 64.13 -9.27 -21.41 -27.53 2030 73.96 86.10 92.71 63.39 -10.57 -22.71 -29.32 2031 74.53 86.67 93.78 62.65 -11.88 -24.02 -31.13 2032 'r 75.10 87.23 94.86 61.91 -13.19 -25.32 -32.95 2033 75.68 87.80 95.95 61.17 -14.51 -26.63 -34.78 2034 76.07 88.36 96.94 60.43 -15.64 -27.93 -36.51 2035 76.47 88.92 97.95 59.69 -16.78 -29.23 -38.26 2036 76.87 89.49 98.96 58.51 -18.35 -30.98 -40.45 2037 77.27 90.06 99.99 57.39 -19.87 -32.67 -42.59 2038 77.67 90.63 101.02 56.27 -21.40 -34.36 -44.75 2039 78.07 91.21 102.07 55.15 -22.92 -36.06 -46.92 2040 78.48 91.79 103.13 54.03 -24.45 -37.76 -49.09 2041 78.89 92.38 104.20 52.91 -25.98 -39.46 -51.28 2042 79.30 92.96 105.27 51.79 -27.51 -41.17 -53.48 2043 79.71 93.56 106.37 50.67 -29.04 -42.88 -55.69 2044 80.05 94.06 107.25 49.55 -30.50 -44.51 -57.70 2045 80.39 94.56 108.15 48.43 -31.96 -46.13 -59.72 2046 80.73 95.07 109.06 47.31 -33.41 -47.76 -61.75 2047 81.07 95.58 109.97 46.19 -34.87 -49.39 -63.78 2048 81.41 96.09 110.89 45.07 -36.34 -51.02 -65.82 2049 81.75 96.61 111.82 43.95 -37.80 -52.66 -67.87 2050 82.09 97.13 112.75 42.83 -39.26 -54.30 -69.92 2051 82.44 97.65 113.69 41.71 -40.73 -55.94 -71.98 2052 82.79 98.17 114.64 40.59 -42.20 -57.58 -74.06 2053 83.14 98.70 115.60 39.47 -43.67 -59.23 -76.13 2054 83.40 99.13 116.46 38.35 -45.05 -60.78 -78.11 2055 83.67 99.57 117.31 37.23 -46.44 -62.34 -80.08 2056 83.94 100.00 118.18 36.11 -47.83 -63.89 -82.07 2057 84.21 100.44 119.05 34.99 -49.22 -65.45 -84.06 2058 84.48 100.88 119.92 33.87 -50.61 -67.01 -86.06 2059 84.75 101.32 120.81 32.75 52.01 68.57 88.06 2060 85.03 101.76 121.70 31.63 -53.40 70.13 -90.07 Appendix B-3 Current Peak Day Demand, Supply, and Net Year Peak Day Demand (mgd) Peak Day Supply (mgd) (for details see Appendix B-1) Peak Day Shortages/Surpluses (mgd) Conservation Probable Accelerated Conservation Probable Accelerated 2061 85.30 102.20 122.59 30.51 -54.79 -71.70 -92.09 2062 85.57 102.65 123.50 28.39 -57.19 -74.26 -95.11 2063 85.85 103.10 124.41 28.01 <' -57.84 -75.09 -96.40 2064 86.04 103.45 125.20 27.63 -58.41 -75.82 -97.57 2065 86.23 103.80 126.00 27.25 -58.98 -76.55 -98.75 2066 86.42 104.15 126.80 26.87 -59.56 -77.28 -99.93 2067 86.61 104.50 127.61 26.49 -60.13 -78.01 -101.12 2068 86.80 104.85 128.42 26.10 -60.70 -78.75 -102.31 2069 87.00 105.20 129.24 25.72 -61.27 -79.48 -103.51 2070 87.19 105.56 130.06 25.34 -61.85 -80.21 -104.71 2071 87.38 105.91 130.89 24.96 -62.42 -80.95 -105.92 2072 87.58 106.27 131.72 24.58 -62.99 -81.69 -107.14 2073 87.77 106.63 132.56 24.20 -63.57 -82.43 -108.35 2074 87.88 106.88 133.27 23.82 -64.06 -83.06 -109.45 2075 87.99 107.14 133.99 23.44 -64.54 -83.69 -110.54 2076 88.09 107.39 134.70 23.06 -65.03 -84.33 -111.64 2077 88.20 107.65 135.43 22.68 -65.52 -84.96 -112.75 2078 88.31 107.90 136.15 22.30 -66.01 -85.60 -113.85 2079 88.42 108.16 136.89 21.92 -66.49 -86.24 -114.96 2080 88.52 108.41 137.62 21.54 -66.98 -86.87 -116.08 2081 88.63 108.67 138.36 21.16 -67.47 -87.51 -117.20 2082 88.74 108.93 139.10 20.78 -67.96 -88.15 -118.32 2083 88.85 109.19 139.85 20.40 -68.45 -88.79 -119.45 2084 88.96 109.45 140.46 20.02 -68.94 -89.43 -120.44 2085 89.07 109.71 141.07 19.64 -69.43 -90.07 -121.43 2086 89.17 109.97 141.69 19.26 -69.91 -90.71 -122.43 2087 89.28 110.23 142.31 18.88 -70.40 -91.35 -123.43 2088 89.39 110.49 142.93 18.50 -70.89 -91.99 -124.43 2089 89.50 110.75 143.56 18.12 -71.38 -92.63 -125.44 2090 89.61 111.02 144.18 17.74 -71.87 -93.28 -126.45 2091 89.72 111.28 144.81 17.36 -72.36 -93.92 -127.46 2092 89.83 111.54 145.45 16.98 -72.85 -94.56 -128.47 2093 89.94 111.81 146.08 16.60 -73.34 -95.21 -129.49 2094 90.05 112.07 146.50 16.22 -73.83 -95.86 -130.28 2095 90.16 112.34 146.92 15.84 -74.32 -96.50 -131.09 2096 90.27 112.61 147.35 15.46 -74.81 -97.15 -131.89 2097 90.38 112.87 147.77 15.08 -75.30 -97.80 -132.69 2098 90.49 113.14 148.19 15.00 -75.49 -98.14 -133.19 2099 90.60 113.41 148.62 15.00 -75.60 -98.41 -133.62 2100 90.71 113.68 149.05 15.00 -75.71 -98.68 -134.05 2101 90.82 113.95 149.47 15.00 -75.82 -98.95 -134.47 2102 90.93 114.22 149.90 15.00 -75.93 -99.22 -134.90 2103 - 91.04 114.49 150.33 15.00 -76.04 -99.49 -135.33 2104 91.15 114.76 150.54 15.00 -76.15 -99.76 -135.54 2105 91.27 115.03 150.75 15.00 -76.27 -100.03 -135.75 2106 91.38 115.31 150.95 15.00 -76.38 -100.31 -135.95 2107 91.49 115.58 151.16 15.00 -76.49 -100.58 -136.16 2108- 91.60 115.85 151.37 15.00 -76.60 -100.85 -136.37 2109 91.71 116.13 151.58 15.00 -76.71 -101.13 -136.58 2110 91.82 116.41 151.79 15.00 -76.82 -101.41 -136.79 2111 91.94 116.68 152.00 15.00 -76.94 -101.68 -137.01 2112 92.05 116.96 152.20 15.00 -77.05 -101.96 -137.20 2113 92.16 117.24; 152.41 15.00 s-77.16 -102.24 1 -137,41+ Appendix C-1 Lubbock Water Rate Structure,1980-2012 Decreasing Block Rate Structure Effective Dates Base Rate + first 1,000 Gallons 2,000 - 49,000 Gallons Water Rate per 1,000 Gallons 50,000 - 250,000 Gallons Water Rate per 1,01W Gallons > 250,000 Gallons Water Rate per 1,000 Gatlons Start End 1980 1983 4.50 0.93 0.80 0.75 1983 1987 5.46 1.13 0.97 0.91 1987 1989 6.21 1.13 0.97 0.91 1989 1990 6.76 1.28 1.12 1.06 1990 1992 7.31 1.53 1.37 1.31 Uniform Rate Structure Effective Dates Base Rate for 3/4" Meter Base Rate for 1" Meter Single -Family Water Rate per 1,000 Gallons Commercial Water Rate per 1,000 Gallons Irrigation Water Rate per 11000 Gallons Start End 1992 1993 7.31 9.31 1.34 1.23 1.68 1993 1994 7.68 9.78 1.41 1.29 1.76 1994 1999 8.06 10.26 1.48 1.36 1.85 1999 2000 8.30 10.57 1.52 1.40 1.85 2000 2001 8.63 10.99 1.58 1.46 1.85 2001 2002 8.89 11.32 1.63 1.50 1.91 2002 2003 9.16 11.66 1.68 1.55 1.96 2003 2004 9.43 12.01 1.73 1.60 2.02 2004 2005 10.01 12.74 1.83 1.69 2.14 2005 2006 1 11.11 14.14 2.03 1.88 2.38 Conservation Block Rate Structure Effective Dates Base Rate for 3/4" Meter Base Rate for 1" Meter Block 1 (0 - AWC) Water Rate per 1,000 Gallons Block 2 (AWC - 40,000) Water Rate per 1,000 Gallons Block 3 (AWC+ 40,000) & Up Water Rate per 1,000 Gallons Start End 2006 2007 7.66 12.79 2.09 2.61 3.61 2007 2008 8.89 14.84 2.42 3.03 4.19 2008 2010 18.00 30.05 2.67 4.29 5.93 2010 2011 24.00 40.06 2.67 4.29 5.93 2011 2012 28.00 46.74 2.67 4.29 5.93 2012 1 2013 21.00 35.06 4.00 5.46 6.55 Appendix C-2 Residential Water Bill Comparison for Major Texas Cities During January 2012 for 5/8" or 3/4" Meters Water Used (gallons) City 0 6,000 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Amarillo 11.89 16.13 26.73 54.43 82.13 123.13 164.13 Arlington 8.57 17.47 27.57 59.52 93.62 134.42 175.22 Austin(R) 16.60 28.18 48.42 142.77 258.47 380.37 502.27 Brownsville 9.93 18.42 27.85 54.67 88.27 121.87 155.47 Corpus Christi 8.72 19.99 42.54 102.44 168.21 248.07 327.93 Dallas(R) 5.79 15.86 32.61 87.01 149.51 212.01 274.51 w CO El Paso' 10.70 14.68 24.58 73.69 138.79 203.89 268.99 m Fort Worth(Rr 7.55 20.30 37.19 77.27 128.30 181.50 234.70 Ta Garland(R) 12.00 27.59 45.79 92.14 148.44 204.74 261.04 v Grand Prairie 11.08 17.76 33.56 65.16 119.46 173.76 228.06 $ Houston 3.99 21.89 41.23 97.00 161.80 226.60 291.40 c 0 Irving(S) 9.00 16.46 35.11 74.61 119.51 164.41 209.31 Laredo 8.20 13.11 21.66 39.46 58.46 78.46 99.46 Lubbock 21.00 41.00 65.38 119.98 174.58 229.18 287.05 Pasadena 10.50 18.75 33.13 71.63 111.63 156.63 201.63 Plano 16.93 18.49 28.54 48.64 88.84 129.04 169.24 San Antonio(R) 10.01 20.02 33.62 79.81 151.32 222.83 294.34 R = City has 5/8" and 3/4" meters - 3/4" rate used in calculations ' = AWC of 7,000 gal s = summer rates Appendix C-3 Public -School Program Lessons Lesson Title Grade(s) Description Students will learn the difference between salt and fresh water. Discusstion will focus Blue Stuff K-2 on how much water exists on the planet vs. how much we can actually use for drinking,farming, etc. The presenter will discuss the water cycle and provide an illustration of the whole process Cloudy Days K-2 step by step. The students will learn by participating in the discussion. A video tells the adventures of Drippy and Dropper, a couple of water drops that travel Tale of Two Droplets K-2 through a day with Jeremy. As the da g y y. y progresses, we learn more ways to save water. Students will learn the basic process creation, as well as the many ways that paper can be Make -a -Tree K-2 reused and then recycled. Students will be able to identify the natural resource that many common items are created Sources of Resources K-2 from. Students will become aware of their role in practicing the Four Rs, thereby becoming good Mask of Trash K-2 stewards of our natural resources. Students will create a decorated bird feeder to use at home and to teach parents about Bird Feeder K-2 recycling. Following a brief introduction into recycling, students will get hands on experience sorting Recycle Relay K-2 recyclables in a fast past relay race. Students will learn the terms and definitions associated with the water cycle and how the Water Bracelet K-5 water cycle is impacted by actions on earth. The water we use has to come from somewhere. The process of the water traveling from the Fred the Fish 3-12 source to the end point can be quite an adventure. Edible Aquifer 3-12 Students will learn what an aquifer is and how the Ogallala benefits the City of Lubbock. Students will be able to identify the different steps involved with the process of providing Water Treatment Video 3-12 clean drinking water. Students will learn what effluent is and how Lubbock uses it to benefit local and area Examining Effluent 3-12 residents. What's in your Water? 3-12 Students will understand the concepts fo solubility, dissolving, solutions, and mixtures. Students will learn about conservation, natural resources, and renewable resources while The Best Fisherman 3-12 developing and understanding of resource manangement. Students will be able to define water shortage, discuss solutions to water shortages, be able to Water Shortages 3-12 explain water solutions explore locally. Edible Landfill 3-12 Students will learn appropriate vocabulary as well as the design of the landfill Students will construct a garbage pizza to represent all the trash thrown away. Students will Garbage Pizza 3-12 learn the composition and the proportion of the types of trash that enter the landfill and will classify recyclable materials and analyze how personal choices make a difference. Students will learn the vocabulary of wind energy, the concept behind the technology and the Blow Wind Blow 3-12 story of wind usage, past to future endeavors. Appendix C-4 Conservation Calculations: More Stringent Seasonal Water Restrictions Strategy A. Prozram Details: Implement a year round outdoor water use restriction that limits each facility to watering landscape with irrigation systems to two days per week on specified days. The suggested landscape application should be less than 1.5 inches per week. B. Water Savin¢s: See the chart below for the breakdown of the City's annual water usage by tier (compiled from a study the City completed using Fiscal Year 2008-2009 data). Tier Annual Water Usuage (%) Block 1 70.69% Block 2 21.94% Block 3 7.37% Total 100.00% Non -essential water: (Block 2 + Block 3) = 29.31% Percent from Block 2: (Block 2 / B.1) = 74.85% Percent from Block 3: (Block 3 / B.1) = 25.15% In the summer months (April -September), the average water consumption (gallons per capita per day - gpcd) in Lubbock is much higher than in the winter months (October - March). The charts below show the 5-year average monthly gpcd. B.4 B.6 B.7 B.8 Seasonal Irrigation Months Average gpcd April 148 May 166 June 190 July 189 August 199 September 167 Average 177 Non -Seasonal Irrigation Months Average gpcd January 117 February 120 March 130 October 151 November 131 December 121 Average 128 Seasonal, non -essential water used: (B.4 - B.5) = 48 gpcd 6,104 ac-ft/yr 1,989,020,472 gallons City staff estimate of percent reduction in Seasonal Water Usage under this strategy: 15% Total Water Conserved: (B.6 x B.7) = 916 ac-ft/yr = 298,353,071 gallons Amount Conserved in Block 2: (B.8 x B.2) = 685 ac-ft/yr = 223,332,186 gallons Amount Conserved in Block 3: (B.8 x B.3) = 230 ac-ft/yr 75,020,885 gallons D. Revenue Impact: Appendix C-4 Conservation Calculations: More Stringent Seasonal Water Restrictions Strategy Change in Annual Revenue Water Saved (gallons) Tier Rate per 1,000 gallons Change in Annual Revenue 223,332,186 Block 2 $5.46 -$1,219,394 75,020,885 Block 3 $6.55 -$491,387 Total - 1,710,781 Appendix C-5 Conservation Calculations: Increase Non -Essential Water Volume Rates Strategy A. Proeram Details: A.1 Increase in water rates for Blocks 2 and 3: 10% A.2 Decrease in non -essential water demand: 3% Current Rate Incremental Rate Change proposed Rate Block 1 $4.00 1 $0.00 $4.00 Block 2 $5.46 $0.55 $6.01 Block 3 $6.55 $0.66 $7.21 B. Water SavinEs: Recall the breakdown of water usage by Blocks developed in Appendix 0-1: B.1 Percent of non -essential water use = 29.31% B.2 Percent of non -essential use from Block 2 = 74.85% B.3 Percent of non -essential use from Block 3 = 25.15% BA City's five year (2007-11) avg water demand = 37,375 ac-ft/yr B.5 Annual non -essential water use (B.4 x B.1) = 10,955 ac-ft/yr = 3,569,575,820 gallons Water Saved with this Strategy: B.6 Total Water Conserved: (B.5 x A.2) = 329 ac-ft/yr B.7 Amount Conserved in Block 2: (B.6 x B.2) = 246 ac-ftlyr = 80,160,178 gallons B.8 Amount Conserved in Block 3: (B.6 x B.3) = 83 ac-ft/yr = 26,927,097 gallons C. Proeram Costs: This strategy would not cost additional funds for the City to implement and administer. Using volume rates to promote water conservation does not require the City to make an investment of time or capital to enforce water usage. D. Revenue Impact: IM Revenue Lost Water Saved Proposed Rate (gallons) Tier per Thousand Revenue Lost Gallon 80,160,178 Block $6.01 -$481,442 26,927,097 Block 3 $7.21 -$194,010 Total -$675,452 Appendix C-5 Conservation Calculations: Increase Non -Essential Water Volume Rates Strategy This strategy estimates 3% of the water used in Blocks 2 and 3 will be conserved. The City will collect additional revenue on the remaining 97% of water used in these tiers. D.2 Water Earning Revenue: (B.5 - B.6) = 10,626 ac-ftlyr D.3 Amount Earned from Block 2: (D.2 x B.2) = 7,954 ac-ft/yr = 2,591,845,741 gallons DA Amount Earned from Block 3: (D.2 x B.3) = 2,672 ac-ft/yr = 870,642,804 gallons D.5 Revenue Gained Water Used Rate Increase Revenue Tier per Thousand (gallons) Gained Gallons 2,591,845,741 Block 2 $0.55 148 870,642,804 Block 3 $0.66 L$5; �71 Total 9 Revenue Gained + Revenue Lost = Change in Annual Revenue = D.1 +D.5 Change in Annual Revenue Water Conserved Change in Annual Revenue 329 ac-f1/yr $1,309,967 Appendix C-6 Conservation Calculations: Toilet Replacement Rebate for Schools and Universities A. Program Details: $90 rebate to replace old toilets with new high -efficiency toilets in Lubbock public schools and university dorms. B. Water Savings: In 1991, the Texas legislature passed the Water Saving Performance Standards (Senate Bill 587), which placed stringent water - use standards on indoor plumbing equipment. Toilets sold in Texas prior to January 1, 1992 used between 3.0 to 8.0 gallons per flush (gpf), whereas toilets installed after January 1, 1992 were required to use 1.6 gpf or less. Many of the toilets in Lubbock schools and university dorms are older models that use between 3.0 and 5.0 gpf. Water Savings per Toilet Facility Old Model New Model Water Savings (estimated gpf) (gpf) (gpf) LISD 5.0 1.6 3.4 Texas Tech 3.5 1.6 1.9 Dormitories The 1999 AWWA study "Residential End Uses of Water" found that the average person flushes the toilet: 5.0 times per day while at home (TTU dorms) From this data, it is estimated that an average person will flush the toilet: 2.5 times per day while at school/work (LISD) Total Program Water Savings Number of Water Savings per Water Saved per Water Saved per Facility People Flushes per Day Flush (gpf) Year* Year* (gallons) (ac-ft) LISD 32,084 2.5 3.4 74,655,458 229.1 Texas Tech Dormitories 6,746 5.0 1.9 17,543,816 53.8 TOTAL 92,199,274 j 282.9 * Dorms and public schools are only in normal use for 9 months of the year C. Program Costs: See the chart below for the total number of toilets needing to be replaced. �1111111�1��1�11�111111111�1111111�111111 Facility �IIIIII�IIII�� Number of Toilets LISD 3,177 Texas Tech Dormitories 1,290 TOTAL 4,467 Appendix C-6 Conservation Calculations: Toilet Replacement Rebate for Schools and Universities Cost to Implement Program Total Number Cost to Rebate of Toilets Implement Program $90.00 per toilet 4,467 $402,030 D. Revenue Impact: All water saved with this strategy is expected to be from Block 1. Change in Annual Revenue Water Saved Tier Rate Change in (gallons) Annual Revenue 92,199,274 Block 1 $4.00 -$368,797 Appendix C-7 Conservation Calculations: Washing Machine Rebate A. Program Details: Offer $300 rebates to replace old commercial washing machines with new high -efficiency machines, and $150 rebates to replace old residential washing machines in apartment complexes and university dorms with new high -efficiency residential machines. B. Water Savings: See the chart below for the estimated number of commercial washing machines in Lubbock. I� Type of Facility Number of Washing Machines Coin -Operated Laundromats 540 Dry -Cleaners with Washers 120 TOTAL 660 According to a study published by Western Resource Advocates in 2008 called "Smart Savings Water Conservation: Measures that Make dents," conversion from an older commercial washing machine model to a newer model can save: B.2 37,800 gallons of water per machine per year Annual Water Savings for Commercial Retrofit: Water Conserved: (B.1 x B.2) = 24,948,000 gallons 76.6 ac-ft/yr See the chart below for the estimated number of apartment washing machines in Lubbock. Type of Facility Number of Washing Machines Apartment Complexes 1,600 Texas Tech Dormitory 171 TOTAL 1,771 In the 2008 article "Smart Savings Water Conservation: Measures that Make dents" referenced above, it is found that conversion from an older residential washing machine model to a newer model can save: 8,500 gallons of water per machine per year However, residential washing machines typically serve a family of 4-5. In dormitories and apartment complexes, a single machine will often serve 6-10 people. Therefore, the annual savings per machine has been adjusted to: B.4 15,000 gallons of water per machine per year Annual Water Savings for Apartment/Dormitory Retorofit: Water Conserved: (13.3 x BA) = 26,565,000 gallons 81.5 ac-ft/yr Total Water Savings Retrofit Water Saved (gallons) Water Saved (ac-ft/yr) Commercial 24,948,000 76.6 Apartments / Dormitories 26,565,000 81.5 TOTAL 1 51513 000 1 158.1 C. Program Costs: Appendix C-7 Conservation Calculations: Washing Machine Rebate Cost to Implement Program Rebate Number of Machines Cost to Implement Program $300.00 for a commercial machine 660 $198,000 $150.00 for a residential machine 1,771 $265,650 Total 2,431 $463,650 D. Revenue Impact: All water saved with this strategy is expected to be from Block 1. Change in Annual Revenue Water Saved Tier Rate per Thousand Change in Annual (gallons) Gallons Revenue 51,513,000 Block 1 1 $4.00 -$206,052 Appendix C-8 Conservation Calculations: Residential Showerhead Rebate A. Program Details: Offer $10 rebates to residential Lubbock Water Utility customers who purchase and install low flow showerheads. B. Water Savings: B.1 2010 City of Lubbock Population = 229,573 B.2 Residential Water Connections in Lubbock = 68,529 Average Number of People per Household in Lubbock: B.3 People per Household: (B.1 - B.2) = 3.35 people her household The 1992 Water Saving Performance Standards require that all showerheads meet 2.5 gpm flow rates. Prior to 1992, most showerheads were built with a 3.0 gpm or higher flow rate. Water Savings per Showerhead (data from: 1999 AWWA study "Residential End Uses of Water") BA Average gpcd for non -low flow showerheads = 13.3 gpcd B.5 Average gpcd for low flow showerheads = 8.8 gpcd Water used per household per day with non -low flow devices: B.6 (BA x B.3) = 44.6 gallons per day Water used per household per day with low flow devices: B.7 (B.5 x B.3) = 29.5 gallons per day B.8 Total Water Conserved per day: (B.6 - B.7) = 15.1 gallons per day Participation Rate: B.9 Percent of households expected to participate = 10% B.10 Number of Participating Households: (B.2 x B.9) = 6,853 Annual Water Savings: Total Water Conserved: (B.8 x B.10 x 365 days) = 37,707,365 gallons/yr 115.7 ac-ftlyr C. Program Costs: Cost to Implement Program Rebate Number of Program Cost Showerheads $10.00 per showerhead 6,853 1 $68,529 D. Revenue Impact: All water saved with this strategy is expected to be from Block 1. Change in Annual Revenue Water Saved Tier Rate Change in Annual Revenue (tgals) 37,720 Block 1 1 $4.001 -$150,880 Avvendix C-9 Conservation Calculations: Landscape Rebate A. Proeram Details: Offer a $0.25 rebate per 1 ft2 of traditional grass lawn that is removed and replaced with trees and Smartscape or Xeriscape. B. Water SavinEs: In the summer months (May -September), the average volume of water used per residence in Lubbock is much higher than in the winter months (October - April). The chart below shows the 4-year (2008-2011) average monthly volume of water consumed per residential connection in the City of Lubbock (data from LP&L). Month Avg Residential Seasonal Monthly Water Used (gallons) April 7,994 May 8,896 June 10,915 July 11,240 August 10,995 September 10,228 Avg Month 10 455 B.1 B.2 Month Avg Residential Non - Seasonal Monthly Water Used (gallons) January 6,450 February 5,758 March 6,195 October 7,860 November 6,613 December 6125 Avg Month 6,500 B.3 Seasonal, non -essential water used: (B.I - B.2) = 3,955 gallons The City, along with the Lubbock Master Gardners Association, recommends applying 1.5 inches of water per week to grass lawns. conversion factor: 1.604 inches per ft2 = 1.00 gallon per ft2 B.4 1.5 inches per ft2 = 0.94 gallons per ft2 per week B.5 B.4 x 4 weeks = 3.74 gallons per ft2 per month According to LP&L data in June 2012, there are 68,529 residential water connections in the City of Lubbock. Expected participation rate = 10% B.6 Number of participating households = 6,853 households B.7 Estimated area converted to xeriscape per hosuehold = 450 112 Total estimated area of grass lawn removed due to this strategy: B.8 (13.6 * B.7) = 3,083,805 ft2 converted to Xeriscape The literature suggests that xeriscaping a yard can conserve between 30% - 75% of the water used for outdoor irrigation. Without West Texas data, we can only estimate the water savings that would be experienced in this area. In this analysis, a 50% water savings rate is used. 50% x 1.5 inches per ft2 = 0.75 in/ft2 B.9 = 0.468 gallons/ft2 B.10 Water Conserved per week: (13.8 x B.9) = 1,443,221 gallons/week Appendix C-9 Conservation Calculations: Landscape Rebate Recall the breakdown of water usage by tier developed in Appendix C-4: B.1 I Percent of non -essential water use = 29.31 % B.12 Percent of non -essential use from Block 2 = 74.85% B.13 Percent of non -essential use from Block 3 = 25.15% Water Saved with this Strategy: B.14 Total Water Conserved: (B.10 x 4 wks x 6 mos) = 34,637,298 gallons/yr = 106.3 ac-ft/yr Amount Conserved in Block 2: (B.14 x B.12) = 25,927,749 gallons = 79,569.2 ac-ft/yr Amount Conserved in Block 3: (B.13 x B.12) = 8,709,549 gallons 26,728.6 ac-ft/yr C. Program Costs: Cost to Implement Program Rebate fe Converted Program Cost $0.25 for 1 ftZ 3,083,805 $770,951 D. Revenue Impact: Change in Annual Revenue Water Saved (gallons) Tier Rate per thousand gallon Change in Annual Revenue 25,927,749 Block 2 $5.46 -$141,566 8,709,549 Block 3 $6.55 -$57,048 Total -$198,613 Appendix D-1 Gross Reclaimed Water Projections Reclaimed Water Population Reclaimed Water Gallons per Capita per Day (gpcd) Effluent Flows (mgd) Year Probable (for details see Section 6.3) Canyon Lakes Water Reuse Project 2009 Wastewater Master Plan Probable Canyon Lakes Water Reuse Project 2009 Wastewater Master Plan Probable Canyon Lakes Water Reuse Project 2009 Wastewater Master Plan Data by Decade 2013. 236,458 236,740 232,467 80 85 95 18.90 20.12 22.08 2023 266,415 262,286 255,477 78 85 95 20.91 22.29 24.27 2033 300,168 290,589 279,396 77 85 95 23.12 24.70 26.54 2043 325,064 321,946 305,556 76 85 95 24.57 27.37 29.03 2053 348,549 356 6686 334,169 74 85 95 25.84 30.32 31.75 2063 370,036 73 26.89 2073 388,959 71 27.70 2083 404,801 70 28.24 2093 421,288 68 28.78 2103 438,446 67 29.31 2113 456,302 65 29.84 Historic Data 1995 191,020 191,020 191,020 109 20.80 1996 193,064 193,064 193,064 102 19.67 1997 195,367 195,367 195,367 96 18.83 1998 196,679 196,679 196,679 103 20.22 1999 197,117 197,117 197,117 94 18.59 2000 199,564 199,564 199,864 106 21.06 2001 201,217 201,217 201,217 99 19.91 2002 202,000 202,000 202,000 98 19.82 2003 204,737 204,737 204,737 89 18.27 2004 206,290 206,290 206,290 97 20.06 2005 209,120 209,120 209,120 95 19.93 2006 211,187 211,187 211,487 97 20.40 2007 212,365 212,365 215,015 92 19.56 2008 214,847 214,847 218,542 91 19.65 2009 218,327 218,327 222,070 87 19.06 2010 229,573 229,573 225,597 85 19.53 2011 231,938 231,938 227,887 80 18.47 2012 233,654 234,327 230,177 80 18.71 Data by Year 2013 236,458 236,740 232,467 80 85 95 18.90 20.12 22.08 2014 239,295 239,179 234,757 80 85 95 19.10 20.33 22.30 2015 242,167 241,642 237,047 80 85 95 19.29 20.54 22.52 2016 245,073 244,131 239,337 80 85 95 19.49 20.75 22.74 2017 248,014 246,646 241,627 79 85 95 19.68 20.96 22.95 2018 250,990 249,186 243,917 79 85 95 19.88 21.18 23.17 2019 254,002 251,753 246,207 79 85 95 20.08 21.40 23.39 2020 257,050 254,346 248,497 79 85 95 20.29 21.62 23.61 2021 260,134 256,965 250,824 79 85 95 20.49 21.84 23.83 2022 263,256 259,612 253,150 79 85 95 20.70 22.07 24.05 2023 266,415 262,286 255,477 78 85 95 20.91 22.29 24.27 2024 269,612 264,988 257,803 78 85 95 21.12 22.52 24.49 Appendix D-1 Gross Reclaimed Water Projections Reclaimed Water Population Reclaimed Water Gallons per Capita per Day (gpcd) Effluent Flows (mgd) Year Probable (for details see Section 6.3) Canyon Lakes Water Reuse Project 2009 Wastewater Master Plan Probable Canyon Lakes Water Reuse Project 2009 Wastewater Master Plan Probable Canyon Lakes Water Reuse Project 2009 Wastewater Master Plan 2025 272,847 267,717 260,130 78 85 95 21.34 1 22.76 24.71 2026 276,122 270,475 262,456 78 85 95 21.55 22.99 24.93 2027 279,435 273,260 264,783 78 85 95 21.77 23.23 25.15 2028 282,788 276,075 267,109 78 85 95 21.99 23.47 25.38 2029 286,182 278,919 269,436 78 85 95 22.21 23.71 25.60 2030 289,616 281,791 271,762 77 85 95 22.44 23.95 25.82 2031 293,091 284,694 274,307 77 85 95 22.66 24.20 26.06 2032 296,608 287,626 276,851 77 85 95 22.89 24.45 26.30 2033 300,168 290,589 279,396 77 85 95 23.12 24.70 26.54 2034 302,569 293,582 281,940 77 85 95 23.26 24.95 26.78 2035 304,990 296,606 284,485 77 85 95 23.41 25.21 27.03 2036 307,429 299,661 287,029 77 85 95 23.55 25.47 27.27 2037 309,889 302,747 289,574 76 85 95 23.69 25.73 27.51 2038 312,368 305,866 292,118 76 85 95 23.84 26.00 27.75 2039 314,867 309,016 294,663 76 85 95 23.98 26.27 27.99 2040 317,386 312,199 297,207 76 85 95 24.13 26.54 28.23 2041 319,925 315,415 299,990 76 85 95 24.27 26.81 28.50 2042 322,484 318,663 302,773 76 85 95 24.42 27.09 28.76 2043 325,064 321,946 305,556 76 85 95 24.57 27.37 29.03 2044 327,340 325,262 308,339 75 85 95 24.69 27.65 29.29 2045 329,631 328,612 311,122 75 85 95 24.82 27.93 29.56 2046 331,938 331,997 313,905 75 85 95 24.94 28.22 29.82 2047 334,262 335,416 316,688 75 85 95 25.07 28.51 30.09 2048 336,602 338,871 319,471 75 85 95 25.20 28.80 30.35 2049 338,958 342,361 322,254 75 85 95 25.32 29.10 30.61 2050 341,331 345,888 325,037 75 85 95 25.45 29.40 30.88 2051 343,720 349,450 328,081 74 85 95 25.58 29.70 31.17 2052 346,126 353,050 331,125 74 85 95 25.71 30.01 31.46 2053 348,549 356,686 334,169 74 85 95 25.84 30.32 31.75 2054 350,640 360,360 337,213 74 85 95 25.94 30.63 32.04 2055 352,744 364,072 340,257 74 85 95 26.04 30.95 32.32 2056 354,861 367,821 343,300 74 85 95 26.15 31.26 32.61 2057 356,990 371,610 346,344 74 85 95 26.25 31.59 1 32.90 2058 359,132 375,438 349,388 73 85 95 26.36 31.91 33.19 2059 361,287 379,305 352,432 73 85 95 26.47 32.24 33.48 2060 363,454 383,211 355,476 73 85 95 26.57 32.57 33.77 2061 365,635 73 26.68 2062 367,829 73 26.78 2063 370,036 73 26.89 2064 371,886 73 26.97 2065 373,745 72 27.05 2066 375,614 72 27.13 2067 377,492 72 27.21 2068 379,380 72 27.29 2069 381,277 72 27.37 2070 383,183 72 27.46 Appendix D-1 Gross Reclaimed Water Projections Reclaimed Water Population Reclaimed Water Gallons per Capita per Day (gpcd) Effluent Flows (mgd) Year Probable (for details see Section 6.3) Canyon Lakes Water Reuse Project 2009 Wastewater Master Plan Probable Canyon Lakes Water Reuse Project 2009 Wastewater Master Plan Probable Canyon Lakes Water Reuse Project 2009 Wastewater Master Plan 2071 385,099 72 27.54 2072 387,024 71 27.62 2073 388,959 71 27.70 2074 390,515 71 27.75 2075 392,077 71 27.81 2076 393,646 71 27.86 2077 395,220 71 27.92 2078 396,801 70 27.97 2079 398,388 70 28.02 2080 399,982 70 28.08 2081 401,582 70 28.13 2082 403,188 70 28.19 2083 404,801 70 28.24 2084 406,420 70 28.29 2085 408,046 69 28.35 2086 409,678 69 28.40 2087 411,317 69 28.45 2088 412,962 69 28.51 2089 414,614 69 28.56 2090 416,272 69 28.62 2091 417,937 69 28.67 2092 419,609 68 28.72 2093 421,288 68 28.78 2094 422,973 68 28.83 2095 424,665 68 28.88 2096 426,363 68 28.94 2097 428,069 68 28.99 2098 429,781 68 29.04 2099 431,500 67 29.10 2100 433,226 67 29.15 2101 434,959 67 29.20 2102 436,699 67 29.26 2103 438,446 67 29.31 2104 440,199 67 29.36 2105 441,960 67 29.42 2106 443,728 66 29.47 2107 445,503 66 29.52 2108 447,285 66 29.58 2109 449,074 66 29.63 2110 450,870 66 29.68 2111 452,674 66 29.73 2112 454,485 66 29.79 2113 456,302 65 29.84 Appendix D-2 Net Reclaimed Water Projections Reclaimed Water Projections (mgd) Year Probable Gross Effluent Flows Contractual Operational Probable Net Effluent Flows Xcel Private Cotton Farmers LLAS HLAS Data by Decade 2013 18.90 9.00 0 4.00 4.00 1.90 2023 20.91 16.00 0 2.00 0.00 2.91 2033 23.12 16.00 0 2.00 0.00 5.12 2043 24.57 16.00 0 2.00 0.00 6.57 2053 25.84 14.00 0 2.00 0.00 9.84 2063 26.89 9.00 0 2.00 0.00 15.89 2073 27.70 1 9.00 0 2.00 0.00 16.70 2083 28.24 9.00 0 2.00 0.00 17.24 2093 28.78 9.00 0 2.00 0.00 17.78 2103 29.31 9.00 1 0 2.00 0.00 18.31 2113 29.84 9.00 0 2.00 0.00 18.84 Data by Year 2010 19.53 9.00 0 4.00 4.00 2.53 2011 18.47 9.00 0 4.00 4.00 1.47 2012 18.71 9.00 0 4.00 4.00 1.71 2013 18.90 9.00 0 'i 4.00 4.00 1.90 2014 19.10 9.00 0 4.00 4.00 2.10 2015 19.29 9.00 0 4.00 4.00 2.29 2016 19.49 9.00 0 4.00 4.00 2.49 2017 19.68 9.00 0 4.00 4.00 2.68 2018 19.88 9.00 0 4.00 4.00 2.88 2019 20.08 9.00 0 4.00 4.00 3.08 2020 20.29 16.00 0 2.00 0 2.29 2021 20.49 16.00 0 2.00 0 2.49 2022 20.70 16.00 0 2.00 0 2.70 2023 20.91 16.00 0 2.00 0 2.91 2024 21.12 16.00 0 2.00 0 3.12 2025 21.34 16.00 0 ' 2.00 0 3.34 2026 21.55 16.00 0 2.00 0 3.55 2027 21.77 16.00 0 2.00 0 3.77 2028 21.99 16.00 0 2.00 0 3.99 2029 22.21 16.00 0 2.00 0 4.21 2030 22.44 16.00 0 2.00 0 4.44 2031 22.66 16.00 0 2.00 0 4.66 2032 22.89 16.00 0 2.00 0 4.89 2033 23.12 16.00 0 2.00 0 5.12 2034 23.26 16.00 0 2.00 0 5.26 2035 23.41 16.00 0 2.00 0 5.41 2036 23.55 16.00 0 2.00 0 5.55 2037 23.69 16.00 0 2.00 0 5.69 2038 23.84 16.00 0 2.00 0 5.84 2039 23.98 16.00 0 2.00 0 5.98 2040 24.13 16.00 0 2.00 0 6.13 2041 24.27 16.00 0 2.00 0 6.27 2042 24.42 16.00 0 2.00 0 6.42 2043 24.57 16.00 0 2.00 0 6.57 2044 24.69 16.00 0 2.00 0 6.69 2045 24.82 16.00 0 2.00 0 6.82 2046 24.94 14.00 0 2.00 0 8.94 2047 25.07 14.00 0 2.00 0 9.07 2048 25.20 14.00 0 2.00 0 9.20 2049 25.32 14.00 0 2.00 0 9.32 2050 25.45 14.00 0 2.00 0 9.45 2051 25.58 14.00 0 2.00 0 9.58 2052 25.71 14.00 0 2.00 0 9.71 2053 25.84 14.00 0 2.00 0 9.84 2054 25.94 14.00 0 2.00 0 9.94 2055 26.04 14.00 0 2.00 0 10.04 2056 26.15 14.00 0 2.00 0 10.15 2057 26.25 14.00 0 2.00 0 10.25 2058 26.36 14.00 0 2.00 0 1 10.36 Appendix D-2 Net Reclaimed Water Projections Year Reclaimed Water Projections (mgd) Probable Gross Effluent Flows Contractual Operational Probable Net Effluent Flows Xcel Private Cotton Farmers LtAS NLAS 2059 26.47 14.00 0 2.00 0 10.47 2060 26.57 14.00 0 2.00 0 10.57 2061 26.68 14.00 0 2.00 0 10.68 2062 26.78 14.00 0 2.00 0 10.78 2063 26.89 9.00 0 2.00 0 15.89, 2064 26.97 9.00 0 2.00 0 15.97 2065 27.05 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.05 2066 27.13 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.13 2067 27.21 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.21 2068 27.29 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.29 2069 27.37 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.37 2070 27.46 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.46 2071 27.54 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.54 2072 27.62 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.62 2073 27.70 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.70 2074 27.75 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.75 2075 27.81 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.81 2076 27.86 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.86 2077 27.92 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.92 2078 27.97 9.00 0 2.00 0 16.97 2079 28.02 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.02 2080 28.08 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.08 2081 28.13 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.13 2082 28.19 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.19 2083 28.24 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.24 2084 28.29 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.29 2085 28.35 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.35 2086 28.40 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.40 2087 28.45 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.45 2088 28.51 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.51 2089 28.56 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.56 2090 28.62 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.62 2091 28.67 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.67 2092 28.72 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.72 2093 28.78 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.78 2094 28.83 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.83 2095 28.88 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.88 2096 28.94 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.94 2097 28.99 9.00 0 2.00 0 17.99 2098 29.04 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.04 2099 29.10 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.10 2100 29.15 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.15 2101 29.20 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.20 2102 29.26 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.26 2103 29.31 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.31 2104 29.36 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.36 2105 29.42 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.42 2106 29.47 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.47 2107 29.52 9.60 0 2.00 0 18.52 2108 29.58 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.58 2109 29.63 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.63 2110 29.68 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.68 2111 29.73 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.73 2112 29.79 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.79 2113 29,84 9.00 0 2.00 0 18.84 Appendix E-1 Present Value Analysis (HDR Engineering, Inc. Memo) ONE COMPANY Many Solutions" Memo To: Aubrey Spear, P.E. Kelly Baker From: Grady Reed Project: City of Lubbock Present Value Analysis David D. Dunn, P.E. CC: Date: November 5, 2012 Job No: 100815 DocumeW RE: Primary Assumptions for Present Value Analysis of Strategic Water Supply Plan The memo will briefly describe the primary assumptions that HDR will make for the City of Lubbock present value analysis. The model will extend to the year 2113, and will allow the user to break certain future assumptions into four (4) time periods with a different value given in each period. As with any long range model, major assumptions for future variables must be made. The longer the forecast period (in this case 100 years), the greater the uncertainty in predicting what the values for certain variables may be. HDR has made assumptions regarding the future general rate of inflation, interest rates for bonds, discount rate, and a separate rate of inflation for power costs. These assumptions are presented in more detail below. Rate of Inflation HDR has based the projected rate of inflation on the historical Engineering News Record (ENR) Construction Cost Index (CCI). The CCI calculates how much it would cost to purchase a basket of goods (including labor) related to construction projects relative to a base year. From these data, it is possible to determine how much, on a percentage basis, construction costs have risen from year to year. Over the last 20 years, the average annual increase in the CCI has been 3.2%. The increase for 2011 was near the average at 3.0%. HDR has broken the 100-year forecast period into four time blocks as follows: 1) 2014 to 2025 (or near -term); 2) 2026 to 2046; 3) 2047 to 2067; and 4) 2068 to 2113. The recommended inflation rate for each time period is shown below, which is a screen capture from the spreadsheet model. Note that cells highlighted in yellow are user input cells which can be easily changed should a different set of assumptions be chosen. Years Years Years Years 2014 2025 2026 2046 2047 2067 2068 2113 3.0% 3.1% 3.2 , 2.7% HDR has kept the near -term rate of inflation equal to the rate of increase for 2011, while in the longer term (years 2047 to 2067) the 20-year average was used. After that time period, HDR Engineering, Inc. ( 4401 West Gate Blvd. I Phone: 512.912.5100 I Page 1 of 3 Suite 400 Fax: 512.912.5158 Austin, TX 78745 www.hdNnc.com Appendix E-1 Present Value Analysis (HDR Engineering, Inc. Memo) the rate of inflation was reduced to help avoid potentially over -inflating the costs of projects that would not be built until the end of the projection period. Discount Rate HDR has based the projected discount rate on the market yield for U.S. Treasury securities with a 30-year maturity. This would represent what the City of Lubbock would expect to earn on funds invested rather than spent to construct projects. Like the CCI index above, this value has seen tremendous fluctuations in the past, and it is difficult to project future values within any confidence. Over the last 20 years, the average annual market return for T-bills has been 5.7%, while the return in 2011 was only 3.9%. HDR has broken the 100-year forecast period into the same four time blocks as detailed above. The recommended discount rates for these time periods are shown below. Years Years Years Years 2014 F 2025 2026 1 2046 2047 1 2067 2068 1 2113 4.3% 5.3% 5.7% 5.1% HDR has kept the near -term discount rate slightly higher than the market return for 2011. After that, the discount rate would gradually increase to the 20 year average of 5.7% before dropping in the last time period to match the reduction in the rate of inflation. Rate of Inflation for Power Cost HDR has based the projected rate of inflation for power cost on the Annual Electric Power Industry report compiled by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Over the last 10 years, the average annual increase in the price for power associated with industrial customers has been 3.8%, while the increase in 2011 was only 0.8%. The recommended rate of inflation for power cost is shown below. Years Years Years Years 2014 7F772025 2026 1 2046 2047 2 667 2068 1 2113 1.0•0 2.8% 3.89/o 4.8% HDR has kept the near -term price increase slightly higher than the increase for 2011. After that, the annual price increase would gradually increase to the 20 year average of 3.8% for years 2047 to 2067 and then increase an additional percentage point in the final year grouping. The table below shows what the projected power cost would be per kWh. 2014 2025 2046 1 2067 2113 $ 0.08 $ 0.09 $ 0.16 1 $ 0.35 $ 3.01 HDR Engineering, Inc. 14401 West Gate Blvd. I Phone: 512.912.5100 I Page 2 of 3 Suite 400 Fax:512.912.5158 Austin, TX 78745 www.hdrinc.com Appendix E-1 Present Value Analysis (HDR Engineering, Inc. Memo) As with the other variables, there have been large changes in the annual percent change in power prices over the past 10 years. This will likely continue into the future; however, it is felt that long-term electricity costs will continue to increase as inflation increases and as more stringent regulations are placed upon the power industry. Bond Interest Rate The recommended bond interest rate for all bonds issued during the planning period is 5.1 %. This is consistent with a 20-year average market yield for a 20-year municipal general obligation bond for a municipality with a AA rating. Bond issue rates will vary from year to year and have varied greatly in the past; however, for purposes of this analysis is it recommended to simply use the 20-year average throughout the 100-year forecast period. HDR Engineering, Inc. 14401 West Gate Blvd. I Phone: 512-912.5100 I Page 3 of 3 Suite 400 Fax:512.912.5158 Austin, TX 78745 www.hddnc.com Appendix E-2 12 Year Financial Water rate Model Rate Policy Comparison - Package 1 Volume Rates Block FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Historical Rates Block 1 2.96 3.07 2.85 3.01 3.99 4.07 4.12 4.33 4.56 4.79 4.81 4.34 5.29 Block 2 4.75 4.92 4.57 4.84 6.40 6.54 6.62 6.95 7.32 7.69 7.72 6.96 8.50 Block 3 6.57 6.81 6.32 6.69 8.85 9.04 9.15 9.61 10.13 10.63 10.68 9.63 11.75 New Rate Structure Block 1 4.00 5.00 5.85 6.82 7.94 8.02 8.08 8.08 8.08 8.08 8.08 8.24 8.92 Block 2 5.46 6.82 7.98 9.30 10.83 10.94 11.02 11.02 11.02 11.02 11.02 11.24 12.17 Block 3 6.55 8.18 9.57 11.15 12.99 13.12 13.22 13.22 13.22 13.22 13.22 13.49 14.60 Base Charges Meter Size FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Historical Rates 0.75 28.00 28.00 30.00 36.00 36.00 36.00 36.00 34.00 32.00 30.00 30.00 36.00 32.00 New Rate Structure 0.75 21.00 14.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7A0 Volume Rate Comparison - Block 1 10.00 ---- 9.00_..._.._....___........._..._..__...._.__..__..___..._______ &00-- ........ ..............__. 7.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 Historical Rates 3.00 New Rate Structure 2.00 1.00 °N^� RNI °tie °tie °ti, °tip °tia %N z1v °,yti °,y^� ZN ��41ry41IV�IV��4�ry�IV�IV�IV�19�ry<kIV�e Base Rate Comparison - 0.75" Meter 40.00 - - - 35.00 30.00 25.00 20.00 Historical Rates 15.00 ®New Rate Structure 10.00 5.00 o��' oti` owe o��D o�^ o�� ono' oti° oti~ otiti oti' oti°` otie ry ry ry<k 4kti-,Ary41ti<I <1 �I <-Iry-,Ati kA N a-1 to m 1-1 V? 00 t0 Ln 00 to O � e-i N VT L m G n } N 00 to O N 0 N m m o N } m r` 0 N to 0 N � tU o � } M t0 N O N O m Ln � o ri N t0 Vt L m O O } m O C m O Lit O Oj N a-1 V! Ln e-f cn N m m N ri a-i N N Ln Ln 0o Ln O O O O O O O O N N N N N N N N O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 0o ri fn" o0 00 of of r4 M a-i N N N M M ri O n n M N ct rf Lo Ln o oo mo .�-1f to o o V-1 r o e-t ri m O M Ln L^f1 M ONt ,4 m 1-1 of to n p two co a�-1 N N An. i m c tT Ln CT } N O O ri 00 Ln M O 00 .-i O Co a iD tD O t%0 CNo O N N VT V1• V? V) iA V>• i/F m 00 00 NN N Ch to Ln n to Ln 0 ON Co N m N Ln } m 0) M N t0 to N 00 O M M' (� 0 0 N N V? t/} V} Vl• V>• i/T V! m r1 M m r O m m n Ln Ln o tD Ln m c r-i o N N VT VT V) VT V1 V) V! m O O } m O O � a•1 to ri tD V-f N O O N N t/} Vt• i/T V} VT i/T O O Om1 tT Ln t6 to Ln L-t rq c rmi No N N N V? V) VT V) tn• i m O O o } m O O O O cri M v O p rmi rmi O N N V} in• V? V). t? V► m O i+ i a r` m Ln Ln Ln 0 N N to Ln M 00 m 2 C 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 O N N N N N N N N L m d } O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O C O O O O O O m v o 0o w v v 0 u .u m-t `ni m o Lo m m -4-4 � v v o7f O m Oo .L in 4A to n V> to In to N W N f tT O aNi N r-I t � � t ri ri 1 f� 01 t N N " to t 00 p O t N i/T V? to to V!• V? 4 tT N in tD t rt r4 Ln l i p .N-4 co N r V1 4^ V? VT iR Vf t tD O t m M t N ri O O to p .N-f ON0 < N r-i Vf to Ln 01 O Ot t ri O t M .M-f O i Ln C ei CO f V} V) V1• V? V1 t/A i O f� [ N 00 Ol - t r4 0) .T N rti VT V} V} Vf kn V? i 00 N t n a i to n i M G r4- .-i n t N .ti Vf Ln V) V? ir? I V. I i N 1 t tOD t0 Ln t N 1/f Vt. V! V? V? t 00 f Ln L v LLn o r�-I � N V? VT Vt in V> i N t M t M t O G -4 N Vf Vf V? V1 V? i m C O m v � cn Ln Ln Ln Lo Ln ri N N to 00 Ln 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 O NNN N N L m (o Y A 3 � 3 vmvmr`,L0 `" t O O LoI* L`n Lo r-1 O CD4 O O ri a-f N O 00 00 V a �. v'^ - ortrnmtn a-1 N M 00 00 IH /0 E N ^ � C O v Appendix E-3 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model Package i - Baseline Ravesun btt-st R- 123,300 - 117.665 192,350 249,974 279,919 350,692 Retmuc fioa Rmtd. 150,907 150,000 151,5011 153,015 154,545 156,091 157,652 Reemue From Junk Saks 179,598 50.000 50,000 50.(la1 50,000 50,000 50,000 Reemue Fina Metered Services 72.229,022. 71307,350 73,689,716 74,517,636 83,569,152 97,035,741 100,955,740 R-f .Dept Operations 1,804,781 2,370,550 2,417,961 2.466,321 2,515,647 2,165,97, 2,617Z79 Tran. Fr® OWa Fund. A'm 129 387 1.10,701 130 604 131 43H 131.994 133,3 133,229 Taal Fundim S- 74616994 74008601 76557446 77,510360 86.671212 Ig),221.082 104.264.592 Enpeaditmon Total Sallie, 5,200,189 5,741,134 5,835,957 5,973,076 6,092,539 6,214388 6,338,676 Tad B-fit, 2,777,464 3,120,784 3,301,475 3.497,607 3,710,673 3,942311 4,194324 Tad Suppl- 1,467,367 i,823,797 1,960273 1,897,479 1,935,428 1,974,137 2,013,619 Toth hL�^^^ 2,444534 2,952,901 3,011,959 3,072,198 3,133,642 3,196315 3.260.241 CRMWA Ddi-y Charges 4,885,692 5,740.1 5,855,810 5,972,926 61092,385 6,214,232 6,338517 Eketrie Utility Chain 2,177,657 3,742558 3,783,617 3,925,127 3,967,093 3,909519 3,952,410 Total Pra&.-al Smvim. /Tosinin8 994,894 989.060 1,0U8.841 1,029,018 1,049598 1,070,590 1:092,002 Total Scheduled Charm 1,096,404 1,162.810 1,186.066 1.209,787 1,233,983 1.258.663 1,283,836 Total Olhs Ch.M. 170,283 22,200 268,968 274.544 280,261 2,664.944 2,706.848 Tdnl Cu iai Qutlu 454,636 405,000 413100 42I,3G2 429789 4363H5 447,153 TanlTmnafcr. 10,706,(WS I1,854,757 12,230,115 12.316,413 13,302,014 14.35ri,058 14,851,012 Total Olhc Expmditsa 96,971 Ny A-You•Oo F don is CIP 800,000 420,000 500,a10 300.OW - - - Ex.ti.gDcbtSavke 37,969}78 39,702,132 39,733.58.3 39.571380 39,565,945 39,570,757 39,378,464 cm Lon: LatcrA Eemmp on Bond Prods (113,595) (93,7%) (122,353) (310,202) (298,753) (264,618) (148,520: L.ea: Build An-ca Bond Subsidy (1.396,635) (1,595.060) (1,595,060) (1,595,060) (11595.060) (1595,060) (1,553,801: New ihbt&xvim- Cunt CLP Proiedions - - 2,067,586 4,912,718 6437,856_7,782587 Taal Expendi[scs Total Eventbtse (OMYUnds Ravmtsm Nat Asset C.kAad. Told Approp iabk Nd Ands Ras Aaalpis D-bs. Decmb. Decmba Diemba D-bs D-sabs Dx®6¢. D.Mb. Decembs Decemba D-.bs Dsmb. Tia lam .00% 49.81% 25.00 : I7,oax I7.00 50% 16.wx I7o009ci `t� 1 '',�, 4 � tp ' T1c3 0.00% I0,48% 21:0'0% I7,gl% 16.50% 16.5(1% I./Nl% ,' ,.f/.a� xsi`xauuit.. ii 'vvi iip t ?{ k. ...�'.'.v;':'..)�'`y ' 1v b The "ro d rate su%w( a mcaepo au d m thm modal a subjat to cM%c depmdia8 on many vsiables. Some oftbeae miablea awy hlelndr wars wh-s, interest onto, commodity price, inflation rotes, the operational impact of new facilities, and changes to the set s paisity of capital poj to Appendix E-3 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model Package 1- Baseline Base Charees Meter Size FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 0,75 $ 8.89 18.00 18.00 24.00 28.00 21.00 14.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7,00 7,00 7,00 7,00 1,00 14.84 30.05 30.05 40.06 46.74 35.06 23.37 11.69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11,69 11,69 1 L69 11.69 1.50 29.59 59.91 59.91 79.88 93.20 69.90 46.60 23.30 23.30 23.30 23.30 23.30 23.30 23.30 23,30 23,30 23,30 23.30 2,00 47,56 96.30 96.30 128.40 149.80 112.35 74,90 37,45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 3.00 94.81 191,97 191.97 255.96 298.61 223.96 149.31 74,65 74,65 74,65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 4,00 148. 12 299.91 299,91 399.87 466,52 349,89 233,26 116,63 116,63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 6.00 296. 16 599.65 599.65 799.53 932.79 699.59 466,39 233,20 233,20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 8.00 473,87 959.47 959.47 1,279.29 1,492.50 1,119.38 746,25 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 10.00 681,26 1,379.38 1,379.38 1,839.17 2,145.70 1,609.28 1,072,85 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 Volume Rates Block FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 1 $ 2.42 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.67 4.00 5.00 5.85 6,82 7.94 8.02 8.08 8.08 8.08 8.08 8.08 8.24 8.92 2 3.03 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.29 5.46 6.82 7.98 9.30 10.83 10.94 11.02 11.02 11.02 11.02 11.02 11.24 12.17 3 4.19 5.93 5.93 5.93 5,93 6,55 8,18 9,57 11.15 12,99 13.12 13.22 13.22 13.22 13.22 13.22 13.49 14.60 Sample Bill (Average User based on 7,000 gallons per month) FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 ,75" meter $ 25.83 36.69 36.69 42.69 46.69 49,00 49,00 47.95 54.71 62.58 63.13 63.56 63.56 63.56 63.56 63.56 64.69 69.45 %increase 42.0% 0.0% 16.4% 9.4% 4.9% 0.0% -2.1% 14.1% 14.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.01/ 0.0% 0.01/o 1.8% 7.4% V meter $ 31.79 48.74 48.74 58.75 65.43 63.06 58.37 52.64 59.39 67.26 67.82 68.24 68.24 68.24 68.24 68.24 69.37 74.13 %increase 53.4% 0.01/0 20.61% 11.4% -3.6% -7.4% -9.8% 12.8% 13.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.01/6 1.7% 6.9% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% Appendix E-3 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model Package 1 - Baseline FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 $60,000,000 $55,000,000 $50,000,000 $45,000,000 $40,000,000 $35,000,000 � Tier 1 Volume Rate % Increase $30,000,000 —*—Annual Debt Payment t—Appropriable Net Assets $25,000,000 -+(—RCWF Reserve $20,000,000 $15,000,000 $10,000,000 $5,000,000 $ 19,038,000 $ 5,723,000 2014 2015 $ 19,038,000 $ 5,894,690 $ 5,723,000 $ 104,328,000 2021 2023 $ 7,038,568 $ 136 $ 65,711,000 2029 $ 54,260,000 2052 $ 18,439,000 2053 $ 18,439,000 2083 Years Years Years Years 2014 1 2025 2026 2046 2047 2067 2068 1 2113 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 2.7% Original O&M Cost Year Operational 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2 $ 133,000 2014 $ 133,000 $ 136,990 $ 141,100 $ 145,333 $ 149,693 $ 154,183 $ 158,809 $ 163,573 $ 168,480 $ $ 40,000 2017 $ 43,709 $ 45,020 $ 46,371 $ 47,762 $ 49,195 $ 50,671 $ $ 40,000 2023 $ $ 958,000 2025 $ 554,000 2031 $ 1,775,000 2054 $ 344,000 2055 $ 344,000 2085 $ $ - $ $ $ - $ - $ $ $ - $ $ $ $ $ - $ - $ - $ $ $ - $ $ $ - $ $ - $ - $ - $ $ $ - $ $ - $ - $ $ $ - $ $ $ $ - $ $ 133,000 $ 136,990 $ 141,100 $ 189,042 $ 194,713 $ 200,554 $ 206,571 $ 212,768 $ 219,151 $ Years Years Years Years 2014 2025 2026 2046 2047 2067 2068 2113 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 2.7% Total Project Power Consumption (KwH/year) Year Operational 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2024 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2 1,416,554 2014 $ 113,324 $ 114,458 $ 115,602 $ 116,758 $ 117,926 $ 119,105 $ 120,296 $ 121,499 $ 122,714 $ 272,804 2017 $ 22,486 $ 22,710 $ 22,938 $ 23,167 $ 23,399 $ 23,633 $ 272,804 2023 $ 71,004,097 2025 21,516,191 2031 7,058,755 2054 8,985,068 2055 8,985,068 2085 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ $ - $ $ - $ - $ $ - $ $ - $ - $ $ $ $ $ - $ $ Is $ $ - $ A wehld MO-p NW!W--oql -&". 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Mol .*MN0.3l °°N °°°g!P°°dx3 M-.L (108'fSi l) (090'Lbi'I) (090'f6L'1) (090'S6S'i) (090'L6VO (090'56E1) (SC9'96S•1) U.iflb/'Z) (ois tO (LfbUD (LLI'LLO (L16'I91) (ESEYZI) (96L'E6) (565'El1) (90V9rz) °-..dp°0 --m 490'8Lf6E LSL•OG5'6E L06'59VO 09f ILS'bf f9f EEL'6f LEI'ZOV6f 9X6WLE 5W161*U °°!,.s",a 9,9Wn . 000.00S 000'OOS o00•oib 000.m .., dIJ °! 9-M 4 D°°A-V4-J IG9'98 NZL'001 9mpo: wl ILL'ZIE01 OSrm,cl Hfl'Ef0'EI LLEKEZI E60.911'ZI LLL'K9'11 t90'90L'ol IWLOe'6 1A°1 ESI'L00 S%C'NEO 68L'6Z0 z9E'I Lb OOI'flb 000'SOb 9E8'Kb 9GZ'Sbf 099'6SC 9lfiff I_E bK'OLZ 696'89L OOLZL EBZOLI 199'Lf °0&°1IJ ^�91O 1°I°1 9EB'EHZI !'99'HSiI f86'ffCl LAL'60ii 990'9N1'1 018'L91'I bOb'980'1 SeN'E9H °°t+°gJ PW°P°WSf°ml Zo0'Z60'1 06EOL0'I 86E6b0'1 8I0'6Z0'I Ib8'800'I 090'6N6 O.1U6E b1 i606'f E60'G9%•E LZI'SZ➢'E LI9•CBL'C :.ZOL'f lS9'LCI'i 96Z9I 1'Z °°�°4J Ng9(1 °upep L1EBEf9 LlYb1Z•9 S8fL60'9 9Z6'LL6'S OI8'SSB'S 066'ObG'S Z69'i88'b 99B'il!"t oNsgJ,CmA!P0 VM3VHJ I9Y09CC SIE961'f Z09'EEI'E 961YL0•C 6S61 l0'f IO6'ZS6'Z KS'Obb'Z 606YK•i °°°°mp°W p9°1 6IVEIO'L LEI.OL61 SLO'Sf6'i 6LVL68'l CLCogg'I "L'Eie'I OICOVl 69S'OZEI °°!IW°S I4°1 OZf061'b IIf Wf CL9'01 L'E L09'OVC SLb'TWC "CON 190•LLL•Z 90N'6SI•Z °0J°�9 p9°1 9L9'9ff9 99fb1Y9 8C5'i60'9 9LO'CL6'L LS6'S99'9 KI•IOL'S 68I'OOZ•5 LIL'K9'0 fOYTSl4°1 °7 906'f6t56 Itb 009 Z6 956 641 ZN 604 9Lb bL 0N0 L69 9L 109 bL bfb 919 OL N89 SCL LL fgN°H N°1 6ZrCfl IL ECI 6661f1 8Eb IEI 009OE1 IOLOCI L8t6Zl 5Z06Z1 °P^d--%—d°mY—1 6LZLI9•Z 096'595'i L6951" ozcgwL 196•llb'L OSCOLEZ ISCM'1 8f0480'L °°°—d0 W20°O9°°° d Z59'00' 9Z6 ZOL'966'68 9IMI'64 690•Z6011L KE6M% OSC'LOEIL ZCO'6ZZZL M.6SCU —°t P°�°W—d°° H 000'OS 00' 0O5 000'0S 000'OS 000.OL 000'0S 86f6Li 119",1---u LS9'LSI I60.9S1 SK•KI LIO'CSI OOS'ILI 000'0SI 06. LOSI LIO.OS1 q.."—J°°mA°N 060'6LC 818'8EZ Kr. Piz Lo9•k91 L99•L11 O0ETZI Sb0'9S t °0°00°OkI'�M9 Yawl paSeloa Z asegd HV I - Z a3e43ed lapoW aaeH Ja;eM tePaeal3 .tea, ZI I -a x!paaddd Appendix E-4 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model Package 2 - LAH Phase 2 Delayed Base Charees Meter Size FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 0.75 $ 8.89 19,00 18,00 24.00 28.00 21.00 14.00 7A0 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 700 1.00 14.84 30.05 30.05 40.06 46,74 35.06 23.37 11.69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11,69 11.69 11,69 11.69 11.69 11.69 1.50 29.59 59.91 59.91 79.88 93.20 69.90 46.60 23.30 23.30 23.30 23.30 23.30 23.30 23,30 23.30 23.30 23.30 23.30 2.00 47.56 96.30 96.30 128.40 149,80 11235 74.90 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37,45 3745 37.45 37.45 37.45 3.00 94.81 191.97 191.97 255.96 298.61 223.96 149.31 74.65 74.65 74,65 74,65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 4.00 148.12 299,91 299.91 399,87 466.52 349.89 233,26 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116,63 6,00 296,16 599.65 599,65 799.53 932.79 699.59 466.39 233,20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 8.00 473.87 959.47 959,47 1,279.29 1,492.50 1,119.38 746.25 373.13 373,13 373,13 373.13 373.13 37113 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 10.00 681.26 1,379.38 1,379.38 1,839.17 2,145.70 1,609.28 1,072.85 536,43 536A3 536,43 536.43 536.43 536A3 536.43 536A3 536.43 536.43 536.43 Volume Rates Block FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 1 $ 2,42 2,67 2.67 2.67 2.67 4.00 4.80 5.57 6,40 7,24 7.24 7.24 7.24 7.24 7.24 7.24 7.45 8.10 2 3.03 4,29 4.29 4.29 4.29 5.46 6,55 7.60 8,74 9,87 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.87 10.17 11.06 3 4.19 5.93 5,93 5.93 5.93 6.55 7.86 9,11 10,48 11,84 11.84 11.84 11,84 11.84 11.84 11,84 1120 13,26 Sample Bill (Average User based on 7,000 gallons per month) FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 20t5 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 .75"meter $ 25.83 36.69 36.69 42.69 46.69 49.00 47,60 45,98 51,82 57.65 57.65 57,65 57.65 57.65 57.65 5765 59,17 63,73 %increase 42.0% 0.0% 16.4% 9.4% 4.9% -2.9% -3.41/6 12.7% 11.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.01/. 2.61/o 7.7% I" meter $ 31,78 48.74 48.74 58.75 65.43 63.06 56.97 50,66 56,51 62.33 62.33 62.33 62.33 62,33 62,33 62,33 63.85 68.42 %increase 53.4% 0.0% 20,6°/a 11.41/6 -3.60/6 47% -11.1% 11.5% 10.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0°/a 2.41/. 7.1% Appendix E-4 12 Year Financial Water rate Model Package 2 - LAH Phase 2 Delayed 60.00% $55,000,000 $50,000,000 50.00% $45,000,000 $40,000,000 40.00% $35,000,000 $30,000,000 111111111111111ITier 1 Volume Rate % Increase 30.00% —*—Annual Debt Payment $25,000,000 --Appropriable Net Assets —M—RCWF Reserve $20,000,000 20.00% $15,000,000 $10,000,000 10.00% $5,000,000 0.00 % ' FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 $ 19,038,000 2014 $ 19,038,000 $ 65,711,000 $ 100,228,000 2015 2018 $ 67,682,330 $ 112,807,497 $ 5,723,000 2021 $ 7,038,568 $ 9,614,000 $ 5,723,000 2023 2031 $ 12,544,089 $ 104,328,000 2033 $ 18,439,000 2063 $ 18,439,000 2093 $ 83,511,000 2045 Years Years Years Years 2014 2025 2026 2046 2047 2067 2068 2113 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 2.7% Original O&M Cost Year Operational 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 $ 133,000 2014 $ 133,000 $ 136,990 $ 141,100 $ 145,333 $ 149,693 $ 154,183 $ 158,809 $ 163,573 $ 168,480 $ 173,535 $ 554,000 2017 $ 605,371 $ 623,532 $ 642,238 $ 661,505 $ 681,350 $ 701,791 $ 722,844 $ 4,028,000 2020 $ 4,809,643 $ 4,953,932 $ 5,102,550 $ 5,255,626 $ 40,000 2023 $ 52,191 $ 68,000 2025 $ 40,000 2033 $ 958,000 2035 $ 344,000 2065 $ 344,000 2095 $ 4,165,000 2047 $ $ - $ $ - $ $ $ $ - $ $ $ $ - $ - $ - $ $ $ $ - $ $ $ 133,0001 $ 136,990 $ 141,100 $ 750,703 $ 773,225 $ 796,421 $ 5,629,957 $ 5,798,855 $ 5,972,821 $ 6,204,196 Years Years Years Years 2014 2025 2026 2046 2047 2067 2068 2113 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 2.7% Total Project Power Consumption(KwH/year) Year Operational 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1,416,554 2014 $ 113,324 $ 114,458 $ 115,602 $ 116,758 $ 117,926 $ 119,105 $ 120,296 $ 121,499 $ 122,714 $ 123,941 21,516,191 2017 $ 1,773,452 $ 1,791,187 $ 1,809,099 $ 1,827,190 $ 1,845,462 $ 1,863,916 $ 1,882,555 3,111,111 2020 $ 67,635 $ 74,182 $ 80,853 $ 87,650 272,804 2023 $ 23,869 3,239,034 2025 272,804 2033 71,004,097 2035 8,985,068 2065 8,985,068 2095 1,544,444 2047 $ $ - $ $ - $ $ - $ $ $ $ - $ $ $ $ - $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 113,324 $ 114,458 $ 115,602 $ 1,890,210 1 $ 1,909,113 1 $ 1,928,2041 $ 2,015,1211 $ 2,041,143 $ 2,067,483 1 $ 2,118,016 v-, v.,- , I Vim-, I V-,., $ 19,038,000 2014 $ 19,038,000 $ 65,711,000 2015 $ 67,682,330 $ 100,228,000 2018 $ 112,807,497 $ 5,723,000 2021 $ 7,038,568 $ 9,614,000 2023 $ 12,544,089 $ 9,614,000 2053 $ 5,723,000 2061 $ 9,614,000 2083 $ 5,723,000 2101 $ 83,511,000 2045 Years Years Years Years 2014 2025 2026 2046 2047 2067 2068 2113 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 2.7% Original O&M Cost Year Operational 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 $ 133,000 2014 $ 133,000 $ 136,990 $ 141,100 $ 145,333 $ 149,693 $ 154,183 $ 158,809 $ 163,573 $ 168,480 $ 173,535 $ 554,000 2017 $ 605,371 $ 623,532 $ 642,238 $ 661,505 $ 681,350 $ 701,791 $ 722,844 $ 4,028,000 2020 $ 4,809,643 $ 4,953,932 $ 5,102,550 $ 5,255,626 $ 40,000 2023 $ 52,191 $ 68,000 2025 $ 68,000 2055 $ 40,000 2063 $ 68,000 2085 $ 40,000 2103 $ 4,165,000 2047 $ $ -Is - $ $ - $ - $ $ - $ $ $ - $ $ - $ - $ $ $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 133,000 $ 136,990 $ 141,100 $ 750,7031. $ 773,2251 $ 796,421 $ 5,629,957 $ 5,798,855 $ 5,972,821 $ 6,204,196 Years Years Years Years 2014 1 2025 2026 F7777777 2047 1 2067 2068 1 2113 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 2.7% Total Project Power Consumption(KwH/year) Year Operational 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1,416,554 2014 $ 113,324 $ 114,458 $ 115,602 $ 23,352 $ 23,585 $ 23,821 $ 24,059 $ 24,300 $ 24,543 $ 24,788 21,516,191 2017 $ 1,773,452 $ 1,791,187 $ 1,809,099 $ 1,827,190 $ 1,845,462 $ 1,863,916 $ 1,882,555 3,111,111 2020 $ 67,635 $ 74,182 $ 80,853 $ 87,650 272,804 2023 $ 4,774 3,239,034 2025 3,239,034 2055 272,804 2063 3,239,034 2085 272,804 2103 1,544,444 2047 $ $ $ $ - $ $ $ $ - $ $ $ - $ $ $ - $ $ 113,3241 $ 114,458 1 $ 115,602 v.,-,r, $ 1,796,8041 $ 1,814,772 I V- 1 $ 1,832,920 1 $ 1,918,8841 v. $ �a 1,943,944 1 $ 1,969,312 $ 1,999,768 R— bnua.t Rawaa Raemm Bom Ram.b Recmae From Jmk S.le, R— Fmm WWW S-- Ra Bom Dept Op — Trams F—Ofl-Fmd. T.W FOedig Smma ENpmdMo e Tow Sd d. Taw BmefdN Tow Sipplin T-I M.idenmco CRMWA D.1h yChwgw El.a U01iry Chugs. TOW PrOfa..W S—iaa/Tmikg TOW Salwdied Chugs Told OO-Chum. Tow OOw Expmdiumr Pry-A.Y—G. Rmd 4 a CIP Exi"S De. Sercka Lam b.— E—.W m Bud P—d. Low: Bald Anaio Bad SobWy ToW ExpwAi (OwyUMar Rewem. NHAmmer Cda bd- ToW Apprq. bN. Awm Appendix E-5 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model Packages S 38,04E 12i300 - 117,663 201,094 308,755 443,930 649.610 150,012 150,907 150,000 I111,500 153.015 154,545 156.091 157.652 153.657 179.59E '0"00 30,000 30.000 50.000 50,000 50,000 72.759.ng 72=9.022 71307330 75,530,078 91,000,501 92,606.261 104,866,176 109.638,032 2.485.058 1,E0d,781 2370.550 2AI7,961 2A66320 2.515.647 2365,9W 2.6172n 4,654.712 3200.189 5.741.134 5,855.957 5.973,076 6.092,538 62143E8 6139,676 2.Is9,808 2.777A64 3.120.784 3301,475 3A97,607 3.710.671 3.942311 4,IWX4 020389 IA67367 1.823.797 1.860273 1.897,479 1.935,42E 1.974.137 2.013,619 2,842,909 2.444,534 2,952.901 1,111.91 3,072,19E 1.111.642 3.196315 3.260241 1312:866 4,885.692 5,740.990 3.835,81. 3.972.926 6.092385 6214.112 633ES17 2,118296 2.177,657 3.742.558 3.793.617 3,825,127 3,967.093 3,909S 19 3.952.410 1.01 s.940 994.- 9E9.060 I,OO8.PI 1,029.01E IA49,5% 1.070.590 1.092.002 963.895 1,086,404 1.162.810 1.196.066 129.787 U13,98.i 1259,663 1283,SM 37.661 1702E3 22200 268.96E 274.5" 290261 2.665.944 2.706,84E 393276 454.936 405.IN)0 413.100 021.}62 429,789 438,385 447,133 9,E07,941 10.706.068 11,854,757 12 34LM 12.905.910 13.947.773 14,937.725 Is389,890 104,728 86.971 - - - 150.000 800,000 420.000 100.000 500,000 - - 32391,445 37,96927E 39.702.132 39.733,593 393713E0 39.565,945 3%570,757 39378.464 (246,406) (113.595) (93,796) (122353) (310202) (29V53) (264,618) (639.443 (2.441327) • (13.AM - (1,397.060) (1S93.060) - (1395,060) ]M]SEfi (1,595.060) d917]1A (1,595.060) 6d3].%SR (1.553.801 t]N]31t9 R—A. y b Do—ba D—w . . D—bu Deeemb. Daeemb. D-9- Dooambm DOdombor D—bar Dammbor Douaabu Dmambu Dmambm D.—b. D—b., Bow Rra t 24.00 28,00 14.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 �'"U"C"TdO�QbSeiF ''Sl Ta1 O.OM 49AI 30.O. 5.4 0 12.505O i' V"".�k 225% A ay` g"0tl I "'2k.}4` �"QQy Tm 2 . - O .O . .• 2030. 2E"50"✓. O(Iy✓f' r) TI4r3 0.003c o.oa. 1o.aa•. 30.00•. u.ao•. 1250n 12.50'. 22N. ,.,�rg Th. propowd mWnrvcmmkwnwdin"mDUitobjmtwbmpdopmWimgmmwyvublm Sarno aftb mbk euy vwbde: waver vdumor, osoAn rua, mmmioadBY pica. eBuiae ww.. rho olwrwmd'eep.ct ofeow fidhrie., and ehmgm n 0w mia a priority Ma.piW pmjocl.. Appendix E-5 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model Packages 3 and 4 Base Charees Meter Size FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 0.75 $ 8.89 18,00 18.00 24.00 28.00 21.00 14.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7,00 7.00 7A0 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 L00 14.84 30.05 30.05 40.06 46,74 35.06 23.37 11.69 11.69 11.69 11,69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11.69 1.50 29.59 59.91 59.91 79.88 93.20 69.90 46.60 23.30 23.30 23.30 23.30 23,30 23.30 23.30 23.30 23,30 23.30 23.30 2.00 47.56 96.30 96.30 128.40 149.80 112.35 74.90 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37,45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 3.00 94.81 191.97 191,97 255.96 298.61 223.96 149,31 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74,65 74.65 74.65 74.65 4.00 148.12 299.91 299.91 399.87 466,52 349.89 233.26 116.63 116.63 116.63 116,63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116,63 116.63 6.00 296, 16 599.65 599.65 799,53 932,79 699.59 466.39 233.20 233.20 233.20 233,20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 8.00 473.87 959.47 959.47 1,279.29 1,492,50 1,119.38 746.25 373,13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 10,00 681.26 1,379.38 1,379,38 1,839.17 2,145.70 1,609.28 1,072.85 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 Volume Rates Block FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 1 $ 2.42 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.67 4.00 5.20 6.50 7.64 8.59 8.79 8.92 8.92 8.92 8.92 8.92 8.92 8.92 2 3.03 4,29 4.29 4.29 4.29 5.46 7.09 8.87 10,42 11.72 11.99 12,17 12.17 12.17 12.17 12.17 1117 12.17 3 4.19 5.93 5.93 5.93 5.93 6.55 8.51 10.64 12,50 14.06 14.38 14.59 14.59 14.59 14,59 14.59 14.59 14.59 Sample Bill (Averaee User based on 7,000 gallons per month) FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 .75" meter $ 25.83 36.69 36.69 42.69 46.69 49.00 50,40 52.50 60.46 67.15 68.50 69.42 69.42 69.42 69.42 69.42 69.42 69.42 %increase 42.0% 0.0% 16A% 9.4% 4.9% 2.9% 4.2% 15.2% 11.1% 2.00/. 1.3% 0.0% 0,0% 0.0% 0.01/. 0,0% 0.0% V meter $ 31.78 48.74 49.74 58.75 65.43 63.06 59.77 57.19 65.15 71.83 73.18 74,11 74.11 74.11 74.11 74,11 74.11 74.11 %increase 53.41% 0.0% 20.6% 11.4% -3.6% -5.2% -4.3% 13.9% 10.3% 1.9% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0,0% 0.0% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% Appendix E-5 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model Packages 3 & 4 FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 $65,000,000 $60,000,000 $55,000,000 $50,000,000 $45,000,000 $40,000,000 $35,000,000 Tier 1 Volume Rate % Increase --fie—Annual Debt Payment $30,000,000 —4—Appropriable Net Assets --E—Package 3 Reserve $25,000,000 $20,000,000 $15,000,000 $10,000,000 $5,000,000 $ 19,038,000 2014 $ 19,038,000 $ 65,711,000 2015 $ 67,682,330 $ 100,228,000 2018 $ 112,807,497 $ 5,723,000 2021 $ 7,038,568 $ 104,328,000 2023 $ 136,124,377 $ 125,493,000 2053 $ 18,439,000 2053 $ 88,328,000 2077 $ 18,439,000 2083 $ 58,225,000 2096 $ 83,511,000 2045 Years Years Years Years 2014 2025 2026 2046 2047 2067 2068 2113 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 2.7% Original O&M Cost Year Operational 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 $ 133,000 2014 $ 133,000 $ 136,990 $ 141,100 $ 145,333 $ 149,693 $ 154,183 $ 158,809 $ 163,573 $ 168,480 $ 173,535 $ 554,000 2017 $ 605,371 $ 623,532 $ 642,238 $ 661,505 $ 681,350 $ 701,791 $ 722,844 $ 4,028,000 2020 $ 4,809,643 $ 4,953,932 $ 5,102,550 $ 5,255,626 $ 40,000 2023 $ 52,191 $ 958,000 2025 $ 2,350,000 2055 $ 344,000 2055 $ 2,202,000 2079 $ 344,000 2085 $ 1,889,000 2098 $ 4,165,000 2047 $ $ $ - $ - $ $ - $ - $ 133,000 $ 136,990 $ 141,1001 $ 750,703 $ 773,225 $ 796,421 $ 5,629,957 $ 5,798,855 $ 5,972,821 $ 6,204,196 Years Years Years Years 2014 2025 2026 2046 2047 2067 2068 2113 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 2.7% Total Project Power Consumption(KwH/year) Year Operational 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1,416,554 2014 $ 113,324 $ 114,458 $ 115,602 $ 116,758 $ 117,926 $ 119,105 $ 120,296 $ 121,499 $ 122,714 $ 123,941 21,516,191 2017 $ 1,773,452 $ 1,791,187 $ 1,809,099 $ 1,827,190 $ 1,845,462 $ 1,863,916 $ 1,882,555 3,111,111 2020 $ 67,635 $ 74,182 $ 80,853 $ 87,650 272,804 2023 1 $ 23,869 71,004,097 2025 26,373,064 2055 8,985,068 2055 4,133,147 2079 8,985,068 2085 4,108,890 2098 1,544,444 2047 $ $ - $ $ - $ $ $ $ $ - $ $ 113,324 $ 114,458 $ 115,602 $ 1,890,210 $ 1,909,113 $ 1,928,204 $ 2,015,1211 $ 2,041,1431 $ 2,067,483 $ 2,118,016 V--I.- V-, I V-,,, I V- 1 Appendix E-6 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model Package 5 - Accelerated Growth Revesm b8 ReKam. f 59.00 123300 117,665 201.094 291.535 375.001 493.798 Rm fma RmWa 150,012 150,907 I50,000 I51,300 153.015 154,545 156.091 157,652 R.vaw. Fron Jmk SW. I53.657 179,598 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50.0N 50.000 Rcrmao From Mabaal S-icm 72,759,8N 72229= 71307 350 75,550,078 78357.846 87.733.205 99,004,866 106.032.915 Re fmm Dept Opuaecm 2.485,058 1.804.791 L370„550 2.417.961 2,466320 2.515.647 1565,960 2,617279 Tmdan Fmm Olbw Fmda 129,02' 129387 130,701 130.604 131,4. 131.994 133,371 133=9 Toll Fudi%Smmm 11335.688 74,616.994 74,008,601 78,417,808 81359.711 W,876,926 102285289 INA84,872 R:rmml�m4�, Told Sdarim 4,654.712 5200.189 5.741.134 5,855,957 5.973,076 6,N2.538 6214388 6338,676 T- Bud. 2, 159,WS 2.777.464 3,120.784 3301,475 3,497,607 3.710.673 3.942.311 4,194324 T.W Snpplk. 1,520" IA67367 1.8M,797 1.960.273 107,479 1,935A28 1.974,137 2,013,619 Taal Maeamanw 2,942,9N 2,444.S..0 2.952.901 3.011.959 3,072.198 3.133,642 3,196315 3,2W,241 CRMWA Ddivay Chugs 5312,866 4.885.692 5.740,990 5.155.810 5,972,926 6.092.395 6214232 6339,517 Ek.rie Utility Ch.,Sm 2,1182m 2.177.657 3.742,558 3.793.617 3,825,127 3.867,N3 3.9N,519 3,952A10 ToW Profuodmd S-i-/Tm"% 1.015.940 994.894 989.060 1,008,841 1,029.018 LN9,598 1.070,590 I.092.002 T-J Sdcdukd Chg. 963,985 L0N.404 1.162,810 1.196.066 1209.797 1233.98.3 1258,66.3 1283,936 ToWOOWCbugm 37.661 170"3 22200 268,968 274.544 MAI 2.664,944 2.706.948 Told T-f.a 9.807,941 10.706.068 11.854,757 12341.7.16 12.759351 13,554 356 14.481.910 15.164229 T.W 016m EVwd- 104,72, 96,871 - - - - - P.y-A.Y-0. Fmdn k CIP I50.000 800.000 420.000 500,000 500.000 - - - Ex4USD.NSaci. 32391,445 37,969278 39,702,132 39,733383 39,571380 39.565.W5 39.570.757 39379.464 Ices I.-E.-Wm Bad Pmmed. (246.406) (113,595) (93.796) (122353) (310202) (291.753) (264.618) (825.W) Leoe Bald Aaaim Bad Subsidy (2.441327) (13K635) (1,595,060) (1.595.060) (I.595,060) (1.595,060) (1.595,060) (1,553.901) To I E".di ToW Ex m&i (Owylhder Rataeav N.tA cwcvbd" ToW App offwbk Na Av Rate A-4,6 O.o.m Daumbm Doo-ba Dmmaba. D.-b. D-b. Dw-b.r Deoembu Ddm ba Dn mb De b D bm Dooembm D bm D-mb9 &m Ralo g 24.00 2EN 21A0 14.00 7.00 7,00 7,00 700 )Li"''j ,j( 1& f20"'� �C IS'ml fg 5r t w.4 R t a454 .l'�^41 ,'kl ad? 3)�t Qtl Tis I 0.00 % 000% 49.34% X00% 20.00% 15.OD% 12.Sa/. 5lOv T 2 O,WX 0,005G 2734% i0.00% 20.00•R IS.00X 12.50•e Tim3 0.00'A 0.00% IOA6% 30.00% 20,00.E 15.00 % 12.50'1G swul^-.,ti The pmpo.od t.1e tBWava n.orpon4.dm ihu nmddv sbjoct b duagedapmdNg m mr•Y n4iaNm, Sam of thmo vui.blm may iwMtdc: wbr vo6vam, mitop ntm. commodity pdws mIW lan nta., tbv op.triaW imp.m ofn.w hdkdm. and chu�gmr Uu aM m priaHyof mpitd pmjow. Appendix E-6 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model Package 5 - Accelerated Growth Base Charees Meter Size FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 0.75 $ 8.89 18.00 18.00 24,00 28.00 21.00 14.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7,00 7.00 7.00 7.00 1.00 14.84 30.05 30.05 40.06 46.74 35.06 23.37 11.69 11.69 11,69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11.69 11,69 11.69 1,50 29.59 59,91 59.91 79,88 93.20 69.90 46,60 23.30 23,30 23.30 23.30 23.30 23.30 23.30 2130 23.30 2330 23.30 2.00 47.56 96.30 96.30 128.40 149.80 112.35 74.90 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 37.45 3745 37.45 3.00 94.81 191.97 191.97 255.96 298.61 223.96 149.31 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74,65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 74.65 4.00 148.12 299.91 299.91 399.87 466.52 349,89 233.26 116.63 11&63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116.63 116,63 116.63 116.63 116.63 6.00 296.16 599.65 599.65 799,53 932.79 699.59 466.39 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 233.20 8.00 473.87 959A7 959.47 1,279,29 1,492.50 1,119.38 746,25 373.13 373,13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 373.13 10.00 681.26 1,379.38 1,379.38 1,839.17 2,145.70 1,609,28 1,072.85 536.43 536,43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 536.43 Volume Rates Block FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 1 $ 2.42 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.67 4.00 5.20 6.24 7.18 8.07 8.52 8.94 9.39 9.67 9.96 9.96 10.06 10,16 2 3.03 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.29 5.46 7,09 8.51 9.79 11.01 11.62 12.20 12.81 13.19 13.59 13.59 13,73 13.86 3 4.19 5.93 5.93 5.93 5.93 6.55 8.51 10.21 11.74 13.21 13.94 14.64 15.37 15.83 16.30 16.30 16,47 16.63 Sample Bill (Average User based on 7,000 gallons per month) FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 .75" meter $ 25.83 36.69 36,69 42.69 46.69 49.00 50.40 50.68 57.23 63.51 66.62 69.60 72,73 74.70 76.73 76.73 77.43 78.13 %increase 42.0% 0,0% 16.41/6 9.4% 4.9% 2.9% 0.6% 12.9% 11.0% 4.9% 4,5% 4.5% 2.70/o 2.7% 0.0% 0.9% 0.9% * meter $ 31.78 48.74 48.74 58.75 65,43 63.06 59.77 55.37 61.92 68.20 71,30 74.29 77.42 79,39 81.42 81.42 8112 82.82 %increase 53.4% 00% 20.6% 11,4% -3.6% -5.2% -7.4% 11.8% 10.1% 4.6% 4.2% 4.2% 2.5% 2.6% 0.0% 0,91% 0.9% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% Appendix E-6 12 Year Financial Water Rate Model Package 5 - Accelerated Growth FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 $70,000,000 $65,000,000 $60,000,000 $55,000,000 $50,000,000 $45,000,000 $40,000,000 Tier 1 Volume Rate % Increase $35,000,000 ..,_Annual Debt Payment $30,000,000 --4--Appropriable Net Assets - 0—Package 5 Reserve $25,000,000 $20,000,000 $15,000,000 $10, 000,000 $5,000,000